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ASX Emerging Growth London Presentation Aspire Mining Limited March 2011

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Page 1: Aspire Mining Limited - Australian Securities Exchange › ... › london › 2011 › Aspire_pres.pdf · Aspire Mining Limited ... possessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly,

ASX Emerging Growth London Presentation

Aspire Mining Limited

March 2011

Page 2: Aspire Mining Limited - Australian Securities Exchange › ... › london › 2011 › Aspire_pres.pdf · Aspire Mining Limited ... possessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly,

Forward Looking Statements & Disclaimer

Forward Looking Statements

Certain statements  in the presentation are or may be “forward‐looking statements” and represent the Company’s  intentions, projections, expectations or beliefs concerning among other  things,  future exploration activities. The projections, estimates and beliefs contained  in such  forward  looking statements necessarily  involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties which may cause the Company’s actual performance  in future periods to differ materially from any express or implied estimates or projections. 

Disclaimer

No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by the Company that the material contained in this presentation will be achieved or prove to be correct.  Except  for  statutory  liability  which  cannot  be  excluded,  each  of  the  Company,  its  officers,  employees  and  advisers  expressly  disclaims  any responsibility for the accuracy , fairness, sufficiency or completeness of the material contained in this presentation, or any opinions or beliefs contained  in this document, and excludes all liability whatsoever (including in negligence) for any loss or damage which may be suffered by any person as a consequence of any information in this presentation or any error or omission there from. Any opinions expressed in the presentation are subject to change without notice.

All persons should seek appropriate professional advice in reviewing or considering the presentation and all other information with respect to the Company and evaluating the Ovoot Coking Coal Project and the other Mongolian coal assets. The presentation does not purport to contain all of the information that may be required to evaluate all of the factors that would be relevant in determining whether to deal in the Company’s securities, including but not limited to any person’s objectives,  financial  situation or needs. Each person  should make, and will be  taken  to have made,  its own  investigation,  assessment  and analysis of the information in this presentation and other matters that may be relevant to it considering whether to deal in the Company’s securities.

This presentation is not for distribution in, nor does it constitute an offer of securities for sale in, Canada, Japan, or in any jurisdiction where such distribution or offer is unlawful. Neither this presentation nor a copy of the presentation can be taken or transmitted into the United States of America, its territories or possessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States of America, its territories or possessions or to any US person as defined in Regulation S under the US Securities Act 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of United States securities laws. The presentation and any oral statements made in connection with it are not an offer of securities for sale in the United States.

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I am a Country

• Which has an indigenous populationindigenous population with a long and proud history

• Which is one of the least populatedleast populated countries in the world, with vast deserts

• That is resource rich resource rich particularly in gold, coal and iron ore but hampered by lack of infrastructure

• For which ChinaChina has become the most important trading partnerimportant trading partner in recent years

• That has a 99% literary rate

• Which has one of the most successful economiessuccessful economies and stock marketsstock markets since the GFC

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AUSTRALIA MONGOLIA

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Ovoot Exploration Camp

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Mongolian Projects

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Ovoot Project:330.7mt JORC Resource

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Ovoot Coking Coal Project

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Zuun Del Prospect

JORC Resource area

Hurimt

Page 7: Aspire Mining Limited - Australian Securities Exchange › ... › london › 2011 › Aspire_pres.pdf · Aspire Mining Limited ... possessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly,

What is the Value of Aspire Mining Limited?

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1. Assumes 65% washing yield from non oxide coal to product

Resource 330.7 MtEnterprise Value

~ US$500mil

$2.25/t of saleable coal

$2.50/t of saleable coking

coal 1

Page 8: Aspire Mining Limited - Australian Securities Exchange › ... › london › 2011 › Aspire_pres.pdf · Aspire Mining Limited ... possessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly,

World Coking Coal Provinces

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Mature RegionRamp-up regionEmerging region

N.E & S.E BC (USA)N.E & S.E BC (USA)

Appalachia (USA)Appalachia (USA)

Poland, GermanyPoland, Germany

Shanxii, ChinaShanxii, China

Moatize (Mozambique)Moatize (Mozambique)

Kuzbass (Russia)Kuzbass (Russia)Elga & E.SiberiaElga & E.Siberia

Mongolia/SouthGobiMongolia/SouthGobi

Kalimantan (Indonesia)Kalimantan (Indonesia)

Bowen Basin (Australia)Bowen Basin (Australia)

Page 9: Aspire Mining Limited - Australian Securities Exchange › ... › london › 2011 › Aspire_pres.pdf · Aspire Mining Limited ... possessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly,

Why the Interest in Mongolian Coal?

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• Mongolia is expected to be a major supplier to China, the fastest growing market for Coking Coals!

Chinese Coking Coal ImportsChinese Coking Coal Imports

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Fastest Growing Provinces in China

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Source: SouthGobi

Eastern ChinaGDP per capita = US$4,789FA investment growth = 12%

Central ChinaGDP per capita = US$2,817FA investment growth = 16%

Western ChinaGDP per capita = US$2,499FA investment growth = 37%Proportion of fiscal stimulus

allocated = 62%

Ovoot projectOvoot project

Tavan TolgoiTavan TolgoiOvoot TolgoiOvoot Tolgoi

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Comparing Value of Coal Deposits

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Coking Coal deposits are substantially more valuable than exportthermal coal

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Comparing Value of Coal Deposits

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What is sold in the first 25 years drives Net Present Value

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Value of Riversdale: Benga Deposit

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1. 25 year mine life at 20mtpa ROM – 100% of Benga Project

Reserve 502 Mt (100%)Enterprise Value

= US$3.9bn

‐ US$0.5bn (less cash & value of ZAC Anthracite  mines)

‐ US$2bn (less value of Zambeze project )

US$1.4bn Value for 65% of Benga deposit

$8.60/t of saleable coal (export)

$14.00/t of saleable coking coal

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Value of Mongolian Mining Corp.

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1. Based on disclosed washing yields to final product2. Applied to resources above 300m. Note that recoverable reserves are 182mt of both coking and

thermal coals.Total resource would support 15mtpa ROM for 25 years.

Resource 423 Mt

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1

1

2Enterprise Value

~ US$4.6bn‐ US700m  (less cash)= US3.9bn

$14.50/t of saleable coal$25/t of “saleable” coking coal

Page 15: Aspire Mining Limited - Australian Securities Exchange › ... › london › 2011 › Aspire_pres.pdf · Aspire Mining Limited ... possessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly,

What is the Value of Aspire Mining Limited?

15

1. Assumes 65% washing yield from non oxide coal to product

Resource 330.7 MtEnterprise Value

~ US$500mil

$2.25/t of saleable coal

$2.50/t of saleable coking

coal 1

Page 16: Aspire Mining Limited - Australian Securities Exchange › ... › london › 2011 › Aspire_pres.pdf · Aspire Mining Limited ... possessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly,

Relative Values

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…….Aspire looks undervalued.Aspire looks undervalued

Page 17: Aspire Mining Limited - Australian Securities Exchange › ... › london › 2011 › Aspire_pres.pdf · Aspire Mining Limited ... possessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly,

Why this Undervaluation?

Not suggesting we deserve an immediate 10x ratingNot suggesting we deserve an immediate 10x rating

• Need full washing yield analysis

• Need to articulate development time frame

• Articulate logistics solutions including rail

• Capex and Operating estimates

• Time

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The Goal is Clear!

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Contact details 

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Aspire Mining LimitedABN: 46 122 417 243ASX Code: AKM

Unit 2, 454 Roberts Road, Subiaco, Western Australia, 6008Web:  www.aspiremininglimited.com

David Paull  :  Tel :  +61 8 9381 1995Managing Director Mob :  +61 (0) 407 22 5291

Email: [email protected]