Oregon Statewide Transportation StrategyA 2050 Vision for GHG Reduction

Presented by:Brendan Finn, Governor’s Transportation Policy Advisor

Amanda Pietz, ODOT Program Implementation and Analysis Manager

Oregon Transportation CommissionNovember 2019

Multi-Agency STS Implementation

Statewide Transportation StrategyOregon’s Carbon Reduction Roadmap

Legislative Directive

Statewide Transportation Strategy (STS)

Development ProcessTimeline

SB 1059STS

Finalized

2010 2013

STS

Feds

Development ProcessEngagement and Analysis

IdentifiedInputsThings to Test

Variables • Population Growth and Demographics• Income Growth• Fuel Price

Vehicles and Fuels • Vehicle Fuel Economy (MPG)• Vehicle and Fuel Type• Fleet Mix

Pricing • Pay as you drive insurance• Gas taxes• Road user fee

Systems and Operations • Intelligent Transportation Systems• Parking Fees• Education on Driving Efficiency• Managed Road Growth

Transportation Options • Public Transportation Service• Biking and Walking• TDM (home & work-based, ridesharing)• Car Sharing

Land Use • Housing (Single- & Multi-family dwellings)• Urban Growth Boundary Management• Mixed Use Areas

Ran Over 200 Scenarios / Combinations

Land Use

Vehicle Fuel Efficiency

Systems and Operations

Transportation Options

Pricing and Markets

Tested Inputs

Reviewed Results

System Performance

GHG Emissions

Energy Consumption

Household Travel Costs

Public Health Impacts

Report Card (sample)Outcomes

Better

Same

Worse

Travel Delay

Bike/Walk Trips

Equity

Selected Strategies (examples)

Increase service by 3-6 times beyond todays levels.

Support transition to EVs/PHEVs to comprise half of all vehicles on road.

Moderate growth by allowing UGB expansion no more than 15% times population growth.

Charge users the full cost of travel including direct and indirect impacts.

Public Transportation Electric Vehicles Land Use Road Pricing

By 2050…

Set the STS Vision and Finalize the Roadmap

-

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1990 2010 2050 CurrentTrends

2050 STS Vision 2050 Goal

Mill

ion

Met

ric T

ons

CO

2e

Ground Passenger & Commercial Service Freight Air Passenger

Ability to Influence (examples)

Population and Economic Growth

Market Forces

ODOT / DEQ / DOE/ DLCD

Cities / Counties

Legislature

Parking $Land UsePublic TransportationBiking and WalkingSystems and OperationsCongestion PricingClean FuelsVehicle Purchase IncentivesZero Emission Vehicles (ZEV) EV/Alt fuel technology Shared mobility optionsFuel priceHousehold characteristicsPopulation sizeIncome

ODOT Implementation ActionsShort-Term Plan Electric Vehicles & Low Emission Fuels

Eco-Driving

Road User Charge

Strategic Assessment & Scenario Planning

ITS

Transportation Planning & Project Selection

Stakeholder Coordination

2018 STS Monitoring Report

Evaluated ODOT Progress E.g. Electric Vehicles and Low Emission Fuels

Evaluated ODOT ProgressE.g. Intelligent Transportation Systems

Evaluated ODOT Progress E.g. Scenario Planning

Evaluated Overall Progress Within CategoriesE.g. Vehicles and Fuels

Short Term

Long Term

Vehicle Mix

Fuel Efficiency (MPG)

Battery Range

SUV/Light truck share

Vehicle Age

Fuel Carbon Intensity

Electric Carbon Intensity

Bus Fuels

2012 2018 2012 2018

Evaluated Impacts of External ForcesE.g. Gas Prices and Age of Vehicles

ResultsPercent Change in Light Duty GHG Emissions from 1990

Current Trends, Policies, Investments

STS Vision

GAP

Closing the Gap

PricingTransportation

Options

SystemOperations

Fuels

Vehicles

On Track Land Use

Gap

Transit ServiceBiking WalkingPark and RideTDM ProgramsITS

Managed Rd GrowthEV Charging StationsAlt. Fuel StationsEV RebatesIncentive Programs

Tolling TechnologyOperational Costs

Investments ($)

PricingTrans. Options

SystemOperations

Fuels

Vehicles

Multi-Agency Implementation

• ODOT, DEQ, DOE, DLCD

• STS Implementation• GHG Performance Measures

• Metropolitan Scenario Planning• Technical Support and Funding

• Implementation and Integration

Next Steps Discussion

Statewide Transportation Strategy Implementation