alternative delivery & public-private partnerships
TRANSCRIPT
© PFM 1© PFM 1© PFM 1
Alternative Delivery & Public-Private PartnershipsPFM Client Seminar
May 2021
PFM Financial Advisors LLC
.
368 Ninth Avenue
6th Floor
New York, NY 10001
212.809.4212
pfm.com
© PFM 2© PFM 2© PFM 2
Agenda
T o p i c s
O b j e c t i v e s
Introduction to Alternative Delivery (AD) and Public-Private
Partnerships (P3)
Best Practice: Evaluating AD and P3 Feasibility and Cost/Benefit
AD & P3 Financing Strategies
Understanding AD and P3s
How to determine when AD/P3s are appropriate and feasible
AD & P3s financing mechanics
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© PFM 3© PFM 3© PFM 3
What is a “P3”?
• A “P3” is defined by the World Bank as “a long term contract between a private party and a government agency, for providing a public asset or service, in which the private party bears significant risk and management responsibility”
• The term P3 is used broadly to describe a variety of contractual arrangements, ranging from an outsourcing of an aspect of a municipal operation to the sale of a municipal asset to a private entity.
• P3s vary widely in their financial and governance structures, investor base, technical complexity and impact to the host institutions
© PFM 4© PFM 4© PFM 4
U.S. AD/P3 market and background
• P3s are not new in the U.S. – federal, state, local governments and non-profits often
rely on private sector skills, organizations, and finance to enhance or deliver public
services and projects
– Outsourced administrative services
– Building management and maintenance
– Solid waste disposal
– Social services
– Design-Build construction
– Design-Build-Finance – Turnkey project delivery
• P3s in the U.S. have become an effective tool to provide essential public services and
infrastructure projects that otherwise may have been delayed or abandoned due to
issues such as cost, complexity, and desire to avoid using balance sheet and credit
• More and more states are enacting P3 authorizing legislation and initiatives
• Private sector interest in U.S. infrastructure investment continues to grow
– Steady, predictable returns and moderate risk
© PFM 5© PFM 5© PFM 5
When is AD/P3 a value add alternative?
• New or “greenfield” projects
– Large capital initiatives
– Complex projects with higher risk due to design and construction
elements and accelerated delivery timeline
– Opportunity for “whole-life costing”
– Redevelopment and economic development
• Existing capital assets or “brownfield” projects
– Underfunded lifecycle costs and maintenance
– Improvements or expansion to existing facilities or projects
– Changing demographics and market demand allow for redevelopment
and potential repricing
• Financial considerations
– Debt constraints and “off balance sheet” or “off credit” objectives
– Monetization
– Value capture (unlocking pricing power, expense reductions or other
benefits)
• Service delivery
– Contractual arrangements for service enhancements and cost savings
© PFM 6© PFM 6© PFM 6
Strategies to Leverage the Private Sector
– Manage project delivery risk for on-time, on-budget project completion
o Private sector expertise / efficiency for technically complicated development projects
o Bundling of assets
– Alignment of interests with private partner for asset life cycle responsibility and risk
o Private partners with equity at risk
Design / Delivery
Operations
Finance
– Transfer operating risks for noncore and/or technically complex assets
– Private sector efficiency
– Manage balance sheet / credit impact of the development of non-core assets
o Debt covenants, internal debt policies
– Monetize non-core assets with commercial value
‒ Transfer demand risk
– Demand Risk P3
o Design / Build / Finance / Operate / Maintain P3
o Shared governance and risk allocations
– Private Development
o Ground lease arrangements
o Private partner at risk for financial performance of asset
– Availability payment arrangements
– Design-build contracts
– Availability payment arrangements
– Service concession agreements
– Management contracts
Goals and Objectives Alternative Delivery Structure
Governance– Statutory limitations
– Ability to manage procurement or existing labor requirements
– Disposition on non-core assets
© PFM 8© PFM 8© PFM 8
P3s are Applicable Across All Sectors of Municipal Services
Transportation
• Roads, bridges, tunnels
• Transit
• Airports
• Ports
Utilities
• Municipally owned water
treatment, distribution and
wastewater systems
• Generation, distribution,
district energy, streetlights,
CNG, and solar
Education
• Student housing
• Parking
• Energy
• Athletics
• Academic facilities
Municipal Operations
• Judicial buildings
• Corrections facilities
• Government office buildings
Economic Development
• Convention centers and
hotels
• Recreation and
entertainment facilities
• Commercial developments
Health Care
• Medical office buildings,
specialized facilities, parking
and energy assets
• Service delivery contracts
© PFM 9© PFM 9© PFM 9
Misconceptions about AD/P3s
• Despite increasing visibility in the U.S., many misconceptions remain about P3s
Misconception Realities
• P3s can provide “free money” to close funding gaps for projects
• Private financing partners require some mechanism for repayment and return on investment
• Cost of borrowing is always most significant value driver
• Cost of capital is one consideration in project’s total value, along with lifecycle costs, risk-sharing, value engineering opportunities, etc.
• P3s give away government oversight and allow private sector free reign to raise rates
• Detailed project agreements preserve government oversight or define limitations on rate increases
• P3s are hostile to public-sector unions • Successful P3s have been structured both with and without continuing union labor contracts
• Profit motives for the private sector make P3 delivery more expensive
• Private sector already profits through construction contracts. AD/P3s provide for design innovation to lower overall costs
© PFM 10© PFM 10© PFM 10
Keys to AD/P3 implementation
• Best practices can create the conditions for
successful outcomes (whether a transaction
is executed or not)
• Understanding goals and objectives up front
provides yardstick to measure value
– Avoids “fishing expeditions” with ill-
defined procurement instructions to
private sector
• Maintaining a disciplined procurement
schedule and competitive tension among
potential bidders is critical to driving
greatest value
Define the public purpose and potential benefit of the P3
Identify and engage stakeholders
Objectively review alternative delivery and finance models
Gauge private sector interest and capability
Execute disciplined, transparent and competitive procurement
© PFM 11© PFM 11© PFM 11
Attractive to Investors
Acceptable to Lenders/ RAs
Meet Govt Objectives
A successful project will have to:• meet the financial and policy objectives
of the governmental agency; • provide a compelling investment
opportunity to attract potential investors; and;
• provide sufficient credit strength to enable cost-effective financing.
The PFM team’s diverse background incorporates all these elements: public, developer and lender perspectives.
360 degree view: provides balance, strength & stability.
“Three Legged Stool”
© PFM 12© PFM 12© PFM 12
• Construction cost • Operating and maintenance expense• Financing and transactional costs• Schedule benefits• Whole life costing
Cost-benefit analysis is used to select optimal delivery models
Cost-benefit analysis
Critical factors to consider
• Project size and capital expense• Private sector capability for design and operations• Risk identification and ability to transfer• Complexity of specifications / output• Ability to estimate long term asset cost• Use risk associated with changing technology• Public sector capability and capacity
Public sector
Public-private partnerships
Private
• Management contracts
• Leases• Concessions• BOT, DBM, DBFOM
• Regulated privatization
• Sales and divestitures
• DBB, DB• Service contracts
© PFM 13© PFM 13© PFM 13
PFM’s project management approach
• Define project / transaction objectives
• Determine public interest to be served
• Establish financial framework– Enterprise
(user fee based)
– Availability (tax or appropriation supported)
– Hybrid (user fee and tax supported
• Build financial model
• Develop and evaluate alternative solutions
• Identify legal or legislative hurdles
• Identify stakeholder and constituent considerations
• Retain expert technical advisors as required
• Model best practices
• Confirm transaction structure – Lease– Concession– Design-Build– Operate-
Maintain– Other
• Compare to tax exempt options
• Determine procurement process requirements
• Retain balance of transaction team
• Develop procurement schedule
• Draft and distribute RFQ
• Develop shortlist of qualified bidders
• Initiate due diligence– Confidentiality
agreements– Data room– Meetings with
bidders• Determine
requirements for final proposals or offers
• Draft transaction documents– Concession /
lease– Operating
standards– Design
specifications– Other
• One on one meeting with finalists
• Finalize transaction documents
• Release RFP or final bid submittal form
• Select finalist• Close and
transition
• Solicit input from investors and operators
• Gauge level of interest
• Identify risks• Communications
and education with stakeholders and constituents
Program development
Feasibility and valuation
Procurement design RFQ process RFP and
selection
Market outreach andcommunication
Analysis and valuation Transaction development and execution
© PFM 14© PFM 14© PFM 14
Scheduling for a Major Investment AD/P3
2019 2020 2021 2022Schedule QI QII QIII QIV QI QII QIII QIV QI QII QIII QIV QI QII QIIITraffic & Revenue StudyPFM Model Construction and ManagementAnalysis and RecommendationsBoard Approval for ProcurementDB/DBOMRequest for QualificationsShort List SelectedDraft Request for ProposalsTIFIA Application ProcessNEPA FEIS/RODFinal RFPPreferred BidderContract Negotiation and ExecutionFinancial CloseDBFOMRequest for QualificationsShort List SelectedDraft Request for ProposalsTIFIA and PAB Application ProcessNEPA FEIS/RODFinal RFPPreferred BidderCommercial CloseFinancial Close
© PFM 15© PFM 15© PFM 15
Project Company
Project Contract(DBFO, DBFM,Concession etc.)
Users
Tolls or user chargesif applicable
Availability or Shadow TollPayments if applicable
Lenders
Investors
Senior Debt,Security and Hedging
Equity and/orJunior Debt
ConstructionContractor
Operator
ConstructionContract
Operation Contract
DirectAgreement
Granting Authority Services
P3 parties and contractual structure• Each project will involve some variation of this contractual structure depending on its particular elements
© PFM 16© PFM 16© PFM 16
Project revenue: availability payments vs. user fees
• Private investors recoup their initial investment in a P3 project via rights to the income produced over a defined period of time
• There are two high-level ways for a project to generate income:
– User fees: Money paid directly by the consumers of a service, such as highway tolls, utility bills, transit fares or student
housing rent
– Availability payments: Periodic money that the government commits to pay to support an asset that does not generate
fee revenue, such as a courthouse, academic building or non-tolled highway; payment is based on a specified
performance level
• Hybrid models with a mix of both approaches also exist
Government Entity
Project
Availability Payments
Investors
User Fees
Consumers
Investors
Project
© PFM 17© PFM 17© PFM 17
Risk and Responsibility for Various Types of P3s
17
Demand Risk Availability Payment Monetization
I-95 HOT Lanes Project 501c3 Student HousingPennsylvania Rapid Bridge Replacement
ProjectAcademic Building Indiana Toll Road
Design-Delivery and O&M Technical Complexity Sophisticated Modest Sophisticated Modest NA
Governance- Responsibility for rate setting and rate increases Concessionaire 501c3 (Rate Covenant) Negotiated NA Negotiated- Ownership of the Project Host Host Host Host University- Private Counterparty for documents Concessionaire 501c3 Concessionaire 501c3 Developer
Design/Delivery- Design Documentation Developer Host / Developer Developer Host / Developer N/A- Responsibility for delays in construction Contractor Contractor Contractor Contractor N/A- Responsibility for construction overruns Contractor Contractor Contractor Contractor N/A
Operations / Maintenance- Responsibility for O&M Costs and Expenses Concessionaire Project Revenue Concessionaire NA Concessionaire- Routine Maintenance Concessionaire Project Revenue Concessionaire NA Concessionaire- Major Life Cycle Maintenance Concessionaire Project Revenue Concessionaire NA Concessionaire
Finance
- Primary investors Concessionaire, Institutional investors Bond Funds, Life Co's Concessionaire,
Institutional investors Bond Funds, Life Co's Concessionaire, Institutional investors
© PFM 19© PFM 19© PFM 19
Infrastructure funds have significant capital to deploy
• Started with global pension funds looking to invest in stable, long life assets
• Infrastructure funds raised nearly $200 billion from 2016-2020
© PFM 20© PFM 20© PFM 20
Equity plays distinctive role in financing stack by providing both debt coverage and upfront proceeds
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1012141618
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 2324 25 26 27 282930
$Mill
ions
Year
80% debt / 20% equity (leveraged equity)
Debt Service Equity Return Net CF
Sources of Proceeds ($M)Debt $80Equity $20Project Cost $100
Interest Rate 6.0%Equity IRR 10.2%WACC (pretax) 7.3%
Equity return
Debt service
$80 Mproceeds
$20 Mproceeds 1.5x
coverage
• Equity leverages “at risk” cashflows to reduce required borrowing (project cost and reserves)
– Excess cash flow after debt service goes to the developer as a return on equity
• Equity provides additional flexibility for developers to reduce contingencies and other project
costs
© PFM 21© PFM 21© PFM 21
Investor Commentary
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT CRITERIA
• Monopolistic structures that offer protection from competition due to high barriers to entry
• Consistent and relatively inelastic demand for the assets’ services
• Stable and predictable inflation-linked cash flows
• Low-risk and long economic lives
• Stable and transparent regulatory frameworks
Source: Northleaf Capital
© PFM 22© PFM 22© PFM 22
GASB Statement 94 Impact on P3s and Availability Payment Arrangements
– Contract where an operator provides public services through the use and operation of an underlying asset
– Private party is compensated by third party fees
– Recognition as either capital asset or receivable, and offsetting deferred inflow of resources
– Financing secured by project revenue through ground lease or concession
– New capital projects or monetization of non-core assets
– Financing secured by fixed lease obligations made by institution
– On balance sheet and credit
– Manage public procurement, statutory authorization or internal debt policies
– Payments made to private party based on the underlying asset’s availability for use
– Multiple components to payment
– Component that is recognized as a financed purchase will be reflected as a long-term liability
– Potential ability to monetize real estate assets and promote economic development
– Potential ability to partner with third parties that have synergies with program offerings
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Example Assets
• GASB’s Statement No. 94 provides an organized approach to P3 projects that will increase transparency on the value add of these projects
GASB 94
– Administration buildings
– Academic buildings
– Multi-purpose facilities (rodeo)
– Student housing
– Parking
– Toll roads
– Utility concessions
– Mass transit
– Bridges
– K-12 Schools
– Courthouses
– Water systems
– Economic development
– Collaborative research
– Medical office building sale leaseback
© PFM 23© PFM 23© PFM 23
Examples of Alternative Delivery Projects in Higher Education
– Most common
– Financing typically secured by project revenue through lease or concession
Student Housing
Parking
Academic Buildings
Energy
Innovation/ Real Estate
– Potential efficiencies in project delivery and operations
– Balance sheet considerations
– Financing secured project revenue through lease or concession
– Monetization of future projected cash flows for existing assets
– Disposition of non-core asset
– Financing secured by fixed lease obligations made by institution
– On balance sheet and credit
– Manage public procurement, statutory authorization or internal debt policies
– Financing often secured by fixed lease obligations made by institution
– Potential for upfront payment
– Projects vary – energy savings contracts, utility system concessions, micro-grid projects
– Potential ability to monetize real estate assets and promote economic development
– Potential ability partner with corporate partners that have synergies with program offerings
Example PFM Client
Higher education institutions have leveraged the private sector to deliver projects for a wide variety of asset classes
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© PFM 24© PFM 24© PFM 24
Examples of Alternative Delivery Projects in Transportation
– Long term lease of operating asset
– Proceeds used to fund other governmental purposes
Concession
Availability
Managed Lanes
Airports and Seaports
Transit
– Concessionaire takes revenue risk and is obligated to fund operations, maintenance and hand-back
– Private party obligated to design and construct asset, and maintain the asset over a specified period.
– Compensated for project “availability”
– Government controlled through deduction regimes
– Newest toll road structures
– Tolled lanes alongside freeway
– Users pay for free flowing traffic
– Concessionaire developments as well as publically managed projects
– Car rental facilities, hotels, parking
– Terminal facilities for single or multiple airlines / shipping lines
– Project financing or P3
– Outsourcing operations and maintenance
– Design-Build of major investments
– Fare collection systems
– Transit oriented development
Example PFM Client
© PFM 25© PFM 25© PFM 25
Examples of Alternative Delivery Projects in Other Sectors
– Government development and/or ownership of stadia and arenas
– Sports team primary tenant
Sports Facilities
Convention Centers and
Hotels
Utilities
K-12
Real Estate
– Projects may need subsidies to be viable
– Project revenues from sponsorship
– Generators of tourism to import tax dollars
– Support through hotel and other transient taxes
– Project financings
– Security may include partial government guaranty
– Development of new facilities
– Long-term O&M contracts for existing facilities
– Address deferred maintenance
– Achieve economies of scale with consolidation
– Contracts for maintenance of buildings, including utility plants
– Construction of new school and administrative facilities
– Development of sports and other ancillary facilities
– Availability based payments
– Redevelopment of government owned land
– Master development agreements
– Tax increment financing
– Government provisions of infrastructure for greenfields
Example PFM Client
© PFM 27© PFM 27© PFM 27
Contact information:
Mary FrancoeurManaging Director, New York
• [email protected]• Office: 212-809-4212
Ryan ConwayDirector, Charlotte
• [email protected] • Office: 704-541-8339
Scott ShearerManaging Director, Harrisburg
• [email protected] • Office: 717-232-2723
Robert GambleManaging Director, San Francisco
• [email protected]• Office: 415-982-5544
Whitney WarrenSenior Managing Consultant, NY
• [email protected] • Office: 212-809-4212
Mike NadolManaging Director, Philadelphia
• [email protected] • Office: 215-567-6100