7th ceo’s conference, são paulo, march 20th
TRANSCRIPT
1
April 2006
2
Evolution of a World-Class company
Gafisa: A Leading Homebuilder
1954
1997
2004
2005
2006
► Gafisa is founded
► GP invests, professionalization of company begins
► Company becomes capital constrained, external shareholder event occurs
► Capital increase from EI (Sam Zell), a strategic investor► Turnaround begins
► IPO in February 2006: Professionalization continues ► Capitalize on growth opportunities
Gafisa is well positioned for the Future
3
Gafisa’s Strategy
Create the leading residential development company in Brazil based upon sales, profitability and quality
Strong revenue growth
Focus on high return
opportunities
Maintain debt policy of
40% - 60% net debt / equity
Continued geographic expansion
Our Strategy
Maintain land bank of
2-3 years of future sales
4
Premier Growth Opportunity
Professional Managementand
Established Organization
Industry Leadership and Strong Brand Recognition
GeographicDiversification
World-class Shareholdersand the Highest Standards of Corporate Governance
5
Housing Sector Overview
6
Brazil’s real estate market presents large and sustainable demand…
Robust Housing Growth
► Largest economy in South America
► Politically stable and fiscally conservative
► Strong economic fundamentals
– Unemployment rate: declining
– Interest rates: declining
– Country risk: lowest level in 8 years
Favorable Housing Market TrendsBrazil’s Economic Trends
► Attractive demographics: young and growing
population
► Strong pent-up demand:
– Housing deficit currently grows at a pace
of 300,000 units per year
► New, improving legal framework
► Increasing mortgage availability
► Highly fragmented market
…which is expected to continue significantly exceeding supply
Source: Central Bank, Ipeadata and SECOVI
Interest RatesC
ount
ry R
isk
0
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-060%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Country Risk Interest Rates
7
Increasing credit availability and new regulation will fuel the housing sector
Increasing Mortgage Availability
Recent Trends Available Credit
► New regulation
– Banks required to increase mortgage lending
► Ability to repossess in case of default
► Developing secondary mortgage market
– True sale and non-recourse structures
– Asset backed securities:
– R$0.4 bn in 2004
– R$2.0 bn in 2005
► Increasing mortgage affordability
Credit still represents a small percentage of GDP when compared to other countries
Source: Central Bank, Ipeadata and SECOVINote:1 Based on real estimated GDP growth
1 1
1.8 2.23.2
6.0
18.0
0.1% 0.1%0.2%
0.8%
0.3%
2002 2003 2004 2005E 2006E
Volume (R$ billion) % of GDP
8
Highly Fragmented Market
Market Share in São Paulo (2005)
Well capitalized companies will benefitfrom increasing demand
Market Share in Rio de Janeiro (2005)
Source: EMBRAESP and SECOVI
Others80%
5%
Cyrela Brazil Realty8%
Rossi Residencial2%
Company S.A.3%
Tecnisa2%
Source: ADEMI
Others42%
CHL9%
Carmo Calçada11%
Agenco13%
RJZ Cyrela12%
13%
Units (#)
Launchings (R$ bi)
2005 04-05Growth
33,748
9.0 19%
24% Units (#)
Launchings (R$ bi)
2005 04-05Growth
8,832
3.0 2%
23%
Gafisa´s strong brand and market positioning are a competitive advantage against the many family-owned and non-professional competitors
9
Investment Highlights
10
Led by GP and EI, Gafisa is the only homebuilding company with an institutional shareholder base …
World-Class Shareholders and Corporate Governance
… and commitment to superior corporate governance standards
27.7%23.1%
Free Float
49.2%
Post-IPO Shareholder Structure 1
Selling Shareholder
► Proven track record in the Brazilian capital markets
– Submarino, ALL, among others
► A leading investor in real estate companies outside of the U.S.
► Portfolio includes Homex, Mexico’s leading homebuilder
► Founded by Sam Zell
► Novo Mercado listing
► 100% tag along rights
► 2 independent board
members
► US GAAP
Superior Governance Standards
Note:1 Excludes treasury stocks
11
Gafisa’s product diversification is a key differentiating strategy…
Diverse Product Mix
Luxury Developments
Middle-High Income
Buildings
Affordable Entry-Level
Housing
250 90-180 45-60
67%
Size(sq.m)
Average Price per
sq.m
% of 2005 Contracted
Sales 15%10%
> R$3,600+ R$2,000-3,600 R$1,200–2,000
Notes:1 Gafisa has commercial buildings which accounted for the remaining 4% of the 2005 contracted sales
Land Subdivision
250-1,500
14%
R$150-800
31%2005 Project Margin 28%37% 44%
12
Geographic Diversification
Gafisa’s Location
Gafisa´s core markets (SP / RJ)
RJ and SP
► Leading position► Established presence► Large and profitable
market
82%
Other Regions
► Few large and well capitalized competitors
► Diversification► Strong growth prospects► 14 cities in Brazil with
more than 1.0 mm people
18%
Markets Characteristics% of 2005
Contracted Sales
… which is complemented by its geographic diversification (Gafisa is the most diversified homebuilder in Brazil)
13
A superior organizational structure and professional management enable strong growth, maximizes quality …
Professional Management and Superior Organizational Structure
► Only leading Brazilian developer with a professional management team
► In-depth industry knowledge
– Management, on average, with more than 14 years of experience in the company
► Senior management with proven track record in diverse industries
► Well established internship program
– 4 out of the 7 directors were part of this program
► High employee retention levels
Superior Organizational StructureProfessional Management
► Results-driven culture
► Management is aligned with shareholders
– Performance based stock option program
► Strict criteria for project approvals through Investment Committee and Board approval process
► Standardized procedures (efficient execution and control)
► Modern management system and tools
… and make Gafisa a scalable business platform
14
An efficient business model, based on three main pillars…
► 50-year track record
► Builds for some of Gafisa´smain competitors
► ISO 9002
► Standardized construction techniques
► Innovative materials and techniques
Low-Cost Operations
Efficient Business Model
… aiming at maximizing ROE
► High sales velocity: 70% of units sold before construction
► Securitize client receivables to optimize working capital
High Asset Turnover
► Proven ability to source land
► Acquire land mostly via swap
– Minimize cash outflow
– Minimize permitting risk
– Lower capital cost
– Alignment with landowner
– Tax deferments
► Maintain full control
Land Acquisition Strategy
15
A long track record of leadership in the sector …
#2
2001R$249 mm2
#3
2002R$280 mm2
#1
2003R$173 mm2
#12
2004R$86 mm2
Leadership and Strong Brand Recognition
… made Gafisa’s brand one of the best-known in the Brazilian real estate industry
Market Share – São Paulo 1
Source: EMBRAESPNotes:1 Market share based on total sales volume of 100% of the developments launched2 Total sales value of developments launched (Gafisa’s proportional share)
#2
2005R$340 mm2
Market Share – Rio de Janeiro 1
#1
2001R$140 mm2
2002
#1
R$108 mm2
2003
#1
R$186 mm2
2004
#4
R$51 mm2
2005
#1
R$186 mm2
Source: ADEMINotes:1 Market share based on total sales volume of 100% of the developments launched2 Total sales value of developments launched (Gafisa’s proportional share)
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Our land bank policy is to maintain 2 to 3 years of future sales
Potential Units by Income Segment
Strategic Land Bank
São Paulo
Rio deJaneiro
OtherCities
Total
%
Land Bank (December / 2005)
1,009
711
169
1,889
Potential Contracted
Sales(R$ mm)
79%
62%
100%
81%
%acquiredby swapHigh Middle Low
500
316
70
886
15%
1,421
2,586
333
4,610
78%
63
348
-
411
7%
Lorian - SP
Barra da Tijuca - RJ
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Financial and Operational Performance
18
► Market research
► Project analysis
► Sales strategy
► Internal approvals
► Permitting
► Market research
► Project analysis
► Sales strategy
► Internal approvals
► Permitting
► Sales: 70% of units
► Secure client financing
► Sales: 70% of units
► Secure client financing
► Sales: 30% of units
► Secure construction financing
► Efficient construction
► Sales: 30% of units
► Secure construction financing
► Efficient construction
► Securitization
► Bank mortgage (customer)
► Securitization
► Bank mortgage (customer)
Development Process
LandPurchase Launch Construction Delivery
- 6th to 0 month 0 to 12th month 12th to 36th month After 36th month
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The nature of the business requires funding for the first year of development…
LandPurchase Launching Construction Deliver
Typical Project Cash Flow
Notes:1 Construction financing provided with funds from SFH2 Middle-income with swap agreement project
Cumulative Cash Flow to Equity 1, 2
… followed by significant cash in-flows
► Beginning of construction
► Project launching
► Securitization of remaining receivables
► End of construction► Customer gets
commercial mortgage financing
► Construction Finance (SFH) repayment
Expected ROIC = 35%
-6 – 0months
0 – 12months
12 – 36months
36 +months
Maximum exposure: 10% to
12% of sales contracted
(15)
(5)
5
15R
$ m
illion
20
Strong turnaround in 2005 …
Launchings and Contracted Sales
Launchings (R$ mm) Contracted Sales (R$ mm)
389 388 377
207
652
682
313
485
606
487
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Gafisa Partner
293333 325
254
450
349
474 478
375
528
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Gafisa Partner
+49%
+92%
Average 01-04 = 302Average 01-04 = 340
21
…and accelerating growth
7786
66
97
64 6553
7282 85
79
204
Quarterly Results
Contracted Sales (R$ mm)
1Q04 1Q05
+ 29% + 31%+ 49%
+ 18
2%
1Q03 2Q04 2Q052Q03 3Q04 3Q053Q03 4Q04 4Q054Q03
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Historically, almost 90% of a year’s earnings are based on previous’ years launches
Earnings recognition per year
11% 48% 42%
Accumulated earnings recognized (a x b) 11% 59% 100%
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
High Visibility Earnings
Earnings “lag” provides strong predictability
Earnings are recognized under the percentage of completion method
Accumulated Sales (a)
Percentage of completion (b)
70% 90% 100%
15% 65% 100%
23
Strong 2005 sales will positively impact future earnings
26
64
84
66 65
13.4%
18.9% 19.1%
14.1% 13.2%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
EBITDA EBITDA Margin
EBITDA and Net Income
EBITDA (R$ mm) and EBITDA Margin (%) Net Income (R$ mm) and Net Income Margin (%)
15
42
51
20
27
7.9%
12.4% 11.6%
4.2%5.6%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Net Income Net Income Margin
24
Dec/2004 Dec/2005 38%40%
36%
28%
39%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Future Earnings
Earnings to be Recognized (R$ mm) Nominal Gross Project Margin (%)
Sales to be Recognized
Costs of Units Soldto be Recognized 1
Profit to be Recognized
Nominal Gross Project Margin
436
(267)
169
39%
437
123
28%
Note:1 Includes only land and construction costs
(314)
… with margins restored to near 40%
Currently, Gafisa has approximately R$169 million of earnings to be recognized (37% increased compared to 2004)…
25
Capitalization
Short Term DebtLong Term Debt Total Debt
Cash and Cash Equivalents Net Debt (Net Cash)Shareholder’s Equity
Total Capitalization
Net Debt / Equity
(R$ million) Dec/05
54263317
134183300
617
61%
As of December 31, 2005
AdjustmentsPro FormaPost IPO
(10)(18)(27)
456 (483)483
456
45245289
590(300)783
1,073
(38)%
Launching of new developmentAcquisition of landWorking capitalDebt amortizationInvestment in existing operationsTotal
Use of Proceeds (%)
50%20%20%5%5%
100%
Notes:1 Capital increase from EI Fund II Brazil, LLC of R$6.2 million
Pro Forma Capitalization 1
26
Premier Growth Opportunity
Professional Managementand
Established Organization
Industry Leadership and Strong Brand Recognition
GeographicDiversification
World-class Shareholdersand the Highest Standards of Corporate Governance