alexandria/arlington region labor market update · washington, dc msa alexandria-arlington...
TRANSCRIPT
Alexandria/Arlington Region Labor Market Update
From the Report:“Assessing Alexandria/Arlington’s Regional Labor Market”
by Dr. Mark White , George Mason University’s Center for Regional Analysis
Alexandria/Arlington Regional Workforce Council
Key Demographic Trends
Central jurisdictions, inner suburbs, & outer suburbs
Source: “State of the Region: Human Capital Report”, Metropolitan Council of Governments, February 2017.
After a period of flat/negative growth, A-A grew significantly after the recession
90.0
95.0
100.0
105.0
110.0
115.0
120.0
125.0
130.0
135.0
140.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Po
pu
lati
on
(10
0=2
00
0 P
op
.)Northern Virginia
Washington, DC MSA
Alexandria-Arlington
Commonwealth of Virginia
District of Columbia
Source: US Census Bureau Population Estimates Program
• 382,000 residents• 60 percent in
Arlington
• 40 percent in Alexandria
1 out of 4 residents are aged 25-34
8.9
%
24
.9%
17
.7%
12
.6%
10
.3%
9.8
%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
Pe
rce
nt
of T
ota
l Po
pu
lati
on
(20
15
)
United States Virginia Washington, DC Metro Area Alexandria-Arlington
Source: US Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey
The region is less diverse than the DC metro area
68
.6%
13
.5%
9.0
% 4.5
%
13
.3%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
White Black Asian Two or more races Hispanic or Latino*
Pe
rce
nt
of T
ota
l Po
pu
lati
on
(20
15
)
United States Virginia Washington, DC Metro Area Alexandria-Arlington
Source: US Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey
*It is important to note that Hispanic or Latino is an ethnicity, and people identifying as such may fit into multiple racial categories.
The Labor Force
Unemployment remains lower than the region, state & nation
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Per
cen
t U
nem
plo
ymen
t
United States
Virginia
Washington DC Metro Area
Northern Virginia
Alexandria-Arlington
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics
Areas of high unemployment: Alexandria City
12%
6%
5%
7%
5%9%5%
8%
5%
10%
Areas of high unemployment: Arlington County
11%
8%
7%12%
8%
5%
8%
5%
8%
7%
Outreach Ideas
• Religious Entities
• Civic Associations
• Community List Serves
• Update Human Services Departments
• Update CBOs
• Update Elected Officials
• Post Flyers/Door-to-Door
• Customer Referrals
A-A has a relatively larger proportion of working age veterans
V e te ra n s a s a % o f
c iv i l ia n p o p . (A g e 1 8 + )
% o f v e te ra n p o p .
a g e d 1 8 -6 4
U n ite d S ta te s 7 .6 % 5 0 .5 %
V irg in ia 1 0 .8 % 6 2 .5 %
W a s h in g to n , D C M e t ro A re a 8 .3 % 6 4 .6 %
A le x a n d ria -A rlin g to n 7 .5 % 6 8 .0 %
S o u rc e : U S C e n s u s B u re a u , 2 0 1 5 A m e ric a n C o m m u n it y S u rve y
2 out of 3 A-A residents (age 25+) have at least a 4-year degree
7.7
% 9.4
% 11
.3%
3.8
%
31
.5%
36
.4%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
Less than HS HS graduate (incl.GED)
Some college, nodegree
Associate's degree Bachelor's degree Grad. or prof.degree
Pe
rce
nt
of p
op
ula
tio
n a
ge 2
5+
United States Virginia Washington, DC Metro Area Alexandria-Arlington
Source: US Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey
Earnings and education go hand in hand
$71,206
$32,475
$26,689
$45,910
$75,025
$90,904
$56,341
$21,432
$24,920
$37,026
$70,159
$83,469
$0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000
Population 25 years and overwith earnings
Less than high school graduate
High school graduate (includesequivalency)
Some college or associate'sdegree
Bachelor's degree
Graduate or professionaldegree
Median Earnings (2015)
Alexandria
Arlington
Washington, DC Metro Area
Virginia
United States
Source: US Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey
Economic Trends
Arlington (#26) & Alexandria (#30) are two of America’s wealthiest counties
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
$80,000
$90,000
$100,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Pe
r C
apit
a P
ers
on
al In
com
e (2
01
5 D
oll
ars)
Arlington
Alexandria-Arlington
Alexandria
Washington, DC Metro Area
Virginia
United States
Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Adjusted for inflation using Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Consumer Price Index
Prof. and business services account for almost 30% of total employment
1.0%
2.1%
2.6%
4.5%
8.5%
10.9%
12.3%
13.0%
15.5%
29.7%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
Manufacturing
Construction
Information
Financial Activities
Other Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Trade, Transportation & Utilities
Education & Health Services
Government
Professional & Business Services
Percent of Total Employment
2011
2016
2021
Source: Chmura Economics, Jobs EQ
Sources of Workforce Demand
A-A has a polarized workforce with relatively few middle-skill jobs
52.6%
9.7%
33.7%
4.0%
52.2%
8.8%
35.1%
3.9%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
HS or Less Associates or some college Bachelors degree Graduate degree
Per
cen
t o
f Occ
up
atio
nal E
mp
loym
ent (
2016
)
Entry-Level Educational Requirement
Current Occupational Employment (2016)
Projected Total Openings (2016-2021)
Source: Chmura Economics, JobsEQ, 2016 Q2
Healthcare and business services are more average paying industries
• Growing industries• Healthcare: Dentists offices, outpatient care
centers, medical and diagnostic labs
• Business services: Advertising, PR, and related services; Accounting, tax prep, bookkeeping and payroll services
• Transport: Transit systems, air transportation
• Middle-skill occupations• IT-related
• Computer-user support specialists, web developers
• Healthcare• Nursing ass’ts, LPNs, medical and dental ass’ts
• Office support• Paralegals and legal ass’ts, bookkeeping, accounting
and auditing clerks
• Maintenance• Auto service techs, aircraft mechs & techs,
IT and nursing occupations are among the most advertised middle-skill occupations
• Commonly required skills: Cyber Security, Java, SQL, Linux MS, MS Sharepoint
• Commonly demanded certifications: Security clearance, drivers license, CDL, HAZMAT, Nursing
In d
E d .
Le v e l
T e n M o s t A d v e rt i s e d O ccu p a tio n s b y
E d u ca tio n Le v e l
A v a i la b le
Jo b s ( 2016)
E m p lo y e rs w / Jo b A d v e rt i s e m e n ts b y
E d u ca tio n Le v e l
A v a i la b le
Jo b s ( 2016)
C o m p u te r U s e r S u p p o rt S p e c i a l i s ts 1 ,276 In o v a H e a l th S y s te m 323
W e b D e v e l o p e rs 1 ,155 F o rw a rd A i r , In c . 205
H e a v y & T ra cto r- T ra i l e r T ru ck D ri v e rs 1 ,148 V i rg i n i a H o s p i ta l C e n te r 192
R e g i s te re d N u rs e s 892 U S P a te n t a n d T ra d e O f f i ce 151
H a i rd re s s e rs , H a i rs ty l i s t & C o s m e to l o g i s ts 232 IN O V A G e o 130
LP / LV N u rs e s 219 T ra n s p o rta t i o n S e cu ri ty A d m i n i s t ra t i o n 106
N e tw o rk & C o m p u te r S y s te m s A d m i n . 153 P e n ta g o n F e d e ra l C re d i t U n i o n 105
In f o rm a t i o n S e cu ri ty A n a l y s ts 150 U n i te d S ta te s A rm y 101
E x e c . S e cre ta ri e s & E x e c . A s s i s ta n ts 136 H a i r C u tte ry 99
G e n e ra l M a i n te n a n ce & R e p a i r W o rk e rs 119 U S D e p a rtm e n t o f S ta te 95
S o u rc e : H e lp W a n te d O n lin e ( 1/ 1/ 16 to 11/ 28/ 16)
As
so
cia
te's
De
gre
e
In-demand IT/IS OpportunitiesOccupational
Code (SOC)
Occupation Name Typical Entry Level
Education
Top Related Certifications/
Competencies
2016 Total
Employed
Projected Total Job
Openings 2016-21
Median Hourly
Earnings
15-1151 Computer Support Specialists High School Diploma,
Some Post-Secondary,
A.A. Degree
A+, Network+, CCNA,
Security+, Microsoft
Technology Associate, IT
Infrastructure
10,155 2,418 $28.27
15-1152 Computer Network Support Specialists High School Diploma,
Some Post-Secondary,
A.A. Degree
MCSA: Windows Server 2012 4,132 586 $37.14
15-1142 Network and Computer System Administrators B.A. Degree Python Programming, Java SE8
Programming
10,663 1,618 $47.83
15-1131 Computer Programmers B.A. Degree Java SE8 Programming, Python
Programming
5,444 1,556 $45.45
15-1132 Software Developers, Applications B.A. Degree CEH, CISSP, Security+ 25,130 5,091 $54.39
15-1133 Software Developers, Systems Software B.A. Degree Project Management 18,405 3,373 $54.48
15-1122 Information Security Analysts B.A. Degree A+, Network+, CCNA,
Security+, Microsoft
Technology Associate, IT
Infrastructure
7,372 1,614 $53.11
11-3021 Computer/Information Systems Managers B.A. Degree MCSA: Windows Server 2012 5,632 1,462 $75.63
TOTALS 86,933 17,718
Source: June 2016 unpublished study by The Greater Washington Workforce Development Collaborative and Civic Analytics, for all of Northern Virginia (except Prince William County).
Career Pathways for Computer User Support Specialists/Web Developers
Computer User Support SpecialistsDC Metro Jobs: 21,248
Current postings: 4,790
Computer Operators
DC Metro Jobs: 1,650Current postings: 6
Web DevelopersDC Metro Jobs: 6,373
Current postings: 2,688
Software Developers
DC Metro Jobs: 34,238
Current postings: 5,837
Network & Computer Systems
AdministratorsDC Metro Jobs: 13,119
Current postings:5,269
Information Security Analysts
DC Metro Jobs: 3,566Current postings:
3,097
Computer Network Support
SpecialistsDC Metro Jobs: 6,562 Current postings: 14
HS
deg
ree
Som
e co
llege
, ce
rtif
icat
eA
sso
ciat
e’s
d
egre
e
Ba
che
lor’
s d
egre
e Graphic DesignersDC Metro Jobs: 7,028Current postings: 310
Customer Service Representatives
DC Metro Jobs: 50,280
Current postings: 2,324
Marketing Managers
DC Metro Jobs: 5,567Current postings:
2,605
Source: O*Net; Employment from Chmura Economics JobsEQ Average of 4 quarters ending in Q4 2016, Current postings represent online ads in 30 Days between 1/17/2017 and 2/16/2017.
Creating opportunities for local talent through career pathways
Hospitality and personal services provide important opportunities for lower-wage workers
• Industries• Restaurants
• Travel accommodation
• Continued care facilities
• Personal care services
• Grocery stores
• Services to buildings and dwellings
• Employment services
• Occupations• Janitors & cleaners, maids and housekeepers
• Waiters & waitresses
• Restaurant cooks, food prep workers
• Cashiers, sales reps, customer service representatives
Retail and hospitality employers are prominent advertisers of lower-skill jobs
• Commonly required skills: Food preparation, QC, Bilingual, Tech support, preventative maintenance
• Commonly demanded certifications: Drivers License, Clearance, OSHA, HAZMAT
In d
E d .
Le v e l
T e n M o s t A d v e rt i s e d O ccu p a tio n s b y
E d u ca tio n Le v e l
A v a i la b le
Jo b s ( 2016)
E m p lo y e rs w / Jo b A d v e rt i s e m e n ts b y
E d u ca tio n Le v e l
A v a i la b le
Jo b s ( 2016)
R e ta i l S a l e s p e rs o n s 1 ,505 M a rri o t t 4 9 5
F i rs t - l i n e S p v rs . o f R e ta i l S a l e s W o rk e rs 1 ,314 H i l to n W o rl d w i d e 3 7 9
F i rs t - l i n e S p v rs . o f F o o d P re p . W o rk e rs 1 ,002 M a cy 's 3 5 3
F i rs t - l i n e S p v rs . o f O f f i ce & A d m i n . W o rk e rs 7 9 1 In o v a H e a l th S y s te m 3 4 7
C u s to m e r S e rv i ce R e p re s e n ta t i v e s 7 3 3 H a rr i s T e e te r 2 9 4
M a i d s & H o u s e k e e p i n g C l e a n e rs 7 0 7 T a rg e t C o rp o ra t i o n 2 4 4
G e n e ra l M a i n te n a n ce & R e p a i r W o rk e rs 5 6 8 N o rd s tro m 2 4 0
M a n a g e rs , A l l O th e r 5 4 7 S u n ri s e S e n i o r L i v i n g 2 2 0
S to ck C l e rk s & O rd e r F i l l e rs 4 5 2 R i tz - C a rl to n 2 1 9
S e cu ri ty G u a rd s 4 5 1 U n i te d S ta te s A rm y 1 8 4
S o u rc e : H e lp W a n te d O n lin e ( 1/ 1/ 16 to 11/ 28/ 16)
GE
D/
Hig
h S
ch
oo
l
Name Job OpeningsOral and written communication skills 69,360Microsoft Office 29,064Detail oriented 23,642
Integrity 22,612Marketing 21,177
Creativity 20,237Problem solving 18,542
Project Management 17,807Customer service oriented 17,688Work independently 17,604Team-oriented, teamwork 17,077Microsoft PowerPoint 16,954
Self-starting / Self-motivated 15,833Troubleshooting 14,686
Organizational skills 14,185Management skills 13,380Software development 13,000Management experience 12,980Oracle 12,829
Java 11,904
Top 40 In-Demand SkillsName Job OpeningsLinux 11,894Coaching 11,549Strong leadership skills 10,744
Quality Assurance 10,594Analytical skills 10,146
Structured query language 10,000Program management 9,655
Business development 9,473Time management 9,380Cyber security 8,535Strong interpersonal skills 8,529Technical support 8,065
Risk Management 7,824JavaScript 7,769
UNIX 7,345Sales experience / ability 7,290Systems Development Life Cycle 7,257Business process modeling 7,116Microsoft SharePoint 7,005
Microsoft Word 6,760
Source: CEB, June 1 – 30, 2016.
Questions?
