as novas ameaças e riscos (12.º)
TRANSCRIPT
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BMICE
MJBLQKE^MRE
EYYTJ^L7 Ey jlrey
ekdeey d qmyily*
Ndyebmly f`laemy e
djbqdj~eq
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EY JLREY EKDEEY D QMYILY
Ly idjqmly cmy~qmily, pl`~mily d diljkmily e`~dqeqek+yd qenmie`kdj~d jly `~mkly ~qmj~e
ejly* Ey fqejndy ndimydy nly Dy~enly d e lqfejmwel ney jedy bewdk+yd e peq~mq nd
iljnmimljej~dy ds~dqjey, uteyd ydkpqd kemy nd~dqkmjej~dy nl utd ey jeimljemy* L pqlidyyl
dy~ e keqfmje`mweq ly kemy plaqdy, jl y ly peydy ilkl ey pdyyley* Ey eyymkd~qmey ylimemy
dy~l, plq myyl, e pqlfqdnmq7
e dsi`tyl ylime` djilj~qe+yd dk dspejyl jl Jlq~d, djutej~l jl Yt` eyeyymkd~qmey je qdpeq~ml nl qdjnmkdj~l yd rl pdqpd~tejnl8
jey qdfmdy ljnd ly mkpei~ly yl kemlqdy, ly mjnmrntly d ey ilktjmnendy!pqdieqmwek+yd! qd`e~mrekdj~d y cmp~dydy nd qdymy~mqdk ely dbdm~ly ne
f`lae`mwel, je kdnmne dk utd ly utenqly nd qdbdqjime yd dy~l e e`~dqeq nd
klnl rd`lw e ~qenml ndyklqlje+yd, jlrly pepmy yl dsmfmnly ely mjnmrntly d
y bek`mey, ytqfdk jlrey blqkey nd bek`me, etkdj~e e dsplyml e tk fqejnd
jkdql nd jlrly qmyily, e ndkliqeime utdy~mljene8
e bek`me bmie ilk jlrey qdypljyeam`mnendy ylimemy, peqe ey utemy jl dy~erepqdpeqene, ndrmnl iqmyd nl !Dy~enl+pqlrmnjime!, djbqeutdimnl pd`e
f`lae`mwel `madqe` nlkmjej~d8
e pqdieqmwel ne ym~tel dk ktm~ey ilktjmnendy qd`e~mrekdj~d e utdy~dy ilkle dy~eam`mnend nl dkpqdfl, l eidyyl e ydqrmly nd yend, e ye~mybel nd
jdidyymnendy e`mkdj~eqdy, e plyymam`mnend nd re`lqmwel pqlbmyymlje` lt l qdypdm~l
pd`ly nmqdm~ly mjnmrmntemy ebdi~e tk jkdql nd mjnmrntly iene rdw kemlq*
Dy~enl nd adk+dy~eq ylime` #dk mjf`y7 Vd`beqd Y~e~d-, ~ekak iljcdimnl ilkl Dy~enl+
pqlrmnjime, tk ~mpl nd lqfejmwel pl`~mie d diljkmie utd il`lie l Dy~enl #jel-ilkl efdj~d ne pqlkll #pql~di~lq d ndbdjylq- ylime` d lqfejmwenlq ne diljlkme* Jdy~e
lqmdj~el, l Dy~enl l efdj~d qdft`ekdj~enlq nd ~lne rmne d pew ylime`, pl`~mie d
diljkmie nl pey dk peqidqme ilk ymjnmie~ly d dkpqdyey pqmreney #-* Iead el Dy~enl nl
adk+dy~eq ylime` feqej~mq ydqrmly pa`mily d pql~dil plpt`el*
E lqmfdk ne iqmydnl !Dy~enl ylime`!
Ly pqlidyyly nd f`lae`mwel, ylaqd~tnl diljkmie d pl`~mie, qdrdy~dk+yd nd tk ieqi~dq
cdfdkjmil, g utd ey rqmey blqkey nd iepm~e`mykl nlkmjej~d yd ~k ~qentwmnl pd`ey
ydftmj~dy `mjcey nd blqe7
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ly ilkpqlkmyyly dj~qd l iepm~e` d l ~qeae`cl yl rt`jdqeam`mwenly pd`e jlre mjydql jediljlkme mj~dqjeimlje` #kdqienly `mrqdy d pqlitqe f`lae` nd mjrdy~mkdj~ly nmqdi~ly-8
e ydftqeje ne qd`el ylime` iljrdq~mne dk qmfmndw ne qd`el ye`eqme`8 e pqmlqmnendnene ely kdqienly bmjejidmqly a`lutdme e nmy~qmatml nd qdjnmkdj~ly d dsmfd e qdntl
ney ndypdyey pa`miey dk ke~qme ylime`8
l etkdj~l ne klam`mnend nl iepm~e` bew ilk utd e bmyie`mnend peyyd e mjimnmq ylaqdqdjnmkdj~ly mkrdmy #ylaqd~tnl ly nl ~qeae`cl-8
l pepd` qdnmy~qmat~mrl ney pl`~miey ylimemy ndiqdyid d, ilkl iljydutjime, etkdj~ek eyndymfte`nendy ylimemy8
e pql~dil ylime` ytgdm~e e tke pqdyyl pqmre~mwej~d, ylaqd~tnl jl nlkjml neypdjydy nd qdblqke, nenl l mj~dqdyyd plq peq~d nly kdqienly bmjejidmqly8
ly fqtply ylimemy rt`jdqrdmy ylbqdk ly dbdm~ly mjdrm~rdmy ne pqlypdqmnend diljkmie de petpdqmwel ne yte ym~tel y kmjlqene plq kdnmney ilkpdjye~qmey yd dy~ey jl
pdq~tqaeqdk l btjimljekdj~l nly kdiejmykly nd kdqienl*
Alerdj~tqe Yltye Yej~ly, 1??5 #enep~enl-*
Ly qmyily utd ilqqdkly yl iljydutjime nd ndydutm`aqmly jl pqlidyyl nd ndydjrl`rmkdj~l d
nd ym~tedy nd ds~qdke ndymfte`nend dj~qd keqfmje`mwenly d plndqlyly* Ly qmyily
plndk lilqqdq e tk jrd` kemy `lie`, ljnd ey ndymfte`nendy d ey mjydftqejey yd qdb`di~dk
jl y jly qdjnmkdj~ly ilkl ~ekak je peq~mimpel pl`~mie #jey mjy~m~tmdy, jly
peq`ekdj~ly d jly flrdqjly `liemy- d jey iljnmdy ylimemy #dntiel, ceam~el, dkpqdfl-*
Dyydy qmyily plndk ~dq, ~ekak, tk ieqi~dq ktjnme`, ilkl qdyt`~enl nl etkdj~l nl iqmkdmj~dqjeimlje` #iqmkmje`mnend bmjejidmqe, ~qbmil nd iqmejey, nd kt`cdqdy d nd qfly- d ney
eidy nd fqtply ~dqqlqmy~ey, ne dspejyl nl rqty ne YMNE, ne pql`mbdqel nl ~qbmil nd
nqlfe, ne iqdyidj~d mj~dqjeimlje`mwel nly kdqidjqmly,
ne dspejyl ne rdjne i`ejndy~mje nd eqkekdj~l pdqmflyl
#eqkey utkmiey, aml`fmiey, jti`deqdy-, d~i*
Ey ei~mrmnendy ctkejey dy~l e pqlrlieq e`~dqedy
je e~klybdqe e tk qm~kl ydk pqdidndj~dy, dk
iljydutjime nl etkdj~l ne pl`tml* Dyyey e`~dqedy
dy~l e pq dk qmyil l dutm`aqml amli`mk~mil nl p`ejd~e*
Ly dbdm~ly g yl kemy lt kdjly rmyrdmy dk ds~djyey
qdey nl f`lal, dk peq~mit`eq jey qdfmdy kemy
bqefm`mweney7 pdq~tqaedy jl imi`l ne fte lt nl imi`l
cmnql`fmil8 qdntl ne iekene nd lwljl #blqkel
yewlje` nd !atqeily! jl lwljl-8 pdq~tqaedy jl dbdm~l nd dy~tbe8 etkdj~l ne ~dkpdqe~tqe
knme8 ytamne nl jrd` ney ftey nl keq8 klnmbmiedy ney ilqqdj~dy lidjmiey8
ndydutm`aqmly jly dilyymy~dkey8 etkdj~l ymfjmbmie~mrl ne lilqqjime nd ie~y~qlbdy je~tqemy
#mjtjnedy, `ljfly pdqlnly nd ydie, refey nd ie`lq d nd bqml, imi`ljdy, d~i*-8
ndydjrl`rmkdj~l nd dpmndkmey, d~i*
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Jey qdfmdy kdjly ndydjrl`rmney, dk peq~mit`eq jey qdey kd~qlpl`m~ejey dk
iqdyimkdj~l dsp`lymrl, ljnd e blq~d iljidj~qel ndklfqbmie ilj~qmatm peqe e ndfqenel d
mjye`taqmnend ney iljnmdy nd rmne ne plpt`el tqaeje, ly mkpei~ly ekamdj~emy yl
kemy rml`dj~ly ndrmnl mjiepeimnend ~dijl`fmie d bmjejidmqe nd bewdq beid
enrdqymnend*
L ktjnl dk ktneje eid`dqene epqdydj~e eyymk ktm~ly qmyily nd qtp~tqey
qdpdj~mjey jey bek`mey jly dkpqdfly je yend je ildyl ylime` d it`~tqe` ney
ilktjmnendy d jl dutm`aqml nl p`ejd~e dk peq~mit`eq nd e`ftjy nly ydty
dilyymy~dkey*
L ndyilj~dj~ekdj~l e`ey~qe, iqmejnl iljnmdy peqe utd rd`cey ~djydy yd qdeidjnek d
jlrly iljb`m~ly ~djcek `tfeq* Ly jeimlje`mykly `liemy b`lqdyidk ilkl qdyply~e y ~djnjimey
f`lae`mwej~dy, plqutd ly rd`cly Dy~enly+jel dy~l e bmieq kemy bqeily d mjiepewdy nd
qdyl`rdqdk ly fqejndy d ly pdutdjly pqla`dkey* L epqlbtjnekdj~l ney ndymfte`nendy je
nmy~qmatml ne qmutdwe d nly qditqyly dy~, ndy~d klnl, e blkdj~eq e fdjdqe`mwel nd
ydj~mkdj~ly nd mj~l`dqjime d e dspejyl nl btjnekdj~e`mykl, e`midqenly jl qdjeyimkdj~l
nd eypmqedy qd`mfmlyey d jeimlje`my~ey*
Ydftjnl l _qlfqeke ney Jedy Tjmney peqe l Ndydjrl`rmkdj~l, je ei~te`mnend, l
qdjnmkdj~l ney 943 pdyyley kemy qmiey nl ktjnl ytpdqmlq el ~l~e` etbdqmnl pd`ly 14??
km`cdy nd ceam~ej~dy kemy plaqdy, ly utemy qdpqdydj~ek >4$ ne plpt`el ktjnme`* Dy~e
ym~tel pl~djime`kdj~d fdqenlqe nd fqerdy iljb`m~ly d ~djydy dj~qd fqtply ylimemy d
d~jmey*
Je Ekqmie @e~mje, ey ndymfte`nendy ylimemy d qdfmljemy
e`mkdj~ek ly klrmkdj~ly nd ftdqqm`ce, ilkl l nly
jnmly Icmepey, jl Ksmil, d ly klrmkdj~ly ylimemy,
ilkl ly !ydk ~dqqe!, jl Aqeym`* Qdiqtndyidk ey
ftdqqey jeimlje`my~ey, ly blily nd ftdqqm`ce, ey ~djydy
qd`mfmlyey d ly iljb`m~ly qdyt`~ej~dy ne pql`mbdqel nd
lqfejmwedy eyylimeney el iqmkd lqfejmwenl utd
`t~ek pd`l ilj~ql`l, dk peq~mit`eq, nl ~qbmil nd eqkey
d nd nqlfe*Ly iljb`m~ly eidjndk+yd jl mj~dqmlq nly pqpqmly Dy~enly, lpljnl fqtply, qd`mfmdy, it`~tqey d
d~jmey* Blm eyymk je Ayjme+Cdqwdflrmje #5==5+=4-, ljnd ktt`kejly, ie~`mily d lq~lnlsly
yd djrl`rdqek jtk iljbqlj~l klq~bdql, lt je Qyyme, ljnd rqmly klrmkdj~ly pl`~mil+
~jmily `t~ek pd`e et~ljlkme #ly ~q~eqly jl Rl`fe- lt pd`e mjndpdjnjime #ly icdicdjly-*
Jdk ly Dy~enly tjm~qmly limndj~emy dyiepek el qdeidjnmkdj~l d mj~djymbmiel nd rd`cey
pqd~djydy mjndpdjndj~my~ey, nd utd yl dsdkp`l l ydpeqe~mykl aeyil dk Dypejce, ilqyl
dk Bqeje, b`ekdjfl je A`fmie, ie~`mil je Mq`ejne nl Jlq~d lt jl Utdadutd iejenmejl* Ey
eypmqedy et~ljlkmy~ey qdfmljemy fejcek jlrl b`dfl, ilkl je Ie~e`tjce dypejcl`e, lte~qery nly qdbdqdjnly, je Dyiime d jl _ey nd Fe`dy, dk 5==6, d ney qdmrmjnmiedy ne @mfe
@lkaeqnme, dk M~`me*
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_lq yte rdw, l ~dqqlqmykl djilj~qe ~dqqdjl bq~m` peqe
`ejeq kemy ndylqndk d kdnl, ilk e~dj~enly dbmiewdy
d klq~bdqly dsdit~enly jl !ilqel! ne ^qend* Blm
eyymk e 55 nd Yd~dkaql nd 1??5, jly DTE #9?26
r~mkey klq~emy-, e 55 nd Keql nd 1??>, dk Kenqmn
#5=1 klq~ly-, lt e 6 nd Gt`cl nd 1??4, dk @ljnqdy
#42 klq~ly-*
_dqej~d ey jlrey ekdeey d ndyebmly utd yd jly
il`liek, rqmey eje`my~ey ndbdjndk utd jdidyyqml
iljy~qtmq tk utenql nd qdbdqjime nd re`lqdy
ilktjy iljymndqenly ilkl tjmrdqyemy, utd ydge eidm~d plq ~lnly ly Dy~enly d utd ndk
qdyply~e e utdy~dy dyie`e p`ejd~qme ekamdj~d, nmqdm~ly ctkejly, nqlfe, YMNE,
~dqqlqmykl, d~i* Jl dj~ej~l, peqe utd dyyd idjqml ydge plyyrd`, mjnmypdjyrd` e~djteq ey
ndymfte`nendy nd ndydjrl`rmkdj~l utd e f`lae`mwel drmndjimlt d iljy~qtmq tk dypel
ndkliq~mil nd flrdqjel f`lae`*
NDYEBMLY F@LAEMY UTD ^DQDKLY ND DJBQDJ^EQ
Yl ktm~ly ly qmyily utd ey ktnejey utd dy~l e lilqqdq mkp`miek, dk qdyt`~enl ne
iljbqlj~el ilk tk bt~tql ljnd l fqet nd mjidq~dwe kemlq* _lq myyl, ly ndyebmly e
djbqdj~eq yl mjkdqly, ilkl, plq dsdkp`l7
e dyieyydwdyfl~ekdj~l lt mjeidyymam`mnend nly qditqyly #fte pl~rd`, ydqrmly ndyend, e`mkdj~ly, dkpqdfl, ceam~el nmfje, d~i*-8
e dkmjjime nd ie~y~qlbdy ctkejey d ekamdj~emy #eimndj~dy jti`deqdy, nmkmjtml neamlnmrdqymnend, d~i*-8
e mj~djymbmiel nl ilkqiml mj~dqjeimlje` d e ~qejyjeimlje`mwel ney diljlkmey8 ly mkpei~ly ne mj~qlntl nd jlrey ~dijl`lfmey8 e !pqdieqmwel! nl dkpqdflndydkpqdfl nd `ljfe ntqel8 l djbqeutdimkdj~l nl !Dy~enl+_qlrmnjime! lt !Dy~enl Ylime`!8
l etkdj~l ney eyymkd~qmey ylimemy8 e ktneje jly klnly nd ilkplq~ekdj~l d jly dy~m`ly nd rmne beid dspejyl nd tk
klnd`l nd imrm`mwel nlkmjej~d8
e !ekdqmiejmwel! it`~tqe` d diljkmie, aeydene je eil iljgtj~e nd dkpqdyeyfmfej~dyiey nd ilktjmiel `mfeney el imjdke d ~d`drmyl d nd ~qejyjeimljemy utd
nmbtjndk tke it`~tqe nd keyyey d pqlklrdk pqlnt~ly utd yl qdbdqjimey nd
iljytkl8
l epqlbtjnekdj~l ne mj~dfqel dtqlpdme #pl`~mie, kljd~qme, diljkmie, it`~tqe`,d~i*-8
e mj~djymbmiel d mj~dqjeimlje`mwel nly iljb`m~ly qdfmljemy8 e ebmqkel nd jeimlje`mykly d nd btjnekdj~e`mykly8
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l pql`mbdqel nl ~dqqlqmykl mj~dqjeimlje`8 e dspejyl nd `eqfly ydi~lqdy ne diljlkmeyta~dqqjde #`mfenly el jeqil~qbmil d el iqmkd lqfejmwenl-8
e iqdyidj~d refe nd qdbtfmenly8 l etkdj~l nl jkdql nd mkmfqej~dy jly peydy mjnty~qme`mwenly8 e dsp`lqel ney iqmejey #~qeae`cl mjbej~m`, !~tqmykl! ydste`, d~i*-, ney kt`cdqdy
#pqly~m~tml, nmyiqmkmjel ye`eqme`, rml`jime nlky~mie d jl ~qeae`cl, d~i*- d ney
kmjlqmey #ytakd~mney e ~qeae`cly erm`~ej~dy-8
e pql`mbdqel nd nldjey mjbdi~l+ilj~efmlyey*Blj~d7 Enep~enl nd NLKMJFLY, Iqmy~mje8 @DKLY, Glqfd8 IEJERM@CEY, ^d`ke, Fdlfqebme I 55* Ejl, Rl`tkd 5, 5* Dnml, _`~ejl
Dnm~lqe, Eaqm`, 1??=
c~~p7fdli`mih*a`lfypl~*ilk pqlb*fdl*bdqjejnlOyepl*p~