exponential growth growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional...

EXPONENTIAL OPPORTUNITY

A time of exponential opportunity for New Zealand

EXPONENTIAL GROWTH

Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present.

The bigger the system is, the greater the increase.

Once you take a domain or industry and power it with information technology and information properties its price/performance starts doubling.

Once that starts it doesn’t stop, you get exponential growth. Dr Ray Kurzweil

EXPONENTIAL GROWTH

Source: kurzweilai.net

COMPUTING TRANSFORMATION

1st Platform – MainframeThousands of appsMillions of users

2nd Platform – PCTens of thousand appsHundreds of millions of

users

3rd Platform – Mobile/CloudMillions of appsBillions of usersTrillions of “Things”

Source: idc.com

AI

Robotics

Biotech

Nanotech

Medicine

Neuroscience

Energy

Space

Computing

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

AI

Robotics

Biotech

Nanotech

Medicine

Neuroscience

Energy

Space

Computing

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

9% global penetration (2011)

25% global penetration (2015)

Exponential Growth of Smart Mobile Devices(Global unit sales, millions)

Source: eMarketer

MOBILE DEVICES

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Global Internet Users Growing Fast(Global internet users, billions)

Source: ITU

MOBILE INTERNET

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

From $30 /KWh (1980)

To $0.16 /KWh (2014)

200x in 34 years

Cost of Solar Plummeting(Price per KWh)

Sources: DOE NREL Solar Market Report, SolarBuzz Retail Price Environment

SOLAR ENERGY

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Coal/Natural Gas Price Band

From $10,000,000 (2007)

To $1,000 (2014)

10,000x in 7 years

Cost to Sequence Human Genome (Logarithmic scale)

Source: Lilly Clinical

BIOTECH

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

From $500,000 (2008)

To $135,000 (2010)

To $22,000 (2012)

23x in 5 years

Industrial Robot Advances(Indexed)

Sources: htetechnologies.com

INDUSTRIAL ROBOTS

Source: UNECE

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Do you think you will need a Drivers License?

Source: Google

AUTONOMOUS VEHICALS

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

From $350,000 of sensors (2011)

To $1,000 (2015)

300x in 4 years

AI

Robotics

Biotech

Nanotech

Medicine

Neuroscience

Energy

Space

Computing

EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Source: Economist

UNICORNS - $1B VALUATIONS

EXPONENTIAL ORGANISATIONS

PLATFORMS & ECOSYSTEMS

EXPONENTIAL OPPORTUNITY

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