vanderbilt university poll · us economy: very or fairly good tn economy: very or fairly good. top...
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Vanderbilt University Poll
Nov 20 – Dec 5, 2013
1,002 Tennessee Residents 860 Tennessee Registered Voters
Obama Approval Among TN Registered Voters
44% 44%
38% 41% 42%
45%
40%
28%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Jan 2011 June 2011 Nov 2011 Feb 2012 May 2012 Dec 2012 May 2013 Nov 2013
Full Sample
Obama Approval Among TN Registered Voters
85% 81%
79% 77%
82%
88%
83%
68%
27%
40%
30%
35% 35% 35% 34%
23% 10% 11%
4% 7%
5% 6% 8%
6%
44% 44%
38% 41% 42%
45%
40%
28%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Jan 2011 June 2011 Nov 2011 Feb 2012 May 2012 Dec 2012 May 2013 Nov 2013
Democrats Independents Republicans Full Sample
Perception of Economy Among TN Registered Voters
15%
26%
17%
24% 23%
33% 31% 32%
44%
53% 52%
66%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Jan 2011 June 2011 Nov 2011 Feb 2012 May 2012 Dec 2012 May 2013 Dec 2013
US Economy: Very or Fairly Good TN Economy: Very or Fairly Good
Top Priority of the TN State Government Among TN Registered Voters
60% 60%
50% 48%
12% 10%
15% 17%
0%
20%
40%
60%
May 2012 Dec 2012 May 2013 Nov 2013
Economy Health Care
Opinions about Health Care Source : VU Poll
Nov 2013 N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1%
Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansion
15%
51%
63%
34%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Favorable Unfavorable Expand Don't expand
Affordable Care Act Source : VU Poll
Nov 2013 N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1%
Given what you know about the Affordable Care Act that passed in 2010, do you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable view of it, or have you not heard enough about it to form an opinion?
15%
37%
12%
3% 5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party
Support for Medicaid Expansion Source : VU Poll
Nov 2013 N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1%
63%
89%
64%
42% 36%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party
Some states like Kentucky have expanded Medicaid using money from the federal government to provide medical care for low-income people. Other states, like Georgia, have decided not to expand Medicaid. Tennessee has not yet decided whether or not to expand Medicaid. Do you think Tennessee should expand Medicaid coverage for low-income people in the state, or not?
Support for Medicaid Expansion Source : VU Poll
Nov 2013 N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1%
83%
73%
46%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Liberal Moderate Conservative
Healthcare.gov Source : VU Poll
Nov 2013 N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1%
14%
85%
As you may know, the federal government has set up online marketplaces for health insurance that people can use to compare plans and purchase health insurance. Have you visited any of these online health insurance exchanges, such as healthcare.gov, or haven’t you done this?
Yes
No
Government Shutdown
The Government Shutdown was a Crisis or Major Problem
The Government should not be shut down to force a Budget Deal
or Delay the ACA
67% 68%
81%
97%
68% 65%
58%
50% 49% 46%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party
Willingness to Compromise
Which of the following comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly right? I would prefer my legislators work with members of the other political party even if it means they have to compromise on some of their values and priorities. Or, I would prefer my legislators pursue their own values and priorities even if it means they are unwilling to work with members of the other political party.
74%
95%
81%
60%
50%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party
Source : VU Poll Nov 2013
N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1%
Issues in the Tennessee Legislature
65% 70%
67% 62% 64%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Total Democrats Independents
Republicans Tea Party
Some over-the-counter cold medicines, such as Sudafed, contain an ingredient called pseudoephedrine that is used to make the illegal drug called “meth.” The Tennessee state legislature recently considered making pseudoephedrine a prescription drug to help reduce meth abuse. Do you support or oppose requiring people in Tennessee to get a doctor’s prescription for pseudoephedrine drugs?
55%
40%
Issues in the Tennessee Legislature Next year, Tennessee residents will be asked to vote on an amendment to the state constitution that would allow the state legislature to pass laws that would make all abortions illegal. Do you favor giving the state legislature the constitutional authority to outlaw abortions under all circumstances, or do you oppose this?
29%
19%
26%
42% 42%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Total Democrats
Independents Republicans
Tea Party
Tennesseans' Abortion Views*
Pro-Life
Pro-Choice
*Average from last three VU Polls
Change from Open to Closed Party Primaries
Party Nominees for U.S. Senate
(From May 2013 VU Poll)
Electoral Reforms in Tennessee
17%
82%
5%
93%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Change Don't Change Legislature
Choose
Voters Choose
Approval Ratings of Statewide Officials
61%
52% 49% 48%
44% 45%
61%
51% 48%
76%
64%
57%
76%
54%
42%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party
Bill Haslam
Bob Corker
Lamar Alexander
Approval Ratings of Tennesseans Source : VU Poll
Nov 2013 N = 860; MoE: +/- 4.1%
Joe Carr James Franklin Butch Jones Carrie Underwood
*Approval Ratings only amongst those who recognized individual
24%
54%
29%
70%
39%
76%
85% 85%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Recognize | Approve* Recognize | Approve* Recognize | Approve* Recognize | Approve*
Comparing Carr and Alexander
14% 15% 19%
49%
57%
42%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Full Sample Republicans Tea Party
Carr Approval Alexander Approval
Looking forward to 2016?
Recognition of Ted Cruz and Chris Christie
51%
67%
43%
60% 53%
71%
54%
74% 67%
76%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party
Ted Cruz Chris Christie
Looking forward to 2016?
Approval of Ted Cruz and Chris Christie
Ted Cruz Chris Christie
26%
44%
8%
40%
30%
44% 39%
50% 54%
36%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Total Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party
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