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Advances in Hydro - Environment Research Water Energy Food Environment EXPANDING THE NEXUS Prof Arthur E Mynett Hong Kong, Nov 2014

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Page 1: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

Advances in Hydro-Environment Research

Water–Energy–Food–Environment

EXPANDING THE NEXUS

Prof Arthur E Mynett

Hong Kong, Nov 2014

Page 2: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

1. International Hydrological Programme

(research)

2. UNESCO-IHE Institute for Water Education

(capacity development)

3. Secretariat of the World Water Assessment Programme

(data)

UNESCO is the largest body within the United Nations system

dealing with the most comprehensive range of water activities.

UNESCO & WATER

UNESCO’s water activities:

Page 3: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL
Page 4: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

2009 2003 2006

Page 5: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

2012

Page 6: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

Sustainable Delta Development

THE DUTCH EXPERIENCE

Prof Arthur E Mynett Prof Arthur E Mynett

Vice President IAHR

CHAIR LOC IAHR-2015

Hong Kong, Nov 2014

Page 7: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

WELCOME !! 28 June – 3 July, 2015

Page 8: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL
Page 9: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL
Page 10: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

2

4

3

5

6

1

0

Glo

bal

T

emper

ature

C)

IPCC Projections

for 2100

N.H

. T

emper

ature

(°C

)

0

0.5

1

-0.5

1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000

Lower Risk for

Instabilities

High Risk

for Instabilities

Page 11: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

11

Page 12: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

Climate Change: What do we know?

Global Mean Temperature

has increased

Greenhouse Gases

do play a role

Reducing Emissions alone will not avoid impacts

Page 13: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

U.S

. Bu

rea

u o

f the

Ce

ns

us

Page 14: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

natural disaster

events reported

from 1900 - 2007

Total

Water-

related

Earth-

quake

500 events/year

400

300

200

100

0

Page 15: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

Damages of Floods in 1990's

100

1,000

10,000

100,000

1 10 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000

Death Tolls (Persons)

Eco

no

mic

Lo

sses

(M

illi

on

US

D)

Asia

China

Japan

Europe

N.Am

Others

Page 16: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

11

Page 17: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

Korea

Czech

ドイツ

China

Nepal

India

Bangladesh

Bolivia

Haiti/ Jamaica

Uruguay

USA

Mexico

Ecuador

Peru Micronesia

Philippines

Indonesia

Vietnam

Senegal

Ethiopia

Turkey

Austria

Kenya

France Afghanistan

Russia

Sri Lanka

Flood Drought

Page 18: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

FLOODS and DROUGHTS impact food, human lives, political crises

Page 19: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

MYNETT for YRF5

Page 20: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

WE WILL NEED MORE

STORAGE

Page 21: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

STORAGE

IS THE NEXUS BETWEEN

WATER – FOOD – ENERGY

Page 22: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

43 746

1,287 1,406

2,486 3,255

4,729

6,150

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Eth

iop

ia

So

uth

Afr

ica

Th

aila

nd

La

os

Ch

ina

Bra

zil

Au

str

alia

No

rth

Am

erica

water storage per person (m3)

Infrastructure gap: Water storage [m3/person]

Page 23: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

2

10

25

50

100

>100

Stored Runoff

< 2% annual flow

1800 2000 1900

• 700% increase in

water held by river

systems

• Several years of

residence time

change in many

basins

• Tripling of river runoff

travel times globally

(from 20 up to 60

days)

• Substantial impact

on aquatic

biodiversity

• Interception of 30%

of continental TSS

flux

1950 2000

History of US Dam & Reservoir Construction

From: Vörösmarty et al. 2004, Eos-AGU Trans.

Page 24: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

THE GLOBAL HYDROPOWER POTENTIAL

Page 25: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

Africa 92%

Asia 80%

Australia/Oceania 80%

Latin America

74%

90% of expected increase 2010-2035 in non OECD Countries

undeveloped hydropower potential

HYDROPOWER

World Water Development Report

Page 26: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

• Flood regulation and management

• Coupling regulation of flow and sediment transport

Page 27: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

World Water Development Report

Page 28: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

World Water Development Report

Page 29: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

BLUE WATER AVAILABILITY APPROACHING CRITICAL LIMITS

World Water Development Report

Page 30: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

World Water Development Report

GROUNDWATER AVAILABILITY APPROACHING CRITICAL LIMITS

Page 31: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

THE OTHER SIDE OF THE NEXUS: ENERGY WATER

World Water Development Report

Page 32: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

MEETING THE CHALLENGE

• Energy smart and water efficient AGRICULTURE • Innovative CITIES • An enhanced role for INDUSTRY • Prioritizing ECOSYSTEM SERVICES • SMART power generation

World Water Development Report

Page 33: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

‘Living with Water’ new concepts in spatial planning

Page 34: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

‘Living with Water’ new concepts in urban development

Page 35: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

the WATER–ENERGY–FOOD–ENVIRONMENT nexus: at the heart of Hydro-Environment research

World Water Development Report

Page 36: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

28 June - 3 July 2015

Delft–The Hague Netherlands

www.iahr2015.info

DELTAS OF THE FUTURE AND WHAT HAPPENS

UPSTREAM

Page 37: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

KEY DATES

November 4, 2014 Submission of ABSTRACTS

December 1, 2014 Notification of ACCEPTANCE

February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT

EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline

April 1, 2015 FINAL NOTIFICATION

June 21–27, 2015

short courses / master class, Delft

June 28–3 July, 2015

IAHR World Congress, The Hague

Page 38: Advances in Hydro-Environment Research Water Energy Food ...A5-1).pdfJul 03, 2015  · February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline April 1, 2015 FINAL

WELCOME !! 28 June – 3 July, 2015