6 th annual faa international aviation safety forum 6 th annual faa international aviation safety...
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66thth Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum
“Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge”
Enrique Rosende
Director of Safety, LAN Airlines September 10, 2009
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6th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum“Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge”
Economic and aviation policy in Chile
Role of the authorities in the region
LAN’s business strategy
Economic crisis and its consequences
Existing safety programs
Future challenges
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6th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum“Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge”
Economic and aviation policy in Chile
Role of the authorities in the region
LAN’s business strategy
Economic crisis and its consequences
Existing safety programs
Future challenges
![Page 4: 6 th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum 6 th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022070306/5516f5b5550346fe558b4c2d/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
The pillars of Chilean economic policy:
I. Economy open to international trade & commerce…
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…Focused on becoming a goods and services distribution center & gateway for Asian imports into the region
The pillars of Chilean economic policy:
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II. Commercial agreements with main economies worldwide
These nations represent 87% of the world total GDP
• USA
• Canada
• Bolivia
• Panama
• Mexico
• Colombia
• Cuba
• Ecuador
• Venezuela
• EU
• Norway
• Switzerland
• India
• Brunei
• Singapore
• Australia
• New Zealand
• China
• South Korea
• Japan
The pillars of Chilean economic policy:
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Chilean Exports (US$ MM)
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
80.000
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Source: Banco Central de Chile
The pillars of Chilean economic policy:
III. Export oriented economy
+11% Compound Annual
Growth Rate
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Aviation Policy in Chile
OBJECTIVE:
To achieve the largest number of aviation services, with the best quality and efficiency, and at the lowest cost
THIS IS ACHIEVED THROUGH:Non regulated faresLimited intervention of the authoritiesFree access to markets
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• No legal barriers to entry.
• No limits regarding property or control of the airline.
• No subsidies.
• Bilateral agreements with 45 countries. Of these, 35 are open to 3rd and 4th
freedoms for Chile and 7 are open skies including cabotage.
Chile has an Open Skies Policy
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Airport Concessions
Investment of US$ 2.000 million
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6th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum“Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge”
Economic and aviation policy in Chile
Role of the authorities in the region
LAN’s business strategy
Economic crisis and its consequences
Existing safety programs
Future challenges
![Page 12: 6 th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum 6 th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022070306/5516f5b5550346fe558b4c2d/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Accident Rate is Higher in Regions Without a Common Norm
Source: IATA Safety Report - 2008
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Administrative and Regulation Issues in Europe and North America
SecurityEfficiency
Europe50 Countries
30% of world traffic
SINGLE REGULATION
North America
3 Countries
45% of world traffic
SINGLE REGULATION
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Administrative and Regulation Issues in Latin America
22 Countries
7% of world traffic
SEVERAL REGULATIONS
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6th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum“Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge”
Economic and aviation policy in Chile
Role of the authorities in the region
LAN’s business strategy
Economic crisis and its consequences
Existing safety programs
Future challenges
![Page 16: 6 th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum 6 th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022070306/5516f5b5550346fe558b4c2d/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Saf
ety
Effi
cien
cy
SAFETY: AN ESSENTIAL AND NON NEGOTIABLE VALUE
Imp
rove
men
t
War
mth
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18
LAN's Regional Strategy – Passenger Hubs
Santiago
1929
Lima
1999
Guayaquil
2003
Buenos Aires
2005
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LAN Business StrategyPassenger Operations – Low cost model for domestic markets
Lower Fares-20%
Lower Costs-30%
More Capacity
+20%
• More seats: 126 - 168
• More direct flights: 70%
• Higher aircraft utilization: 12 hrs
More Passengers
+40%
• New fare structure
• Discounts of up to 35%
• Demand stimulation
• Load factor: 75%
• Fuel: Modern & fuel efficient fleet
• Maintenance: Longer flight leg
• Sales costs: Internet penetration >50%
• Self check in, OBS, others
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20
LAN's Regional Strategy – Cargo Hubs
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LAN Business StrategyCargo Operations
Source: Boeing World Air Cargo 2008 - 2009
Northbound
Fish, flowers and vegetables dominate Northbound Flows
Consumer electronics, machinery, spare parts and automotive parts dominate Southbound Flows
Operational efficiencies must be obtained by managing unbalanced flows and seasonal fluctuations
Southbound
21
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•Sources: DGAC Chile, DGAC Peru, Undersecretary of Transportation Argentina, DAC Ecuador, LAN Estimates.
•* International market shares for December 2008; Domestic market shares for June 2009.
Leading Presence in South American Markets
Peru
International: 39%
Domestic: 90%
Argentina
International: 17%
Domestic: 28%
Chile
International: 50%
Domestic: 81%
Ecuador
International: 27%
Domestic: 13%
•Buenos Aires•Santiago
•Guayaquil
•Lima
•22
Cargo
Latin America 40%
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Solid Revenue Growth
318 407600 694
9721.083
1.2371.4251.4281.454
1.639
2.093
2.506
3.034
3.525
4.283
3.916
0
400
800
1.200
1.600
2.000
2.400
2.800
3.200
3.600
4.000
4.400
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008IFRS
LTMJ une09
US$ Million
CAGR24%
CAGR1%
CAGR20%
Operating Revenues 1993 – LTM Jun 09
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Consistent Profitability Despite Industry Crises
$11 $15 $34 $44$83 $62
$112
$172
$303
$413
$620
$538
$6
$308$336
$246
$142
$50$51$80$46
$241
$147$164
$84
$31$11$48$48$31
$64$25
$0$38
050
100150200250300350400450500550600650
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008IFRS
LTMJune09
Operating Income and Net Income 1993 – LTM Jun 09
Operating Income Net Income
(US$ millions)
Recession
9/11 & Argentine CrisisIncreasing
Fuel Prices
LAN Airlines has been consistently profitable under the current management
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LAN Consistently Receives International Recognition
Best South American Airline - 2009
Best Latin American Airline - 2008
Best Latin American Airline - 2004
Best Airline in South America, Central America and Caribbean - 2006
Best South American Airline - 2005
Airline Business Strategy Awards – Executive Leadership 2009
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LAN's Fleet – September 2009Average fleet age of 5.4 years
Boeing 767
26
Airbus 319
20
Airbus 318
15
Airbus
340
5
Airbus 320
18
Boeing 767-F
9
Boeing 777-F
2
PA
SS
EN
GE
RC
AR
GO
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LAN Continues to Invest in Fleet Expansion and Renewal
81 85 92 103 106134
9 1111
12 13
13
0
30
60
90
120
150
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-2019
Total Projected Investment of US$5.3 Billion (2009-2019)
90 96103
115 119
147
Cargo Aircraft
Passenger Aircraft
CAPEX 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-2019
(US$ millions) 351 408 705 433 3,380
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6th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum“Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge”
Economic and aviation policy in Chile
Role of the authorities in the region
LAN’s business strategy
Economic crisis and its consequences
Existing safety programs
Future challenges
![Page 28: 6 th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum 6 th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022070306/5516f5b5550346fe558b4c2d/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Strong Impact in Cargo and Passenger Traffic
Source: IATA
Passenger Traffic Growth (%RPKs)
Jun 09
9%
Aug 08
-3%
12%
6%
Sep 08
-1%
11%
3%
Oct 08
-5%
10%
3%
Nov 08
-5%
11%
3%
Dec 08
-6%
May 09
Industry
Lan Total
Lan International
11%
4%
15%
Jan 08
9%
16%
11%
Feb 08
6%
14%
11%10%
4%
9%
Mar 08
3%
8%
5%
Apr 08
6%
14%
9%
May 08
4%
10%
4%
Jun 08
2%
11%
5%
Jul 08
1%
16%
-7%
3%
Jan 09
-10%
8%
0%
Feb 09
-11%
8%
2%
Mar 09
-3%
20%
13%
Apr 09
-9%
12%
5%
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Source: IATA
-16%-17%
5%
9%
Jan 08
6%
12%
Feb 08
3%
10%
Mar 08
4%
11%
Apr 08
1%
12%
May 08
-1%
14%
Jun 08
-2%
16%
Jul 08
-3%
14%
Aug 08
-8%
9%
Sep 08
-8%
9%
Oct 08
-14%
-2%
Nov 08
-23%
-16%
Dec 08
-23%
-16%
Jan 09 Jun 09
-20%
Feb 09
-21%-24%
Mar 09
-22%-22%
Apr 09
-17%-17%
May 09
Industry
Lan
-25%
Cargo Traffic Growth (%RTKs)
Strong Impact in Cargo and Passenger Traffic
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IATA Projections
Actual
-9,0
-0,5
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
8,6
1997
5,4%
8,2
1998
4,0%
8,5
1999
3,3%
3,7
2000
-3,8%
•-13,0
2001
-1,6%•-11,3
2002
-0,5%
•-7,6
2003
0,9%
•-5,6
2004
1,0%
•-4,1
2005
2,9%
2006
3,9%
12,9
2007
0,3%
•-10,4
2008
-0,4%
2009E
5,6%
-6%
-4%
-3%
-5%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
-1%
-2%
1%
0%
•Source: IATA
Net
Res
ult
(US
$bn)
Operating M
argin (%)
The Industry Worldwide is Facing Significant Losses
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6th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum“Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge”
Economic and aviation policy in Chile
Role of the authorities in the region
LAN’s business strategy
Economic crisis and its consequences
Existing safety programs
Future challenges
![Page 32: 6 th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum 6 th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022070306/5516f5b5550346fe558b4c2d/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Saf
ety
Effi
cien
cy
SAFETY: AN ESSENTIAL AND NON NEGOTIABLE VALUE
Imp
rove
men
t
War
mth
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LAN’s Operational Safety, Quality and Environment Policy
Motivates and requires compliance with safety standards.
Safety is everyone’s responsibility, and starts with the CEO.
Encourages safety reports.
Mistakes are an opportunity for improvement.
Safety goals and objectives are well defined, measured and rewarded.
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• Industry and Internal Analysis
• Risk and Change management analysis
• LOSA (Line Operations Safety Audit)
• Operational Security audit
• A & D
• AVSIS (Aviation Safety Information System)
• Operational Security Investigations
• FAST (Fatigue Avoidance Scheduling Tool)
• FDM (Flight Data Management)
LAN's Safety Management System process
Pro
activ
eP
redi
ctiv
eR
eact
ive
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Flight Data Management:Investment in Technology to monitor all flights since 2003
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6th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum“Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge”
Economic and aviation policy in Chile
Role of the authorities in the region
LAN’s business strategy
Economic crisis and its consequences
Existing safety programs
Future challenges
![Page 37: 6 th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum 6 th Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022070306/5516f5b5550346fe558b4c2d/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
Future Challenges
Cooperation betweenOperators and Authorities
Operators' Creativity and Innovation
Authorities' Flexibility and Stringency
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•
E
ffic
ienc
y
•
S
ervi
ce
•
S
afet
y
Aeronautical Regulation
Lan Businnes Estrategic
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66thth Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum Annual FAA International Aviation Safety Forum
“Safety in times of crisis, a permanent challenge”
Enrique Rosende
Director of Safety, LAN Airlines September 10, 2009