zero–zero pathways environmental protection and climate change opportunities andrew scott –...

Zero–Zero Pathways

Environmental Protection and Climate Change Opportunities

Andrew Scott – Research Fellow

24 March 2015

Two fundamental goals

Two goals:• The eradication of poverty by 2030• Keeping average global temperature rise below 2°C

= Zero - Zero post-2015 agenda

3

Zero emission pathways

4 Source: ODI, 2014

Zero extreme poverty by 2030

5 Source: ODI, 2014

Projections of extreme poverty headcount rate by 2030

The energy trilemma

Three objectives:

• Secure, reliable supplies to meet increased demand• Universal access to modern energy services• Transition to low-carbon energy systems

6

Investment in renewable energy 2004-2013

7 Source: BNEF

Levelised Cost of Renewable Electricity

8 Source: IRENA

Employment in renewable energy

9 Source: IRENA

Agriculture challenges

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• Growth in demand: 60% by 2050• Agricultural productivity

Sustainable rice systems

11 Source: Oxfam

Global food losses

12 Source: FAO

Conclusions

The market for low-carbon technologies is large and growing

Strong agreements in 2015 will strengthen the case for low-carbon pathways

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ODI is the UK’s leading independent think tank on international development and humanitarian issues. We aim to inspire and inform policy and practice to reduce poverty by locking together high-quality applied research and practical policy advice.

The views presented here are those of the speaker, and do not necessarily represent the views of ODI or our partners.

Overseas Development Institute

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a.scott@odi.org.uk