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Advances in Hydro-Environment Research

Water–Energy–Food–Environment

EXPANDING THE NEXUS

Prof Arthur E Mynett

Hong Kong, Nov 2014

1. International Hydrological Programme

(research)

2. UNESCO-IHE Institute for Water Education

(capacity development)

3. Secretariat of the World Water Assessment Programme

(data)

UNESCO is the largest body within the United Nations system

dealing with the most comprehensive range of water activities.

UNESCO & WATER

UNESCO’s water activities:

2009 2003 2006

2012

Sustainable Delta Development

THE DUTCH EXPERIENCE

Prof Arthur E Mynett Prof Arthur E Mynett

Vice President IAHR

CHAIR LOC IAHR-2015

Hong Kong, Nov 2014

WELCOME !! 28 June – 3 July, 2015

2

4

3

5

6

1

0

Glo

bal

T

emper

ature

(°

C)

IPCC Projections

for 2100

N.H

. T

emper

ature

(°C

)

0

0.5

1

-0.5

1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000

Lower Risk for

Instabilities

High Risk

for Instabilities

11

Climate Change: What do we know?

Global Mean Temperature

has increased

Greenhouse Gases

do play a role

Reducing Emissions alone will not avoid impacts

U.S

. Bu

rea

u o

f the

Ce

ns

us

natural disaster

events reported

from 1900 - 2007

Total

Water-

related

Earth-

quake

500 events/year

400

300

200

100

0

Damages of Floods in 1990's

100

1,000

10,000

100,000

1 10 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000

Death Tolls (Persons)

Eco

no

mic

Lo

sses

(M

illi

on

US

D)

Asia

China

Japan

Europe

N.Am

Others

11

Korea

Czech

ドイツ

China

Nepal

India

Bangladesh

Bolivia

Haiti/ Jamaica

Uruguay

USA

Mexico

Ecuador

Peru Micronesia

Philippines

Indonesia

Vietnam

Senegal

Ethiopia

Turkey

Austria

Kenya

France Afghanistan

Russia

Sri Lanka

Flood Drought

FLOODS and DROUGHTS impact food, human lives, political crises

MYNETT for YRF5

WE WILL NEED MORE

STORAGE

STORAGE

IS THE NEXUS BETWEEN

WATER – FOOD – ENERGY

43 746

1,287 1,406

2,486 3,255

4,729

6,150

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Eth

iop

ia

So

uth

Afr

ica

Th

aila

nd

La

os

Ch

ina

Bra

zil

Au

str

alia

No

rth

Am

erica

water storage per person (m3)

Infrastructure gap: Water storage [m3/person]

2

10

25

50

100

>100

Stored Runoff

< 2% annual flow

1800 2000 1900

• 700% increase in

water held by river

systems

• Several years of

residence time

change in many

basins

• Tripling of river runoff

travel times globally

(from 20 up to 60

days)

• Substantial impact

on aquatic

biodiversity

• Interception of 30%

of continental TSS

flux

1950 2000

History of US Dam & Reservoir Construction

From: Vörösmarty et al. 2004, Eos-AGU Trans.

THE GLOBAL HYDROPOWER POTENTIAL

Africa 92%

Asia 80%

Australia/Oceania 80%

Latin America

74%

90% of expected increase 2010-2035 in non OECD Countries

undeveloped hydropower potential

HYDROPOWER

World Water Development Report

• Flood regulation and management

• Coupling regulation of flow and sediment transport

World Water Development Report

World Water Development Report

BLUE WATER AVAILABILITY APPROACHING CRITICAL LIMITS

World Water Development Report

World Water Development Report

GROUNDWATER AVAILABILITY APPROACHING CRITICAL LIMITS

THE OTHER SIDE OF THE NEXUS: ENERGY WATER

World Water Development Report

MEETING THE CHALLENGE

• Energy smart and water efficient AGRICULTURE • Innovative CITIES • An enhanced role for INDUSTRY • Prioritizing ECOSYSTEM SERVICES • SMART power generation

World Water Development Report

‘Living with Water’ new concepts in spatial planning

‘Living with Water’ new concepts in urban development

the WATER–ENERGY–FOOD–ENVIRONMENT nexus: at the heart of Hydro-Environment research

World Water Development Report

28 June - 3 July 2015

Delft–The Hague Netherlands

www.iahr2015.info

DELTAS OF THE FUTURE AND WHAT HAPPENS

UPSTREAM

KEY DATES

November 4, 2014 Submission of ABSTRACTS

December 1, 2014 Notification of ACCEPTANCE

February 1, 2015 FULL PAPER / EXT ABSTRACT

EARLY BIRD registratiion deadline

April 1, 2015 FINAL NOTIFICATION

June 21–27, 2015

short courses / master class, Delft

June 28–3 July, 2015

IAHR World Congress, The Hague

WELCOME !! 28 June – 3 July, 2015