an integrated approach to preventing substance use in adolescents: 24-month … · champion 1., n....
TRANSCRIPT
An integrated approach to preventing substance use in adolescents: 24-month outcomes from the
CAP (Climate and Preventure) intervention in Australian schools
N.C. Newton1., M. Teesson1., P. Conrod2., T. Slade1., K. Champion1., N. Nair1., E. Kelly1., N. Carragher1., E. Barrett1.
1. NHMRC Centre for Research Excellence in Mental Health
and Substance Use, National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales
2. Sainte-Justine University Hospital Center, Universite de Montreal, Canada
Why prevent? • Harms from alcohol misuse are substantial • Early, persistent or binge drinking in adolescence can
have long-term consequences • Even modest reductions in risky drinking could have
large societal impacts
Types of prevention 1. Universal: delivered to entire population regardless of
level of risk 2. Selective: targeted to groups at greatest risk of
developing problems
Is universal prevention effective? • A recent review identified some evidence of positive
effects from universal prevention programs: – EU-DAP/Unplugged (Faggiano, 2010)
– Life Skills Training Program (Botvin et al, 2001)
– Good Behaviour Game (van Lier, 2009)
• However, program content and delivery context were identified as potential barriers to effective prevention
‘Climate Schools’ program • Overcomes conceptual and implementation difficulties:
– Social influence approach – Harm-minimisation goal – Internet-based delivery – Embedded in school curriculum – Interactive and engaging storyboards
• Shown to be effective in: – Increasing alcohol knowledge; reducing average weekly alcohol
use, frequency of drinking to excess and alcohol harms (Newton et al., 2009a; 2009b, 2010)
Aim of the current study • To further test the efficacy of the ‘Climate Schools’
universal prevention program in: – Increasing alcohol knowledge – Reducing alcohol use – Reducing binge drinking – Reducing alcohol-related harms
Criticisms of universal prevention • Magnitude of the effect is small (effect sizes ≈ 0.3) • Effects may be short-lived • Programs may be less effective in “high-risk”
adolescents
Can we improve prevention efforts by supplementing a universal prevention program with a selective prevention program for “high-risk” adolescents?
Personality and substance use
Negative Thinking
Anxiety Sensitivity
Sensation Seeking Impulsivity
• Earlier onset drinking
• Greater drinking to cope
• Greater binge drinking
• More alcohol-related harms
• Later onset drinking • More responsive to
anxiolytic effects of alcohol
• Earlier onset drinking • Associated with other
high-risk behaviours
Conrod et al., 2000; Comreau et al., 2001; Woicik et al., 2009
Substance Use Risk Profile Scale
Preventure* • Personality-targeted prevention program (13-14 yr olds) • Aims to increase coping skills in “high-risk” adolescents • Effective in:
– reducing quantity of alcohol use – reducing frequency of alcohol use – reducing binge drinking – reducing personality domain-specific outcomes, e.g. depression
in high-risk negative thinking and panic symptoms in high-risk anxiety sensitivity
* Castellanos et al., 2006; Conrod et al., 2006 ; 2008, 2010; 2011
Can we improve prevention efforts by supplementing a universal prevention program with a selective personality-
targeted prevention program for “high-risk” adolescents?
‘Climate Schools’ – content • Two modules for Year 8 students (13-14 years old) • Each module consists of 6 lessons (20 mins online and
20 mins teacher led activities) covering: – Alcohol guidelines and laws – Normative use – Short and long term risks – Influence of media / peers – Drug refusal and minimisation skills – Staying safe and first aid
Preventure - content • All adolescents screened using the SURPS • “High-risk” adolescents take part in two 90-minute coping
skills workshops: – manualised – facilitator-led – content differs depending on personality – based on motivational interviewing (MI)
and cognitive behaviour therapy (CBT) principles
• First time Preventure trialled in Australia
Climate and Preventure (CAP) trial*
* Newton N, Teesson M, Barrett E, Slade T, Conrod P CAP study, evaluation of integrated universal and selective prevention strategies for youth alcohol misuse: Study protocol of a cluster randomized controlled trial BMC Psychiatry (2012) 12 118
+ =
CAP trial design • Four group cluster RCT with schools randomised to:
Control – education as usual Climate alone – universal prevention (for all) Preventure alone – selective prevention (for “high-risk”) CAP – universal prevention (for all) + selective
prevention (for “high-risk”)
Assessment Baseline
Survey
Climate Schools program
Preventure program (high-risk
students only)
Post-test survey
12 month F/U
survey
24 month F/U
survey
36 month F/U
survey
Timing Term 1-2 Feb-April
2012
Terms 1&3 Feb-Sept
2012
Terms 1-3 Feb-Sept
2012
Term 3-4 July-Dec
2012
Term 1 Feb-April
2013
Term 1 Feb-April
2014
Term 1 Feb-April
2015
Grade Year 8 Year 8 Year 8 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11
CONTROL ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ CLIMATE ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ PREVENTURE ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ CAP ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Measures • Alcohol knowledge • Alcohol use (in the previous 6 months):
– any standard drink – binge drinking (5+ drinks) – average total consumption (quantity x frequency)*
• Alcohol related harms: – abbreviated version of the Rutgers Alcohol Problems Index
(RAPI)* • Other drug use, mental health, motivations, aggression, bullying, psychotic-like experiences…
* Log transformed due to skewness
Control
CAP (Universal + Selective)
Preventure (Selective)
Climate (Universal)
Hypotheses – total sample
Control Climate (Universal)
1. Climate > Control
This would be a replication of previous findings
Control
CAP (Universal + Selective)
2. CAP > Control
CAP (Universal + Selective)
Climate (Universal)
3. CAP > Climate
CAP (Universal + Selective)
Hypotheses – “high-risk” sample
Climate (Universal)
Preventure (Selective)
Control High risk
High risk
High risk
High risk
4. Preventure > Control
Preventure (Selective)
Control High risk
High risk
This would be a replication of previous findings
CAP (Universal + Selective)
5. CAP > Climate
Climate (Universal)
High risk
High risk
Schools recruited 27 schools (18 private, 9 public)
Total students: 3,361
Parental consent/return 2,608 students (77.6%)
CONTROL 7 schools
Students: 612
CLIMATE 6 schools*
Students: 708
PREVENTURE 7 schools
Students: 615
CAP 6 schools
Students: 673
Student consent / present at baseline
2,190 students
No consent / return No consent: 94 (2.8%) No return: 659 (19.6%)
* One school dropped out due to insufficient time and was not included in the intention to treat sample
Recruitment/Consent
CONTROL 7 schools
Students: 527
CLIMATE 6 schools
Students: 576
PREVENTURE 7 schools
Students: 478
CAP 6 schools
Students: 609
Low risk
57.7% (n=276)
High risk
42.3% (n=202)
Low risk
55.8% (n=340)
High risk
44.2% (n=269)
High risk
44.8% (n=236)
Low risk
58.3% (n=336)
High risk
41.7% (n=240)
Low risk
55.2% (n=291)
Preventure
Usual education Climate Climate
Preventure
Usual education
Screening
CONTROL 7 schools
N=527
CLIMATE 6 schools
N=576
PREVENTURE 7 schools
N=478
CAP 6 schools
N=609
84.4% (N=445)
75.5% (N=435)
65.9% (N=315)
77.8% (N=474)
89.6% (N=472)
83.3% (N=480)
73.0% (N=349)
84.9% (N=517)
85.4% (N=450)
78.8% (N=454)
70.5% (N=337)
80.6% (N=491)
76.2% (N=1669)
83.0% (N=1818)
79.1% (N=1732)
Post-intervention
Baseline
24 months post-baseline
12 months post-baseline
Follow-up rates
Baseline characteristics Total Sample
(N=2190) “High-risk”
Sample (N=947)
% male 57.4% 57.4%
% Independent/Catholic school 74.7% 74.2%
Mean (SD) age 13.3 (0.5) 13.3 (0.5)
Mean (SD) alcohol knowledge^ 7.8 (2.8) 7.8 (2.9)
% any standard drink* 10.3% 15.7%
% any binge drinking* 5.0% 7.5%
Mean (Range) total consumption# 1.5 (1-46) 2.1 (1-46)
Mean (SD) alcohol harms 5.1 (5.4) 6.2 (6.3)
^ Scale range 1-15 * In the previous 6 months # Number of standard drinks per month in the past 6 months (based on quantity x frequency)
Outcomes – knowledge (total sample) 7
89
1011
Mea
n sc
ore
on k
now
legd
e sc
ale
Baseline Post 12M F/U 24M F/U
Control ClimateCAP Preventure
*N=2189
Alcohol knowledge - total sample*
Adolescents in the Climate and CAP groups significantly increased their knowledge about alcohol
Based on GEE analyses with exchangeable working correlation matrix, modeling time as a continuous variable, centred at post-intervention. All analyses carried out in Stata v12.
Control Climate (Universal)
1. Climate > Control in total sample?
Based on GEE analyses with exchangeable working correlation matrix, modeling time as a continuous variable, centred at post-intervention. All analyses carried out in Stata v12. OR=odds ratio (95% CI) diff=mean difference over time between groups (95% CI)
Any drinking: OR=0.62 (0.49-0.77)
Binge drinking: OR=0.59 (0.44-0.77)
Total consumption: diff=-0.08 (-0.13- -0.02)
Alcohol harm: diff=-0.08 (-0.16- -0.01)
This is a replication of previous findings
Control
CAP (Universal + Selective)
2. CAP > Control in total sample?
Any drinking: OR=0.71 (0.58-0.87)
Binge drinking: OR=0.64 (0.48-0.85)
✖ Total consumption: diff=-0.02 (-0.08-0.05)
Alcohol harm: diff=-0.22 (-0.30- -0.14)
Based on GEE analyses with exchangeable working correlation matrix, modeling time as a continuous variable, centred at post-intervention. All analyses carried out in Stata v12. OR=odds ratio (95% CI) diff=mean difference over time between groups (95% CI)
CAP (Universal + Selective)
Climate (Universal)
3. CAP > Climate in total sample?
✖ Any drinking: OR=1.15 (0.94-1.41)
✖ Binge drinking: OR=1.10 (0.84-1.42)
✖ Total consumption: diff=0.04 (-0.02-0.09)
✖ Alcohol harm: diff=0.00 (-0.07-0.07)
Based on GEE analyses with exchangeable working correlation matrix, modeling time as a continuous variable, centred at post-intervention. All analyses carried out in Stata v12. OR=odds ratio (95% CI) diff=mean difference over time between groups (95% CI)
Binge drinking
Based on GEE analyses with exchangeable working correlation matrix, modeling time as a continuous variable, centred at post-intervention. All analyses carried out in Stata v12.
0.0
5.1
.15
.2.2
5P
roba
bilit
y of
bin
ge d
rinki
ng
Baseline Post 12M F/U 24M F/U
Control ClimateCAP
*N=2189
Binge drinking - total sample*21%
15%
~5%
4. Preventure > Control in “high-risk” sample?
Preventure (Selective)
Control High risk
High risk
This is a replication of previous findings
Any drinking: OR=0.72 (0.51-1.00)
Binge drinking: OR=0.61 (0.40-0.93)
✖ Total consumption: diff=-0.08 (-0.19-0.02)
Alcohol harm: diff=-0.22 (-0.36- -0.07)
Based on GEE analyses with exchangeable working correlation matrix, modeling time as a continuous variable, centred at post-intervention. All analyses carried out in Stata v12. OR=odds ratio (95% CI) diff=mean difference over time between groups (95% CI). Analyses control for baseline scores
CAP (Universal + Selective)
5. CAP > Climate in “high-risk” sample
Climate (Universal)
High risk
High risk
✖ Any drinking: OR=1.30 (0.92-1.84)
✖ Binge drinking: OR=1.11 (0.77-1.60)
✖ Total consumption: diff=0.06 (-0.03-0.15)
✖ Alcohol harm: diff=0.01 (-0.11-0.13)
Based on GEE analyses with exchangeable working correlation matrix, modeling time as a continuous variable, centred at post-intervention. All analyses carried out in Stata v12. OR=odds ratio (95% CI) diff=mean difference over time between groups (95% CI). Analyses control for baseline scores
Binge drinking in “high-risk” sample
0.1
.2.3
.4P
roba
bilit
y of
bin
ge d
rinki
ng
Baseline Post 12M F/U 24M F/U
Control ClimateCAP Preventure
*N=947
Binge drinking - 'high risk' subsample*
Based on GEE analyses with exchangeable working correlation matrix, modeling time as a continuous variable, centred at post-intervention. All analyses carried out in Stata v12.
30%
Conclusions • Universal prevention is effective • Selective (personality-targeted) prevention is effective
amongst high-risk adolescents • Combined universal + selective prevention is effective
when compared to education as usual • Universal alone and combined universal + selective
prevention are equally effective
Why are CAP and Climate equally effective?
• Any prevention is better than no prevention • CAP may be more effective for some personality profiles • CAP may be more effective for other outcomes, e.g. illicit
drug use, depression, anxiety • Schools differ in numbers of students at “high-risk” –
selective prevention might kick-in when the overall “load” of “high-risk” students exceeds a particular threshold
Implications • These results provide a strong rationale to roll out
universal school-based prevention – www.positivechoices.org.au
• Preventure may be warranted in schools with particularly high prevalence of “high-risk” students
• Additional costs associated with selective prevention need to be considered
• Need to continue exploring other agents of change: – Social networks – Parents
Acknowledgements • Participating schools and students • The CAP Study team:
– Emma Barrett, Katrina Champion, Erin Kelly, Julia Rosenfeld, Lucie Swaffield, Natasha Nair, Natacha Carragher
• Funding: – National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1004744)
Website: www.capstudy.org.au