april 2014, us leveraged loan market analysis

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US Leveraged Finance Market Update April, 2014 Steve Miller - Managing Director Text

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The big story of early 2014 was robust M&A-related volume, which ticked up to a post-credit crunch high of $62 billion in the first quarter. That, in turn, lifted total leveraged loan activity to $162 billion from a 15-month low of $127 billion during the final three months of 2013. Looking ahead, most players expect the market to remain relatively in balance in the coming months. Check out LCD's new, free web sites, LeveragedLoan.com and HighYieldBond.com http://www.leveragedloan.com http://www.highyieldbond.com/ * Job postings * Online Loan Market and High Yield Primer * News and analysis * Market Stats Video presentation: http://youtu.be/Ypapt_65UM0 Connect with LCD Facebook: http://www.lcdcomps.com/facebook Like LCD on Facebook for monthly analysis on LBO/Private equity stats, as well as Default/Restructuring analysis. LinkedIn: http://www.lcdcomps.com/linkedin There are over 10,000 market contacts in LCD's Leveraged Loan Group Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/lcdnews News, commentary, other leveraged finance info Web: http://www.lcdcomps.com Contact: [email protected]

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Page 1: April 2014, US Leveraged Loan Market Analysis

US Leveraged Finance Market UpdateApril, 2014

Steve Miller - Managing Director

Text

Page 2: April 2014, US Leveraged Loan Market Analysis

Leveraged Loan Volume

$0B

$25B

$50B

$75B

$100B

$125B

$150B

$175B

$200B

1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14

Institutional Pro Rata

Total Volume M&A-Driven Loan Volume

Source: S&P Capital IQ/LCD

$0B

$25B

$50B

$75B

$100B

$125B

$150B

$175B

$200B

1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14

Institutional Pro Rata

Page 3: April 2014, US Leveraged Loan Market Analysis

96

97

98

99

12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/31 11/13 1/14 2/14 3/14

Average Bid of S&P/LSTA Loan Index

Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data

Page 4: April 2014, US Leveraged Loan Market Analysis

Visible Inflows

Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data, Lipper

$0B

$5B

$10B

$15B

$20B

9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 1/14 2/14 3/14

CLO IssuanceMutual Funds Inflows

Page 5: April 2014, US Leveraged Loan Market Analysis

S&P/LSTA Index Loans Outstanding

Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data

$500B

$545B

$590B

$635B

$680B

$725B

9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 1/14 2/14 3/14

Page 6: April 2014, US Leveraged Loan Market Analysis

3%

4%

5%

5%

6%

7%

9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 1/14 2/14 3/14

Average New-Issue Clearing Yield of First Lien Loans

Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data

All-BBAll-B

Page 7: April 2014, US Leveraged Loan Market Analysis

0%

2%

5%

7%

10%

12%

1/07 11/07 9/08 7/09 5/10 3/11 1/12 11/12 9/13

Loan Default Rate

Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data

3/14

Page 8: April 2014, US Leveraged Loan Market Analysis

M&A Institutional Loan Forward Calendar

Source: LCD - Leveraged Commentary & Data

$0B

$7B

$14B

$21B

$28B

$35B

3/11 5/11 7/11 9/11 11/11 1/12 3/12 5/12 7/12 9/12 11/12 1/13 3/13 5/13 7/13 9/13 11/13 1/14 3/14

Page 9: April 2014, US Leveraged Loan Market Analysis

www.linkedin.com/groups/LCD-Leveraged-Loan-Group-2092432LCD Leveraged Loan Group ... 11,000+ contacts

www.twitter.com/lcdnewsHeadlines, market chatter

www.facebook.com/lcdcomps/Daily Playbook, headlines, video analysis

Follow LCD

www.lcdcomps.comNews, analysis, research, archives

www.highyieldbond.comFree website covering the high yield market

www.leveragedloan.comFree website covering the leveraged loan market

Page 10: April 2014, US Leveraged Loan Market Analysis

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