agile's future wave

Agile Coaches, 10 years of Agile experience

Agile Coaches, 10 years of Agile experience

We Love AgileWe Love Agile

Disclaimer

Disclaimer

Our presentation will take about 60 minutes, Please note your questions for after the presentation.

1.Agile status2.Agile’s life

cycle3.The next wave?4.Agile

assumptions5.Our prediction




Our definition of Agile

Our definition of Agile

1.Values2.Princip

les3.Practic

es

1.Values2.Princip

les3.Practic

es

“Individuals over processes”

“Individuals over processes”“Deliver

frequently”

“Deliver frequently”

Unit testsUnit tests

Pair programmingPair programming

Integrate oftenIntegrate often

ScrumScrum

XPXP

“We are uncovering better ways of developing software by

doing it and helping others do it.”

- agilemanifesto.org -




Agile is gaining larger adoption

Agile is gaining larger adoption

We’re doing AgileBut what was the original goal?

We’re doing AgileBut what was the original goal?

“Wow effect!”

“Wow effect!”

So how ‘wow’ are we doing?So how ‘wow’ are we doing?

50% of ICT projects are not successful Dutch ict-research

(ictbarometer.nl)

50% of ICT projects are not successful Dutch ict-research

(ictbarometer.nl)

Only 30% of the projects using Agile see a big improvement - Agile Adoption Survey 2008

Only 30% of the projects using Agile see a big improvement - Agile Adoption Survey 2008

Do you know how much you have improved due

to Agile?

Do you know how much you have improved due

to Agile?

So what does Agile solve?

What does it leave unsolved?

What does it leave unsolved?

Agile is like a red convertible

Agile is like a red convertible

It’s cool, but does it always get you what you need? Perhaps

not…

It’s cool, but does it always get you what you need? Perhaps

not…

Are success and Agile related?

Are success and Agile related?

Agile’s Life Cycle

Agile’s Life Cycle

Rogers' bell curve

Agile is here

Agile is here

Making Agile Mainstream

Making Agile Mainstream

Make it practical and concrete

Make it practical and concrete

Training and coachingTraining and coaching

What might induce the decline of Agile?

What might induce the decline of Agile?

What does the next wave need to bring to

overtake Agile?

What does the next wave need to bring to

overtake Agile?

Hint: how to get out of the

midlife crisis?

Hint: how to get out of the

midlife crisis?

“Increase productivity through more efficient use of labor and more

effective value propositions for

customers”

“Increase productivity through more efficient use of labor and more

effective value propositions for

customers”

“In recent years, software development productivity has

stagnated”

“In recent years, software development productivity has

stagnated”

Poppendiecks on productivity

Poppendiecks on productivity

GoalsGoals

‘Wowness’

‘Wowness’

Predictability

Predictability

Productivity

Productivity


cycle3.The next wave?4.Agile assumptions5.Our prediction



Agile AssumptionsAgile Assumptions

Software development = complexSoftware development = complex

Requirements change

Requirements change

Agile = good, waterfall = badAgile = good, waterfall = bad

Agile cures the symptomes, but leaves the causes unsolved

Agile cures the symptomes, but leaves the causes unsolved

Software development = complex

Software development = complex

What have we done to reduce complexity?

What have we done to reduce complexity?

symptomsymptom

If you assume requirements will

change, even unchanged requirements will surprise you.

If you assume requirements will

change, even unchanged requirements will surprise you.

Requirements change

Requirements change

symptomsymptom

You risk spending too little effort eliciting

requirements

You risk spending too little effort eliciting

requirements

Waterfall = Bad

Waterfall = Bad

Agile = Good

Agile = Good

Assumption

Assumption

Don’t try to pass the Agile

Test

Don’t try to pass the Agile

Test

Don’t take the symptoms for

granted

Don’t take the symptoms for

granted

Agile solves some of the problems

Agile solves some of the problems

But naturally, it leaves some too

But naturally, it leaves some too

Suppose you can’t use Agile?

Suppose you can’t use Agile?

How will you be

effective?

How will you be

effective?

Manage all risks

Manage all risks

Changing requirements is not always your biggest

risk

Changing requirements is not always your biggest

risk

Effectiveness = good

Effectiveness = good

Non-effectiveness = bad

Non-effectiveness = bad

Specialization is essential for increased

productivity

Specialization is essential for increased

productivity

Knowledge sharing and expert

coordination to reduce

complexity

Knowledge sharing and expert

coordination to reduce

complexity

Agile (XP) promotes generalists

Agile (XP) promotes generalists

Only family physicians but no specialists?

Only family physicians but no specialists?

Ready for the next wave?

Agile is here

Agile is here

Next waveNext wave

The Agile Spirit can help us

The Agile Spirit can help us

ConclusionConclusion

Measure effect, not process conformance.

Measure effect, not process conformance.

Questions?Questions?

Learn, innovate, inspire

Learn, innovate, inspire

agile's future wave

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