a growing european bank sigurjón Þ. Árnason · landsbanki uses total return swaps (trs) which...
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Landsbanki Presentation
IACC, 13 March 2008
A Growing European Bank Sigurjón Þ. ÁrnasonCEO Landsbanki
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Disclaimer
• The information presented herein (the Information) is based on sources which Landsbanki regards as dependable. Furthermore, the Information and views presented are based on publicly available information gathered at the time of writing and may change without notice. While Landsbanki Íslands hf. has given due care and attention to the preparation of this presentation, it nevertheless cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information, no accept responsibility for the accuracy of its sources. Landsbanki Íslands hf. is not obliged to make amendments or changes to this publication should errors be discovered or opinions or information change. Note especially that projections may vary from actual results in both positive and negative directions and are subject to uncertainty and contingencies, many of which are beyond the control of Landsbanki Íslands hf.
• The Information should not be interpreted as advice to customers on the purchase or sale of specific financial instruments. Landsbanki bears no responsibility in any instance for loss which may result from reliance on the Information.
• Landsbanki holds copyright to the Information, unless expressly indicated otherwise or this is self-evident from its nature. Written permission from Landsbanki is required to republish the Information on Landsbanki or to distribute or copy such information. This shall apply regardless of the purpose for which it is to be republished, copied or distributed. Landsbanki’s customers may, however, retain the Information for their private use.
• Transactions with financial instruments by their very nature involve high risk. Historical price changes are not necessarily an indication of future price trends. Investors are encouraged to acquire general information from Landsbanki or other expert advisors concerning securities trading, investment issues, taxation, etc. in connection with securities transactions.
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A Growing European Bank
ISK (bn) USD
Pre-tax profit 45.6 717m
After-tax profit 39.9 629m
Pre-tax ROE 31%
After-tax ROE 27%
Cost-income ratio 52%
Total assets 3,058 48.7bn
CAD 11.7%
Tier I 10.1%
Core Income by location
• As a member of the European Economic Area (EEA) since 1994, Iceland has implemented all the EC directives on banking, insurance and securities trading
• With its strong fiscal position, Iceland Sovereign has the highest possible credit rating from Moody’s at Aaa
• Landsbanki the market leader in Iceland with 120 years of operations since establishment in 1886 and headquartered in Iceland
• Leader in all core banking areas in domestic market with over 30% market share and the most extensive branch network
• Operations in major financial centers of Europe, thereof UK operations most extensive, focused on small and medium sized corporates
• Diversified asset base of excellent quality underpinned by conservative and centralised lending policies
• Highly capitalised with appropriate downside protection• Deposit growth has transformed the balance sheet and
supports strong liquidity position
ISK / USD 1 Jan 2007 ( 67.54); 31 Dec 2007 (62.80); Average 2007 (63.55); Average Q4 2007 (61.41); 28 Jan 2008 (64.33)
Key Figures from 2007 Annual Accounts
26%
50%
26%
16%
8%
100%
Iceland
UK / Ireland
Lux
Nordic &Cont.Europe
1997 2007
Rating Moody´s Fitch
Long-term A2 A
Short-term P-1 F1
4
5
Extensive Distribution Network to Deliver Targeted Financial Services Based on Local Expertise
5■■Hong Kong
26■■■Norway
Capital Markets
Corporate Finance
Treasury & Deposits /
FX & Derivatives
Corporate Banking
Asset Man. / Private Banking
Retail Banking
Speciality Finance
Positions(2,640)*(+100 in
Newcastle)
Iceland ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ 1,460
UK ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ 468
Ireland ■ ■ ■ 101
Luxembourg ■ ■ ■ 135
Germany ■ ■ ■ 57France ■ ■ 142
Spain ■ ■ 43
Italy ■ 28
Switzerland ■ ■ ■ 89
Netherlands ■ ■ ■ ■ 36
US ■ ■ 23
Canada ■ ■ 9
Finland ■ ■ 18
■
■
Fully Operational
Start-up within 24 months
Focus on Mid-Cap corporates in Europe USD 150m – 3bn *31.12.2007
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Transformation of Landsbanki Following Privatization
71745.51.5Profit before taxes
313.6*
34.7
2,651
17
110.0
1,421.0
2,023.0
3,058.0
2007
4,608*13Market cap
5461.5Core Profit before taxes
978Number of employees
1Number of countries
1,7317.1Net operating income
22,63664.7Total deposits
32,21293.7Total loans to customers
48,691124.8Total assets
Million USDChange1997
ISKbn
+ 25x
+ 22x
+ 22x
+ 15x
+ 17x
+ 3x
+ 23x
+ 24x
* 11.03. 2008
+ 30x
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Net Interest, Fees & Commission Income
Net interest income by country
ISK million
10%
8%
26%56%
Iceland
Nordic &Continental Europe
Luxembourg
UK / Ireland9,33114,734
22,996
41,491
54,052
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
6,1168,891
16,726
28,366
39,369
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
36%
29%
6%
29%
Net fees and commission income by country
Nordic &Continental Europe
Luxembourg
UK / Ireland
Iceland
$ 851m
$ 619m
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Other Operating Income
Breakdown of other operating income by origin
ISK million
-4,000
-2,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Equities
Fixed income & credit
Foreign exchange
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
3,535
9,842
21,257
19,568
16,605
$ 261m
2007 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
Equities $ 283m 18,014 707 2,714 6,438 8,156Fixed income & credit $ -128m -8,141 -4,747 -3,244 -203 52Foreign exchange $ 108m 6,889 4,223 2,356 -297 607Other $ -2m -158 -250 92 16 -15
16,605 -68 1,918 5,955 8,799
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Fixed Income and Structured Credit Exposure
Corporate Synthetic CDO No exposure
ABS
Listed bond portfolio
No exposure
As part of its liquidity strategy/reserves, Landsbanki has invested USD 6.6bn in listed bonds (mainly Floating Rate Notes). The highly rated portfolio consists mainly of financial and government paper.
Monolines No exposure
SIVs, conduits & liquidity lines No exposure
4%NR
4%BBB
16%A
44%AA
32%AAA
9%Corporate bonds
25%Government bonds
66%Financials
Total return swaps
Landsbanki uses Total return swaps (TRS) which are marked to market to manage part of its portfolio of acquisition and leveraged finance participations
FX Position In order to hedge its equity against ISK volatility, in H2 2007 Landsbanki built up a positive FX balance equivalent to ISK 114bn (USD 1.8bn).
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Cost-Income Ratio and Return on Equity
21%
57% 56%
40%
31%
18%
50%
36%
27%
46%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
ROE before taxes ROE after taxes
58%
53%
48%
58%
66%
57%
43%
34%
43%
52%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Core Cost-Income Ratio Cost-Income Ratio
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Continuously Improved Loan Quality
2,46%
3,17%
1,81%
0,97%
0,66%0,51%
0,24%
0,29%0,36%0,31%0,23%0,22% 0,27%0,21%
0,28% 0,35%
0,00%
0,50%
1,00%
1,50%
2,00%
2,50%
3,00%
3,50%
31.1
2.20
01
31.3
.200
230
.6.2
002
30.9
.200
2
31.1
2.20
0231
.3.2
003
30.6
.200
3
30.9
.200
3
31.1
2.20
03
31.3
.200
4
30.6
.200
4
30.9
.200
4
31.1
2.20
0431
.3.2
005
30.6
.200
5
30.9
.200
5
31.1
2.20
05
31.3
.200
630
.6.2
006
30.9
.200
6
31.1
2.20
06
31.3
.200
7
30.6
.200
7
30.9
.200
7
31.1
2.20
07
> 90 days1.31%
0.73%
0.58%
0.37%0.32%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Impairment on loans & advances
• Impairment on loans and advances decreasing
• Total overdue loans are at an historical low
• Strong allowance account
Provision account at 31 Dec 2007 21,981 $ 350m 1.02%
Total paym. overdue 0 days / Loans 9,481 $ 151m 0.47%Total paym. overdue past 90 days / Loans 4,911 $ 78m 0.24%
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Balance Sheet – assets as of 31 Dec 2007
ISK billion
Iceland58%UK & Ireland
20%
Other European countries
15%
US and CAN/other countries
7%
Lending by country
Other0.2%
Individuals18.6%
Construction and
manufacturing16.0%
Services43.0%
Public entities1.2%
Retail trade12.0%
Fisheries8.5%
Agriculture0.6%
Lending bysector
31 Dec 31 Dec Change %2007 2006
Cash and cash balances with Central Bank $ 1,299m 82 32 50 158%Loans and advances to financial institutions $ 2,595m 163 216 -53 -24%Loans and advances to customers $ 32,212m 2,023 1,438 584 41%Bonds and debt instruments $ 5,775m 363 170 193 114%Shares and equity instruments $ 1,026m 64 49 15 31%Hedged securities $ 2,806m 176 105 71 67%Derivatives held for trading $ 799m 50 38 12 31%Derivatives held for hedging $ 139m 9 10 -2 -17%Intangible assets $ 441m 28 14 13 93%Other assets $ 1,601m 101 100 1 1%Total assets $ 48,691m 3,058 2,173 885 41%
Part of Icelandic portfolio is foreign currency denominated
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Balance Sheet – liabilities & equity as of 31 Dec 07
ISK billion
$ 22.6bn
Deposits from customers
152218
334
683
1,421
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
About 3/4 of loans to customers
1/2 of total assets
31 Dec 31 Dec Change %2007 2006
Deposits from credit institutions $ 5,381m 338 141 197 139%Deposits from customers $ 22,636m 1,421 683 739 108%Borrowing $ 13,313m 836 1,015 -179 -18%Subordinated loans $ 1,782m 112 90 22 25%Other liabilities $ 2,649m 166 95 72 75%Minority interest $ 64m 4 5 -1 -23%Shareholder equity $ 2,867m 180 144 36 25%Total liabilities and equity $ 48,691m 3,058 2,173 885 41%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
JPM
orga
n
Citi
grou
p
Bof
A
Wac
hovi
a
Bar
clay
s
TD
RB
S
Ang
lo Ir
ish
Lloy
ds T
SB
SE
B
Land
sban
ki
RB
C
Dan
ske
Ban
k
Alli
ed Ir
ish
B. &
Bin
gley
Nor
dea
A. &
Lei
cest
er
Com
mer
zban
k
Kau
pthi
ng
Glit
nir
Source: company reports 2007
Deposits / Loans
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Strong Liquidity Position and Light Repayment Profile
*ISK maturing debt not included
Maturity profile of outstanding long-term debt as of 6 February 2008
• Landsbanki exceeds its policy to maintain a liquidity position (net of haircuts) sufficient to sustain at least 12 months non-access to capital markets by a comfortable margin based on:
– continued current business activitity
– very limited recourse to other assets eligible for sale/securitisation
• Liquid assets USD 13,216m as of 31 Dec 2007
• Light repayment schedule going forward, only USD 1,097m maturing in 2008
USD m
1,918
4,670
7,479
5,927
2,208
1,097
3,737
2,3582,622
1,1481,482
938
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Rai
sed
2003
Rai
sed
2004
Rai
sed
2005
Rai
sed
2006
Rai
sed
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
-203
0
2030
+
6.9%7.8%
11.9%13.0%
10.1%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Tier I Tier II
9.9%10.4%
13.1%
14.8%
11.7%
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Equity Overview
Share price ISK 28.0 (11/03/08)
Market cap ISK 313.6bn (USD 4.6bn)
Equity ISK 176 bn (USD 2.9bn)
After-tax profit 2007 ISK 39.9bn (USD 629m)
Last 12 month P/E: 313.6/39.9= 7.85
P/B: 313.6/180 = 1.74
Trading volume YtD: ISK 54.4bn (USD 0.8 bn) (3,850 transactions)
Trading volume 2007: ISK 361.2bn (17,070 transactions)
Top 12 Nordic Financial institutions
11.50%Approx. 28,000 shareholders
47.8%Next 50 largest shareholders
40.7%Samson Eignarhaldsf.
Share price & trading volume
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Jun 06 Dec 06 Jun 07 Dec 070
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Volume (ISKm) Share Price
13,783
38.6
14.0
8.0
3.8 3.7 3.74.6
20.3
2.3
17.617.4
25.4
Nor
dea
Dan
ske
Ban
k
DnB
NO
R
SEB
Sve
nska
Swed
bank
AB
Kau
pthi
ng B
ank
Land
sban
kiG
litni
r
Jysk
e Ba
nk
Pohj
ola
Bank
Syd
bank
A/S
USD billion
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Key Highlights
Sound asset quality
1. Effective risk controls and prudent credit loss provisions, or 1.1% as a ratio of total loans2. Total assets of USD 48.7bn with continued asset diversification by sector and geography3. Strong capital adequacy ratio of 11.7%, thereof Tier 1 of 10.1 %
Strong liquidity position
Solid Q4 results in turbulent
times
1. Continued growth of deposits across markets and strong deposits/loans ratio of 70%2. Strong liquidity position, liquid assets USD 13.2bn at year-end 20073. Light repayment profile going forward, with only USD 1.1bn maturing in 2008
1. Pre-tax profit ISK 45.6bn (USD 717m), thereof ISK 34.7bn (USD 546m) for core operations 2. Pre-tax ROE 31%, thereof 24% for core operations
Anchored in a resilient
economy
1. Strong government fiscal position with negligible external debt and a fully funded pension system, Iceland ranks highest with 132.7% ratio of pension fund assets to GDP*
2. Economy driven by internationalisation and a growing financial sector, but otherwise anchored in sectors not affected by current downturn, e.g. food production, technology, and power utilisation and production
No exposure to SIVs or
Monolines
1. Landsbanki has no exposure to the US subprime mortgage market, asset backed securities (ABS), collateralised debt obligations (CDOs), collateralised loan obligations (CLOs), structured investment vehicles (SIVs), Monolines or any such structured vehicles
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