analysis of produced and imported crude oil in california...aug 20, 2018 · 10 year history of...
TRANSCRIPT
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CALIFORNIA
CONSERVATION
Analysis of Produced and Imported Crude Oil in California
California Department of Conservation,
Division of Oil, Gas, and Geothermal Resources
Jason Marshall , Chief Deputy Director, Department of Conservation
Bill Bartling , Chief Deputy Director, Division of Oil , Gas, And Geothermal Resources
August 2018
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CONCALIFORNIA
SERVATION
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(IJ -
Fo
C.rude Oil :su1pply Sources lo Californi·a Refineries 00 -~------------------------------------~
BOO
~ re gn
500
~ ftl
1CO 1111-. 0 400 Alaska 0 C 0 ..... --:E 300
200
100
0 1982 1984 1986 988 1990 1992 1994 1998 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 200,8 2010 20112 2014 2016
·983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1991 ·1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 20U 2013 2Cl1S 2017 Year
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Production and Price
CALIFORNIA
CONSERVATION 3
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% Change
CALIFORNIA
CONSERVATION 4
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5
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US Performance
Measures
PRAC = Proved Reserve
Acquisition Cost
FDC = Finding and Development
Costs
RRC = Reserve Replacement Cost
Revisions= restating of booked
reserves due to low oil prices
CONSCALIFORNIA
ERVATION
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9.19
.74
4 .
29..62
�M iJffi 19.
.l. 18
9.29
roe
i1 IJJ_,_&_lim_-r1-_ , _ , , ____ 0.64_,.1 ....... 1.~~·.1.9. .......... ~~: ~~' .............. 5."1:-.?.~ .. . f;r~MeM!e!RBl'I !Iii
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PresenterPresentation Notes10 year history of production from California fields – nearly all fields are in decline with only a few with increasing production – Cymric, San Ardo and Coalinga.
Notably, the fields with the largest production are the ones with the the most apparent rates of decline. 6 of the 7 largest producing fields are in obvious decline with only Cymric showing relatively flat production history over the last 10 years and even that is starting to trend downward.
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CALIFORNIA
CONSERVATION
Permitting Trends
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Permitting and Price
CALIFORNIA
CONSERVATION
Relationship of: • Permits Requested
Permits Issued • Wells Drilled• Price of Oil
b 60
5000
140 4500
4000 120
"O 3500� ·;:: 100 -
"'"O"' 3000 co QJ
"O
80 � 2500
·;:: 0..
6 -o' QJQJ "O
2000
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CALIFORNIA
CONSERVATION
Well Stimulation and Price
Well Stimulation = • Hydraulic
Fracturing • Acid Matrix
Stimulation • Acid Fracturing
900 $120849
800 $100
745
700 623
c 600 $80 (])
E 6
IB soo '-::i(])
'- u
u� 400 '+-
'+-
(])
$60
E (])
·.:::::i 300 $40
200 160147 $20
92 100
41
0 $0 2011* 2012* 2013* 2014** 2015** 2016 2017 2018 (1st Qtr.)
Year
- Well Stirn. Treatments �Price of Oil
* Statistics from FracFocus.
** Statistics from interim reporting period.
N
b T
t
s
P
C
O
A
d I
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CALIFORNIA
CONSERVATION
Permitting And Oil Operations Locations
, S.n
Over 23,000 Permits requested in total since 2011 175 Permits requested outside of Oil & Gas Fields 81 of these were Cancelled 29 are currently Active Total Active Oil & Gas wells in California:71,999
t.btoo
1'1)'0
San Be1n.ird,rio
Active Oil & Gas Well
• Permitted Since 2011
Outside an Oil & Gas Field
Stem11
I._____ _____JI Ventr:ffit 11
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CALIFORNIA
CONSERVATION
Notices Received 2008 - 2018
Notice,s of Intent (INOII)
(Re) Abandon 58,633
Drill
71,514
Rework 67,832
District (Re) Abandon Drill Rework Total
1 6,778 2,879 7,472 17.129
2 1,273 658 2,767 4.698
3 682 562 1,408 2.652
4 44,257 62,214 47,765 154.236
4,124 3,246 3,958 11.328
1,519 1,955 4,462 7.936
Total 58.633 71.514 1 67.832 197,979
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NO lls by Type I I • Drill Rework • (Re) Abandon
- 72K
68K _J
NIO I1s lby Year
•(Re) Abandon • Drill Rework
10K
SK
OK
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
r•J( .; b 1 1 p .
. . ' 59K ,
I I I
- '
I • r • It · ) :·.f.. . o I r I·· - o l . •"'°" ....
I\ 1 • I :, . ... t I I i I i ii
. ' ~ ,, ,. ~ I I • I'
5 1 J ~1: ,:: ;
6 I ' , J-f I ~ ..
~ I 0 J '. t i ,;11 t,, .. ✓• . . I• < t "'Ir, I"
r·. r J : by Y :. r
• I e 1
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CALIFORNIA
CONSERVATION
Permits Issued 2008 - 2018
Permits
(Re) Abandon
53,966
Drill
64,735
Rework
61, 193
District
1
(Re) Abandon
6,505
2
3
332
6 34
4 41,806
5, 4,108
6
Totall
581
53,< 96,6
Permits lby Type
• Dril I Rework • (Re) Abandon
61 K _J
Permits by Year
e(Re) Abandon • Drill • Rework
10K
SK
OK
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Drill Rework Total
2719 7 ,110 16,334
247 1, 337 1,916
5 35 1, 309 2,478 57 413 45,155 144,374
3,202 3,909 11,219
619 2, 373 3,573
64,735 61.193 179,8941
• r • I t '. • ) /'.f,: _ , -. , I) II 1: • ... c d , w . ""41 ....
·. l ' J • : ·• I ...
• I -~. i ' l
' 1 ...
l I;, I . u .. .. .. . . I ' '
•,I : .. , ~ r, ti :, ,,; ! ,4. fie .. . :.t' .. 1
. .' l • I · " . 54K ,
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CALIFORNIA
CONSERVATION
Recent Regulatory Actions
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CALIFORNIA
CONSERVATION
• Well Stimulation
• Gas Storage Facility
• Underground Injection Control (in progress)
• Idle Well Regulations (in progress)
• Safe Drinking Water Act/Aquifer Exemptions (in progress)
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Summary
CALIFORNIA
CONSERVATION
o Declining production in-state
o Historically price increases have not driven CA
production up
o Permits to maintain declining production likely to
continue in existing fields
o Regulatory modernization is ongoing
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Analysis of Produced and �Imported Crude Oil in CaliforniaSlide Number 2Production and Price% ChangeSlide Number 5US Performance MeasuresSlide Number 7Permitting TrendsSlide Number 9Slide Number 10Slide Number 11Notices Received�2008 - 2018Permits Issued�2008 - 2018Recent Regulatory ActionsSlide Number 15Summary