jamrs june 2013 propensity snapshot_final.pdf
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7/27/2019 JAMRS June 2013 Propensity Snapshot_Final.pdf
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12%12%
13% 13%
18%17%
18% 18%
6% 6%7%
8%
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-1
3
Jun-1
3
SNAPSHOT DETAILS
JUNE 2013 YOUTH POLLMONTHLY SNAPSHOT
Note: Youth ages 16 to 21. Significant difference tests were conducted from April 2001 through Fall 2012. *For J une 2013, monthly snapshot estimates were conducted using a rolling average of twoconsecutive months (previous, current). For Mar 2013, Apr 2013, and May 2013, monthly snapshot estimates were conducted using a rolling average of three consecutive months (previous, current,subsequent). Monthly snapshot estimates are not the official Youth Poll metrics.
17%16%
18%18%18%18%
16%17%
13%14%
14%15%
14%14%14%
15%
12%12%
15%
13%
15%16%
15%14%
15%14%
10%
9% 9%
11%
13%12%
13%12%
13%12%12%13%
14%
24%
24%
26% 26%26% 27%
23%
24%
19%
20%
19%20%
18% 18%18%
20%
18%
15%
23%
19%
22%23%
20%
22%
21%21%
14%
13% 12%
15%
17%
15%
17%16%
18%17%
18%18%
20%
10%
9%10%
11%10% 10% 9% 10%
7%
9% 9%10% 10%
8%9%
10%
6%
9%
7%8% 8%
10%9%
7%8%
7%
6%
4% 4%
6%
10%9%
8% 8%
7% 7%
5%
8%8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Apr-0
1
Aug-0
1
Nov-0
1
Nov-0
2
Jun-0
3
Nov-0
3
May-0
4
Nov-0
4
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
5
Jun-0
6
Jun-0
7
Dec-0
7
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
8
Jun-0
9
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
0
Dec-1
0
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
1
Summer-1
2
Fall
-12
Aggregate Male Female
PROPENSITY: BY GENDER
AlthoughmonthlyestimatesarenottheofficialYouthPollmetrics,theyshowpropensityremaininglowerthantheFall2012metricattheoveralllevelandformales,whilefemalepropensityseemstobestabilizing.
TheproportionofWhiteyouthwhoreportedtheyhaveeverspokenwitharecruiterhastrendeddownward.BlackpropensitydecreasedfromMarchtoApril2013buthasreturnedtotheFall2012level.
MONTHLY SNAPSHOT*
Not official metric
=significant change fromprevious Youth Poll
PAGE 1
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7/27/2019 JAMRS June 2013 Propensity Snapshot_Final.pdf
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JUNE 2013 YOUTH POLLMONTHLY SNAPSHOT
15%15%14%15%15%
18%18%
21%
18%18%
15%15% 16%14%14% 16%13%13%
16%14%14%
16%15%14%15%15%
9% 10%10%12%13%
12%
10%10%
9% 10%10%
20%21%21%21%20%
25%25%29%
25%25%
20%19%20%20%19%
21%
17%15%
21%20%
18%
22%
19%20%20%20%
12%14%
15%
18%16%
14% 13%12%12%11%13%
10%8% 8%
9% 9%11%11%
14%11%11%
10%11%12%
9% 9%11%
9%11%10%
8% 9%
11%11%8% 9%
10%
6% 6% 6% 7%9% 9% 8% 7%
5%7% 7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Apr-0
1
Aug-0
1
Nov-0
1
Nov-0
2
Jun-0
3
Nov-0
3
May-0
4
Nov-0
4
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
5
Jun-0
6
Jun-0
7
Dec-0
7
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
8
Jun-0
9
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
0
Dec-1
0
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
1
Summer-12
Fall
-12
Aggregate Male Female
COMPOSITE RESERVE PROPENSITY: BY GENDER
SERVICESPECIFIC PROPENSITY
PAGE 2
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