relationships between the pacific decadal oscillation and ...... · 2015 calendar year ... a sneak...
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National Weather Service
New Mexico Meteorological
Drought Status and
Weather/Climate Outlooks
Drought Monitoring Work Group
10:00am April 21, 2015
National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM
http://weather.gov/abq
National Weather Service
April (1-18) 2015 Precipitation:
National Weather Service
NRCS/USDA Snowpack Update
March 1, 2015 April 1, 2015
National Weather Service
NRCS/USDA Snowpack Update
(just to make us all more depressed!)
April 1, 2015 April 21, 2015
National Weather Service
April 21, 2015 Snow Depth
National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center
National Weather Service
March 2015 Precipitation:
Average Precipitation: 0.65” (-0.08”)
Statewide average
89% of normal
National Weather Service
March 2015 Precipitation Rank: 64th Driest
Average Precipitation: 0.65” (-0.08”)
National Weather Service
March 2015 Precipitation by CD
National Weather Service
2015 Calendar Year (Jan 2015 – Mar 2015)
NM Precipitation: 141% Normal
National Weather Service
2015 Calendar Year (Jan 2015 – Mar 2015)
NM Precipitation Rank: 19th Wettest (+0.81”)
Statewide Average 141% of normal
National Weather Service
2015 Water Year (Oct 2014 – Mar 2015)
NM Precipitation: 108% Normal
National Weather Service
2015 Water Year (Oct 2014 – Mar 2015)
NM Precipitation Rank: 42nd Wettest (+0.38”)
Statewide Average 108% of normal
National Weather Service
12 Month (April 2014 – March 2015)
NM Precipitation Rank: 35th Wettest (+1.40”)
Statewide Average 110% of Normal
National Weather Service
24 Month (April 2013 – March 2015)
NM Precipitation Rank: 44th Wettest (+0.66”)
Statewide Average 102% of Normal
National Weather Service
36 Month (March 2012 – February 2015)
NM Precipitation Rank: 24st driest (-4.72”)
Statewide Average 89% of Normal
48 months: 10th driest…60 months: 9th driest
National Weather Service
Regional Drought Status (April 14th) Focus for most significant drought continues over
California and portions of Oklahoma & Texas
National Weather Service
New Mexico Drought Status: April 14th ~62% of NM still in moderate to severe drought status
(~19% severe)
National Weather Service
New Mexico Drought: 3 Month Change
19% of NM in severe drought
62% of state is in moderate to severe
drought
No extreme drought (since Mar 3)
Last time no extreme drought
Mar 1, 2011
Some Improvement
NW/W/portions of E
National Weather Service
Extended
Weather/Climate
Outlooks
National Weather Service
3 Month Loop of Weekly SSTs/Anomallies
4 week change
National Weather Service
Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies
National Weather Service
Forecaster/Model consensus continues to
support El Niño conditions through the summer
~70 chance of El Niño
conditions continuing
through the Summer; ~60
percent chance through
the Autumn
El Niño Advisory
National Weather Service
Model consensus continues to support
El Niño conditions through Autumn
El Niño Advisory
National Weather Service
CPC May 2015 Precipitation Outlook
National Weather Service
CPC May 2015 Temperature Outlook
National Weather Service
CPC Spring/Summer (May 2015 – Jul 2015)
Precipitation Outlook
National Weather Service
CPC Spring/Summer (May 2015 - Jul 2015)
Temperature Outlook
National Weather Service
A Sneak Peak: Fall & Winter Precip. Outlook!
Sep-Nov
Dec-Feb
National Weather Service The U.S. Drought Monitor is produced in partnership between the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States
Department of Agriculture, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Seasonal Outlook (Apr 16 – Jul 31)
National Weather Service
Last week map 4/14/2015
Suggested changes this week?
National Weather Service
Brian Guyer:
brian.guyer@noaa.gov
Chuck Jones:
charles.h.jones@noaa.gov
www.weather.gov/abq
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