welcome [s21212c554425f761.jimcontent.com] · of mobility 20 connected and automated mobility...

WELCOME To the Busworld Academy & IRU

›Mr. Jan DemanDirector Busworld Academy

›BUSWORLD ACADEMY PROGRAMME

KORTRIJK Oct. 19th – 21st 2015

PROGRAMME MONDAY OCT. 19th

• Mrs Jacqueline Galant, Belgian minister for Mobility & transport

• Mr Ben Weyts,Flemish minister for Mobility

• Mrs Daniela Rosca, Head of unit clean transport & SustainableMobility, DG Move, E.C.

• Frost & Sullivan : market analysis on new energy vehicles

High level Debate for Bus- and Coach Operators

Chaired by IRU, Mr Remi Lebeda

With : Roger Kesteloot, CEO, De LijnVictor Parra, president United Motorcoach AssociationIngrid Nuelant, CEO, Keolis BelgiumPaul Cremers, Board, Global Pasenger NetworkPrasanna Patwardhan, Managing Director, Purple Mobility Solution IndiaMark D’Eigens, CEO, MandelcarPeter Pantusso, President American Bus Association

Special Intrest Sessions : BOX 3

2 pm : WINTEX : the use of smart textiles in automotiveChaired by Ghent University and Ghent University College

3.30 pm AUTOMATION in Passenger TransportChaired by POLIS, European network for cities and regions

PROGRAMME Tuesday OCT. 20th

Introductions by

• Mr Vincent van Quickenborne, mayor of Kortrijk

• Mr Carl Decaluwé, Governor of the province of West Flanders

Keynotes by

• Element Energy : Mr Alex Stewart, director : “Future trends in Innovative Technologies in the Bus sector”

• FCH-JU : Mr Carlos Navas, Project Manager“Future Role for fuell cells & hydrogen in passenger transport”

• UITP , Mr Umberto Guida, Director European Projects“Executive sumarys on 3iBS, ZeEUS, EBSF2”

• VITO, Mr Carlo Mol, Belgian representative in the International Energy Agency“Challenges for the grid”

10.30 am High level Debate for ManufacturersChaired by Busworld Academy : Mr Doug Jack

WithVOLVO : Mrs Jessica Sandström, Sr Vice President City MobilitySOLARIS : Mr Andreas Strecker, CEOVAN HOOL, Mr Filip Van Hool, CEOBYD : Mr Isbrand Ho, General ManagerVDL : Mr Peter Wouters, Plant Manager RoeselareIVECO : Mr Philippe Grand, Institutional Relations ManagerDAIMLER : Mr Thomas Tonger, Head of Product Planning&ManagementSCANIA : Mr Urban Löfvenberg, Product Manager Sustainable Solutions

1.30 pm High level Debate for AuthoritiesChaired by POLIS, Mrs Karen Vancluysen

WithEuropean CommissionFlanders Region : Flemish minister for Mobility : head of CabinetTransport for LondonBelgian Road Safety InstituteMetropolitan Transport System San DiegoTransport for Great ManchesterTisseo Toulouse

Special Interest Session : Box 3 2 pm

Intelligent Transport SystemsChaired by ERTICO, Mr Rasmus Lindholm

With : XEROX, CUBIC, National Mobile Payment, Satelite Applications Catapult, EVOPRO Group, Ertico

Special Interest Session 3.30 pm

Fire Safety in Buses with New Energy CariersChaired by SP – Techniocal Institure of Sweden, Mr. Michaël Först, Research Manager

With :

American Public Transport Association, CTIFSPMetropolitan transport system San Diego

Wednesday Oct. 21st

9.30 am Entrance NORTHVisit to the inductive fastcharging station in Bruges -Transfer with a hydrogen bus

Continious demonstrations and test drives

›Mr.Redgy DeschachtPresident BAAV

›Mr. Stefan MeerssemanPresident Busworld Academy

›Mr. Ben WeytsFlemish Minister for Mobility

›Mr. Bart TommeleinSecretary of State

›New energy vehiclesRole of buses in the evolving mobility ecosystemBy Mr. Ananth Srinivasan, Consultant Automotive, Frost & Sullivan

Agenda – Our 15’ minute journey

Top Transformational Shifts and Urban transportation

New energy buses - Why, What and Where?

Investments, examples and a peek into the future

"A Developed Country is not a place where poor have cars. It's where the rich use Public Transportation"

Enrique Peñalosa, Mayor of Bagota, Colombia

Top Transformational Shifts that will shape the Future of Mobility

Connected and Automated Mobility

Health Wellness and Well-being

Women Empowerment

Growth in high Speed Rail and Public transport spending

New Business Models

Convergence in corporate mobility

Mobility integration City as a customer

In the business of transportation or integrated mobility?

InstantPlanned

Higher price per KM

Lower price per KM

How can transportation companies evolve as “integrated mobility providers” ?

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysisNews source: The Atlantic

Solutions for the ecosystem, not for a “part” of it

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis

Crowd-sourced bus routes – As close to demand as it can get

• An initiative by IDA Singapore, started in June 2015

• “Beeline” – a demand driven, shared transit experiment

• Commuters nominate where they need the pick-up and drop

• Depending on the voice of commuters, the routes are decided

• Priced similar to “premium-bus services” in the city ( ~$4/ trip)

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysisNews source: Financial times

Investments, Operational deficits and alternate funding channels

• The equation is simple:

Number of people

transported > number of vehicle transportedand by a large factor

• Currently at an EEA level, ~1% of the GDP goes towards investments transport infrastructure

• PPP , fare economics, land value capture in financing model

EUR 315 billion planned as per the Juncker plan over next three years

Covering investments and operational deficit will necessitate alternate revenue channels

Connecting Europe facility plan released EUR 13.1 billion funding for investment in transport infrastructure

Source: European Commission, UITP, Frost & Sullivan

Electro-mobility and buses – the need?

GHG Emissions in Transportation, Global, 2014

Source: IPCC, Frost & Sullivan analysis

The global picture – CAGR of 8.4%

S.A.3091340765

N.A.5068 6675

W.E1112914806

China 50206 63172

India 19993 32765

Russia1065016187

Other markets3701759945

~164K in 2014

~234K in 2020

Snapshot of Global Heavy-duty Transit Bus Market, 2014 and 2020

LEGEND: Normal font = 2014 valuesBOLD font = respective 2020 values

The green push – From 1 in 8 to 1 in 4

S.A.~350 (1%)~4800 (12%)

N.A.~1200 (24%) ~2450 (36%)

W.E~500 (5%)~4500 (30%)

China ~17000 (34%) ~45800 (72%)

India -~2100 (6%)

Russia~50 (0.5%)~800 (6%)

Other markets~1700 (5%)~4900 (8%)

~21K in 2014

~66K in 2020

Snapshot of Global Hybrid and Electric HD Transit Bus Market, 2014 and 2020

LEGEND: Normal font = 2014 valuesBOLD font = respective 2020 value% = share of H+E in total market

Western Europe – A surge in hybrid electric of ~25%

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Diesel Hybrid ElectricNatural Gas Hybrid+Electric

~25%2014

~27002017

Parallel configuration gains market adoption

1,8%Series Parallel Series-Parallel

Series Parallel Series-Parallel

2012 2020

• Market preference for parallel and series parallel to rise

• Cost of technology, push towards plug-ins driving the trend

Western Europe – Parallel hybrid, full electric as preferred options

RegionNew Energy Powertrains

Parallel Hybrid Series Hybrid Series-Parallel Hybrid Pure Electric

SouthAmericaWestern EuropeNorth

America

Russia

Other markets

Strong Trend Towards 2020

Moderate Trend Towards 2020

Western Europe – Li-Ion batteries followed by UCs

RegionEnergy Storage technologies

Ni-Mh Batteries Li-ion Batteries Ultra-capacitors (UCs) UC Hybrid

SouthAmericaWestern EuropeNorth

America

Russia

Other markets

Strong Trend Towards 2020

Moderate Trend Towards 2020

Western Europe – OEM and hybrid module landscape

Key OEMs in the market, 2014

Daimler

Scania

Solaris

Others

Top 3 = 50% Top 6 = 80%

Key hybrid module suppliers, 2014

Allison

Siemens

Vossloh

Future of collective mobility – Scenario 2035?

truly Carbon neutral

Connected

Customized

“Walking is the only form of transportation in which a man proceeds erect - like a man - on his own legs, under his own power. There is immense satisfaction in that.”

Edward Abbey, Postcards from Ed: Dispatches and Salvos from an American Iconoclast

That is that for today, thank you for your attention

Ananth Srinivasan Consultant MobilityDirect: +49 69 770 3334Email: ananth.srinivasan@frost.com

Buses and Coaches in Smart Mobility Plans - 2030HIGH LEVEL DEBATE FOR OPERATORS

A general vision for our future mobility systems in 2030 and the place of buses and coaches

• Ingrid Nuelant, CEO, Keolis Belgium• Roger Kesteloot, CEO, De Lijn• Peter Pantuso, President & CEO, American Bus

Association

›Mobility in 2030Ingrid Nuelant – CEO Keolis in Belgium

Smart urban mobility

Maturity model(UITP – AD Little)

Source: The Future of Urban Mobility

1. Emerging: Underdeveloped and uncoordinated mobility systems

2. Individual: Private vehicle focus with little synchronisationwith the wider mobility network - limited data collected

3. Public: High share of public transport, walking and cycling with traffic management - data used to enhance integration

4. Networked mobility: Optimised integration of all modes of transport with advanced transport demand and supply measures to reduce share of individual private vehicles - total real time data collection, analysis, management and incidence response

Transport possibilities offered by Keolis today

95% of Keolis networks in France offer flexible services

Agile transports

• Transport on demand– Flexible itineraries– And/or flexible schedules– And/or flexible stops– Depending on needs and demands

• Individual transport Soft/low-impact modes of transport and carsharing

– Providing vehicles: bicycle rent and self-service, carsharing

– Support the use of one’s own vehicle: bicycle parking, relay car packs, carpooling, organized hitchhiking

– Pedestrian accompaniment

Regular offer

• Fixed Itinerary• Fixed schedules• Fixed stops• Systematic departure

An ever-changing context of personal transport

Today’s personal transport context results in:

• The emergence of alternative solutions to autosolism• The increasing development of means of transport “on demand”• The generalization of integrated mobility systems, boosted by digital developments• The generalization of a sharing economy in mobility

Keolis positions itself to continuously bring accessible solutions to daily mobility challenges:

• As a carrier, in line with evolutions in consumption • As a mobility services provider, aligned with technological advancements

Develop intelligent solutions in a « smart » way

Thinking like a passenger & Sense of Purpose

• This is part of Keolis’ DNA. We place the customer, PTA or passengers, at the heart of our approach

• We innovate, in partnership with PTAs, towards a common goal: increase the use of Public transport and deliver service excellence to passengers.

Digital solutions by Keolis

New mobility needs for a new passenger experience

Beyond multimodality, need for simplification, innovation and customisation

« Plan, book, ticket » platform

Keolis develops one unique solution for connected mobility

An end-to-end solution, with all journey-related services on one unique application, available on

all mobile devices.

Open dataReal time information

« Plan, book, ticket » platform

Energy

• Use of alternative fuels – Largest fleet of « environmentally friendly » vehicles in Europe – Largest fleet of hybrid vehicles in France – Active participation in experiments: new, fully electric vehicles in Gothenburg – The use of electricity: in Lyon 75% of travelers use electric powered vehicles

• Keolis optimises energy savings => less pollution, less noise, an attractive public transport offer = more liveable cities

* Source : International Energy Agency

Peak Oil in 2006* > When will the “cheap oil” disappear?

›The Fuzzy Future of MobilityRoger Kesteloot, CEO, De Lijn

www.districtoffuture.eu

Smart Mobility - Key to Smart Cities

“To create a city that is sustainable and offers high standards of living, smarter cities will need to exploit state of the art

green technologies. They will need to connect policies across a wide range of areas, including energy efficiency, urban mobility,

and ICT.”

Eurocities statement on Smart Cities, May 2015

Smart Mobility – Spatial Planning

Transport network

Built environment

Landscape

BUreau URbanisme

Smart Mobility – Spatial Planning

Transport network

Built environment

Landscape

Smart mobility – Liveable Cities

• PT’s Unique Selling Proposition– Environmental ?– SPATIAL !

• More public space = more liveable, sustainablecities

Smart Mobility – The Future

• Smart Mobility = differentiated technologies(hybrid – electric – hydrogen, …)

• Smart Mobility = connected with Smart City networks and grids

• Sustainable energy provision• Open data / Big data

• Smart Mobility = Fuzzy– Individual vs. Collective ?– Private vs. Public ?

– Shared and Modular !

• Smart Mobility = a matter of governance

Vegetal City / TramodulaireConcept & design: Luc Schuiten

ThankYou !

Future, U.S. Coach OperationsPeter Pantuso, CTISPresident & CEO, American Bus Association

Perceptions of Buses

U.S. Today

3,200 Companies

32,000 Coaches

625 Million Passenger Trips (700M Airlines)

Fleet Replacement, 5% Annual

Canada is + 10% of U.S. Business

U.S. Today

Economic Impact of Group Travel(direct and indirect)

$50 BillionWe have a good story to tell!

U.S. Today

Challenges– Attack from media, governments, customers– Heavy regulatory burdens, and growing– Ease of access and heavy competition– High cost of operations– Low margins

U.S. Future

2030 is unpredictable, 2020 is predictable

OPERATOR INNOVATION+TECHNOLOGY + DESIRED TRAVEL OPTIONS

= EASE OF BOOKING AND TRAVEL

= CUSTOMERCENTRIC FOCUS

U.S. Today and Future

Technology will change the way we do business externally (not just in our operations) and will force operators to be faster, smarter, more creative, more responsive, and be customer service focused, not bus focused!

What RYDE Does

Partner with event producers/owners for “long distance” RYDEs• Enhance revenue through greater

geographic reach• Alleviate traffic and parking issues• Leverage PR for event to exhibit

environmental awareness & solution• Enhance overall fan experience• Create RYDE revenue share potential

Why RYDE Does It

Getting to Live Events is a Hassle

• Commuter traffic, difficult access• Parking is expensive and congested• Zero tolerance DUI laws• Public transportation options are• often unavailable• Individual rideshare options like

Uber/Lyft not always a viable option• Environmental impact of event• traffic is concerning

Co-Marketing Examples

Mumford & Sons Gentlemen of the Road

(4events)Website presence

Backwoods Music Festival Website presence

Desert Daze Newsletter

Creation Fest (5 events) Newsletter

Dancefestopia Website presence

Country Thunder Website presence

RYDE In The News

thatDROP.com7.13.15

EDM Nerd7.7.15

Mobility Lab4.14.15

Wanderu

Largest ground travel search in North America.

Users:

- 13 million users since launch

- 1.5 million users in October

- 100% growth per quarter

Sales:

- $40 million/year

- 200% growth per quarter

Awards:

- Inc Magazine 30 under 30

- SXSW Most Innovative Technology

- Sir Richard Branson’s XTC - Top 3

- PC Magazine Top Ecommerce Website

Featured in:

Promoting Bus Travel and Growing the Market

Wanderu invests in advertising and marketingpromoting bus travel:

Partners have expanded routes and coverage as a result of demand brought by Wanderu customers.

22% of tickets sold are only possible on Wanderu.com andWanderu apps because of unique technology.

Buster

Rally Bus

U.S. Future

Technology

Brings new business by expanding reach well beyond a given market area

Brand will deminish or be less relevant as price, schedule, amenities, etc. drive customers ..... or the brand is replaced by the booking site brand

U.S. Future

• High cost of regulation• Higher barriers to entry• High cost of equipment• Slow rate of replacing the fleet• Lack of interest – Next Generation

U.S. Future

More mergers

Fewer Companies – Healthier?

Larger Companies

Same/More Equipment

U.S. Future – Looks Bright!

1 Billion Passenger Trips

THANK YOU!

Peter PantusoAmerican Bus AssociationWashington, DC USAO 202.218.7229E ppantuso@buses.org

Debate

Buses and coaches of the future

• Victor Parra, President & CEO, United Motorcoach Association

• Paul Cremers, Global Passenger Network

Future of the U.S. Private Bus and Motorcoach Industry

Victor S. ParraPresident and Chief Executive Officer, United Motorcoach Association |

vparra@uma.org

US Motorcoach Market -- Profile

- Seniors: 5- 10 % declining- Students: 45 - 50% increasing- Corporate/Convention: 20% flat- Contract Services (military, contract services,

government, non-profits, etc.): 5-10% declining- Social Events (weddings, parties): 10% growing- Private/Public Partnerships: 5%.. great potential!

Current state of the industry

Challenging operating environment• Consolidation: mergers and acquisitions• Tougher/unreasonable safety regulations • Government regulations making it difficult for

new entrants• Drop in ridership• Higher equipment and labor costs• Driver shortage…severe!

Current state of the industry (con’t)

On the positive side…• Improved financial conditions – low

interest rates• Capital investment is up• Sales stronger in past year• Higher level of consumer satisfaction• Younger customer base

Market Developments

• Improvements in customer experience thanks to power outlets, wifi, and more seat comfort… technology enhancements

• Safety improvements – seat belts, anti-rollover standards, ELDs coming soon, etc

• Grooming future customers with more school group trips

• Infrastructure in desperate need of repair• Overcrowded highways and congested cities

The future…

• Technology will transform our equipment, the way we utilize our equipment and the way customers access our equipment

• Congested cities/towns will create more demand for group travel and mass transit

• Younger generation will be more accustomed to motorcoach travel than the “baby boomers”

Future....unknowns

• Equipment costs?• Driver availability?• Fuel costs/supply?• Technology... driverless buses????• Uber...Lift...other????• Infrastructure?• Low cost airlines?

Overall Assessment

The future of the motorcoach industry, while unknown, looks bright. The question is……what companies/types will be able to survive current market challenges and to capitalize on what will be increased demand for private motorcoach services in the future.

Everything that is now POSSIBLE was once IMPOSSIBLE…

…author unknown

Paul Cremers Board member GPN CEO Staf Cars CEO Solmar Tours

Program

1. Presentation Companies

2. Pros & cons coach travels

3. Future perspective

4. Questions

1.1 Global Passenger Network

1.2 Presentation Staf Cars N.V.

1.3. Presentation Solmar Tours

1. Presentation Companies

International network of high quality motor coach services

Coach Company

Tour Operator

1.1 Global Passenger Network An elite association of the best motor coach companies in the world,

founded in 2006 to improve the image of the bus and coach sector as a quality mode of transportation.

High quality motor coach and bus services through one website.

A wide choice of transportation services in vehicles ranging in size from 6 to 77 seats in many countries and continuously growing.

Creative Solutions to meet the specific needs of the customers and special services for MICE planners and tour operators including travel planning and scheduling.

1.2 STAF CARS N.V.Driving people in all market segments including schools, work traffic, sports associations, VIP’s and tourism

Established in 1952

100 coaches

160 employees of which 140 coach drivers

7.2 million km a year

Transfers people in all market segments including school transport , work traffic , sports clubs , VIP and tourism

Facts & figures

Average of 100 coachesAverage age of tourism coaches : 1.5 yearsAverage age of school transports : 8 yearsAverage age coaches total : 4.3 years

Total km : 7.200.000 kmDiesel : 2.200.000 literSales coach rental : € 10.900.000

1.3 Solmar ToursDirect selling tour operator

Founded in 1984

20 employees

80.000 passengers every year

Specialized in coach holidays to Spain and Croatia

Excursion holidays within Europe

Direct sales without intervention of travel agencies

Situation & transfer point

The office and our transfer point are located in Maarheeze, in the southeast

of the Netherlands, nearby the German and Belgian border.

We can move up to 3000 passengers in one departure or arrival

2. Pros & cons coach travels

Pros: The greenest vehicle The safest vehicle The most value for money

Cons:- Clients don’t like coaches- Coaches are uncomfortable - It takes to much travel time

It is no different for the economic race .Whether you consider yourself a gazelle or a lion, you simply have to run faster than others to survive!

Each new day in Africa, a gazelle wakes up knowing he must outrun the fastest lion.

At the same time, a lion stirs and stretches, knowing he must outrun the slowest gazelle or starve and die ….

1) “Office” coaches: travel time becomes work time

2) Large bus stations between cities and conurbations

3) Seat comfort and on board multimedia, Wi-Fi, high tech

4) Coaches will be used like taxis

5) Electric coaches

6) Unmanned Intercity coaches

Convert the extra travel time in “life-experience”

3.1 Office coach

travel time becomes work time …

3.2 Large bus stations

between cities and conurbations

3.3 Seat comfort & on board media

2+1 seats, larger seats, better comfort

3.4 Coaches will be used like taxis

Clients will think and order on the spot

3.5 Electric coaches

Green solution

3.6 Unmanned intercity coaches

No more drivers, coaches operated automatically

4. Questions…

Debate

Access of buses and coaches to cities and their infrastructure: today and tomorrow

• Prasanna Patwardhan, Chairman & Managing Director, Prasanna Purple Mobility Solutions

• Mark D’Eigens, President, Flemish Association of Bus & Coach Operators

Debate

Busworld & IRU

welcome [s21212c554425f761.jimcontent.com] · of mobility 20 connected and automated mobility...

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