enterprise ipv6 adoption status? depends where on earth you are by yves poppe at gogonet live! 3...
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© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved. 1
IPv6 in the enterprise?
Depends where in the world
Yves Poppe
Dir. Business Development & Strategy IP services
GogoNet Live
San Jose november 12-14th 2012
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved. 2
Tata Group at a glance
* Awarded in 2006 by the United States – India Business Council (USIBC)
$83.3 billion Annual Revenue
>60% Non-India
Over 140 Years in Operation
Only Indian entity on Forbes’ List of World’s 20 Most
Reputed Companies*
#41 Worldwide Brand
(Source: Brand Finance)
395,000 Employees Worldwide
#11 Most Reputed Company
(Source: Reputation Institute)
Over 100 Operating Companies in 7 Sectors
Across 6 Continents
UK Group’s Largest Market
2
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
Subtitle if necessary
3
Global Transmission Network
TGN-Pacific
TGN-Atlantic
TGN-Western Europe
TGN-Northern Europe
TGN-EurAsia*
TGN-Intra Asia
TGN-Pacific
TIC
OWN
• TGN-Atlantic
• TGN Western Europe
• TGN Northern Europe
• TGN-Pacific
• TGN-TIC
• TGN-Intra Asia
CONSORTIUM
• SMW-3
• SMW-4
• SAFE/SAT-3
• APCN-2
• IMEWE
• SEACOM
NEW PROJECTS
• TGN-Eurasia
• WACS
• India-China Terrestrial
• TGN-Gulf
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
North America
1345G
Trans
Atlantic
280G
Europe
1290G
Asia-Pacific /
Trans-Pacific
335G
Europe-India
110G
Middle-East
& Africa
35G
India-Asia
125G
India
445G
4
AS6453: Over 4000Gbps of Backbone Capacity
Key benefit
• Dual stack IPv4 IPv6
• 225+ PoPs in 27 countries
• 500 + ASN customers
• 21% of market share (routes)
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved. 5
IPv6 ready for lift-off on the network side
10854 active IPv6 BGP entries
as of october 30th 2012
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
IPv4 addresses: an increasingly rare commodity
.
6
RIR Projected Exhaustion Date and
remaining IPv4 address pool in /8’s
APNIC: 15-Apr-2011 0.9051
RIPE NCC: 14-Sep-2012 0.9751
ARIN: 05-Sep 2013 3.1321
LACNIC: 03-06-2015 3.1294
AFRINIC: 15-Sep-2019 4.0103
Geof Huston’s projections
as of october 30th 2012
http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/index.html
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
IPv6 is more than a new address format;
it is a fundamental game changer
Solves address shortage
Restores p2p communication
Mobility • Much easier roaming
• Better spectrum utilization
• Better battery life!
Security • IPsec mandatory
Multicast
Better QoS (flow lables)
Auto configuration • Mobile Ad-Hoc networking
• Mobile networks
• Sensor networks
• Plug and Play networks
Permanent addresses • Identity (CLID)
• Traceability (RFID)
• Addressability!
• IP address based billing
7
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
IPv6 day 2011 seems so long ago….
The june 8th 2011 peak became background noise and by the end of 2011
some major players were seriously kicking the IPv6 tires around.
Note that these figures represent only a fraction of the overall Pv4 plus IPv6
traffic of AS6453 derived from probes on a selected number of network points.
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
9
Aftermath of the june 6th 2012 IPv6 world launch
Traffic lift-off observed by AS6453
Traffic jumped in the week leading to june 6th as the
world’s leading content providers and hosting sites turned
on IPv6. Relatively slow but steady growth since.
Note : these figures represent a fraction of the overall IPv6 traffic of AS6453
as it is derived from probes on a select number of network points
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
10
AMS-IX IPv6 traffic evolution
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
11
The Google perspective : closing in on 1%
http://www.google.com/ipv6/statistics
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
12
Proportion of Alexa top 50 supporting IPv6
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
How the world changed since IPv6 day 2011
All major tier-1 carriers IP networks are dual stack with adequate peerings to
cope with the transition from IPv4 to IPv6 and sudden shifts in relative traffic.
Some major eyeball networks including free in France and Comcast in the United
States are actively promoting IPv6.
LTE and mobile broadband are taking the world by storm. The US, South Korea
and Japan lead the charge.
The worlds’ major content providers turned on IPv6 on June 6th 2012. The
second wave is under way coming from the major US Federal Government
agencies. Many countries have firm Government plans for a phased IPv6
introduction between 2013 and 2015.
Major enterprises worldwide customers recognize the necessity to plan for the
transition but are still often unsure at what pace they should proceed.
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
In 2012 IPv6 went from emergent to main stream
CIO Insight Research Exclusive october 2011
investigating, testing
currently using in testing stage
Tablet devices 93% 31%
Unified communications 84% 27%
Private clouds 79% 25%
IPv6 75% 29%
Location-based apps 65% 21%
predictive analytics 63% 20%
4G wide-area services 60% 16%
Crowdsourcing 59% 19%
Context-aware computing 56% 18%
Semantic Web 53% 17%
http://circ.ziffdavisenterprise.com/pdfs/Research_CIOI_11_0910.pdf
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
15
Gartner’s emerging technologies hype cycle
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
Mobile operators: IPv6 riding the LTE coattails
End Q2 2012: Wireless Intelligence estimates 27 million LTE
subscribers worldwide up from 10 million end 2011. Verizon
reaches 8 million LTE subscribers, SK Telecom and NTT
Docomo both pass the 4 million LTE subscriber mark.
Strategy Analytics forecasts 90 million LTE subscribers
worldwide by the end of the year and 1 billion subscribers by
end 2017.
87% of today’s LTE subscribers are in the US, Korea and
Japan.
The staggering LTE adoption rates put enormous pressure on
network capacity build-out and on existing data and voice rate
structures.
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
17
IPv6 and the global LTE tidal wave
Worldwide LTE deployments as of november 2nd 2012
113 commercial networks in 51 countries
166 anticipated commercial LTE networks in 70 countries by end 2012
209 anticipated LTE networks in 75 countries by end 2013.
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
The APNIC statistics showing IPv6 preference by originating AS show a surprisingly good score for the US Mobile Operators (Nov 5th reading).
.
18
Interim Service Provider report card
http://labs.apnic.net/ipv6-measurement/AS/
CN AS17672 CHINATELECOM-HE-AS-AP asn for Hebei Provincial Net of CT 33.1579
CN AS4538 ERX-CERNET-BKB China Education and Research Network Center 28.7020
US AS6939 HURRICANE - Hurricane Electric, Inc. 23.4177
RO AS8708 RDSNET RCS & RDS S.A. 23.0612
GB AS786 JANET The JNT Association 18.3915
JP AS2516 KDDI KDDI CORPORATION 17.2114
FR AS12322 PROXAD Free SAS 13.5560
CZ AS2852 CESNET2 CESNET, z.s.p.o. 11.7347
CN AS4847 CNIX-AP China Networks Inter-Exchange 10.6383
US AS87 INDIANA-AS - Indiana University 10.4317
NL AS3265 XS4ALL-NL XS4ALL Internet BV 9.5541
GB AS8426 CLARANET-AS ClaraNET LTD 8.8481
JP AS18126 CTCX Chubu Telecommunications Company, Inc. 8.5221
US AS22394 CELLCO - Cellco Partnership DBA Verizon Wireless 8.3090
US AS7018 ATT-INTERNET4 - AT&T Services, Inc. 6.4822
GB AS42689 CABLECOM-AS Cablecom Networking Limited 4.9093
AU AS7575 AARNET-AS-AP Australian Academic and Reasearch Network (AARNet) 4.7170
NZ AS17412 WOOSHWIRELESSNZ Woosh Wireless 3.8823
TW AS1659 ERX-TANET-ASN1 Tiawan Academic Network (TANet) Information Center 3.8113
AU AS4739 INTERNODE-AS Internode Pty Ltd 3.6640
CN AS4808 CHINA169-BJ CNCGROUP IP network China169 Beijing Province Network 2.7450
NZ AS24183 DTS-ISP-CORE1-AP DTS LTD 2.5316
CN AS17816 CHINA169-GZ China Unicom IP network China169 Guangdong province 2.3910
US AS53347 PREMIER-COMMUNICATIONS - Premier Communications 2.3169
NO AS39832 NO-OPERA Opera Software ASA 2.2932
NZ AS23655 SNAP-NZ-AS Snap Internet Limited 2.2335
US AS15169 GOOGLE - Google Inc. 2.0553
CN AS56046 CMNET-JIANGSU-AP China Mobile communications corporation 2.0305
US AS6389 BELLSOUTH-NET-BLK - BellSouth.net Inc. 1.9348
DE AS680 DFN Verein zur Foerderung eines Deutschen Forschungsnetzes e.V. 1.8705
SE AS8473 BAHNHOF Bahnhof Internet AB 1.8237
EU AS1103 SURFNET-NL SURFnet, The Netherlands 1.5695
GR AS197121 1.3298
EU AS1299 TELIANET TeliaNet Global Network 1.2658
US AS7922 COMCAST-7922 - Comcast Cable Communications, Inc. 1.1603
NZ AS9503 FX-PRIMARY-AS FX Networks Limited 1.1211
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
The amazing mobile IP traffic growth forecast
By 2016, 39 percent of
all global mobile devices
could potentially be
capable of connecting to
an IPv6 mobile network.
Over 4 billion devices will
be IPv6-capable in 2016.
Mobile-connected tablets will
generate almost as much traffic in
2016 as the entire global mobile
network in 2012. The amount of
mobile data traffic generated by tablets
in 2016 (1.1 exabytes per month) will
be approximately equal to the total
amount of global mobile data traffic in
2012 (1.3 exabytes per month).
In 2016, 4G will be 6
percent of connections,
but 36 percent of total
traffic. In 2016, a 4G
connection will generate 9
times more traffic on
average than a non-4G
connection.
Source:
* Cisco VNI. Mobile data traffic growth CAGR (2011-16)
meaning an 18 fold increase from 2011 to 2016
78%
CAGR*
The average smartphone will
generate 2.6 GB of traffic per month
in 2016, a 17-fold increase over the
2011 average of 150 MB per month.
Aggregate smartphone traffic in 2016
will be 50 times greater than it is today,
with a CAGR of 119 percent.
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
Energy sector:
smart grids, meters and even smart lightbulbs
‘By the end of 2015, more than 55 million meters will be installed on 45 percent
of U.S. households. In addition, 17 percent of U.S. households will have some
form of in-home display for monitoring energy consumption by 2015. And by
2021, nearly 50 percent of households will have an energy management
network’
Canada’s BC Hydro first of the mark with 7.5 million IPv6 enabled smart readers
LIFX is a WiFi enabled, multi-
color, energy efficient IPv6
ready LED light bulb
controlled by iPhone or
Android. Available March
2013
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
m2m communications: about to impact all verticals
Tidbits picked up in m2m world in october:
‘Public transport ITS market in Europe expected to reach € 1.5 billion by 2016
according to a study by Berg’
‘104 Million Cellular M2M Modules to Ship in 2013, up from 76 million in 2012
according to Strategy Analytics’
‘wireless industry could see a $1.2 trillion revenue opportunity out of the
connected devices market by 2020’ affecting numerous verticals according to
Global Information Inc.
‘Facilitating the Promise of Billions of Connections, M2M Software Platform
Revenues will Grow to $3.85 Billion by 2017’ according to ABI research
http://m2mworldnews.com/
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
Now entering the second wave:
Networked Industries as a family of verticals
IETF 6lowpan standards continue to gain prominence.
Chip manufacturers see 20 billion connected devices by 2020
Ericsson’s three wave scenario
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
The future of payment in the retail sector
smartphone as e-wallet?
Visa Paywave and Mastercard Paypass contactless payment solutions. Using a
secure SIM card in a Near Field Communication (NFC) enabled smartphone, a
cell phone programmed with a Visa payWave application communicates with a
merchant’s secure contactless reader to complete a Visa or Mastercard
transaction. Just announced in Canada by Rogers and CIBC.
Vodafone, T-Mobile adopt the GSMA TSM (Trusted System Management) for
mobile payment.
Growing interest in IPv6 by banking and credit card companies is no surprise.
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
Clouds and anything as a service
Most market projections for enterprise spending on cloud and virtualization go
through the roof. Who will pocket most of the revenue?
Persistent IP addresses lead to symbiosis between user and cloud service while
IPv6 Neighbour Discovery allows to put many more hosts in the cloud. This is a
must for cost-efficient and scaleable hybrid cloud scenarios accompanied by
growing demand for off-site storage centers.
BPaaS
IaaS
NaaS
PaaS
SaaS….
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
in september 2010 the CIO of the US Federal Government orders all government websites to be accessible in IPv6 by september 2012 and all internal systems to be dual stack by september 2014.
25
When the biggest enterprise of all goes v6.
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
26
NIST ranking of US Governement agencies
More than 40 agencies scored in the 3 categories : DNS, web and mail
Noteworthy is the wide adoption of DNSSEC.
The industry and education sectors should take notice.
Despite all the jabs and criticisms, the Government is doing a commendable job.
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
27
NIST ranking of industry and education
UCLA
Garner-Webb U
Weber State (#1)
Brocade
Comcast (#1)
Hurricane Electric
Only 6 scored in the three categories: IPv6 support for DNS, Web and mail
Comcast and Weber State got a perfect 4 as they also support DNSSEC
http://fedv6-deployment.antd.nist.gov/
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
Corporate IT spending intentions going into 2013
28
On the datacenter side, 70% of respondents plan to increase spending on storage,
67% on cloud services and 59% on physical servers. Virtualization, security and
application performance are ranked as the leading drivers (data from Infonetics).
As we see it, on the telecom side, moving from legacy TDM, ATM or frame relay to
ethernet and/or MPLS is a priority to save costs as are VPN’s for off-net access
with wireless broadband and employee mobility growing. Internet is considered a
commodity and the IP address issue a potential but transient irritant not always
considered worth a separate line item in the IT budget.
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved. 29
To conclude, going into 2013,
any enterprise should, as a minimum,
Mandate immediate IPv6 support on ALL
procurements of hardware, software and telecom
services.
Make public facing services accessible in IPv6
Start assessing possible impact on all IP address
dependent back-office processes
Train some key engineering and operations staff /
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.
Thank You
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