outlook for home-grown timber in welsh housingwoodknowledge.wales/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/... ·...

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Outlook for home-grown timber in Welsh housing

Hamish MacleodDirector, Public Affairs,BSW Timber Group

Hamish.macleod@bsw.co.uk

www.bsw.co.uk

@bswtimber

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Welsh Forestry Sector

• £528 Million gvaindustry

• 500k sawn products• Supports 11,000 jobs• Positive contribution

to rural economy• Major element in CO2

mitigation

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UK Forestry Sector: a naturally circular economy

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BSW Sawmills

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BSW Fort William Sawmill

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BSW Newbridge-on-Wye Sawmill

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63% of the sawn softwood market is imported

BSW Timber has 24% of UK-produced market share – which equates to 22,000 trucks per year

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UK Market Share

BSW Timber has a 10% share of overall sawn softwood market in the UK

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35,626

23,475

19,000

BSW Timber Sales in Wales (cubic metres)

Construction Fencing & Landscaping Pallets & Packaging

78,101 m3

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Product Overview

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0

2000000

4000000

6000000

8000000

10000000

12000000

2013 2014 2015fc 2016fc

Imports UK Production TTF National Softwood Division Forecast

9.49 million m3 forecast

8.47 million m3

9.49 million m3 9.29 million m3 forecast

2.15% increase in 2016

UK Sawn Softwood Timber Consumption

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New Home Building & Softwood Imports

0

50

100

150

200

250

1980

= 1

00

Indexed UK Housing Starts and Sawn Softwood Imports, 1970-2016 (est)

Housing Starts Softwood Imports

timbertrends

0

50

100

150

200

250

1980

= 1

00

Indexed UK Housing Starts and Sawn Softwood Imports, 1970-2016

& Forecast 2017-2019

Housing Starts Softwood Imports

New Home Building & Softwood Imports

timbertrends

Fencing & Outdoor Market by Source

1,116

1,385

222 324

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

000m

3

UK Domestic Imported

timbertrends

Pallets & Packaging Market by Source

717

1,008

1,357

401

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

000m

3

UK Domestic Imported

timbertrends

Construction Market by Source

892 822

5,575

4,552

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

000m

3

UK Domestic Imported

timbertrends

More Better Report

RECOMMENDATIONS:

Affordable housing projects should be used to test emerging Welsh Housing Standards, and to identify the benefits and limitations of different construction techniques, by means of:

• performance comparisons (primarily energy and carbon, during delivery and in-use).

• potential for flexibility, adaptability, ease of maintenance and eventual re-use.

• applicability for alternative delivery pathways or skills training.

• use of local resources / products that might be developed into a Welsh supply chain.

Green, E.and Forster F (2017).More | better: an evaluation of the potential of alternative approaches to inform housing delivery in Wales.

Cardiff: Cardiff University

Timber Frame Housing Share

Timber frame housing share in the UK rose again to 27.6%

• Timber frame share in England rises to 22.2%• Timber frame share in Scotland is stable at 76.0%• Timber frame share in Wales recovers to 32.0%• Timber frame share in Northern Ireland falls to 16.0%

Annual survey of UK structural timber marketsMarket report 2015

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Welsh case study: Gower cabins

(Not Welsh timber!!)

Social housing Scottish Case Study

Social housing Scottish Case Study

Social Housing Scottish Case Study

Scottish case study: R-Affordable Homes

BSW Softwood sawlog forecast availability annual average per 5 year period Trends

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2012-16 2017-21 2022-26 2027-31 2032-36 2037-41 2042-46 2047-51 2052-56 2057-61

000'

s m

3 sa

wlo

gs U

B

BSW UK Wales afforestation record 000s haTrends

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Total Conifers Total Broadleaves

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Thank youHamish Macleod

Hamish.macleod@bsw.co.uk