outline of presentation introduction overview of as21 social science methodologies for...
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CLIMATE CHANGE AND CLIMATE CHANGE AND WATERSHED COMMUNITIESWATERSHED COMMUNITIESMethodologies for Assessing Social Methodologies for Assessing Social
Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation (Focus on Participatory Approaches)(Focus on Participatory Approaches)
Juan M. Pulhin (AS 21)Juan M. Pulhin (AS 21)University of the Philippines Los BanosUniversity of the Philippines Los Banos
AIACC Asia-Pacific Regional WorkshopAIACC Asia-Pacific Regional Workshop25-27 March 200325-27 March 2003
Outline of PresentationOutline of Presentation
Introduction Overview of AS21 Social science methodologies for integrated
climate change assessment Challenges
…there exists a knowledge gap in
terms of methodologiesand tools for integrated assessment of climate change particularly in
watershed areas…
IntroductionIntroductionDespite the anticipated impacts of climate change on both the natural and human systems…
…less developed is the application of appropriate social science research techniques that engaged watershed communitiesin conducting integrated assessment of climate change
IntroductionIntroduction
Rationale for Stakeholder Rationale for Stakeholder Participation in the Research ProcessParticipation in the Research Process
Ideological – participation as basic human right
Part of the awareness-building/ advocacy slant of the research– generate understanding (public education)– interests and support
Facilitates identification and implementation of adaptation strategies at various levels
Integrated Assessment of ClimateChange Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability in Watershed Areas and Communities in Southeast Asia
GCM Climate Scenario
National Climate Scenario
Land use and cover Change in the Watershed Impacts on water,
forests and communities
Future Vulnerability Assessment
Future Adaptation Assessment
Climate Variability/ Extremes and Current Coping Mechanisms
Current Vulnerability Assessment
General Methodology of the study
•
Methodologies for Assessing Social Impacts, Methodologies for Assessing Social Impacts, Vulnerability and AdaptationVulnerability and Adaptation
1) Awareness generation among various stakeholders1) Awareness generation among various stakeholders
Methodologies for Assessing Social Methodologies for Assessing Social Impacts, Vulnerability and AdaptationImpacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation
2. Gathering secondary information2. Gathering secondary information
• Demographic characteristics• Socio-economic characteristics• Geographic factors• Governance structure
Tentative listing of secondary information(Table 1)
3. Field study3. Field study
a. Field reconnaissance b. Orientation workshops with various stakeholders
b. Participatory vulnerability and adaptation assessment in selected barangays (Table 2)
Methods:Methods:
• Use combination of participatory techniques and household survey• Enable researches to validate the reliability of existing secondary information using triangulation method
Figure 1: Vulnerability profile for Delanta Dawunt, Ethiopia
4. Assessment of future climate change impacts,4. Assessment of future climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation. vulnerability and adaptation.
• Using the different climate change scenarios developed through MAGIC-SCENGEN
• With the aid of other models such as CLUE and VIC models
• Using the results of present vulnerability and adaptation assessment
5. Presentation of research results and validation5. Presentation of research results and validation
• To different stakeholders concerned to validate findings and for them to be able to anticipate and respond appropriately to future climate change
• Serve as a form of advocacy to generate interest and support among various sectors on climate change initiatives and strengthen the research-policy link in this area
ChallengesChallenges
Methodological/technical concernsMethodological/technical concerns– Availability of time-series data and mapsAvailability of time-series data and maps– Compatibility and reliability of available Compatibility and reliability of available
secondary socio-economic informationsecondary socio-economic information– Combining community mapping and GIS Combining community mapping and GIS
techniquestechniques– Integrating different socioeconomic variables Integrating different socioeconomic variables
into the different modelsinto the different models– Integrating the macro-micro scale and Integrating the macro-micro scale and
quantitative-qualitative analysesquantitative-qualitative analyses
ChallengesChallenges
Institutional concernsInstitutional concerns– Continuing engagement of the different Continuing engagement of the different
stakeholders at varying levels during the stakeholders at varying levels during the research processresearch process
– Capability building both of the research team Capability building both of the research team members and other stakeholdersmembers and other stakeholders
– Strengthening science-policy link to generate Strengthening science-policy link to generate interests and continuing supportinterests and continuing support
THANK YOU!!! THANK YOU!!!
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