association of metropolitan school districts december 19, 2008
DESCRIPTION
Association of Metropolitan School Districts December 19, 2008. Minnesota’s fastest growing school district. Exploding to Imploding. Dr. Mark Bezek Superintendent. Who we are…. Area Five counties 16 municipalities 174.3 square miles Size Ninth largest district in state - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Association of Metropolitan School DistrictsDecember 19, 2008
Dr. Mark Bezek
Superintendent
Minnesota’s fastest growing school district
Exploding to Imploding
Area
• Five counties
• 16 municipalities
• 174.3 square miles
Size
• Ninth largest district in state
• 12,500+ Pre-K12 learners
• 62,000+ total learners
Who we are…
Community demographics
• Average age: 31
• 27 percent under 18-years-old
• Average income: $68,008
• 70 percent are commuters
• 90 percent have a high school education
Who we are…
Where we’ve been…
Elk River Area School District K-12 October 1 Student Enrollment
Historic and Projected*
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
15000
199
6-9
7
199
7-9
8
199
8-9
9
199
9-0
0
200
0-0
1
200
1-0
2
200
2-0
3
200
3-0
4
200
4-0
5
200
5-0
6
200
6-0
7
200
7-0
8
200
8-0
9*
200
9-1
0*
201
0-1
1*
201
1-1
2*
• From 2002 to 2007, district enrollment increased by 2,583 students.
• No district in the state added more students during this period. • The increase is more than the total enrollment of almost 80 percent of all school districts in Minnesota.
• Growth equivalent to FOUR LARGE ELEMENTAY schools.
• Voters did not support bond in 2007.
• Outlook for future bond is not optimistic
Where we’ve been…explosive growth
Where we are…Elk River Area School District
K-12 October 1 Student EnrollmentHistoric and Projected*
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
15000
199
6-9
7
199
7-9
8
199
8-9
9
199
9-0
0
200
0-0
1
200
1-0
2
200
2-0
3
200
3-0
4
200
4-0
5
200
5-0
6
200
6-0
7
200
7-0
8
200
8-0
9*
200
9-1
0*
201
0-1
1*
201
1-1
2*
Where we are…
• Current average class sizes
Average MaxKindergarten: 24 (24)Grades 1 – 5: 26 (35)Grades 6 – 8: 32 (37)Grades 9 – 12: 32 (39)
• With “Leveled Growth”• We will still need to spend $1.2 million annually to avoid increasing our current class sizes.
• Current average class sizes
Average MaxKindergarten: 24 (24)Grades 1 – 5: 26 (35)Grades 6 – 8: 32 (37)Grades 9 – 12: 32 (39)
• With “Leveled Growth”• We will still need to spend $1.2 million annually to avoid increasing our current class sizes.
Where we are…
Budget challenges
• Flat enrollment and faltering economy equals cuts of up to $5 million (4.67 percent) next FY.
• Preliminary analysis…if trend continues $12 million will need to be cut in the next two years.
• Levy renewal passed in 2008…next is 2011…voter tolerance?
• Bond and referenda unlikely in the next three to five years.
Budget challenges
• Flat enrollment and faltering economy equals cuts of up to $5 million (4.67 percent) next FY.
• Preliminary analysis…if trend continues $12 million will need to be cut in the next two years.
• Levy renewal passed in 2008…next is 2011…voter tolerance?
• Bond and referenda unlikely in the next three to five years.
Where we are…
Sherburne and Wright County Housing Trends: 2003 - 2008
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Homes Built Foreclosures
Sherburne and Wright County Housing Trends: 2003 - 2008
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Homes Built Foreclosures
Where we are…
• We are near the bottom of the 25 largest school districts in Minnesota
in referendum funding.
• We are near the bottom of Metropolitan School Districts in excess levy referendum funding.
• Of the 25 largest school districts in the state, we receive the lowest amount of TOTAL Fund 01 dollars per student (ADM).
• Put another way, we receive $1,000 less (= $12.5 million) than large school districts and the state average.
• We are near the bottom of the 25 largest school districts in Minnesota
in referendum funding.
• We are near the bottom of Metropolitan School Districts in excess levy referendum funding.
• Of the 25 largest school districts in the state, we receive the lowest amount of TOTAL Fund 01 dollars per student (ADM).
• Put another way, we receive $1,000 less (= $12.5 million) than large school districts and the state average.
Where we are…
Of the 25 largest school districts in the state:
• We receive the lowest amount of Fund 01 (Excess Levy) dollars per student (ADM) from local sources.
• $750 less than the large district average and about $400 less than the state average.
• We rank second in the dollars per student spent on debt service.• $1,643 per student (ADM).
• More than $600 higher than the large district average and state average.
Of the 25 largest school districts in the state:
• We receive the lowest amount of Fund 01 (Excess Levy) dollars per student (ADM) from local sources.
• $750 less than the large district average and about $400 less than the state average.
• We rank second in the dollars per student spent on debt service.• $1,643 per student (ADM).
• More than $600 higher than the large district average and state average.
We’re heading for an implosionELK RIVER AREA SCHOOL DISTRICT
PROJECTED DEFICITS
($12,000,000)
($9,000,000)
($6,000,000)
($3,000,000)
$02008-09 2009-10 2010-11
Best Case Probable Case Worst Case
Don’t let us implode