73479 global retail industry overview

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Overview Of Indian Retail Industry (July 08) 4 th & 5 th Floors, Astral Heights, Road No. 1, Banjara Hills, Hyderabad-500034, India Tel: +91-40-23430203-05, Fax: +91-40-23430201, E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.cygnusindia.com Branches: Ahemdabad: 079 - 30027030 Bangalore: 080-41311229 Chennai: 044-42122168, 42122819 Hyderabad: 040-23430203-05 Kolkata: 033-24192540/41 Mumbai: 022-22870612/14 New Delhi: 011-41520651/52 Pune: 020-64013392

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Page 1: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

Overview Of

Indian Retail Industry (July 08)

4th & 5th Floors, Astral Heights, Road No. 1, Banjara Hills, Hyderabad-500034, India Tel: +91-40-23430203-05, Fax: +91-40-23430201, E-mail: [email protected]

Website: www.cygnusindia.com Branches: Ahemdabad: 079 - 30027030 Bangalore: 080-41311229 Chennai: 044-42122168, 42122819

Hyderabad: 040-23430203-05 Kolkata: 033-24192540/41 Mumbai: 022-22870612/14 New Delhi: 011-41520651/52 Pune: 020-64013392

Page 2: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

Overview of Global Retail Industry

2.1 Introduction

Retailing has played a major role in increasing productivity across a wide range of consumer

goods and services the world over. In the developed countries, retail industry has transformed

into a full-fledged industry where more than three-fourths of the total retail trade is done by the

organised sector. Though India boasts of an emerging retail market with top international

retailers like Wal-Mart and Carrefour keen to establish their presence, it does not figure on the

list of top 10 most preferred global retail markets. Out of the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and

China) countries, China and Russia are in the top 10 list.

But in terms of investment in emerging markets, India tops the list according to a report of AT

Kearney.

Following are the characteristics of global retail industry:

1. The global rated retail universe is very diverse, covering a large number of segments

2. Global retail industry exhibits very diverse operational and financial dynamics

3. Of the global retail industry, 38% of publicly-rated retailers is investment grade and 62% is

speculative trade.

The Top 10 global retail players and the information on their sales and growth rates is

summarised in the following Table.

Serial No.

Global Leaders/ Country Sales* (US$m)

Growth (%) (2001-2006)

1. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (USA) 348650 11.1 2. Carrefour S.A (France) 97861 2.3 3. The Home Depot Inc. (USA) 90837 11.1 4. Tesco PLC. (UK) 79976 12.5 5. Metro AG (Germany) 75225 4.0 6. The Kroger Co. (USA) 66111 5.7 7. Target Corp. (USA) 59490 8.3 8. Costco Wholesale Corp.

(USA) 60151 11.6

9. Sears Holding Corp. (USA) 53012 8.0

Page 3: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

* Sales Value as of 2006 Source: Deloitte & Cygnus Research

10. Schwarz Uternehmens Treuhand KG (Germany)

52422 12.0

Organised retailing in most economies typically passes through four distinct phases in its

evolution cycle. In the first phase, new entrants create awareness of modern formats and raise

consumer expectations. In the second phase consumers demand modern formats as the markets

develop – thereby leading to a strong growth. As with the life cycle of any industry, the high rate

of growth would lead to a stage of mature market wherein all the players would strengthen their

positions. This will be followed by the final phase where the market would reach a saturation

point, the growth would be limited and for sustainable growth, retailers would explore new

markets as well as evaluate inorganic opportunities.

2.2 Different Retail Formats across the World

Across the world retailer is involved in more than one format to operate in different

circumstances to cater to its consumers. Different types of retail formats across the world are:

Mom-and-Pop – Represent the small, individually owned and operated retail outlet. In many

cases these are family-run businesses catering to the local community.

Mass Discounters - These retailers can be either general or specialty merchandisers but either

way, their main focus is on offering discount pricing. Compared to department stores, mass

discounters offer fewer services and lower quality products.

Warehouse Stores – This is a form of mass discounter that often provides even lower prices

than traditional mass discounters. In addition, they often require buyers to make purchases in

quantities that are greater than what can be purchased at mass discount stores. These retail

outlets provide few services, and product selection can be limited.

Page 4: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

Furthermore, the retail design and layout is, as the name suggests, warehouse styled, with

consumers often selecting products off the ground from the shipping package. Some forms of

warehouse stores, called warehouse clubs, require customers to purchase memberships in order

to gain access to the outlet.

Category Killers – Many major retail chains have taken what were previously very narrowly

focused, small specialty store concepts and have expanded them to create large specialty stores.

These so-called “category killers” have been found in such specialty areas as electronics (e.g.

Best Buy), office supplies (e.g. Staples) and sporting goods (e.g. Sport Authority).

Department Stores – These retailers are general merchandisers offering mid-to-high quality

products and strong level of services, though in most cases these retailers would not fall into the

full-service category. While department stores are classified as general merchandisers, some

carry a more selective product line. For instance, while Sears carries a wide range of products

from hardware to cosmetics, Nordstroms focuses its products on clothing and personal care

products.

Boutique – This retail format is best represented by a small store carrying specialised and often

high-end merchandise. In many cases a boutique is a full-service retailer following a full-pricing

strategy. It is individually managed and specialised retail format.

Catalogue Retailers – Retailers such as Lands’ End and LL Bean have built their business by

having customers place orders after seeing products that appear in a mailed catalogue. Orders are

then delivered by a third-party shipper.

E-tailers - Possibly the most publicised retail model to evolve in the last 50 years is the retailer

that principally sells via the Internet. There are thousands of online-only retail sellers of which

Amazon.com is the most famous. These retailers offer shopping convenience including being

open for business all day, every day. Electronic retailers or e-tailers also have the ability to offer

a wide selection of product since all they really need in order to attract orders is a picture and

description of the product. That is, they may not need to have the product on-hand the way

physical stores do. Instead an e-tailer can wait until an order is received from his customers

Page 5: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

before placing the order with the suppliers. This cuts down significantly on the cost of

maintaining products in-stock.

Franchise – A franchise is a form of contractual channel in which one party, the franchisor,

controls the business activities of another party, the franchisee. Under these arrangements, an

eligible franchisee agrees to pay for the right to use the franchisor’s business methods and other

important business aspects, such as the franchise name.

For instance, McDonalds is a well-known franchisor that allows individuals to use the

McDonalds name and methods to deliver food to consumers. Payment is usually in the form of a

one-time, upfront franchise fee and also on-going percentage of revenue. While the cost to the

franchisee may be quite high, this form of retailing offers several advantages including:

1. Allowing the franchisee to open a retail outlet that may already be known to local

customers, and

2. Being trained in operating the business which may allow the franchisee to be successful

much faster than if they attempted to start a business on their own.

Convenience – As the name implies these general merchandise retailers cater to offering

customers an easy purchase experience. Convenience is offered in many ways including through

easily accessible store locations, small store size that allows for quick shopping, and fast

checkout. The product selection offered by these retailers is very limited and pricing can be high.

Table 2.1: Retail Formats - Summary Chart

Format TargetMarket

Product Offerings

Pricing Strategy

PromotionEmphasis

Distribution Service Level

OwnershipStructure

Page 6: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

Vending – This category includes automated methods for allowing consumers to make

purchases and quickly acquire products. While most consumers are well aware of vending

machines allowing customers to purchase smaller items, such as beverages and snack food,

newer devices are entering the market containing more expensive and bulkier products. These

systems require the vending machine have either Internet or telecommunications access to permit

purchase using credit cards.

Mom-And-Pop

Mass Specialty

General Specialty

Competitive AdvertisingDirect Mail

Stand-AloneStrip CentreShopping Area

Assorted Individually O/O

Mass Discounter

Mass General Discount Advertising Stand-AloneStrip-Centre

Self Corp. Chain

Warehouse Store

Mass General Discount Advertising Stand-Alone Self Corp. Chain

Category Killer

Mass Specialty Discount Competitive

Advertising Stand-AloneStrip Centre

Assorted Corp. Chain

Department Store

Specialty General Competitive Advertising Shopping Area Shopping Mall

Assorted Corp. Chain

Boutique SpecialtyExclusive

Specialty Full Selling Stand-AloneStrip CentreShopping Area

Full Individually O/O Chain

Catalogue Mass Specialty

General Specialty

Discount Competitive

Direct Mail Direct Marketer

Assorted Corp. Structure

E-tailer Mass Specialty

General Specialty

Discount CompetitiveFull

Advertising Online Seller

Self Corp. Structure

Franchise Mass Specialty Competitive Advertising Stand-Along Strip Centre

Assorted Contractual

Convenience Mass General Full Advertising Stand-Alone Self Individually O/O Corp. Chain

Vending Mass Specialty Full None Vending Self Corp. Structure

Source: Knowthis.com

Page 7: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

2.3 Consumer Demographic Trends

The retailers are facing new challenges, as the demographic characteristics of customers are

changing. Changes in population, the composition of households, age, income, and ethnicity

must be understood in relation to changes in shopping behaviour and expenditures.

2.3.1 Changing Households As households become smaller and number of wage earners increase, the percentage of income

used for housing and transportation will continue to limit the amount available for non-

automotive retail. Many households are spending less time shopping. Accordingly, time-saving,

convenience goods and services present opportunities for retailers. When people shop, they want

to know that the store is open and that they have what they want. As households have fewer

children, they are less likely to shop at the family department store that was once found

downtown. An estimated 80% of all shopping are done by women. This suggests that retailers

should examine the mix of products and services that will attract women shoppers.

2.3.2 Changing Income Higher income households will continue to be a primary target for many retailers. These

consumers spend 63% more than the average household on food and account for more than half

of all spending on products such as men’s apparel and household maintenance supplies and

equipment. The pressure to develop retail closer to higher income suburban households will

continue to require people to “shop with their wheels.” Today’s consumer wants “park by the

door and see the open sign.” Given historic trends, both the lower-income and upper-income

segments of the population will provide greater market opportunities than the traditional middle-

income segment of the population.

Page 8: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

2.3.3 Aging Population The boomers represent a vast, relatively affluent and expanding market. Retailers should

recognise that they have reached an age when they have less to spend on retail goods and more

on housing, education and health. Buying behaviours of different age segments are changing.

Just because a 40-year-old today will be 50 in ten years doesn’t mean that he or she will be

buying like today’s 50-year-olds. Increasing proportion of infant and child products today are

now being purchased by grandparents.

Average annual rate of change of the total population and the population in broad age groups by

major area, medium variant, 2005-2050 (Expected) in terms of percentage is given in the Table

below.

Age-wise Rate of World Population Change (%)

Particulars 0-14 15-59 60+ 80+ Total

Population

World -0.03 0.65 2.43 3.38 0.76

Africa 0.85 2.04 3.25 3.88 1.72

Asia -0.34 0.48 2.74 4.04 0.65

Europe -0.41 -0.70 0.93 2.02 -0.21

L. America -0.41 0.59 2.92 3.91 0.71

N. America 0.25 0.38 1.73 2.42 0.65

Average change under the age 14 for countries outside Africa and North America is because of

family planning and population control measures by respective governments. The major

population growth is in developing nations across globe. Thus, the potential of retail growth is

very high in these developing countries (Asia and Africa). Asia gives more opportunities owing

to its growing economies.

Source: World Population Prospects - 2006 Revision

Page 9: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

2.3.4 Buying Decisions Precisely speaking about the buying decision process, it consists of the following steps, which is

usually followed:

1. Need of Recognition

2. Information that satisfies the need of the customer

3. Alternatives/ Substitutes

4. Decision making on buying

5. Post behaviour after the purchase

In the retail industry, understanding the retail customers plays an important role in the success of

a retail store. The development of technology and globalisation has led to a new era of

consumerism where retailers focus completely on meeting the needs, wants and priorities of the

consumer. To understand the nature of the retail market, a retailer should analyse various factors

like population, demography, and the geography of a particular area. Population analysis helps

the retailer to understand potential markets. Retail buyers face daily decisions about which new

products and lines to carry, especially in fast-changing segments such as apparel and consumer

electronics. Merchandising professionals often rely on their instincts and experience to make

choices that can define a retailer’s identity and competitive advantage in the marketplace.

2.4 Major Markets

The story of globalisation of retail industry is interesting. After the happening of industrialisation

as well as the globalisation, world has became too small for the business. For the development as

well as for the growth companies are also concentrating on the global markets. Taking into

account the global market scenario, we have dealt in this chapter major market leader in retail of

some of the developed nations like USA, UK, Germany etc. We have shown the percentage

change in retail market of market leaders in respective countries.

Page 10: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

A decade back, it was hard to imagine that international retailers would set up shop in your

neighbourhood. But global retail giants are now spreading their wings across the globe to cash in

on new opportunities.

2.4.1 USA The total retail share in the

world GDP is 27%, while

in the USA it

accounts for 22% of the

GDP. The US

retailing is divided into

three categories:

department stores, mass

merchandisers and

specialty stores. The biggest and most influential is mass merchandisers’ category, many of

which have enormous global buying power. Consumers in the US have become more value-

conscious, which has led to a movement in sales towards mass merchandisers and discount

stores. E-sales is also affecting retail sector, although its percentage is low. Competitive threat

faced by e-retailers is forcing traditional retailers to respond by competing on both price and

service levels.

Major Players:

Table 2.2: Top Four Players in the US by Revenue in 2006

Company Revenue in US$ billion Wal-Mart Stores Inc 351.14 Home Depot 90 Kroger Co 60.55 Target Corporation 59.49

Wal-Mart Stores Inc.: It is the world's largest public corporation by revenue, according to the

2008 Fortune Global 500. It is the largest private employer in the world and the fourth largest

utility or commercial employer, trailing the British National Health Service, and the Indian

Figure2.1: Retail Sales in US (2000 - 2006)

0

10002000

3000

40005000

6000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Sale

s in

US$

billi

on

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

Gro

wth

%

Retail Sales in US $ billion Retail Sales Grow th %

Source:: E&Y Report, Cygnus Research

Page 11: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

Railways. Wal-Mart is the largest grocery retailer in the United States, with an estimated 20% of

the retail grocery and consumables business, as well as the largest toy seller in the U.S.

Each week, about 100m customers, nearly one-third of the U.S. population, visit Wal-Mart's U.S.

stores. Wal-Mart customers give low prices as the most important reason for shopping there,

reflecting the "Low prices, always". The average US Wal-Mart customer's income is below the

national average, and analysts recently estimated that more than one-fifth of them lack a bank

account, twice the national rate.

Home Depot Inc : The Home Depot (NYSE: HD) is an American retailer of home

improvement and construction products and services. Headquartered in Vinings, just outside

Atlanta in unincorporated Cobb County, Georgia, the Home Depot employs more than 355,000

people and operates 2,141 big-box format stores across the United States (including the 50 U.S.

states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and Guam), Canada (ten

provinces), Mexico and China. The world's second largest Home Depot (as of the end of 2007)

opened November 14, 2007 on the island of Guam.

2.4.2 The United Kingdom (UK)

The UK’s retail sector is

driven by strong housing

prices, low unemployment

and relatively low inflation.

The UK’s GDP reached

US$2 trillion in 2006,

registered a growth rate of

2.7% over 2005. The retail

sector accounts for around

20% of GDP.

After growing for around three years, the retail sector has now entered into a period of low

growth. The UK retail sector recorded a sale of over US$513.95 billion (about £255.56 billion)

Figure 2.2: Retail Sales in UK (2000 - 2006)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Sal

es in

US

$ bi

llion

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

Gro

wth

%

Retail Sales in US $ billion Retail Sales Growth %

Source:: E&Y Report, Cygnus Research

Page 12: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

in 2006. The retail industry in the UK is the top service industry providing employment to nearly

3m people, which constitutes around 11% of the UK's total workforce. Online shopping is

becoming the fast growth engine of the UK retail sector, accounting for half the rise in spending

in 2007, according to retail monitoring group Verdict Research. It estimates that online

purchasing rose almost 29% in 2007, which is almost 20 times faster than the retail sector overall

at just 1.5%. Online shopping now accounts for most of the sector’s growth and at US$16.482

billion is almost equal to the US$18.894 billion achieved by department stores – and it is still

only 3.1% of the total US$532.65 billion sales.

Major Players:

Table 2.3: The Top Four Players in the UK by Revenue in 2006

Company US$ billion Tesco PLC 68.70 J Sainsbury 32.44 Safeway 40.18 Kingfisher 16.10

In June 2005, the retail industry employed 2.9m people. This equates to one in nine, or 11%, of

the total UK workforce, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). UK retail sales

were approximately $522.6 billion in 2005 (ONS). Retail is often seen as a stepping-stone for

entrepreneurs to start up in other business sectors. The sector is expected to see the creation of

270,000 new jobs till 2012, with 31% of these managerial/professional levels.

Tesco PLC is a British-based international grocery and general merchandising retail chain. It is

the largest British retailer by both global sales and domestic market share with profits exceeding

£2 billion. In 2008, the company overtook German retail giant Metro AG to become the world's

third largest retailer, the first movement among the top five since 2003. Tesco operates a "good,

better & best" policy for its products, encompassing several product categories such as food,

beverage, home, clothing, Tesco Mobile and financial services.

J Sainsbury plc is the parent company of Sainsbury's Supermarkets Ltd, commonly known as

Sainsbury's, a chain of supermarkets in the United Kingdom. The group also has interests in

property and banking. The group has an estate worth about £8.6 billion (March 2007). According

to Taylor Nelson Sofres rankings published in January 2008, Sainsbury's market share was

16.4% compared to Tesco's 31.5%, ASDA's 16.7% and Morrison's 11.4%.

Page 13: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

2.4.3 Germany

Consumption makes

a significant portion

of German GDP

and the increasing

retail sales could act

as an indicator of

domestic demand.

High or rising retail

sales may spur

German

consumption, translating into economic growth. Germany’s GDP is estimated at US$2.63 trillion

in 2006, an increase of 1% against 2005. Germany’s retail market is the third largest in the world

having total estimated retail sales of US$393.87 billion in 2006. Like in the US, the discount

stores drive the growth of retail market in Germany.

Major Players:

Table 2.4: The Top Four Players in Germany by Revenue in 2006

Company US$ billion Metro AG 84.75 ALDI Einkauf 42.98 Rewe Handelsgruppe 50.70 Schwarz Group 42.57

Metro AG: is a diversified retail and wholesale/cash and carry group based in Germany. It has

the largest market share in its home market, and is one of the most globalised retail and

wholesale corporations. In English it often refers to itself as Metro Group. According to a 2008

report by Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, Metro is Europe's third largest retailer, after Tesco of the

UK and Carrefour of France. If Metro's cash and carry operations, which are its largest division,

are not counted as retail, it also ranks behind Tesco, and possibly a few other European retailers.

The cash and carry division's page on the company's official English language website states that

the company is the, "World market leader in the wholesale business", implicitly excluding the

cash and carry division from the retail sector.

Figure 2.3: Retail Sales in Germany (2000 - 2006)

330340350360370380390400

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Sale

s in

US$

bill

ion

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.0

Gro

wth

%

Retail Sales in US$ billion % Growth

Source:: E&Y Report, Cygnus Research

Page 14: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

ALDI Einkauf: is a discount supermarket chain based in Germany. The chain is made up of two

separate groups, ALDI Nord ("North" - operating as ALDI MARKT) and ALDI Süd ("South" -

operating as ALDI SÜD),

which operate

independently from each

other in specific market

boundaries. The Aldi group

operates about 7,600

individual stores

worldwide. A new store

opens every week. Aldi

Nord is responsible for the

markets in Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, France, Spain, Portugal and Denmark. Aldi

Süd caters to the markets of Austria, the United Kingdom, Ireland, the United States, Australia,

Switzerland and Slovenia.

2.4.4 Japan

Japan is the world’s second largest retail industry and it is highly fragmented with a majority of

stores run by small businessmen. Japan’s GDP reached US$4.22 trillion in 2006, by registering

a growth rate of 2.1% in 2005 and the consumer demand makes up around 55% of GDP. It was

estimated that the Japanese retail industry will reach US$1.43 trillion in 2006, registering a

growth rate of 8% in 2005. Deregulation in Japan over the last decade has led to its long

recessionary climate to restructure the retail and distribution sector by opening up the economy

to foreign retailers. The problems faced by foreign retailers in Japan include the reluctance of

suppliers to deal with the foreign interlopers and inability to satisfy the expectations of the

Japanese consumers.

Major Players:

Table 2.5: Top Four Players in the Germany by Revenue in 2006

Figure 2.4: Retail Sales in Japan (2000 - 2006)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Sal

es in

US

$ bi

llion

-10.0

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

Gro

wth

%

Retail Sales in US$ billion % Growth

Source: E&Y Report, Cygnus Research

Page 15: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

Company US$ billion Ito Yokado 12.84 Aeon Co 37.54 Daiei Inc 14.5 Uny Co 10.3

Source: www.hed.msu.edu

Note: For Aeon & Uny FY05 has been taken

ITO YOKADO: is a Japanese General Merchandise Store, part of Seven & I Holdings Co. The

group has expanded to China, where they formed a joint venture with Wangfujing Department

Store and China Huafu Trade & Development Group Corp. to open one of five stores in Beijing.

Currently 9 stores exist in Beijing and 3 more in Chengdu with plans to expand elsewhere. In

addition to food (more than half of total sales), the stores sell apparel, household goods, and

more. Ito-Yokado is second only to rival AEON with nearly 12% of Japan's superstore market.

(AEON's share is just over 14%). Formerly a holding company for businesses that included

banks, convenience stores, and restaurants, Ito-Yokado is now a subsidiary and the core

operating company of Japan's largest retail conglomerate Seven & I Holdings's domestic

superstore business.

AEON Co: Formerly known as JUSCO AEON Co Ltd is the largest retailer in Japan. Through

ownership, joint ventures, and investments, AEON controls approximately 4,000 stores

worldwide. Under the AEON corporate umbrella are 460 JUSCO superstores, 2,600 Mini Stop

convenience stores, 665 supermarket stores, and 1,900 AEON Welcia drug stores. The company

owns 60% of the women's apparel chain. Customers prefer to shop at AEON because they

believe there is no better source for their daily necessities that so thoroughly addresses very real

concerns for product reliability and food safety. Its private-brand TOPVALU products are

carefully selected with all of these customer needs in mind, to support a healthy, worry-free and

enjoyable lifestyle. The brand encompasses 2,400 products in the food, clothing, recreational,

house wares and home-furnishing sectors. For nearly 10 years, AEON has worked to bring the

full force of its buying power and cost efficiency to TOPVALU products so as to deliver

consistently low prices at an unswervingly high level of quality.

2.5 Growth Drivers

Page 16: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

According to the research and analytics firm, A.T. Kearney, with high GDP growth, fall in

unemployment, high disposable income and a huge unorganised retail sector is a potential gold

mine for major retailers of the world such as Wal-Mart, Carrefour, Tesco and others. However,

retail is not the same in emerging markets. Different economic, social and political factors create

a need to reinvent marketing and operation strategy. Demographics and income levels create a

diverse set of requirements that may challenge existing business models and value chain

strategies. Since 2001, 90 new markets have been entered by more than 49 global retailers, but at

the same time in 2005, 17 retailers left markets. Some factors which have fuelled growth in

global retail industry are discussed below.

2.5.1 GDP growth The US economy, which is more than US$11 trillion, is the largest in the world. Japan’s

economy which is at around US$4.22 trillion is the second largest in the world, followed by

Germany and UK. In fast growing economies the GDP is mainly driven by consumption, which

in turn is affecting the retail growth. The GDP is increasing at a faster pace, thereby leading to

change in standard of living towards higher side. This change demands better quality of goods

and services. That’s why countries like India and China are also giving boost to the retail

industry. Many formats of retail industry are now being accepted.

Table 2.6: GDP Average Annual Growth (2004 – 2008) Country China India Malaysia Thailand Singapore Annual Growth % 8.4 7.2 5.4 5.3 5.2 Source: Global Economic Outlook IMF

2.5.2 Consumers’ Desire for Something Unique

Consumer’s desire for something new drives the retail industry. Companies are getting more

focused on giving consumers something new and unique to survive in this mature industry.

Today’s consumer is extremely selective and if the retailer wants his business to grow profitable

he must meet the specific needs of the consumer. The departments at the retailing industry are

adopting new technologies to help their employers collect better information from the customers

to predict consumer demand patterns.

Page 17: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

2.5.3 Increased Spending on IT by Retailers According to SearchCIO.com, a recent survey shows that IT spending by mid market retailers

worldwide will grow from US$22 billion in 2004 to US$31 billion in 2009, an annual compound

growth rate of 7%. The survey found that mid market retailers will spend US$161m on ERP and

supply chain management software in 2005 alone. Investments in customer relationship

management (CRM), wireless networking and web hosting are expected to reach US$679m by

the end of 2005 and grow to US$946m by 2009, a 9% compound annual growth rate

2.5.4 Online shopping

While retail stores remain the dominant shopping channel, the Internet is the only channel that is

increasing the number of respondents that shop online. The 24-hour availability and better

selection online increased considerably as a factor in shopper's decision to shop online. Online

shopping growing as a sales channel reveals that price is declining as a driver of online sales.

2.5.5 Looking East for Growth

Southeast Asia, Central Europe, Russia and China markets are attracting retailers. It is not that

China is the cheapest place to do the business but it’s because of its vast market size and

population. China opened its gates for the foreign retailers when it joined WTO in 2001. It also

offered tax incentives to foreign retailers, traders and wholesalers for operating in special

economic zones.

2.5.6 Technology It’s a fact that technology has helped a lot in retail boom. But as the technology has evolved into

a huge dimension as well as the acceptance of the latest technology by the retailers, it led the

boom of the retail industry. For example, if an individual enters into huge retail outlet, he first

thinks the size of retail outlet. Previously, any retail outlet is to operate in a small room, whereas,

Page 18: 73479 Global Retail Industry Overview

now it’s been turned into huge retail complex. Retail outlet is equipped with RFID technology,

which helps in reduction of theft. Almost all the latest retail format is having “bar-scanner”,

which is directly connected with the computer, very much helpful in retail outlet in the payment

counters. Bar scanning while use of the UPC (Universal Product Code) in product labelling has

almost become a necessity with the advent of optical scanning technology in the retail market

industry. CCTV (Close circuit television) is also helping the global retail industry a lot. In every

part of the world, CCTV is installed in huge retail outlet, thereby reducing and controlling the

theft in the store. The database of the products are saved in the computers, it have had the

information about which product is where, how much is the price, what amount of quantity is

there in the retail outlet. Security mechanism installed at the entrance of the store helps in

maintaining the security standard of the retail outlet.

2.5.7 Growth of Private Labels

Private labels are products manufactured for sale under a specific retailer brand. They are often

designed to compete with branded products, offering customers a cheaper alternative to national

brands. Though the public is generally used to see them as low-cost imitations of branded

products, private labels have overcome this reputation and achieved significant growth in recent

years. Private labels offer several benefits to both retailers and customers. For retailers, margins

on private label goods are an average of 10% higher than those on similar branded products.

Customers benefit from the lower prices, which are often significantly less than those of national

brands. This combination, while beneficial to retailers and consumers, can put substantial

pressure on the manufacturers of branded goods, who have to compete with their own customers.

For instance, Tesco in Europe has a range called the Tesco Finest Line, which sells only

premium products at premium prices. It also has Tesco Value Line, which is cheaper and

competes with Tesco Finest Line. Tesco’s Finest Chocolate sells at 50% premium over, say,

Cadbury’s. Similarly, its yogurt sells at more than 50% premium over Danone and other yogurts.

2.6 Recent Trends and Developments

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The retail market has experienced a significant change in recent years. By the early 1980s the

regional mall

shopping had

begun to lose

shares to other

retail forms.

Changes

continue today,

requiring

developers,

retailers and

service

providers to

create new type of stores to stay competitive. Developing countries are showing more rapid

growth potential. A. T. Kearney did a study in which Global Retail Development Index (GRDI)

was calculated. While calculation four factors were considered: Country Risk (25%), Market

Attractiveness (25%), Market Saturation (30%) and Time Pressure (20%). The bracketed figures

indicate the weight age given to the factors. India came at top with a GRDI score of 92, followed

by Russia and China with score of 89 and 86 respectively as shown below.

2.6.1 Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) technology

Radio-frequency identification (RFID) is an automatic identification method, relying on storing

and remotely retrieving data using devices called RFID tags or transponders. An RFID tag is an

object that can be applied to or incorporated into a product, animal, or person for the purpose of

identification using radio waves. Some tags can be read from several meters away and beyond

the line of sight of the reader.

RFID technology is going to reduce costs, optimise supply chain processes and improve

productivity and profits. Countries like the US, UK and Japan are leading the way in deploying

Source: AT Kearney Report 2007

Figure 2.5: Global Retail Development Index (GRDI)2007

0

20

40

60

80

100

Indi

a

Rus

sia

Chi

na

Viet

nam

Ukr

aine

Chi

le

Latv

ia

Mal

aysi

a

Mex

ico

Saud

i Ara

bia

GR

DI S

core

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RFID technology, though China is expected to close the gap by 2009. The benefits that RFID

technology offers are manifold and include –

1. Improved efficiency and visibility,

2. Lower costs,

3. Lower inventory levels yet constant product availability,

4. Better asset utilisation and increased sales through better out-of-stock goods management.

With Wal-Mart mandating the use of RFID amongst its top-100 suppliers, and others like Tesco,

Metro, JC Penny, Gap and Marks & Spencers joining the RFID bandwagon, the technology is

well on its way to establishing a stronghold within the retail sector.

2.6.2 Consolidation and Global Expansion

In the last few years, most of the retailers re-examined their strategies, focusing on the core

business to survive in a relatively mature industry. In 2004, the Mergers and Acquisitions

(M&A) activity was on the increase and in the first quarter of 2005, the retail sector recorded the

largest increase, up by 175%. The factors that have influenced M&A activity the most are

intense competition in the domestic market, declining population growth rate and low prices. In

addition to it, globalisation of trade is being encouraged by the adoption of certain trade

agreements such as NAFTA, which lowers a barrier to international trade. Global expansion by

major retailers is occurring in emerging markets such as Southeast Asia and China. For instance,

in Indian scenario, the global retail giant Wal-Mart Stores Inc entered into a joint venture with

Indian conglomerate Bharti Tele-ventures. But due to some legal issues, Wal-Mart is providing

only back-end support to Bharti for retailing.

If we consider the Indian scenario, global leader in retailing i.e. Wal-Mart has entered into joint

venture with Indian telecom giant Bharti Group. As the government has allowed 51% investment

in retail markets through FDI, Wal-Mart has entered the Indian market after signing the joint-

venture agreement with Bharti group. Carrefour of Italy is also planning to enter the Indian

markets. Similarly in apparel retail, almost all the international branded denim companies is

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having tie-ups with Arvind Mills, an establishment of Lalbhai group. In the second half of 2007,

European giant in diary retail “Danone Group” had entered Indian market with Britannia,

however, that venture ended up with a huge smoke.

From the beginning of 2005, M&A activity in the global retail market has been high. Total M&A

activity in the 17 months from January 2005 through May 2006 was $86.7 billion, whereas

M&A activity from 2000 to 2004, a 60 month period, totalled $51.0 billion. M&A in the retail

market can be divided into two segments: financial investments and strategic consolidations.

Financial investments in the retail sector are generally short-term investments, involving

restructuring and the sale of assets. Strategic consolidations are often mergers whereby

companies can gain economies of scale, better enabling them to compete with superstores.

2.6.3 Consumer trends

Retail sector has been a consumer-led industry. People are working longer hours than before, and

many married women with children too are working. Consumers want the convenience of longer

trading hours with a Sunday opening and where possible, retailers have responded - for example,

12% of packaged groceries in Sydney are now bought on Sundays and many stores are open until

midnight. Many retailers have introduced more fast lanes to accommodate the "little but often"

shopper.

2.6.4 Augmented use of Smart cards

Smart card is a card that is embedded with a microprocessor and memory chip, similar to debit

card and prepaid phone card. Retailers issue these cards for loyalty program. Instant discounts

are given to the privileged customers. Customers also like to carry one card instead of carrying

10 cards. In India, retail giants like Tata sponsored Westside, and Future group sponsored Big

Bazaar, each of them have introduced the loyalty card for their customers, in which customers

can enjoy many kinds of benefits. With the application of such cards, they can accumulate points

and can earn rewards or can purchase goods using the accumulated award points.

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2.6.5 Self Service

Bigger retailers are including self service check-out lanes in their stores. An increasing

population these days likes these self-serve lanes because they usually take less time than lanes

with register clerks. Self service is the practice of serving oneself, usually when purchasing

items. Common examples include many gas stations, where the customer pumps their own gas

rather than have an attendant do it. Automatic Teller Machines (ATMs) in the banking world

have also revolutionised how people withdraw and deposit funds. In most of stores around the

world, the customer uses a shopping cart in the store, placing the items they want to buy into the

cart and then proceeding to the checkout counter/aisles.

2.6.6 Intelligent Shopping Trolleys

Supermarket trolleys have always been pretty basic. Microsoft is co-developing a new one

featuring an integrated display that tells the customer what to buy, what aisle it’s in and how

much he/she has spent. Dubbed Media-Cart, shoppers can swipe their loyalty card through a

scanner on the trolley’s handle at the beginning of their shop. Targeted video adverts, based on

information about previous shopping habits, will then be shown on a 12-inch retractable colour

display as they browse the aisles. The screen will be managed by several Microsoft technologies,

including Windows CE and Microsoft SQL Server. A power unit will sit in the trolley’s base.

A “cart-level checkout feature”, rivalling RFID, may also be built into the trolley. Shoppers

would manually scan their own items on the display before putting them into the trolley, while

the total cost of their shopping would be calculated before they leave the store. This gives a

pleasant shopping experience, without having to pass through the supermarket’s check-out aisles.

2.7 Issues and Challenges

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In developing countries, retailers face competition from low cost producers, whose ability to

deliver high quality products at lower prices has grown very rapidly. Retailers have been taking

advantage from these low cost producers but at the same time facing competition from

established players. Consumers are also growing more demanding and want more value, stylish

and innovative products at a low cost. Another issue of major concern is the emergence of the

web based counters like e-bay, future bazaar etc. Customers are purchasing their respective

commodities through Internet, as they lack sufficient time for shopping. This kind of counters are

in a nascent stage, however, they are giving stiff competition to established retail outlets.

Following are some of the issues and challenges facing global retail industry.

2.7.1 Supply Chain Efficiency

Retailers realise that in order to improve their businesses, it is important for them to reinvest in

new technologies and programs. According to a study done by National Retail Foundation and

BearingPoint Inc, retailers should focus on supply chain efficiency to stay competitive. Supply

chain management (SCM) is the process of planning, implementing and controlling the

operations of the supply chain as efficiently as possible. Supply Chain Management spans all

movement and storage of raw materials, work-in-process inventory, and finished goods from

point-of-origin to point-of-consumption. SCM integrates supply and demand management within

and across companies. More recently, the loosely coupled, self-organising network of businesses

that cooperates to provide product and service offerings has been called the “Extended

Enterprise”. Firms in the extended enterprise may operate independently, for example, through

market mechanisms, or cooperatively through agreements and contracts.

2.7.2 Smart Pricing

It is the practice of charging different buyers different prices for the same product. Even small

and midsize businesses can make price changes per day according to the market conditions. But

smart pricing is the biggest challenge for retailers offering online shopping. Because Internet

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allows customers to easily share information with one another, consumers will be unhappy if

they believe they have paid more for a product. It is often referred as “Price Discrimination.”

Price discrimination exists when sales of identical goods or services are transacted at different

prices from the same provider. In a theoretical market with perfect information, no transaction

costs or prohibition on secondary exchange (or re-selling) to prevent arbitrage, price

discrimination can be a feature only of monopoly markets. It is one of the strategies used by the

retail industries to maintain and stand itself in “highly cut throat competitive market”.

2.6.3 Deployment of Technology

RFID is important technology in whole of retail business value chain. However its deployment

has two major deployment problems.

The first is that RFID companies do not fully understand the business and challenges of retailing

and, conversely, retailers don't fully understand RFID technology. Highly publicized initiatives

by Wal-Mart, Target, and the likes, this problem is less pronounced. But other retailers;

disconnect of understanding technology and domain space between retailers and technology

implementers hinders healthy and rapid adoption of RFID throughout the retail space.

The second problem has to do with retailers' solution to their RFID shortcomings: they outsource

the work to technology consulting companies. Here the problem is that the big, top-name

consulting companies that are usually tapped for the job are characteristically conservative with

new technology. At this early stage in the game, RFID remains an early-adopter technology, and

an innovative, experimental approach is preferred. Thus, the creative consulting firms are a better

option, as they are more likely to offer the out-of-the-box thinking that successful RFID

deployments require. Their obvious drawback is their small size; many such niche RFID outfits

would be overwhelmed by the scope of reengineering a retailer's supply chain around RFID.

2.7.4 Shifting Demographic Trends

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The complex challenge for the retailers today is to understand and serve individuals in a world of

more than six billion global customers. Most of the retailers start with demographic segmentation

to better understand the profile of the customers. The overall demographic trend is expected to

change slowly but the retailers should monitor the shift in demographic trends. An understanding

of shifting demographic trends help retailers plan better for their workforce. Now the tastes and

the preference of the customer has changed. Now on the customers are looking the shopping as a

leisure activity as compared to necessity a decade ago. Customers are looking for all kinds of

facility while going for shopping. Now purchasing any commodity from a huge retail outlet is a

matter of status. Customers want one stop destination for their shopping. This what the main

challenge faced by the all retailers. They can’t provide all those things which a customer

demands. This is also one of the major reasons behind the evolution of huge retail complex.

However, in huge multi-outlets, customers can easily park their vehicles; can purchase different

goods and services from the same destination. They can purchase anything that ranges from

house-hold item to expensive jewelleries, from domestic brand of clothing to expensive Versace

or Armani.

2.8 Outlook

Global retail sales reached an estimated value of US$10.4 trillion in 2006, by registering a

growth rate of 3.6% in 2005. Growth was slow in early 2005 as monetary policy was tightened in

the OECD countries. The trend of globalisation and expansion of big retailers into emerging

countries, particularly into Southeast Asia was seen. The threat of inflation and rising interest

rates will pressurize the disposable income in 2006 but the consumer spending will be there,

especially on unique kid’s items. For retail technology vendors the focus for retail enterprise

applications must be on three critical priorities: intelligence, integration, and usability. Of the

three, usability remains the greatest weakness and the greatest vendor opportunity as traditional

merchants struggle with the transformation of their legacy applications into insight-driven

workbenches.

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Finally, Cygnus believes that vendors should clearly define their capabilities for supporting

retailer global expansion, including specific regional or country-specific configurations that

exist. Rising oil prices can drive up the price of consumer goods as the costs of transporting

products from manufacturer to market increases. Rising oil prices have impacted consumer

spending in 2005. The increasing demand for energy may also push back-office costs up, which

could impact both retailers and suppliers. Large retailers in mature markets will grow through

acquisitions in emerging countries such as Southeast Asia, Central Europe and Russia, which

offer the best potential as household income rises. Deregulation in China and India will open

gates for international retailers to expand into new markets.

Conclusion

Large superstores, including Wal-Mart (US), Carrefour (France), Metro (Germany), and Tesco

(UK), have transformed the global retail market by selling merchandise in multiple retail

segments (clothing, house wares, and groceries) at the expense of more specialised retailers. In

the US, from 2000 to 2005, grocers’ sales grew at an average annual rate of 2% and department

stores’ sales decreased at an average annual rate of 1%, while “other general merchandise

stores,” a category that includes superstores, grew at an annual average of 10%. Worldwide,

department stores’ share of apparel and shoe sales fell from approximately 59% in 2000 to 48%

in 2005, while food stores’ share of food sales fell from 49% in 2000 to 43% in 2005.

Retailers have increased their market share by competing in terms of price. Economies of scale

and technological advancement in inventory management have helped in achieving lower costs.

Large networks enable the retailers to negotiate for high-volume discounts from suppliers. High

volume purchasing also allows retailers to control their own supply chains, integrating various

technologies to further reduce costs. The technologies include quick response systems that link

retailers’ point of sale scanners to vendors or distribution centres through electronic data

interchange, allowing the retailer to order new supplies without delay, while avoiding costs

associated with overstocking. Retailers are also beginning to implement RFID, a substitute for

bar coding, enabling closer tracking of inventory.

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