advancing buildings energy efficiency in southeast asia
TRANSCRIPT
Advancing Buildings Energy Efficiency in Southeast Asia Launch of Online Course on Energy Efficiency in Buildings
Organised by International Energy Agency (IEA)20 May 2021
Retno Gumilang Dewi* and Rias Parinderati*Head of The Center for Research on Energy Policy
INSTITUT TEKNOLOGI BANDUNG
O u t l i n e
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Requirements for Implementing the EE
Improving Energy Performance Potential and Addressing Growing Demand in Buildings Sectors
Energy Efficiency as Mitigation Measuresand the New Sources of Energy
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Energy Efficiency is the Pillar of Decarbonization for The Indonesia NDC 2030
GHG Emissions from Energy Sector
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• End-use Sub-sector: In 2010, more than half of direct combustion emissions are from fuel burning in industry. The direct emissions in 2018shows that power sector has surpassed the industry and the projection (2030) shows power sector is the largest sources of GHG emissions.
• Emissions from indirect (electricity supply) is accounted by building (40-40.4%) and industry (34.5-36.5%)
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Elec
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Tran
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Bu
ildin
gs
TOTA
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GH
G e
mis
sio
ns,
Mto
nC
O2e
Electricity(Allocation byEnd UseSector)
PetroluemProducts
Natural Gas
Coal
GHG Emissions Projections (BaU)Historical GHG Inventory
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Elec
tr. G
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Sect
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TOTA
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GH
G e
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Mto
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O2
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Electricity(Allocation byEnd Use Sector)
LPG
Biofuel
Biomass
Petroleum Fuel
Natural gas
Coal
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Elec
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Oth
er
Sect
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TOTA
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2018
GH
G e
mis
sio
ns,
Mto
n C
O2
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Electricity(Allocation by EndUse Sector)LPG
Biofuel
Biomass
Petroleum Fuel
Natural gas
Coal
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GHG Emissions in 2010 (by fuel & sector)
G H G E m i s s i o n s f r o m E n e r g y S e c t o r
GHG Emissions in 2019 (by fuel & sector) Projected GHG Emissions in 2030, by fuel & sector
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EE as Mitigations Measures and New Sources of Energy
Energy Efficiency Measures in the Demand Side:• EE target (2025): 6% industry, 5% transport, 5% Households, 1% commercial buildings (RIKEN, National
Energy Conservation Plan)• Efficiency Standard and Labelling (ES&L)• Indonesia NDC 2030
Energy Efficiency Measures in the Supply Side:• Energy efficiency measures in Power Plants: higher efficient technology (clean Coal technology such as sub-
critical, supercritical, and ultra supercritical coal, gas combine cycle, etc.)• Indonesia NDC 2030
Innovation and research for development :
• Technology householder energy efficiency (lightings, AC, refrigerator, electric motors, etc.)
• System design for equipment and process for less energy consumption
• Office and Commercial Building System Design (Green building)
• Low Energy System Designs, Building’s Code, and Electric Appliances
• City or Town System Design, efficient energy consumption
Energy Efficiency is the Pillar of the Decarbonization for The Achievement of Indonesia NDC 2030
Pillar 1Energy efficiency measures would decrease energy intensity of GDP (Energy per GDP)
Pillar 2Renewable Energy will reduce fossil fuel combustions and reduce emission
Pilar 3Decarbonization of electricity will reduce fossil fuel combustions and reduce emission (as long as the power generation is also decarbonized)
Pillar 4Fuel Switching to low carbon emitting fuels (from kerosene to LPG or natural gas) would decrease GHG emission in Households
0.65 0.68 0.70 0.73 0.75 0.78 0.80
Base Year
BaU
Mitigation
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10
20
30
Final Energy/GDP, TOE/Million Rp
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
Base Year
Baseline
Mitigation
20
102
03
0
Final Energy Consumption, MToe
Coal Oil Product Natural Gas Biomassa Electricity Biofuel
- 100 200 300 400 500 600
Base Year
Baseline
Mitigation
2010
2030
Energy supply in power, MToe
Coal Oil Natural Gas Hydro
- 100 200 300 400 500 600
Base Year
Baseline
Mitigation
20
10
20
30
Primary Energy Supply, MToe
Coal Oil Product Natural Gas Hydro
GHG Emissions Reduction from Energy Sector(Sub-sector contribution)
314 Mton CO2e
ENERGY
Energy Efficiency
41.76 Mton CO2e
Renewable Energy
183.66 Mton CO2e
Clean Energy
74.00 Mton CO2e
Fuel Switching
9.59 Mton CO2e
Commercial
Direct
Industry Power 93.71 Residential 9.59Transportation Transportation 62.66Industry 27.28
AFOLU
5.00 Mton CO2e
Industry
Energy SavingCommercial:- Electricity 165 ktoe
Power Sector- Hydro 3,933 ktoe- Geothermal 33,210 ktoe- Solar & Wind 352 ktoe- Biomass 143 ktoe- Biofuel 676 ktoe
The additions of biofuel to 2010 Transportation:- the use of Biofuel 20,041 ktoe
The Additions to 2010Industry:- The use of biomass 4,775 ktoe- The use of biofuel 4,792 ktoe
Power Sector:- SC 1,777 ktoe- USC 5,978 ktoe- PLTG & PLTGU 7,852 ktoe
The Additions of Gas to 2010 Residential:The use of gas & LPG 6,610 ktoe
Residential
Direct
Indirect 1.91 Indirect 25.87
Direct 21.41
Indirect 10.28
Direct 20.35
Indirect
Energy SavingResidential:- Electricity 2,425 ktoe
Energy SavingIndustry:- Coal 3,302 ktoe- Oil 586 ktoe- Gas 1,649 ktoe
- Electricity 892 ktoe
Energy SavingTransportation:- Oil 6,395 ktoe
CCT 39.34
Gas 34.66
Pillars of Decarbonization – NDC 2030
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COMMERCIAL BUILDING
❑ The dynamics of building (residential & commercial) sector development are driven by populationgrowth, economic development, per capita income, and commercial sector development.
❑ For residential sector, increasing per capita income will increase energy demand, but this will bebalanced by more efficient appliances and the expectation that homes will remain relatively small.
❑ For commercial building, increasing size of service economy &modernization of building equipmentwill result in increase of energy consumption.
❑ De-carbonization in building would result from fuel switching, i.e. from oil fuels to gas/LPG and fromoil fuels to electricity along with deployment of more energy-efficient electric appliances.
❑ Switching from on-site fuel combustion to electricity would reduce direct emissions from buildings,and with a decarbonized electricity generation sector, this switch would lead to emission reductions.
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BA
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DEC
BA
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DEC
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DEC
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DEC
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
MTO
E
Electricity
Biomass
Oil fuels
Gas
Evolution of Final Energy Demand in Commercials and the associated GHG Emissions
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BAU DEC BAU DEC BAU DEC BAU DEC
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Mto
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O2
Electricity
Fuel
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2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Mill
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BAU
DEC
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“BaU” no mitigations taken place, it is projected with assumed socio-‐economic parameters. “CMA” unconditional target under the NDC-CM1 (2030) and extended to 2050 (long term). “CMB” increased efficiency penetration to show the potency of EE in residential /commercial
and Commercial and Commercial
Efficiency Standard and Labeling as Policy Measures in the Indonesia's NDC
Improving Energy Performance Potential and Addressing Growing Demand in Buildings Sectors
Type of
AppliancesUnit
Consumers
Office Buildings Hotels Hospitals
Air conditioning % 66 48,50 56,60
Lighting % 17,4 16,97 18,99
Elevator % 3,0 8,05 3,46
Water Pumps % 4,9 5,32 11,62
Utility % - 18,67 3,82
Others % 8,7 2,49 5,51
Total 100 100 100
Methodology: AIM/EndUse
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Hydro
Co-firing
Energy
Device
Internal Energy/Service
Final Service
Energy/Service Flow
Note:
COL
BMS EL_FC_BMS_X
COF
EL_FC_COL_X
EL_COF_PRL
EL_COF_IND
EL_COF_PC_CCS
EL_COF_USC_CCS
EL_COF_IGCC_CCS
EL_COF_DRC
BMS
EL_BMS_ST
EL_COL_SC_EXT
EL_COL_SBC_CCS
EL_COL_USC
EL_COL_USC_CCS
EL_COL_SPC
EL_COL_SPC_ CCS
EL_COL_IGCC
EL_COL_IGCC_CCS
EL_ELY EL_ELY EL_LOSS ELY
NGS
EL_NGS_ST
EL_NGS_OC
EL_NGS_CC
CPO
OIL
EL_CPO_DE
EL_OIL_DE
EL_OIL_ST
EL_OIL_OC
EL_OIL_CC
EL_HYD _MD
EL_HYD _MN
GTM
EL_GTM_LFD
WND
EL_WND_ OFF
SOL
EL_SOL_PV
EL_SOL_PVR
EL_BMS_BFB
HYD
EL_FC_BMS
EL_FC_COF
EL_FC_COL
EL_FC_NGS
EL_FC_OIL
EL_FC_HYD
EL_FC_GTM
EL_FC_WND
EL_FC_SOL
Biomass
Coal
Natural-gas
OIl
Geothermal
Solar
Wind
COF
EL_BMS_CFB
EL_BMS_BECCS
EL_BMS_IGCC
EL_BMS_IGCC_CCS
EL_NGS_NGC_CCS
EL_HYD _LH
EL_GTM_SBC
EL_WND_SON
EL_WND_LON
EL_SOL_CSP
EL_FC_ CPO
BMS_2
BMS_1 EL_FC_BMS_1
BMS
EL_FC_ BMS_2
EL_NGS_GE
The Structure electricity sector in the AIM -EndUse
Selection of technology and estimation of power generation capacity need to be done to meet service demand (Hibino et al., 1996) and estimate the energy demands and the associated GHG emissions released from the operation of the selected technology (Mikiko et al., 2000 ).
• Electricity
• Direct Coal Fired
• Supercritical
• Ultra
Supercritical
• IGCC
• Combined cycle
• Coal w/ CCS
• Biomass w/ CCS
(BECCS)
• Coal
• Natural gas
• Oil
• Biomass
• Geothermal
• Hydro
• Solar
• Wind
• Nuclear
• Other renewable
• Technology lifetime
• Energy consumption
• Efficiency
• Share
• Technology price
• Investment cost and OM cost
• Technological availability
Technology Database
• Energy price
• Energy type
• Energy constrain
• Emission factor
• Fuel availability
Energy Database
• Population growth
• Economic growth
• Life style
• Electricity demand
Socioeconomic Scenario
(BAU & CM scenario)
Energy ConsumptionAbatement cost curve (ACC)
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140
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
BL - MtCO2eq
CM1 - MtCO2eq
CM2 - MtCO2eq
CM3 - MtCO2eq
Service demand
Pivot diagram (EndUse result)
• Biomass
• Co-firing
• Geothermal
power
• Hydro power
• Solar power
• Wind power
• Nuclear power
Technology selection focus on :
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Improving Energy Performance Potential and Addressing Growing Demand in Buildings Sectors
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Requirements for Implementing the EE
EE measures in the demand side could be implemented when the following conditions prevail:
• The needed energy efficient equipment/appliances is available and relatively easy to access
• Equipment producers have technical and financial capability to produce efficient appliances
• Equipment producers have the needed drives to produce efficient appliances (if there is a market demand of their product)
• Energy end users have the driver to safe energy, it can only happen if consumers perceive that the energy cost is high.
• Energy consumers have financial capacity to acquire efficient appliances (usually more expensive than less efficient ones)
The required policies for the above issues are:
• Financial support and incentives to end user to acquire efficient appliances (promotion grant, loan scheme etc.)
• Financial support and incentives to producer to produce and market efficient appliances (low interest loan scheme etc.)
• Award and penalty policies for large scale energy consumers
• Regulations that prevent the production of less efficient appliances
• Gradual increase of electricity price (removal of subsidy)
The energy efficiency measures in the supply side could be implemented when the following conditions prevail:
• There is an economic drive or stimulant for the power generators (PLN or IPP) to improve generation efficiency. Under
current subsidy system such drive may not exist
• Strict regulation that prevent construction of less efficient power plant. The GOI should set minimum thermal efficiency
for new power plants or implement the CAP for power generations
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Requirements for Implementing the EE
The existing policies related to the efficiency measures are as follows:
• Ministerial Regulation No.14 Tahun 2012 concerning Energy Management
• Presidential Instruction No 13/ 2011 concerning Energy and Water Conservation
• Ministerial Regulation No 06 2011 concerning Labeling of Efficient Lamp
• Ministerial Regulation No. 7/2010 concerning Electricity Tariff
• Ministerial Regulation No 14 Tahun 2010 concerning Competency Standard for Energy Manager in Building
• Ministerial Regulation No 13 Tahun 2010 concerning Competency Standard for Energy Manager in Industry
• Government Regulation No. 70/2009 concerning Energy Conservation, which is the derivatives of Law No. 30/2007
• Presidential Instruction No.2/2008 concerning Energy and Water Conservation
• Law No 30/2007 concerning Energy
• Presidential Regulation No. 5/2006 concerning National Energy Policy
• Presidential Decree No. 43/1991 concerning Energy Conservation
EE Implementations in Buildings
▪ Governor Regulation No. 38/2012 Green Buildings and Standards
▪ Ministerial Regulation MEMR No. 57/2017 regarding Minimum Energy Performance Standards and Energy
Saving Label Inclusion for Air Conditioners and Setting standards and labeling of energy efficient air
conditioners
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Requirements for Implementing the EE
Comparing the required and existing policies, to close the gap of the policy to implement energy efficiency measures, in the
demand side (buildings), the following policy/regulations are recommended:
- Introduce regulations (fiscal or award approach) that promote the production more efficient equipment and penalize the
production of less efficient product.
- To ensure the use of efficient energy appliances, introduce incentive packages for energy consumer such as help for
financing of expensive but efficient appliances.
- Introduce building codes that promote energy efficiency: make the use of efficient appliances and energy efficient design
as requirement for construction approval.
- Introduce energy efficiency as major criteria in the rating of industrial environmental compliance (PROPER award, Green
Buildings, Eco Label, etc.)
- Strengthen the capacity of government officials in energy efficiency arena such as in evaluating and inspecting the
efficiency of energy systems and energy audit document reported by building sector; the government officials that need to
be strengthen is not limited to energy ministry but also for officers at other ministry that deals with energy related issues
such as ministry of environment, ministry of public works, ministry of finance etc.
- Introduce energy pricing policy that promotes energy efficiency undertaking: gradual removal electricity and oil subsidies
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1. To ensure that energy efficient building codes (incld. standards) and government regulations on EE in building as well as Green Building, are widely implemented;
2. Prepare human resources needed to design and operate energy efficient building and to develop energy efficient appliances;
3. To introduce carbon label to building energy performance
4. To include energy efficiency measures in building sector in achieving National GHG emission target including de-carbonization beyond 2020;
5. To develop information for data on mitigation activities and emissions reduction potential at the level of end use appliances.
We welcome new ideas/initiatives in this research
Remarks
You can access our publications from http://crep.itb.ac.id/
Thank You
Terimakasih
❑ In your experience, what form of policy (prescriptive, market-based, information-based) have been most effective at achieving change in energy efficiency within the building sector market, and why?
❑ What technologies do you see offering the most potential at improving energy performance and addressing growing demand in buildings in ASEAN?
❑ Where do you think more research and development efforts are needed to achieve a transition to a whole life cycle carbon buildings and construction sector?
❑ In your experience, what are some effective ways of building coalitions of partners to creating successful diagonal partnerships (i.e. between government, industry, advocacy) for prioritizing energy efficiency?
❑ Can you give an example of an effective communications or public engagement strategies that have resonated with public or industry and why?