assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta … · assessing the evolution and opportunities...
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ASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLDWORLDPASTADAYANDCONGRESS2016,MOSCOW
JACKSKELLY,FOODANALYST
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INTRODUCTION
MARKETSUMMARY
OPPORTUNITIESINPASTA
CONCLUSIONS
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TheWorldofPasta:QualifiedOptimismfortheFutureASSESSINGTHEGROCERYBASKET
AGlobalDish
Numerousgrowthopportunitiesworldwide
Roomforinnovation
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Pasta:AGlobalFoodASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD
US$23billionSPENTONPASTAIN2016
13milliontonnesOFPASTACONSUMEDIN2016
1%ANNUALGROWTH,2011-2016
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VolumesaleshaveperformedsteadilyASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD
2%VOLUMEANDVALUEANNUALGROWTH,2016-2021
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Russia:TheSecondLargestPastaMarketintheWorldASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD
Increasedconsumptionofpasta
Domesticproduction
73%ofallstaplesalesspentonpasta
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INTRODUCTION
MARKETSUMMARY
OPPORTUNITIESINPASTA
CONCLUSIONS
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ValuegrowthwillbetheaimofthegameinsaturatedmarketsASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD
4.7millionTonnesOFPASTAVOLUMESALES
40%OFGLOBALPASTAVOLUMESALES
<1%ANNUALGROWTH,2011-2016
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ButmanypossibilitiesexistforpastaworldwideASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD
6.9millionTonnesOFPASTAVOLUMESALES
6millionTonnesUNMETMARKETPOTENTIAL(EXCL.CHINA+INDIA)
>2%ANNUALGROWTH,2011-2016
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ThepolarisationofconsumptionhabitsallowsgrowthforpastaASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD
Difficulties• Declineofsetmealtimes
• Increasein“snacking”• Moreadventurouspalates
Opportunities• Popularityofscratchcooking
• Desirefortransparencyinfoodpurchases
• Perimetershopping
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HowcanPastaappealtoconsumersonhealthgrounds?ASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD
FreshMeat
FreshDairy
OtherDeliFood
FreshlyBakedGoods
FreshFruit&
Vegetab
les
Dairy
ProcessedMeat&
Seafoo
d
Stap
les
Sauces,D
ressings&
Cond
imen
ts
Biscuits,Sweet&
Savou
rySna
cks,
Confectio
nery
BakedGo
ods
Frozen
Foo
d
IceCream
Oils&Fats
ReadyMeals
Soup
BabyFoodNonFoods
StoreEn
tran
ce
Checkouts Checkouts Checkouts Checkouts
The Perimeter Shop Scratch & Semi-Scratch Cooking
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E-commerce:Apotentialnewavenueforgrowth?ASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD
US$181billionOfe-commercegrocerysalesby2019
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INTRODUCTION
MARKETSUMMARY
OPPORTUNITIESINPASTA
OUTLOOK
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VolumeForecast:OptimismaroundtheworldforPasta’sgrowthASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD
1.4millionTonnesOFADDITIONALPASTAVOLUMESALESBETWEEN2016AND2021
52%OFGLOBALPASTAVOLUMESALESWILLCOMEFROMMARKETSOUTSIDETOP10
2%ANNUALGROWTH,2016-2021
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
15000
16000
ForecastVolumeGrowth:ContributionsofTop10PastaConsumers,2016-2021('000tonnes)
Volu
me
Sale
s (‘0
00 T
onne
s) 2
016
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THANKYOUFORLISTENINGJack SkellyFood [email protected]: Jack Skelly