analysis an asset structure
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
1/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
2/85
ANALYSIS AN ASSET STRUCTURES, ROE AND R/E INFLUENCE ON
CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND ITS INLFUENCE TOWARD TO EPS
BY
DIATRI ANDRINI
Student Number : 00.312.343
Approved By
Thesis Advisor
.......................... ..... - ................. - ........
Achmad Sobirin, Drs, M.Akt, Ph.d
Language Advisor
............................... ..... - ................. - ........
Widyasari Listyowulan
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
3/85
ANALYSIS AN ASSET STRUCTURES, ROE AND R/E INFLUENCE ON
CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND ITS INLFUENCE TOWARD TO EPS
A BACHELOR DEGREE THESIS
By
DIATRI ANDRINI
Student Number : 00.312.343
Defended Before The Board of Examiners
on .... - ................ - .....
and Declared Accpetable
Board of Examiners
Examiner 1:
Arief Bachtiar, Drs.,MSA.,Ak ....................................
Examiner 2:
Achmad Sobirin, Drs, M.Akt, Ph.d ....................................
Yogyakarta, - .... -
International ProgramFaculty of Economics
Islamic University of Indonesia
Dean
----------------------
Asmai Ishak, Drs., M.bus., Ph.D
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
4/85
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Diatri Andrini (2006) ; Analysis An Asset Structure, ROE And R/E Influence To
Capital Structure and Its Inlfuence Toward EPS To Determione The
Optimalization
Praise Allah S.W.T for all His unlimited and priceless blessings that always give
the writer way of strength from the beginning of this thesis until its completion.
(Alhamdulillah Hirabbill Allamin).
This thesis is made to fulfil the writers responsibility as the student of IslamicUniversity of Indonesia as the requisites to the completion of the study and the
achievement of Bachelor Degree of Economics. The writer hopes that this thesis
is able to give several benefits and also as the media to obtain more knowledge for
those who may needs the information contains in this thesis. Moreover, the writer
addresses her apology if this thesis is not a perfect one. The writer may hope for
several corrections further to elaborate this thesis better.
At this opportunity, the writer would like to address her gratitude to the following
people who shares their precious time, thoughts, power, and patience both directly
and indirectly.1. Dean of Faculty of Economics UII, Mr. Asmai Ishak, Drs., M.Bus., Ph.
D. for his leadership and providing several facilities that support and
make the academic activities more comfortable.
2. Academicals Advisor, Mr. M. Akhyar Adnan, Drs., MBA., Ph.D. for his
opportunity and giving the simplicity in the Independence Study to revise
my grade.
3. Thesis advisor, Mr. Achmad Sobirin, Drs., Ph.D for the time and
patience. You guide on finishing this thesis and inspiring me to select my
choice. The way you taught, even just one at MCS and how you
delivered certain theme and knowledge succeed to influence me and
attract my thought.
4. My only one beloved father, (Alm.) Dr. Indrawarman Seno Adjie.
Though I only remember you by memories and pictures, it is you who
becomes my source of life and spirit. You always guide me and remind
me and become the reason of everything. I am still not the person that
you want to be, but my journey is still far. I promise to be the one who
makes you smile in Heaven. You are my only Angel.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
5/85
5. My lovely family, my mother, sister and big brother for your prayers and
supports. Thank you for your both financial and non-financial support,
your advice became my shelter and brought peace to my heart. You are
all my light of my life, especially for my mother, you are my soul.
6. My best ever have. Thank you for your patience, time for share,
especially for showing the other side of life. It changes the way I thought
and saw before. Lets hope that we can achieve our own dreams and one
day we can be a best partner, brother and sister. To be the best ever have
in our life.
7. My friends in Faculty of Economics UII. Thank you for your time,
supports, helps, jokes, and shares. There are many more that influencesme, together with you all comforts my heart. Though we separate by time
and place, I believe that friends last forever.
8. All my friends in Solo. Thank you for your spare time. Seeing your jokes
makes me laugh and smile. You are always there for my pc games, fixing
my computer, advising me on buying computer parts. I believe I will lose
and being fake without you all.
9. This goes for those whom I cannot mention. I dont mean to forget you,
but there are too many to be remembered. I just hope best wishes for your
future.
Sincerely yours,
Diatri Andrini
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
6/85
TABLE OF CONTENT
Page
Page of Title ............................................................................................... i
Approval Page ............................................................................................ ii
Legalization Page ......................................................................................... iii
Acknowledgement ....................................................................................... iv
Table of Content ........................................................................................... v
List of Table ............................................................................................... vi
List of Graphic ................................................................................................ vii
List of Appendice ............................................................................................ viii
Abstract (English) ............................................................................................ ix
Abstract (Indonesia) ......................................................................................... x
Chapter I : INTRODUCTION
1.1. Study Background .. 1
1.2. Problem Identification . 4
1.3. Problem formulation 4
1.4. Limitation of research Area . 5
1.5. Research Objectives . 6
1.6. Research Contribution . 6
1.7. Writing Structure . 6
1.8. Definition of Terms . 8
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
7/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
8/85
4.2.1. First Step of Analysis . 41
4.2.2. Second Step of Analysis . 51
4.3. Research Findings 55
4.3.1. First Step Analysis Findings .. 55
4.3.2. Second Step Analysis Findings . 56
4.4Research implications 56
4.4.1Capital Structure 57
4.4.2Earning Per Share .. 57
Chapter V: CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
5.1. Conclusion 59
5.2. Recommendation . 62
BIBLIOGRAPHY
APPENDICES
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
9/85
LIST OF TABLE
Page
TABLE.I. Sampling-using Purposive Random Sampling .. 30
TABLE.II. Regression Analysis of X variables to Y1 variable ......... 42
TABLE.III. Multicolinaerity Test Result . 49
TABLE.IV. Autocorrelation Test Analysis Result .. 49
TABLE.V. Heteroskedasity Test Analysis Result . 50
TABLE.VI. Regression Analysis of Y2 variables to Y1 variable .. 52
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
10/85
LIST OF GRAPHIC
Page
GRAPHIC.I. Theoretical Framework . 22
GRAPHIC.II. Accepted and Rejected Area Hypothesis of F-test-first step
analysis 45
GRAPHIC.III. Accepted and Rejected Area Hypothesis of Asset Structure
variable . 46
GRAPHIC.IV. Accepted and Rejected Area Hypothesis of ROE variable .. 47
GRAPHIC.V. Accepted and Rejected Area Hypothesis of R/E variable . 48
GRAPHIC.VI. Accepted and Rejected Area Hypothesis of EPS variable 54
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
11/85
LIST OF APPENDICE
Page
Appendix - I First Step Regression Analysis ... 63
Appendix - II Second Step regression Analysis .. 64
Appendix - III Data Tabulation 65
Appendix - IV Durbin-Watson Table .. 68
Appendix - V F-table .. 69
Appendix - VI T-table 70
Appendix of Manufacturing Companies Financial Statement Year 2000-2003
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
12/85
ABSTRACT
Capital is a basic need for firms to start their business and expand-known
as globalization. To deal with globalization, firms should concern on financing
problems that focused on capital structure. Capital effect on the firms ability to
survive and compete with others firms (strong capital can kill the weak one).
So it is important for firms to make their financing decision-capital
structure decision, that is the choice between debt or equity financing. The best
proportion between debt and equity used will enter firms into the optimal capital
structure. Some of important judgemental issues should be applied consider to an
optimal capital structure
The aims of the research are: (1) to find out the magnitude of the asset
structures, return on equity-ROE and retained earnings-R/E variables influence on
the capital structure, and the magnitude of the capital structure variables influence
on the earning per share, (2) which variable influences the most significant and
dominant on the capital structure
One hundred and fifty-five go-public manufacturing companies in the JSXwere used as the population, and only eighty-four companies were collected as the
samples using the purposive random sampling technique. Recursive Models of the
Linear Regression, which was used as the analysis model, divided into two steps:
(1) regressing the magnitude of the asset structure, return on equity-ROE and
retained earnings-R/E variables as the independent variables on the Capital
structure as the dependent variable, (2) regressing the magnitude of the capital
structure variables as the independent variables on the earning per share-EPS as
the dependent variable.
Related to the aims, the results showed: (1) simultaneously, the three
variables significantly influenced the capital structure (F-stat; 1955, 066 > F-
tab;2,37 and p;0,000 < 0,05); whereas, partially, ROE significantly influenced (T-
stat;30,770 > T-tab ;1, 67 and p;0,000 < 0, 05 ), R/E significantly influenced (T-
stat; -5,107 > T-tab;-1, 67 and p;0,000 < 0, 05), only asset structures variable not
significantly influenced and. Partially, Capital structures EPS variable
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
13/85
significantly influenced the EPS(T-stat;-9,775 > T-tab;1, 67 and p;0,000 < 0, 05 );
whereas. (2) Only the ROE and R/E significantly and dominantly influenced the
capital structure.
.
Keywords : Asset structures, ROE, R/E, Capital Structures and EPS
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
14/85
ABSTRAK
Permodalan adalah kebutuhan yang paling mendasar diperlukan perushaan
untuk memulai bisnis mereka bahkan memeperluasnya-dikenal sebagai
globalisasi. Untuk menghadapai globalisasi, perusahaan harus lebih
memperhatikan masalah pendanaan yang berfokus kepada strucktur permodalan
karena permodalan berdampak kepada kemampuan perusahaan untuk bertahan
dan berkompetisi dengan perusahaan lain (perusahaan dengan modal kuat dapat
membunuh perusahaan dengan modal lemah).
Ini sangat penting bagi perusahaan untuk membuat keputusan pendanaan-
yaitu keputusan terhadap struktur permodalan, adalah pilihan untuk menentukan
antara pendanaan menggunakan hutang atau dengan modal sendiri. Proporsi yang
tepat terhadap penggunaan hutang dan modal sendiri akan mengantar perusahaan
tersebut mendapatkan struktur permodalan yang optimal. Beberapa permasalahan
penting harus diaplikasikan dalam menentukan struktur modal yang optimal.
Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah: (1) untuk mengetahui pengaruh structure
asset, ROE dan R/E terhadap struktur permodalan dan pengaruh strukturpermodalan itu sendiri terhadap EPS, (2) untuk mengetahui, variabel mana yang
paling berpengaruh dominan terhadap struktur permodalan.
Seratur lima pulih lima perusahaan manufaktur yang go public di BEj
digunakan sebagai populasi, dan hanya delapan puluh empat perusahaan
digunakan sebagai sample dengan menggunakan metode purposive random
sampling. Recursive model of the linear regression, yang digunakan untuk
menganalisa persamaan, terbagi menjadi dua langkah; (1) meregresi struktur
asset, ROE dan R/E sebagai variable bebas terhadap struktur permodalan sebagai
variable terikat, (2) meregresis struktur permodalan sebagai variable bebas
terhadap EPS sebagai variable terikat
Berdasarkan tujuan dari penelitian, hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa: (1)
secara simultan, tiga variable berpengaruh significan terhadap struktur
permodalan (F-stat; 1955, 066 > F-tab;2,37 and p;0,000 < 0,05); dimana, secara
parsial, ROE berpengaruh signifikan (T-stat;30,770 > T-tab ;1, 67 and p;0,000
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
15/85
0, 05 ), R/E berpengaruh signifikan (T-stat; -5,107 > T-tab;-1, 67 and p;0,000 < 0,
05), hanya struktur asset yang tidak berpengaruh signifikan, dan, secara parsial,
struktur permodalan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap EPS (T-stat;-9,775 > T-
tab;1, 67 and p;0,000 < 0, 05 ); dimana. (2) Hanya ROE dan R/E yang
berpengaruh paling signifikan dan dominant terhadap struktur permodalan..
Kata Kunci : Struktur Aset, ROE, R/E, Struktur Perodalan dan EPS
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
16/85
CHAPTER I
INTRODUCTION
1.1`Study Background
In starting business, a new firm requires capital, and still more capital is
need as if the firm is to expand. Market globalization seen by firms as an
opportunity to expand, they can market their products through out their own
countries. Market globalization gives a problem, that strong (in financially)
industries can kill the small (in financially) industries at the place where they
market their products. Many firms concentrate more on financing problem to
face this kind of problem.
Financing require fund and it can come from many different sources and
take many different forms. All capital classified into two basic types-debts and
equity which in the use one or both of them, gives advantages and
disadvantages. Generally, firms have a tendency to use their internal sources
(equity, retained earning, etc) as permanent capital and the external sources
such as debt, used by firms as complementary capital. As if a firm had deficit
in their internal resources (equity, R/E, etc), it is considered that firms use the
external resources (debt) as financing optional.
Based on those reasons, financial managers concern on both cost of capital
and the choice on capital structure, to determine from where the financing used
by firms came from. Financial managers are responsible for firms financing
decisions making. Financial manager should look for an efficient financing,
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
17/85
and concerned on the best financing mix or best capital structure (best
composition the use of debt financing or equity financing) determination.
The best financing mix or capital structure determination has an
understanding that capital structure decisions making are able to maximize the
value of firms. At the optimal level of capital structure, amount of debt used by
firms are able to minimize over all weighted average capital cost (WACC) then
the value of firms will be maximized (Martono andD. Agus.H; pg 239).
It is a difficult task to determine their precise optimal capital structure, so a
manager should apply judgemental issues in their quantitative analysis for
determining the financing resources used before determining the optimal level
of capital structure. Some of important judgemental issues taken consider to an
optimal capital structure are:
1.Control, majority control of manager has an effect on the choice of debt
use or stock published that are going used for their capital structure.
2.Business risk, a higher or lower business risk caused by the increasing or
decreasing such as sales variability, operating leverage and other factors
effect the amount of debt use.
3. Asset structure, suitability of firms asset structure effect the amount of
debt used.
4.Growth rate, movement of firms growth has an effect on the amount of
debt used.
5.Profitability (ROE), a higher or lower of firms capability to earn profit
using their own equity (known as ROE) effect the tendency in debt used.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
18/85
6.Taxes, the benefit of tax deductible a firm will get, will influence the
choice on amount of debt used.
7. Market condition, conditions in the stock and bond markets undergoes
both long-and short-run changes that can affect firms optimal capital
structure.
8. Retained earning, a firm choice whether to retain their profit earning or
to use their profit earning for dividend payment, will influence the
amount of debt used.
After determining financing resources came from for capital structure, then
the optimal level of capital structure determination needed to identify the effect
of financing resources choice in capital structure for firms. The optimal level of
capital structure determination could analyze through:
1. EBIT or EPS Analysis, the optimal capital structure analyzed by
examining how the changing of debt proportion uses affects its EPS.
2.EPS Indifference Analysis
3.The Effect of Capital Structures on Stock Price and Cost of Capital, the
optimal capital structure analyzed through the determination of the mix
of debt and equity that maximizes the value of the firm that is, its stock
price (not the firms EPS).
Further researches were needed, so firms financial manager able to make
their financing decision (about choice and proportion of debt or equity used)
consider on the optimal level of capital structure. Based on that, the writer
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
19/85
need to make research with the topic: Analysis an Asset Structure, ROE
and R/E Influence on Capital Structure and Its Influence toward EPS.
1.2Problem Identification
From the explanation mentioned before, the problem identification can be
identified as:
1.Is there any significant influence of asset structure, ROE, and retained
earning to capital structure and then, is there any significant influence of
capital structure to Earning Per Share (EPS)?
2.How is the influence of Assets Structure, ROE and Retained Earning to
the capital structure?
3.What is the variable that is dominantly influence the capital structure?
4.How is the influence of capital structure to EPS?
1.3Problem Formulation
Based on the study background mentioned before, the problem formulation
can be formulated become:
1.Is there any significant influence between asset structures to capital
structure at manufacturing companies listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange?
2.Is there any significant influence between, ROE to capital structure at
manufacturing companies listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange?
3.Is there any significant influence between retained earning to capital
structure at manufacturing companies listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange?
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
20/85
4.Is there any significant influence capital structure to EPS at
manufacturing companies listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange?
5.Which from three variables (asset structure, ROE and R/E) that
dominated influence to firms capital structure at manufacturing
industries published at Jakarta Stock Exchange?
1.4Limitation Of Research Area
To analyse the problem observed by the researcher, the limitation of my
research are:
1.Stock Exchange observed is only for Jakarta Stock Exchange, because
JSE is not only the first stock exchange in Indonesia but also the biggest
stock exchange in Indonesia.
2.During observation period, firms that become research object proved
listed and sold their stocks at Jakarta Stock Exchange.
3.Observation period use in this research is from January 2000 until
December 2003, because during that period is the time where the
condition of our country is raising up from crisis.
4.Firms stocks chosen for this research are stocks from manufacturing
industries and during research observation period, those stocks already
listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange.
5.Companies chosen is companies with the listing date before and till
December,31,1997
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
21/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
22/85
1.Capital Structure (Y1), define as firms long-term financing which is
shown by the comparison between debts use to equity use. Capital
structure reflects the capital sources and proportion use by firms for
financing its activity.
2. EPS (Y2) define as earning that can be earned by firms for each share
being sold. EPS measured by (net profit-dividend stock-dividend
preferred stock) divide by average rate stock published.
3. Asset Structure (X1) consists of current/fixed assets, investments, and
other. A firm, whose asset is suitable as security for loans, tends to use
debt. In this research, the asset structure variable measured from the
average of average of fixed assets divide by total asset
4. Return on Equity-ROE (X2), define as firms capability to earn profit
using their own equity where profit shared is profit for stockholder
(Earning After Tax).
ROE is as the measurement of income for stockholder for their capital
invested in firm and it measure firm capability to earn profit for
stockholder (Lukman, 1998; R.Agus, 1998).
5.Retained Earning (X3), Retained earning is the measurement amount of
earning that retained in percentage form and can be figure out by using
formula ( 1-c ) where c is percentage of earning that were divide.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
23/85
1.8Writing Structure
To make easier in understanding of thesis writing, writing structure
needed. The discussion of this thesis divided into 5 chapters. Those five
chapters are:
CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION
This chapter explains Study background, Problem
Identification, Problem formulation, Limitation of research
Area, Research Objectives, Research Contribution, and Writing
Structure.
CHAPTER II REVIEW RELATED LITERATURE
This chapter explains few things as a way to get close to
theoretic research problem that are going to be tested the truth.
This chapter involves Theoretical review (Functions of
Finance, The Choices in Financing, Understanding Financial
Structure, Understanding Capital Structure, Maximizing Value
of Firms), Review Previous Research Theoretical Framework,
and Hypothesis Formulation.
CHAPTER III RESEARCH METHOD
This chapter involves Type of Research Method, Research
Subject, Research Setting, Research Instrument, Research
Variables, Research Procedure, and Technique Data Analysis.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
24/85
CHAPTER IV RESEARCH FINDINGS, DISCUSSION, AND
IMPLICATIONS
This chapter involves Research Description, General Condition
of Capital Structure and Return on Equity, Research Analysis
(first and second step of analysis), Research Findings (first and
second analysis) and Research Implications.
CHAPTER V CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
This chapter consists of two sub chapter that is Conclusion and
Recommendation, which contains of the main problem that
already analyzed in this research.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
25/85
CHAPTER II
REVIEW RELATED LITERATURE
2.1 Theoretical Review
2.1.1 Functions of Finance
Firms ability to survive depend on its operational activity, its
profitability where all supported by a good financial management. That is
the basic reason why financial manager is an important instrumental to
companies succeed, because they involved in decision-making. Based on
the function of finance, the major decisional systems separated into three
parts where firms should make, those are:
1. The Investment Decisions
Investment decisions includes capital investment (that the
allocation of capital to investment proposals whose benefit realized
in the future.) and reallocate capital (occur when an asset no longer
economically justifies the capital committed to it.).
The investment decisions determine the total amount of assets held
by the firm, the composition of those assets, and the business-risk
complexion of the firm as perceived by suppliers of capital. In
selecting new investment, a company must manage existing of
asset efficiently.
2. The Financing Decisions
In financing decisions, the financial manager concerned with the
best financing mix or capital structure between debt, equity and
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
26/85
hybrid securities that minimizes a company's cost of capital
determination. The financing mix can simply measured by looking
at the proportion of debt in the total financing. This ratio called as
debt to capital ratio also known as DER.
3. The Dividend / Share Repurchase Decisions
The dividend / share repurchase decision is concern on the amount
of cash to distribute to stockholders. There are two methods of
distribution: cash dividend and share repurchase.
The dividend payout ratio and the number of shares repurchased
determine the amount of earnings retained in a company and going
evaluated in light of the objective of maximizing shareholder
wealth.
Those three major decisional systems related and influenced to each
other. The problems face by firms effect on the decision-making systems
made by firms, for an example, firms with the capital structure problems
concern on the financing decision, because this decision will help financial
manager to determine the capitals sources and proportion that will be
used by firms.
2.1.2 The Choices in Financing Decision
Financial manager who involved in financing decision-making should
choose and look for the best financings sources proportion and concerned
also with determining best capital structure. As if a mistake made on
financing decision-making, it will fatally effect on firms ability to survive.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
27/85
There are two basic types of capital as an optional for firms to make their
choices for financing decision-making. Those two basic types of capital
are:
1.Debt Sources for Financing
The essence of debt is that firms promise to make fixed payments
in the future (that is interest payments and repaying principal.). As if
firms fail on payments, a firm can lose it control on its business.
Debt take in different forms, are bank loans (commonly choose by
private business.) and bonds-is a debt instrument issued by corporation
in order to raise working capital (commonly choose by publicly traded
firms).
To measure how much the debt proportion used is by looking at the
proportion of debt in the total financing. DER-Debt to Equity Ratio
that stated in every firms financial statements reflects the proportion
of debt used by firms. Where DER formulated as:
Total Debt
Debt to Equity ratio =
Total Equity
The use debt as resources for firms financing should considered
for the following characteristic:
a.Firms committed to makes fixed payments in the future.
b.The fixed payment is tax deductible for firms that choose to use
debt financing.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
28/85
c.Failure to make payments can lead to either default or lose of
control of the firm to the party to whom payments are due.
The choice in debt use for financing will give not only several
advantages but also can existed several disadvantages for its using.
Several advantages in the debt use for financing are:
a.Interest payment is firms tax deductible (Tax beneficially)
The use of debt allowed firms to deduct interest expense from
income to arrive at taxable income that it will reduce firms
taxes, the higher the marginal tax rate of a business, the more
debt it will have in capital structure.
b.Add discipline to management
Manager of a firm with no debt and generate high income and
cash flow attempt to become complacent where it will lead to
inefficiency and investment poor project. The use of debt
makes managers have to ensure that the investment they make
will earn at least enough return to cover interest expenses.
c.Debt-holders limitations
Debt-holders are limited to a fixed return, so stockholders do
not have to share profits if the business does exceptionally
well. Debt-holders do not have voting rights, so stockholders
can control business with less money than would otherwise
required.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
29/85
There are several disadvantages that should used by financial
manager as basic consideration in the choice to use debt or not to use
for its financing. Those several disadvantages are:
a.Bankruptcy Costs
The increasing in the use of debt, it increases the probability
bankruptcy and hence the expected bankruptcy cost. The
greater probability of bankruptcy in the operating cash flow of
the firm, the less debt the firm can afford to use.
b.Agency costs
Agency cost arises when a firm hire outside parties to do
something for the firm, because firm interest may deviate from
those outside parties hired. The greater agency problems
associated lending to a firm the less debt a firm can afford to
use.
c.Loss of future flexibility
As if a firm borrows up to the capacity, it loses the flexibility of
financing structure projects with debt. The more uncertain a
firm is about its future financing requirements and projects, the
less debt the firm will use for financing current project.
2.Equity Sources for Financing
Equity describe as shares issued by a company representing
ownership in that company. Equity is amount of cash flows left over
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
30/85
after debt payments had been make. There are several different forms
of equity can be taking:
a.A very small businesses: owner investing for their investment
b.Slightly larger businesses: a venture capital
c.Publicity traded firms: common stocks.
The important in financing concept is sourcing and used of fund
problems, where fund sourcing can come from internal and external
resources and going to be used or allocated on firm assets.
2.1.3 The Understanding of Capital Structure
The right hand side of firms financial structure reflects firms capital
structure that focused only on permanent financing-consist of long-term
financing, preferred stock and shareholder equity, where firms should
determine the choice and proportion of internal or external financing
resources are going to be used.
Martono and Harjito, D.Agus (239; 241) define capital structure as the
comparison of long-term financing which reflected by the comparison
between long-term liabilities to owners equity. The owners equity
sources itself come from shareholder equity, and retained earning.
Financial manager should look for an efficient financing alternative
that occur as if firms has an optimal capital structure. Before determining
the optimal level of capital structure, it need to analyze several
judgemental issues consider on choice for financing. Some of important
judgemental issues taken consider to an optimal capital structure are:
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
31/85
1.Managements Control Position
Managements control position may influence the capital structure
decision in the choice of debt or equity use, as if management
barely has majority control (over 50% of the stock) but not in
position to buy any more stock, debt may as the choice for new
financing.
2.Business Risk
Business risk is a function of the uncertainty inherent in
projections of a firms future return on invested capital-ROIC or
the risk ness of the firms stock if it uses no debt. A higher-lower
level of business risk effect on the proportion of debt used, a firm
that has relatively low business risk (small sales variability, low
operating leverage, etc) can take more debt then the firm with high
business risk.
3.Asset Structure
Asset structures suitability effects on the choice and proportion
debt used in capital structure. A firm, which asset is suitable as
security for loans, tends to use debt rather heavily.
K.H, Kee (1993) found that firms with a bigger number of asset
structure have a tendency to use a bigger long-term debt too
because they use their asset as security for loans.
4.Level of Growth Rate
A firms growth movement effect on the choice of the internal and
external fund resources optional. A firm with a vastly growth, often
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
32/85
face a bigger uncertainty, then firm have a tendency to reduce their
willingness in the debt used.
5.Return on Equity-ROE.
ROE is firms capability to earn profit using their own equity. It
mean that ROE is contrast to the decision on the debt proportion
used by firms, a firm with very high ROE use relatively little debt,
because a high level of ROE mean a highly profitable firms that do
not need to do much in debt financing where their higher profit
enable them to do most their financing.
6.Taxes
A firm that use debt should make a fixed interest payment. The
interest payments are a deductible expense, while dividends are
not, therefore, the higher a firms corporate tax rate, the greater the
advantage using debt.
7.Market condition
Conditions in the stock and bond markets undergo both long-and
short-run changes that can affect firms optimal capital structure.
8.Retained Earning-R/E
R/E is the measurement amount of earning that retained in
percentage form. A firm that choose to retained their profit earn the
capabilities to form their internal fund (equity) is bigger, mean that
firms have a tendency to use internal fund resources rather using
debt.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
33/85
R. Agus (1998) argue that as if a firm choose to retained their
profit earn, so the capabilities to form internal fund (equity) is
bigger,
Bambang (1995) stated that one of important manager functions is
to determine net profit after tax allocation for one side and for
retained earning in the other side where the decision influence the
firm value.
An important concept in capital structure is Leverage (use of assets
and fund resources for increasing shareholder value or profit). The
beneficial using Leverage, that the interest payment by firm is cost that
tax deductible. so number of total funds for paying shareholder is much
bigger as if firm use debt.
The beneficial using debt for firm is Tax, because the interest debt
payment is a tax deductible or tax saving, the higher firms debt tax,
the higher beneficial in using debt (R. Agus, 1994;.Horne 1995)
Modligani and Miller (MM) stated that as If theres tax, the capital
structure changes become relevant, this because the interest payment
function as tax deductible, so for firms use debt can get tax saving and
will increasing the shareholder value then the value of firm will
maximized.
From explanation above can be concluded that firms who use debt
will get tax saving, so firms tend to use external fund resources (Debt)
bigger, where it will influence the capital structure, because tax saving
will increase Earning After Tax (EAT).
2.1.4 The Optimal Capital Structure Determination
After knowing which fund resources used for capital structure, the
further step could be taken is to determine whether the choice of fund
resources for capital structure is optimal. At optimal capital structure, the
combination of debt and equity maximized the value of firm because
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
34/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
35/85
In this research, the analysis of an optimal capital structure focus on
the use of Earning Per Share-EPS Analysis to determine the optimal
capital structure. The changes in the use of debt affect the changes in
Earning Per Share (EPS) and then will cause the changes in stock price.
As if there are two firms that earn same profit level where one of
them use debt and the other one do not use, than tax income payment
is not same, because firm that use debt will pay smaller tax (Horne,
1995; Sutrisno, 2000)
Stated before, firms that use debt will have small net income, because
firms have to pay interest debt, but they will pay smaller tax, it means
firms get tax saving. When firms use no debt, they have to pay bigger tax,
it mean there is no tax saving they can get.
Even though it is difficult to stated precise level of an optimal capital
structure, the basic concept to determine whether the choice of debt and
equity used for capital structure is optimal that the proportion of debt used
followed by the increasing of earning per shareEPS level. The proportion
of debt used followed by the increasing of EPS level because when firm
use amount of debt as firms capital structure, they have to make fixed
interest payment, at other side, the interest payment is tax deductible or it
make firm to pay a smaller tax.
It should be remained that made a correct amount of debt proportion
used followed by the increasing of EPS level, and when incorrect amount
debt used, it might be followed by the decreasing of EPS level as if other
variables do not influence. Earning Per Share formulated as:
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
36/85
(Sales Fixed Cost Variable Cost Interest) (1 Tax)
EPS =
Number Shares published
or simplify as follows ;
(EBIT - 1) (1 T)
EPS =
Number shares published
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
37/85
2.2 Theoretical Framework
Based on the theory brief explained at theoretical review, the framework
of this research are
Three Major Decisional Systems
Investment decision Financing decision Dividend / Share repurchase
decisions
Debt Financing Equity Financing
Financial Structure (right hand side)
Capital Structure (Y1)
Asset Structure ROE Retain Earning
(X1) (X2) (X3)
Earning Per Share-EPS (Y2)
Optimal Capital Structure
GRAPH.I
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
38/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
39/85
precise of optimal capital structure level, but to identify whether the choice
and proportion of debt used by firms for its capital structure is optimal or not ,
that the proportion of debt used by firms followed by the increasing of earning
per share-EPS level.
2.3Review Previous research
Review of previous research used a literature to develop the research for
the future need. Several of previous researches used for this research are:
1From the Nunung, Goniyahs analysis (1997) about the capital structure
influence to ROE and earning per share at food and beverages industries
listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange, it stated that:
a.Capital structures positively and influence significantly to ROE.
b.Capital structure positively and influence significantly to ROE
because ROA is greater that Interest debt.
2From the Maryam, Zanariahs analysis (1998) about variables
influenced capital structure and its influence toward ROE at metal
product industry listed at Jakarta stock exchange, it stated that
a.Debt Tax negatively and influence significantly to financing
structure
b.Leverage has positive and influence significant to ROE
c.Interest debt does not influence significantly to ROE.
d.ROA positively and influence significantly to ROE.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
40/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
41/85
tax variables, increase capital structure variable for 62, 7239%. It
shown that burden tax becomes a consideration for management in
their way to get tax saving from leverage level of return.
e.Retained earning positively but not influence significantly to capital
structures. It shown that firm tend to make dividend payment to
increase stock price for increasing firms value also.
f.Capital structures positively and influence significantly to ROE that
as if other variables remain constant, every 1% change of capital
structures variables, increase ROE variable for 29, 4399%. It shown
that, as if the firms external capital increased, the firms ability to
earn profit using their internal capital also increased.g.Burden tax positively and influence significantly to ROE that as if
other variables remain constant, every 1% change of burden tax
variables will increase ROE variable for 1, 4110%. It is shown that,
when the interest levels increase, firms tend to use their own
internal equity. With a condition that ROE is smaller than interest
level.
h.ROA positively and influence significantly to ROE that as if other
variables remain constant, every 1% change of ROA variables will
increase ROE variable for 95, 3678%. It shown that, firms ROA is
bigger than interest debt, by debt financing, firms able to increase
their ROE level so the firms value can also be increased
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
42/85
4From the Okky, Andys analysis (2004) about variables influence capital
structure at manufacturing industries listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange for
period of 2000-2003, it stated that:
a.Firm size structures positively and influence significantly to capital
structures that as if other variables remain constant, every 1% change
of firm size variables, increase capital structure variable for 12, 3%.
It shown that even though the bigger the firms size, they tend to
increase the debt proportion used.
b.Business risk negatively and influence significantly to capital
structures that as if other variables remain constant, every 1% change
of business risk variables, decrease capital structure variable for-
10,7%.
c.Firm size negatively and influence significantly to capital structures
that as if other variables remain constant, every 1% change of firm
size variables, decrease capital structure variable for 38, 7863%. It
occurs because the bigger the firms size, the more tendency to
decrease the capital structure components especially on the debt
used.
d.Asset structures positively and significantly influence capital
structures that as if other variables remain constant, every 1% change
of asset structures variables, increase capital structure variable for 2,
328%.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
43/85
e.Profitability positively but not influence significantly to capital
structures.
f.Ownership positively and influence significantly to capital structure
that as if other variables remain constant, every 1% change of
ownership variables, increase capital structure variable for 1, 650%.
2.4Hypothesis Formulation
Hypothesis is temporary answer that still need to be proving its
correctness, and needed to give direction to the writer about what are going to
be done. Based on the theoretical framework above, the hypotheses for this
research are as follows:
1.Asset structure (X1), return on equity / ROE (X2), and retained earning
(X3) simultaneously and positively influence capital structure (Y1) at
manufacturing industries listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange.
2.Asset structure (X1) partially and positively influence capital structure
(Y1) at manufacturing industries listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange.
3.ROE (X2), partially and negatively influence capital structure (Y1) at
manufacturing industries listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange.
4.Retained earning (X3) partially and negatively influence capital structure
(Y1) at manufacturing industries listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange.
5.Capital structure (Y1) simultaneously and positively influence EPS (Y2)
at manufacturing industries listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
44/85
6.Capital structure (Y1) partially and positively influence EPS (Y2) at
manufacturing industries listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
45/85
CHAPTER III
RESEARCH METHOD
3.1Type Research Method
The study method applied in this research is quantitative descriptive study.
This approach was choosing because the research object has real and concrete
performance.
3.2Research Subject
3.2.1Population and Sample
Population for this research are industries / companies that were listed
( go public ) at Jakarta Stock Exchange from year 2000 until 2003 for 323
companies, using purposive random sampling (one of sampling technique
non probabilistic taken based on research purpose and the writer
consideration criteria) sample taken is 84 manufacturing companies, with
the description in table below
Table I.: Sampling
Using: Purposive Random SamplingCompanies listed at BEJ 323 companies
Non-Manufacturing Companies (168)
Manufacturing Companies 155
Companies listing after Dec,311997 ( 37)
Companies not listing ( 10)
Data error ( 24)
Sample taken 84 companies
.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
46/85
Data being used is secondary data that were published by government,
private or other organization ( such As Jakarta Stock Exchange ) in form
of research report, science journals, magazine, Indonesia Capital Market
Directory ( especially for capital structure and other literature that contain
the development of manufacturing industries.). Data gathered using
documentation technique with pooled data type, by this type, amount of
observation is 252 cases that get from number of year (3) observed
multiply by number of sample (84).
3.3Research Setting
The research taken place at Jakarta Stock Exchange, because Jakarta Stock
Exchange as one of the biggest go public firm stock selling in Indonesia.
3.4Research Instrument
The hypotheses tested using Multiple Linear Regression with Recursive
Model. This model was choosing because this research set to identify the
significant of independent variable influence to two dependent variables that
were recursively analyse.
Recursive model for this analysis for this research formulated as follows:
Y1 = 10 + 11X1 + 12X2 + 13X3 + 1t
Y2 = 20 + 21Y1 + 2t
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
47/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
48/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
49/85
3.7Technique Data Analysis
Step taken to analysis the regression are as follows:
1.Regress between dependent variable (Y1)-Capital Structure with
independent variables (X1, X2, and X3) Asset Structure, ROE, and
Retained Earning.
a.Test the influence independent variables simultaneously (F-test):
F-test used to figure how far independent variable together influence
dependent variable. Step taken to analysis hypothesis testing to value
variation of dependent variable explained by value variation of
dependent variable as follows:
(1).Determining Hypothesis
Ho: b1, b2, b3 = 0, There is no significant influence Asset
Structure, ROE, and Retained Earning to capital structure
Ha; b1, b2, b3 0, There is significant influence Asset Structure,
ROE and Retained Earning to capital structure
(2).Determining F-table, with 5% significant level
(3).Determine F-Statistic
r2
( n 1 k )F statistic =
K ( 1 r2 )
(4).Decision making criteria
If; F Statistic > F table, reject Ho
If; F statistic < F table, Ho accepted
( Algifari 1997, 59 )
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
50/85
(5).Accepted / rejected area
(6).Determining Conclusion
b.Test to the coefficient regression ( T-Test )
This test is to find out how far the significant each of independent
variables to dependent variables. In this test involve several steps,
those are:
(1).Determining Hypothesis for each variables :
(a).Ho; b1 = 0, there is no influence of asset structure to capital
structure
Ha; b1 0, there is influence of asset structure to capital
structure
(b).Ho; b2 = 0, there is no influence ROE to capital structure
Ha; b2 0, there is influence ROE to capital structure
(c).Ho; b4 = 0, there is no influence of retained earning to capital
structure
Ha; b4 0, there is influence of retained earning to capital
structure
(2).Determining T table, with 5% significant level
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
51/85
(3).Determining T statistic using formula
r n 1 kT statistic =
1 r2
Where
T statistic = statistic test
r = product prouct moment coefficient
n = number of sample
k = number of variable X
(4).Decision making criteria
If; T statistic > T table, Ho reject
If; T statistic < T table, Ho accepted
(5).Accepted / rejected area
(6).Determining Conclusion
c.Measurement Percentage influence all independent variables
Percentage influence of all independent variables to dependent
variable can be figure out through determinant coefficient ( R
squared / R2 ). The number of coefficient determination come from 0
until 1, close to 0 it mean : smaller the influence of all independent
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
52/85
variables to dependent variable and close to 1 mean : bigger
influence of independent variables to dependent variable.
d.Classical Assumption Test
In theoretically, model used in this research will result a good
parameter value of hypothesis model as if already acquired for the
classical assumption those are multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity,
and auto correlation. (Santoso, 2000; 30)
(1).Multicollinearity
Test to figure out whether in regression, there is a correlation
between independent variable, as if there were a correlation so
there will be a multi co linearity problem.
Multicollinearity use to find out the perfect linear relationship
of neither some nor all independent variables inside of
regression model used. As if the level of correlation < 90 %, so
there is no multicollinearity problems.
(2).AutoCorrelation
Auto correlation use to find out whether there is a correlation
between sample yang diurutkan based on time. The
consequences of the auto correlation existences inside of
regression model is the sample variance could not describe
populations variance, so the regression model can not use to
predict dependent variable value at independent variable value.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
53/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
54/85
Ho ; Y1 = 0 , there is no influence capital structure to earning
per share
Ha ; Y1 0 , there is influence of capital structure to earning
per share
(2).Determining T table, with 5% significant level
(3).Determining T statistic using formula
r n 1 k
T statistic =
1 r2
Where
T statistic = statistic test
r = product prouct moment coefficient
n = number of sample
k = number of variable X
(4).Decision making criteria
If; T statistic > T table, Ho reject
If; T statistic < T table, Ho accepted
(5).accepted / rejected area
(6).Determining Conclusion
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
55/85
CHAPTER IV
RESEARCH FINDINGS, DISCUSSION, AND IMPLICATIONS
4.1Research Description
In this research, data analyzed using multiple linear regression analysis
with recursive model. This model chosen because this research set to identify
the significant of independent variable influence to two dependent variables
that were recursively analyse that is to figure out the influence of Assets
Structure, ROE and R/E to Capital Structure and its influence toward to EPS.
Data analyzed helped using SPSS.11 version.
323 companies listed at Jakarta Stock Exchange from January 2000 until
December 2003 are the population for this research. 84 samples taken using
purposive random sampling (sampling technique non-probabilistic taken
based on research purpose and the writer consideration criteria). Some criteria
used are classification of manufacturing and non-manufacturing companies,
listing date and data error. Data gathered using documentation method (data
gathered from firms prospectus and other literature support for this research)
and data take from Jakarta Stock exchange at Islamic University of Indonesia.
Then data tabulated to make easier in data processing.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
56/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
57/85
The result of regression analysis using SPSS 10.0 version are as follows:
Table II.
Regression Analysis of X variables to Y1 variable
Variables Coeff. Regression Stand. Coeff. Beta Sig. t
X1 0,155 0.001 0,040*
X2 - 6,623 0.973 56,001*
X3 - 7,730 - 0.038 - 2,189*
Intercept 2,688 1.943*
F. significant = 1369,864
R. squared = 0.982
Where:
X1 = Asset Structure
X2 = Return On Equity-ROE
X3 = Retained Earning-R/E
* = Significant at = 0, 05 or at level 5 %
From table above, the multiple linear regressions stated as follow:
Y1 = 2.688 + 0.155X1 - 6.623X2 7,730X3 + 1t(1).Coefficient Asset Structure (X1)
Asset Structure (X1) has a positive sign of multiple coefficient
regression for 0,155. It means, as if the others coefficient multiple
regression variables remain constant, the changes of asset structure
variable for 1% will increase the capital structure variables for
0,155 (or 15,5%).
From analyzed data, the changes of asset structure followed by
capital structure increasing. It is show that firms have a bigger
amount of asset so they tend to use debt financing. It occurs
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
58/85
because firms might use their asset as debt collateral to get debt
financing. In his research, K.H, Kees (1993) stated that firms with
a bigger asset structures, have a tendency to use a bigger debt
(especially long-term debt) for its financing activity.
(2).Coefficient Return On Equity-ROE (X2)
Coefficient Return on Equity-ROE (X2) has a negative sign of
multiple coefficient regression for -6.623. It means, as if the other
coefficient regression value variables remain constant, the changes
of Return on Equity-ROE variable for 1% will cause the decreasing
of the capital structure variable for 6.623 (or 66,23%).
From analyzed data, the ROE changes followed by the capital
structure decreasing. It is show that profit earn by firms increased
by the equity financing rather than debt financing or in other word,
firms tend to use their equity rather debt for its capital structure to
finance its activity.
(3).Coefficient Retained Earning-R/E (X3)
Coefficient Retained Earning (X3) has a negative sign of multiple
coefficient regression for -7,730. It mean, as if the others
coefficient regression variables remain constant, the changes of
Retained Earning (X3) variables for 1% will cause the decreasing
of the capital structure variable for 7,730 (or 77,30%).
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
59/85
From analyzed data, the R/E changes followed by the capital
structure decreasing. It is show that when the percentage of profit
stated as retained profit is bigger, the dividend payout ratio is
smaller, and then it will increase their own equity and finally will
effect on the capital structure decreasing, because a firm have a
tendency to use internal fund resources rather using debt. In his
theory, Agus.R (1998) stated that as if a firm choose to retain their
profit earning rather use it to pay dividend, then the capabilities to
form internal fund (equity) is getting bigger.
(4).Constant ( )
Constant is 2.688. It mean that, as if the other variables-asset
structure (X1), Return on Equity (X2), and Retained Earning (X3)
remain constant or equal to zero, the capital structure will increase
for 2,688 or (26,88%)..
From analyzed data, as if firms internal sources remain zero
(retained earning = 0) and firms capability to earn profit using
own equity remain zero (ROE = 0), firm will chose to use their
external fund resources (debt financing) as an optional for their
operational activity also earn profit.
2.F-Test Analysis
aDetermining Hypothesis
Ho: b1, b2, b3 = 0, There is no significant influence Asset Structure,
ROE, and Retained Earning to capital structure
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
60/85
Ha; b1, b2, b3 0, There is significant influence Asset Structure, ROE
and Retained Earning to capital structure
bDetermining F-table, with 5% significant level
cDetermine F-Statistic
r2 ( n 1 k )
F statistic =
K ( 1 r2 )
dDecision making criteria
If; F Statistic > F table, reject Ho
If; F statistic < F table, Ho accepted
( Algifari 1997, 59 )
eAccepted or rejected area
Graph.1I
f Determining Conclusion
Based on the multiple linear regression result in Table I, can be seen that
F - Statistic (1369,864) > F - Table (2,76) and p (0,000) < 0,05. It mean
that Ho is rejected and Ha is accepted or in other word that at
manufacturing companies ,simultaneously the assets structure, ROE and
retained earning variables influence significantly to capital structure.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
61/85
3.T-Test Analysis
aInfluence Assets Structure (X1) to Capital Structure (Y1) :
(1).Determining the hypothesis
Ho; b1 = 0, there is no influence of asset structure to capital
structure
Ha; b1 0, there is influence of asset structure to capital structure
(2).Determining T table ( 5%, df = 77) = 1,66 and T statistic = 0,040
(3).Decision making criteria
If; T statistic > T table, Ho reject
If; T statistic < T table, Ho accepted
(4).Accepted or rejected area
Graph.1II
(5).Determining Conclusion
Because of T-tab (-1,66) < T-stat (0,040) < T-tab (+ 1,66), and p
(0,968) > 0, 05 (5%), it means that Ho is accepted and Ha is
rejected or in other word that at manufacturing companies, partially
the assets structure variable do not significantly influence to capital
structure.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
62/85
bInfluence Return On Equity (X2) to Capital Structure (Y1)
(1).Determining the hypothesis
Ho; b2 = 0, there is no influence ROE to capital structure
Ha; b2 0, there is influence ROE to capital structure
(2).Determining T table ( 5%, df = 77) = 1,66 and T statistic = 56,001
(3).Decision making criteria
If; T statistic > T table, Ho reject
If; T statistic < T table, Ho accepted
(4).Accepted or rejected area
Graph.1V
(5).Determining Conclusion
Because of T-stat (56,001) > T-tab (1, 66) and p (0,000) < 0, 05
(5%), it means that Ho is rejected and Ha is accepted or in other
word that at manufacturing companies , partially the ROE variable
influence significantly to capital structure.
c Influence Retained Earning (X3) to Capital Structure (Y1)
(1).Determining the hypothesis
Ho; b4 = 0, there is no influence of retained earning to capital
structure
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
63/85
Ha; b4 0, there is influence of retained earning to capital structure
(2).Determining T table, ( 5%, df = 68) = 1,66 and T statistic = - 2,189
(3).Decision making criteria
If; T statistic > T table, Ho reject
If; T statistic < T table, Ho accepted
(4).Accepted or rejected area
Graph. V
(5).Determining Conclusion
Because of T-stat (-2,189) > T-tab (-1, 67) and p (0,032) < 0, 05
(5%), it means that Ho is rejected and Ha is accepted or in other
word that at manufacturing companies , partially the R/E variable
influence significantly to capital structure variable.
4.Multiple Linear Correlation
a.Correlation Coefficient and coefficient Determinant
From Table I, it is show that the value of coefficient determination (R
square or R2) is 0.982. It is show that 98,2 % variation of Capital
Structure determined by t he existence of asset structure, return on equity
(ROE) and retained earning (R/E) and another 0,018 or 1,8 % variation
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
64/85
of capital structure determined by another factors (beside capital
structure, ROE and R/E).
5.Classical Assumption Test
aMulti-co-linearity Test
Using SPSS 11.00 version, the multi-co-linearity test result can be seen
in this table below:
Table III
Multicolinaerity Test Result
Model Collinearity Statistic
Tolerance VIF
Constant
Assets Structure 0,996 1.004
Return On Equity 0,792 1,263
Retained Earning 0,789 1,268
Data observed do not contain multi-co-linearity problem as if the value
of VIF < 10 and Tolerance value 1
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
65/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
66/85
the normality assumption and there is no multicollinmearity,
autocorrelation and heteroskedasity problem, so this regression model
deserved to use.
4.2.2 Second Step of Analysis
The second step analysis is regress the influence of capital structure
variables to earning per share variable
1.Quantitative Analysis
aSimple Linear Regression
For this second step of analysis, a simple regression linear used to find
out relation pattern between one independent variable to one dependent
variable. The main purpose of this regression analysis to predict value of
dependent variable as if other variable that related to it already
determined. The second linear regression model for capital structure (Y1)
to Earning Per Share (Y2) are as follows:
Y2 = 10 + 11Y1 + 1tWhere:
Y2 = dependent variable- Earning Per Share (EPS)
10 = Intercept
Y1 = Capital Structure
1t = error term
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
67/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
68/85
using equity nor totally published stocks without any consideration
using debt.
(2).Constant ( )
Constant for - 33,267 mean that when the capital structures (Y1)
remain constant or equal to zero, so the earning per share will
decrease for 33,267. The firms earning per share decrease because
firms do not involved the used of debt where the use of debt will
give tax deductible for firms then the value of earning per share
become bigger rather using equity totally.
2.T-Test Analysis
aInfluence Capital structure (Y1) to Earning Per Share (Y2) :
(1).Determining the hypothesis
Ho; b1 = 0, there is no influence of Capital structure (Y1) to
Earning Per Share (Y2)
Ha; b1 0, there is influence of Capital structure (Y1) to Earning
Per Share (Y2).
(2).Determining T table ( 5%, df = 78) = 1,66
T statistic = -6,730.
(3).Decision making criteria
If; T statistic > T table, Ho reject
If; T statistic < T table, Ho accepted
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
69/85
(4).Accepted / rejected area
Graph.VI
(5).Determining Conclusion
Because T-stat (-6,730) > T-tab (-1,66), and p (0,000) < 0, 05 (5%),
it can be concluded that Ho rejected and Ha accepted, or in other
words that there is significant influence of capital structure variable
(Y1) to earning per share (Y2).
3.Multiple Linear Correlation
a.Correlation Coefficient and coefficient Determinant
From Table V shows that the value of coefficient determination (R-
square / R2) is 0.367 which show that 36,7 % variation of Earning Per
Share determined by the existence of capital structure variable. And
another 0,633 or 63,3% variation of earning per share determined by
another factors (beside capital structure).
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
70/85
4.3Research Findings
4.3.1 First Step of Analysis Findings
In first step of analysis, the writer observed an influence of independent
variables (assets structure, return on equity-ROE, and retained earning-
R/E) to dependent variable (capital structure), then the result of analysis
are:
1.Based on F-test of Analysis
Based on F-test analysis, found that F-statistic (1369,864) > F-table (2,76)
and p (0,000) < 0,05, it means that Ho is rejected and Ha is accepted. At
manufacturing companies, simultaneously the independent variables-
Assets Structure (X1), Return on Equity (X2) and Retained Earning (X3)
significantly influence the dependent variable-Capital Structure (Y1).
2.Based on T-test and Partial Correlation of Analysis
a.The T-test of Asset Structure to Capital Structure found that :
T-stat (0,040) < T-tab (+1,66), and p (0,968) > 0,05 (5%), it can be
concluded that Ho accepted and Ha rejected, or in other words that
there is no significant influence of asset structure variable (X1) to
capital structure.
b.The T-test of Return On Equity to Capital Structure found that :
T-stat (56,001) > T-tab (1,66), and p (0,000) < 0,05 (5%), it can be
concluded that Ho rejected and Ha accepted or in other words that
there is a significant influence of return on equity variable-ROE (X2)
to capital structure.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
71/85
c.The T-test of Retained Earning to Capital Structure found that :
T-tab (-2,189) >T-tab (-1, 66), and p (0,032) < 0,05 (5%), it can be
concluded that Ho rejected and Ha accepted, or in other words that
there is significant influence of retained earning variable-R/E (X3) to
capital structure.
4.3.2 Second Step of Analysis Findings
In second step of analysis, the writer observed an influence of independent
variable (capital structure) to dependent variable (Earning Per Share). The
analysis results are:
1.Based on T-test and Partial Correlation of Analysis
a.The T-test of Capital Structure to Earning Per Share found that :
T-Statistic (-6,730) > T-Table (-1,66), and p (0,000) < 0,05 (5%), it can
be concluded that Ho rejected and Ha accepted, or in other words that
there is significant influence of capital structure variable (Y1) to
Earning Per Share.
4.4Implications
4.4.1 Capital Structure
Asset structure positively and significantly influence to capital
structure. This shows that changes of asset structures followed by the
capital structure changes. This considered in memorising that the
decreasing of asset structure followed by the decreasing capital structure
and the increasing asset structure followed also by the increasing of capital
structure. Therefore, the debt increasing that directed to the increasing
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
72/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
73/85
increasing shareholder value using their own equity but tend to use debt as
firms financing. When R/E remain constant or zero, it means firms not
retain their profit earn to be re-invested then internal fund resources is
smaller. Because the internal fund resources is smaller, the firms chose to
used external fund resources (debt) for its financing activities
4.4.2 Earning Per Share (EPS)
Capital structure has a positive sign parameter and significantly
influence to Earning Per Share. This show that the changes capital
structure followed by the changes EPS, mean that the proportion debt use
by firms able to increase firms EPS, it might be that firms get tax
deductible from the interest payment so the value of EPS is bigger rather
firms use only or more tends to equity
However, when capital structures remain constant or zero, Earning per
Share has a negative sign parameter. This show that firms tend to use
equity to debt or the proportion debt already used by firm unable to
increase the value of earning per share. When the EPS value increases, it is
one indication that the capital structure own by firms is optimal or optimal
capital structure where the value of firms maximized.
Companies should consider for the increasing of capital structure
component, especially the financing using debt. The best proportion use
between debt and equity might give an increasing the EPS value and firm
get benefit from interest payment as firms tax deductible or as their tax
saving.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
74/85
CHAPTER V
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Conclusions
From analysis result been described in chapter before can give a conclusion as
follows:
1First step regression analysis between independent variable (asset
structure-X1, ROE-X2 and Retained Earning-X3) to dependent variable
(capital structure-Y1) result :
Y1 = 2.688 + 0.155X1 - 6.623X2 7,730X3 + 1tDefine that
a.Asset Structure (X1) has a positive sign of multiple coefficient
regression for 0,155. It means that as if the others coefficient multiple
regression variables remain constant (not change), the changes of asset
structure variable for 1 % will increase the capital structure variables
for 0,155 (or 15,50%).
b.Coefficient Return On Equity (X2), has a negative sign of multiple
coefficient regression for -6.623, it means that as if the other
coefficient regression value variables remain constant, so the changes
of return on equity variable for 1% will cause the decreasing of the
capital structure for 6.623 (or 66,23%).
c.Coefficient Retained Earning (X3) has a negative sign of multiple
coefficient regression for -7,730, it means that when the others
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
75/85
coefficient regression variables remain constant, so the changes of
Retained Earning (X3) variables for 1 % will cause the decreasing of
capital structure for 7,730 (or 77,30%).
From those result figured that firms have a tendency using the internal
fund resources (equity) rather using external fund resources (debt). It
indicated by the increasing ROE where ROE is firms capability to earn
profit using equity, and the increasing of R/E where firms have a tendency
to retain their earning so the opportunities to make an internal fund
resources is bigger.
2In Table II, can be seen that F - Statistic (1955, 066) > F - Table (2,37) and
p (0,000) < 0,05, simultaneously the assets structure, ROE and retained
earning variables influence significantly to capital structure. ROE partially
influence to capital structure (T-stat;30,770 > T-tab ;1, 67 and p;0,000 < 0,
05 ), and Retained Earning partially influence capital structure (T-stat; -
5,107 > T-tab;-1, 67 and p;0,000 < 0, 05)
3In Table II, show that the value of coefficient determination (R-square or
R2) is 0.982 mean 98,2 % variation of Capital Structure determined by the
existence of asset structure, return on equity (ROE) and retained earning.
And another 0,012 or 1,2% variation of capital structure determined by
another factors (beside capital structure, ROE and R/E).
4Second step regression analysis between independent variable (capital
structure-Y1) to dependent variable (Earning Per Share-Y2) result :
Y2 = - 33,267 + 3,825Y1 + 1t
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
76/85
a.Capital structure (Y1) has a positive sign of multiple coefficient
regression for 4,443. It means that as if the changes of capital structure
variable for 1 % will increase the Earning Per Share variables for
4,443 (or 44,43%).
From those result figured that based on EPS analysis, firms capital
structure not optimal yet because when the capital structure remain
constant or zero, EPS decrease for 33,267. It mean that the proportion debt
use by firm not able to increase the value of EPS, theres no maximize get
from tax deductible get from interest payment by firms.
5In Table VI,. Capital structure partially influence to EPS (T-stat;-9,775 >
T-tab;1, 67 and p;0,000 < 0, 05 ).
6 In Table VI, it show that the value of coefficient determination (R-square
/ R2) is 0.577 mean 57,7 % variation of EPS determined by the existence
of capital structure another 0,423 or 42, 3 % variation of EPS determined
by another factors (beside capital structure).
5.2 Recommendation
This research result hoped can give recommendation for them who read this
research. The contributions they can get are:
1.The owners and Management side
Companies should consider for the best proportion between debt equity
use so an optimal capital structure reached where WACC minimized and
value firms maximized. Companies should consider the use debt rather
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
77/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
78/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
79/85
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Horne, Van, C.J. (1995) Financial Management and Policy, Tenth Edition,
Prentice Hall, International Edition, New Jersey.
Horne, Van, C.J. (1995) Financial Management and Policy, Twelfth Edition,
Prentice Hall, International Edition, Upper Saddle River,New Jersey.
Brealy, Richard A. and Steward, C. Myers (1991) Principles of Corporate
Finance, Fourth Edition, Richard D.Erwin, Inc.
Eugene F, Brigham ; Louis C, Gapenski ; Philip R, Daves ( 2000 ) IntermediateFinancial Management, Sixth Edition, Prentice Hall, International Edition,
New Jersey..
Eugene f, Brigham ; Joel F, Houston ( 1998 ), Fundamentals Of Financial
Management, Eight Edition, The Dryden Press, Harcourt Brace College
Gerald I, White ; Ashwinpaul C, Sondhi, Dov, Fried ( 1998 ), The Analysis And
Use of Financial Statements, Second Edition, John Wiley & Sons.Inc
Subardi Agus ( 1994 ), Manajemen Pendanaan, Jilid 2, first edition, Upp Amp
YKPN, Yogjakarta
Napa, I.A. dan Mulyadi P.S. (1996) Keputusan Keputusan Pendanaan
Perusahaan (Teori dan Hasil Pengujian Empirik), Second edition,
Liberty, Yogyakarta
R., Agus, Sartono (1998) Manajemen Pendanaan Teori dan Aplikasi, Third
edition, BPFE, Yogyakarta.
S.Nasution(1996), Metode Research: Penelitian Ilmiah, First edition, Bumi
Aksara, Jakarta
Alfigari,(1997),Analisis Regresi, First Edition,BPFE, jogjakarta
Weston, J.F. and Brigham, U. F. (1994) Dasar- Dasar Manajemen Pendanaan,
Seventh edition , Erlangga, Jakarta.
Weston, J.F. dan Copland, T.E. (1997) Manajemen Pendanaan, Ninth edition,
Bina Rupa Aksara, Jakarta.
Maski,Ghozali and Idrus, M.S (1999), Analisis Variabel-Variabel Yang
Mempengaruhi Struktur Pendanaan Dan Pengaruhnya Bersama Beban
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
80/85
Bunga, Return On Asset Terhadap Rentabilitas Modal Sendiri Pada
Perusahaan Food And Bavarage Yang Go Publik Di Indonesia Periode
1995-1997, Thesis, Universitas Brawijaya Malang.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
81/85
APPENDICE
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
82/85
First Step Regression Analysis
Variables Entered/Removedb
R/E, Asset
structure,
ROEa
, Enter
Model1
Variables
Entered
Variables
Removed Method
All requested variables entered.a.
Dependent Variable: Capital Struct.b.
Model Summaryb
,991a ,982 ,981 5,31137 2,013
Model1
R R Square
Adjusted
R Square
Std. Error of
the Estimate
Durbin-W
atson
Predictors: (Constant), R/E, Asset structure, ROEa.
Dependent Variable: Capital Struct.b.
ANOVAb
115934,2 3 38644,726 1369,864 ,000a
2172,218 77 28,211
118106,4 80
Regression
Residual
Total
Model1
Sum ofSquares df Mean Square F Sig.
Predictors: (Constant), R/E, Asset structure, ROEa.
Dependent Variable: Capital Struct.b.
Coefficientsa
2,688 1,384 1,943 ,056
,115 2,878 ,001 ,040 ,968 ,996 1,004
-6,623E-02 ,001 ,973 56,001 ,000 ,792 1,263
-7,73E-07 ,000 -,038 -2,189 ,032 ,789 1,268
(Constant)
Asset structure
ROE
R/E
Model1
B Std. Error
Unstandardized
Coefficients
Beta
Standardi
zed
Coefficien
ts
t Sig. Tolerance VIFCollinearity Statistics
Dependent Variable: Capital Struct.a.
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
83/85
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
84/85
TABEL DURBIN WATSON
Level of Significance = 0,05p -1=1 p -1= 2 p -1= 3 p -1= 4 p -1= 5
ndL dU dL dU dL dU dL dU dL dU
15 1.08 1.36 0.96 1.54 0.82 1.75 0.69 1.97 0.56 2.21
16 1.10 1.37 0.98 1.54 0.86 1.73 0.74 1.93 0.62 2.1517 1.13 1.38 1.02 1.54 0.90 1.71 0.78 1.90 0.67 2.10
18 1.16 1.39 1.05 1.53 0.93 1.69 0.82 1.87 0.71 2.06
19 1.20 1.40 1.08 1.53 0.97 1.68 0.86 1.85 0.75 2.0220 1.22 1.41 1.10 1.54 1.00 1.68 0.90 1.83 0.79 1.99
21 1.24 1.42 1.13 1.54 1.03 1.67 0.93 1.81 0.83 1.9622 1.26 1.43 1.15 1.54 1.05 1.66 0.96 1.80 0.86 1.94
23 1.27 1.44 1.17 1.54 1.08 1.66 0.99 1.79 0.90 1.9224 1.30 1.45 1.19 1.55 1.10 1.66 1.01 1.78 0.93 1.90
25 1.32 1.45 1.21 1.55 1.12 1.66 1.04 1.77 0.95 1.89
26 1.33 1.46 1.22 1.55 1.14 1.65 1.06 1.76 0.98 1.88
27 1.34 1.47 1.24 1.56 1.16 1.65 1.08 1.76 1.01 1.8628 1.35 1.48 1.26 1.56 1.18 1.65 1.10 1.75 1.03 1.85
29 1.36 1.48 1.27 1.56 1.20 1.65 1.12 1.74 1.05 1.8430 1.37 1.49 1.28 1.57 1.21 1.65 1.14 1.74 1.07 1.83
31 1.38 1.50 1.30 1.57 1.23 1.65 1.16 1.74 1.09 1.8332 1.39 1.50 1.31 1.57 1.24 1.65 1.18 1.73 1.11 1.82
33 1.40 1.51 1.32 1.50 1.26 1.65 1.19 1.73 1.13 1.81
34 1.41 1.51 1.33 1.58 1.27 1.65 1.21 1.73 1.15 1.8135 1.42 1.52 1.34 1.58 1.28 1.65 1.22 1.73 1.16 1.80
36 1.43 1.52 1.35 1.59 1.29 1.65 1.24 1.73 1.18 1.80
37 1.44 1.53 1.36 1.59 1.31 1.65 1.25 1.72 1.19 1.8038 1.45 1.54 1.37 1.59 1.32 1.66 1.26 1.72 1.21 1.79
39 1.46 1.54 1.38 1.60 1.33 1.66 1.27 1.72 1.22 1.7940 1.47 1.54 1.39 1.60 1.34 1.66 1.29 1.72 1.23 1.79
45 1.48 1.57 1.43 1.62 1.38 1.67 1.34 1.72 1.29 1.7850 1.50 1.59 1.46 1.63 1.42 1.67 1.38 1.72 1.34 1.77
55 1.53 1.60 1.49 1.64 1.45 1.68 1.41 1.72 1.38 1.77
60 1.55 1.62 1.51 1.65 1.48 1.69 1.44 1.73 1.41 1.7765 1.57 1.63 1.54 1.66 1.50 1.70 1.47 1.73 1.44 1.77
70 1.58 1.64 1.55 1.67 1.52 1.70 1.49 1.74 1.46 1.7775 1.60 1.65 1.57 1.68 1.54 1.71 1.51 1.74 1.49 1.7780 1.61 1.66 1.59 1.69 1.56 1.72 1.53 1.74 1.51 1.77
85 1.62 1.67 1.60 1.70 1.57 1.72 1.55 1.75 1.52 1.7790 1.63 1.68 1.61 1.70 1.59 1.73 1.57 1.75 1.54 1.78
95 1.64 1.69 1.62 1.71 1.60 1.73 1.58 1.75 1.56 1.78100 1.65 1.69 1.63 1.72 1.61 1.74 1.59 1.76 1.57 1.78
p-1 =Number of independent variables
Sumber : Hanke (1998:549)
-
8/6/2019 Analysis an Asset Structure
85/85