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And What You Can Take from Each

Pedro Domingos University of Washington

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Evolution Experience

Culture

Evolution Experience

Culture Computers

Most of the knowledge in the world in the future is going to be extracted by machines and will reside in machines. – Yann LeCun, Director of AI Research, Facebook

1. Fill in gaps in existing knowledge 2. Emulate the brain 3. Simulate evolution 4. Systematically reduce uncertainty 5. Notice similarities between old and new

Tribe Origins Master Algorithm

Symbolists Logic, philosophy Inverse deduction

Connectionists Neuroscience Backpropagation

Evolutionaries Evolutionary biology Genetic programming

Bayesians Statistics Probabilistic inference

Analogizers Psychology Kernel machines

Tom Mitchell Steve Muggleton Ross Quinlan

Addition Subtraction

2 + 2 ――― = ? ――

2 + ? ――― = 4 ――

Deduction

Socrates is human + Humans are mortal . ――――――――――― = ?

Induction

Socrates is human + ? ――――――――――― = Socrates is mortal

―――――――――― ――――――――――

Yann LeCun Geoff Hinton Yoshua Bengio

John Koza John Holland

Hod Lipson

David Heckerman Judea Pearl Michael Jordan

Peter Hart Vladimir Vapnik Douglas Hofstadter

Tribe Problem Solution

Symbolists Knowledge composition Inverse deduction

Connectionists Credit assignment Backpropagation

Evolutionaries Structure discovery Genetic programming

Bayesians Uncertainty Probabilistic inference

Analogizers Similarity Kernel machines

Tribe Problem Solution

Symbolists Knowledge composition Inverse deduction

Connectionists Credit assignment Backpropagation

Evolutionaries Structure discovery Genetic programming

Bayesians Uncertainty Probabilistic inference

Analogizers Similarity Kernel machines

But what we really need is a single algorithm that solves all five!

Representation Probabilistic logic (e.g., Markov logic networks) Weighted formulas → Distribution over states

Evaluation Posterior probability User-defined objective function

Optimization Formula discovery: Genetic programming Weight learning: Backpropagation

Much remains to be done . . . We need your ideas

Home Robots

Cancer Cures 360o Recommenders

World Wide Brains

If we used all our technology resources, we could actually give people personalized recommendations for every step of your life. – Aneesh Chopra, former CTO of the U.S.

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