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AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012

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Page 1: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts

for the six months ended 31 December 2012

Page 2: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

AGENDA

Key features and results history

Group financial results

Performance and prospects

Questions and answers

Page 3: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

KEY FEATURES

Revenue from continuing operations up 11% to R4,89 billion

Strong operating performance constrained by lower contribution from I&J

Operating profit excluding I&J up 16%

Africa operating profit up 18% - 14% of operating profit from grocery and personal care brands

Operating profit from continuing operations up 8% to R921,3 million

Headline earnings per share from continuing operations up 8% to 210 cents

Continued progress with capacity and efficiency projects

Green Cross acquisition effective 1 July 2012

Interim dividend of 90 cents per share

Page 4: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

106 90 111 122 133 167 259 245 247 67 89

97 129 140 121

181 203 246

39 16 75

75 126 60

3 101 47

27 27 31

36 42

57

67 86 91

- 69

100 99

82 111

170

231 303

0

200

400

600

800

1000

H1 F05 H1 F06 H1 F07 H1 F08 H1 F09 H1 F10 H1 F11 H1 F12 H1 F13

Rm

854

674

512 520 450

282

402

240

921

INTERIM RESULTS HISTORY

Compound annual growth rate H1 F05 to H1 F13 = 18,3 % Operating profit margin increased from 10,0% in H1 F05 to 18,8% in H1 F13 Strong growth in fashion and grocery brands I&J cyclical but smaller proportion of Group result

Operating profit history - continuing operations (excluding Real Juice, Denny and Alpesca)

Page 5: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Group financial results

Page 6: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

* Restated to exclude Real Juice now shown as discontinued

Income statement - continuing operations

1H13 1H12 Rm Rm %∆

Revenue 4 891,6 4 416,5 10,8 Gross profit 2 246,6 2 051,9 9,5 Gross profit margin % 45,9 46,5 (1,3) Operating profit 921,3 854,0 7,9 Operating profit margin % 18,8 19,3 (2,6) Net financing cost (24,0) (13,4) (79,1) Share of JVs and associates 5,4 25,3 (78,7)

Effective tax rate % 29,1 33,4 Headline earnings 640,0 575,6 11,2 HEPS (cps) 210,2 194,2 8,2

Page 7: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

* Restated to exclude Real Juice now shown as discontinued

Continuing operations

Cash generated by operations 969,8 916,2 5,9 Working capital to revenue % 19,7 18,6 5,9

Capital expenditure 309,9 290,8 6,6 Depreciation and amortisation 128,3 106,1 20,9 Net debt/(cash) 782,2 (50,6) Net debt / capital employed % 19,3 (1,5)

1H13 1H12* Rm Rm %∆

Page 8: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Expecting F13 capex similar to F12

Likely to trend down over next few years, excluding I&J fishing vessel replacement

Capital expenditure & depreciation history GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

258

337

410

541

182 186 191 217

271

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

F09 F10 F11 F12 F13

Capital expenditure Depreciation charge

Page 9: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

3 800

4 000

4 200

4 400

4 600

4 800

4,416 85 134 28 255 (29) 4,892

F12H1

Entyce Snackworks PersonalCare

Footwear &apparel

I&J F13H1

R m

illio

n

Movement in group revenue

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Entyce: price increases & growth in tea and creamer partly offset by lower coffee volumes

Snackworks: higher biscuit sales volumes and snacks prices

Indigo: Selling prices and make-up volumes partly offset by body spray volumes

Spitz: Green Cross acquisition; volume growth in footwear and clothing

I&J: lower sales volumes due to lost fishing days and lower catch rates

Continuing operations – revenue 10,8% up

Page 10: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

1 600

1 800

2 000

2 200

2,052 35 57 11 123 (33) 2,247

F12H1

Entyce Snackworks PersonalCare

Footwear &apparel

I&J F13H1

R m

illio

n

Movement in group gross profit

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Healthy gross profit margins maintained in grocery brands

Personal care benefit from mix offset by pressure on body spray volumes

Spitz footwear gross profit margin impacted by exchange rate on core ranges

I&J decrease due to lower sales volumes and higher costs, offset by weaker Rand

Continuing operations – gross profit 9,5% up

Page 11: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

41.0% 41.0% 45.4% 46.5% 45.9%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%Gross profit margin

H1F09 H1F10 H1F11 H1F12 H1F13

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Entyce and Snackworks margins maintained with strong brand positions and improved manufacturing base

I&J: lower catch rates and higher fuel costs outweighed weaker Rand

Spitz footwear impacted by weaker Rand and limited pricing on core ranges to support volume growth

Continuing operations – gross profit margin history

Page 12: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

1 000

854 2 43 5 72 (54) (1) 921

F12H1

Entyce Snackworks PersonalCare

Footwear &apparel

I&J Other F13H1

R m

illio

n

Movement in group operating profit

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

General cost inflation exacerbated by :

Higher distribution (fuel) costs;

Increased maintenance spend at coffee factory;

Increased H1 marketing spend at Entyce

I&J foreign exchange gains R11m lower

Continuing operations – operating profit 7,9% up

Page 13: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Business unit performance and prospects

Page 14: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Performance and prospects

Page 15: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Continued strong performance from Tea

Leading market position and strong margins maintained

Increased commodity prices offset by volume growth and pricing

Improved Creamer performance

Profit leverage from strong volume growth

Improved manufacturing capability – new spray drying tower and packing line

Income statement - continuing operations (excluding Real Juice)

1H13 Rm

1H12* Rm %∆

Revenue 1 310,0 1 225,4 6,9 Operating profit 247,4 244,9 1,0 Operating profit margin % 18,9 20,0 (5,5)

* Restated to exclude Real Juice now shown as discontinued

Page 16: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Income statement - continuing operations (excluding Real Juice)

1H13 Rm

1H12* Rm %∆

Revenue 1 310,0 1 225,4 6,9 Operating profit 247,4 244,9 1,0 Operating profit margin % 18,9 20,0 (5,5)

* Restated to exclude Real Juice now shown as discontinued

Coffee pressure from consumer and competitor

Healthy profit margins despite category pressure

Increased Frisco volumes following launch of granules H1 F12

Ciro improvement with better margins and new business

Page 17: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Sales volume and selling prices

% Δ 1H13 vs 1H12

Comments

Tea revenue growth 10,4 Volume 2,9 Strong rooibos growth

Ave. selling price 7,4 Increases over last 12 months in response to raw material increases

Coffee revenue growth (0,3) Volume (5,2) Pressure on affordable SKU’s with rising

price points Ave. selling price 5,2 Lagged impact of higher raw material

prices; mix change

Creamer revenue growth 20,7 Volume 19,0 Category growth and increase in market

share Ave. selling price 1,4 Limited increase supported by improved

manufacturing and volume leverage

Page 18: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Market Share

32.0%

44.0%

22.5%

33.0% 32.2%

46.8%

26.5%

34.3%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

Five Roses Freshpak Frisco Ellis Brown

Brand market shares 1H12 vs 1H13

H1 F12 H1 F13

Page 19: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Costs

Improvements in coffee and palm oil USD prices

Weaker Rand impacted on all imported / parity priced inputs

Steep rooibos cost increases

High planned maintenance in coffee factory

Higher fuel cost

Increased marketing spend on Tea and Coffee

-5 -2

2

7

16

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

Arabica Robusta / chicory Palm oil Glucose Tea

R m

illio

ns

Cost impact of raw materials and commodities consumed in the period (Ave 1H13 vs 1H12)

Page 20: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Capital Projects

Rm Comments Tea packing line replacements

19

Capacity for Five Roses and Freshpak. Commissioning during F13.

Coffee granulation phase 1

12 Commissioned October 2011. Phase 2 being evaluated in conjunction with volume growth from launch of Frisco Granules.

Coffee handling, extraction and spray dryers feed system replacement

33 Increased capacity; improved process control, efficiency and quality. Commissioning during H2 F13.

Coffee roaster replacement

23

Improved process and blend flexibility. Commissioning end H2 F13.

Page 21: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Rm Comments

New creamer tower

74 Commissioned December 2011 and now in normal use; annual savings of R12 m compared to contract manufacture

Creamer packaging line

20 Commissioned March 2012; increased capacity, efficiency and yield. Annual benefit of R4 m from F13.

Capital Projects

Page 22: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Prospects for H2

Constrained consumer spending

Raw material pressure – weaker Rand and black tea reduced by improving coffee positions

Rooibos and creamer packaging improvement

Maintain strong Tea position – Five Roses and Freshpak

Support improved Frisco market share - granules

Focus on affordable coffee volumes

Lower creamer volume growth

Improving coffee factory performance

Export growth through AVI International

Page 23: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Performance and prospects

Page 24: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Excellent Biscuits performance

Effective pricing / promotion to drive volumes

Factory performance – efficiency, quality and throughput

Improving Snacks margin

Better average prices

Income statement

1H13 Rm

1H12 Rm %∆

Revenue 1 424,4 1 290,3 10,4

Operating profit 245,9 203,2 21,0

Operating profit margin % 17,3 15,8 9,5

Page 25: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Sales volume and selling prices

% Δ 1H13 vs.1H12

Comments

Biscuits revenue growth 11,4 Volume growth 10,1 Effective pricing / promotional activity

Ave. selling prices 1,2 Limited raw material pressure in this period; volume leverage

Snacks revenue growth 7,2 Volume growth (1,2) Margins prioritised over volume

Ave. selling prices 8,6 Raw material pressure and improved category pricing

Page 26: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

44.1%

18.2% 21.7%

45.0%

18.1% 21.3%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

Bakers (Sweet) Bakers (Savoury) Willards

Brand market shares 1H12 vs 1H13

H1 F12 H1 F13

Market Share

Page 27: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Benefit from positions secured in F12

Weaker Rand impacted on all imported / parity priced inputs

Improved factory efficiency and throughput

Higher fuel cost

Costs

-4

-1

2

6

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

Butter Flour Sugar Palm oil

R m

illio

ns

Cost impact of raw materials and commodities consumed in the period (Ave 1H13 vs 1H12)

Page 28: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Capital Projects

Rm Comments Pumpable Shortening 28

Isando and Westmead in normal production; annual procurement saving R11 m and improved consistency.

Isando finished goods handling

45 Palletising station and six case packing lines successfully commissioned. Annualised saving of R8 m from H2. Similar project under review at Westmead.

Westmead Topper line upgrade

35 Commissioning planned for H2 F13; increased capacity, labour efficiency and product yield.

Westmead Red Label line upgrade

19

Commissioned H1 F13; improved quality, increased capacity and product yield. Annualised benefit of R3 m plus extra capacity

Westmead D plant upgrade (Royal Creams & Nuttikrust)

11 Commissioned H1 F13; improved quality, increased capacity and product yield. Annualised benefit of R2 m plus capacity.

Page 29: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Sustain biscuit volume momentum

Manage volume / price elasticity

Focus on unsold capacity

Master brand support – sweet and savoury portfolios

Raw material cost pressures – weaker Rand and commodity increases

Ongoing focus on manufacturing yields / efficiency

Improved Snacks factory focus

Capex projects at biscuit factories

Export growth through AVI International

Prospects for H2

Page 30: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Performance and prospects

Page 31: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

1H13 Rm

1H12 Rm %∆

Revenue 719,7 749,1 (3,9)

Operating profit 46,5 100,8 (53,9)

Operating profit margin % 6,5 13,5 (51,9)

Lower volumes due to:

Lost sea days (planned and unplanned maintenance)

Lower catch rates

Higher costs:

Forced change to more expensive fuel blend

Lower catch rates

Export markets sound

H1 exchange rate benefit limited by cover in place at beginning of period

Income statement

Page 32: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

-

50

100

101 (31) (23) (10) 9 46

F12H1

Volume Fuel Catch rate Exchange rates F13H1

R m

illio

n

Movement in I&J operating profit

Income statement

Page 33: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

% Δ 1H13 vs 1H12

I&J Domestic revenue growth 2,2 Volume (11,6) Lower whole fish availability and

aggressive retail price competition Ave. selling prices 15,6 Increases taken in F12 and mix

I&J Export revenue growth (7,8) Volume (17,9) Lower catch volumes

Ave. selling prices 12,3 Mostly attributable to exchange rate; foreign prices largely maintained

Sales volume and selling prices

Page 34: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

46.0% 43.8%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

I&J

Brand market shares 1H12 vs 1H13

H1 F12 H1 F13

Market Share

Page 35: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Catch rates still healthy but lower than last few years

Impacted by weather conditions

Improved at end of period

Management focus area supported by technology

Fishing performance

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Hak

e to

ns p

er se

a da

y

I&J H1 catch rates (hake tons per sea day)

I&J catch rate

Page 36: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Rm Comments

Abalone farm expansion

12 Expand capacity from 230 to 300 tons. Complete during H1 F13. Sales build-up from F14.

Marel processing line at Woodstock factory

61 Improved labour efficiency, product yields and quality. Three year payback. Commissioned January F13. Optimisation over next few months

Capital Projects

Vessel replacement under review – up to R150 m over next two years

Page 37: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Increasing benefit from weaker Rand

Improved fishing fleet availability and catch rates to date

Fuel cost increase not as high as H1

Higher hake volumes from quota increase

Export prices to remain constrained

Ongoing incremental development of export market opportunities

Optimisation of Marel project at Woodstock – partial savings

Reduce non-core activities

Possible vessel replacement spend

Improved Simplot result

Prospects for H2

Page 39: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

1H13 Rm

1H12 Rm

%∆

Revenue 515,8 487,5 5,8

Operating profit 91,1 85,9 6,1

Operating margin % 17,7 17,6 0,6

PERSONAL CARE Income statement

Category under pressure

Good Yardley cosmetics performance

Pressure on body spray volumes after pro-longed period of growth

Focused marketing spend

Improved exports into Africa

New management team

Page 40: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

PERSONAL CARE Sales volume and selling prices

% Δ 1H13 vs.1H12

Comments

Personal Care revenue growth 5,8 Volume growth (2,5) Increase in cosmetics and

fragrance offset by lower body sprays

Ave. selling price 8,5 Increases in F12 and mix

Page 41: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

PERSONAL CARE Market Share

38.5% 38.0%

20.0%

22.0%

24.0%

26.0%

28.0%

30.0%

32.0%

34.0%

36.0%

38.0%

40.0%

Body sprays

Brand market shares 1H12 vs 1H13

H1 F12 H1 F13

Page 42: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Rm Comments

New aerosol line

48 Line fully commissioned; case packing and palletisation completed; annual efficiency savings of R5m.

Emulsion capacity increase

7 Will support growth ambitions in roll-ons and lotions

Capital Projects PERSONAL CARE

Page 43: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

PERSONAL CARE

Increased launch activity

Focus on body spray volumes – price / volume balance

Traction on medium term growth opportunities – product and channel

Effective marketing spend

Export growth through AVI International

Capital project evaluation – manufacturing and distribution

Prospects for H2

Page 44: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Spitz and Kurt Geiger

1H13 Rm

1H12* Rm

%∆

Revenue 727,5 636,4 14,3

Operating profit 254,1 230,1 10,4

Operating margin% 34,9 36,2 (3,6)

SPITZ Income statement

Strong volume growth in core brands Footwear volume growth of 11,5% - Carvela, Kurt Geiger, Lacoste Clothing revenue up 42,0% - Kurt Geiger, Carvela

Gross profit margin decrease from 66,3% to 62,4% Exchange rate pressure absorbed on core footwear ranges Kurt Geiger GP margin maintained

Operating profit leverage from higher volumes Trading space increased: 5 new Kurt Geiger stores; 3 new Spitz stores and Carvela concept store

Page 45: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

SPITZ

Sales volume and selling prices

Sales volume and selling prices

% Δ 1H13 vs.1H12

Comments

Spitz & KG Footwear revenue growth

12,5

Volume growth 11,5 No price increase on core Carvela ranges; Lacoste range performing well; Kurt Geiger store roll-out

Ave. selling price 0,9 No price increase on core Carvela ranges and mix

KG Clothing revenue growth

42,0 Stores opened in F12 trading for full period and new stores

Page 46: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%40.0%45.0%

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

1H06 1H07 1H08 1H09 1H10 1H11 1H12 1H13

Operating profit and operating profit margin

Operating profit Operating profit %

SPITZ Spitz & Kurt Geiger

Page 47: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

SPITZ Trading space and trading density

Spitz 1H13 1H12 1H11

Number of stores 64 59 57

Turnover (Rm) 661,4 593,1 525,5

Average m2 16 128 14 980 15 029

Trading Density (R /m2) 41 010 39 596 34 969

Closing m2 16 586 15 240 15 124

Kurt Geiger

Number of stores 31 22 7

Turnover (Rm) 66,1 43,3 9,5

Average m2 3 840 2 382 600

Trading Density (R/m2) 17 208 18 173 15 902

Closing m2 4 113 2 922 1 047

Page 48: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

SPITZ

Constrained consumer environment

Incremental space growth

Price increase on core Carvela ranges to offset exchange rate pressure

Continue developing owned brands – Carvela and Kurt Geiger

Focus on improving Kurt Geiger trading density

Prospects for H2

Page 49: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

GREEN CROSS

1H13 Rm

1H12 Rm %∆

Revenue 171,0 157,9 8,3

Operating profit 47,6 43,8 8,7

Operating profit % 27,8 27,7 0,4

Included with effect from 1 July 2012

Earn out phase

Sound performance in constrained environment

Price increases to offset weaker Rand

Good factory performance

Focus on management succession

Page 50: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

GREEN CROSS Trading space and trading density

Green Cross 1H13 1H12

Number of stores 29 28

Turnover (Rm) 90,1 79,3

Average m2 3 225 3 147

Trading Density (R /m2) 27 934 25 209

Closing m2 3 225 3 147

Page 51: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

GREEN CROSS

Finalisation of earn-out incentive – 12 months to February 2013

Management succession – previous owners contracted to July

Brand development plans

Investment in retail store base

Investment in manufacturing site – distribution and offices

Prospects for H2

Page 52: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

AVI INTERNATIONAL

Page 53: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Operating profit history AVI INTERNATIONAL

Improved capability from new structure

Good growth in Mozambique

Focus on brands historically under-represented – Frisco, Ellis Brown, Yardley

Rationalisation of unprofitable products

Establishing own distribution operation in Namibia

Leverage RSA manufacturing base; acquisitions if appropriate

17 21 25 23

12 14

21 34 16

21

24

26

46

56

70

83

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

H1 F10 H1 F11 H1 F12 H1 F13

R m

Tea Biscuits Other

Page 54: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Entyce, Snackworks and Indigo – Sales outside of RSA AVI INTERNATIONAL

1H13

Rm

1H12*

Rm %∆

International Revenue 336,1 290,5 15,7

% of Grocery and Personal Care brands 10,3

9,7

International Operating Profit 83,2 70,4 18,2

% of Grocery and Personal Care brands 14,2 13,2

International Operating Margin 24,8 24,2 2,4

Grocery and Personal Care brands Operating Margin

18,0 17,8 1,1

Page 55: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Shared and support services

Page 56: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

SHARED AND SUPPORT SERVICES

Progress over last 5 years

Finance

IT

Logistics

Field Marketing

Human Resources

Treasury

International

Significant benefit to group

Improved delivery and effectiveness

Business unit focus on core operations

Capability to support new businesses

Page 57: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

SHARED SERVICES

Rm Comments

Redhill DC expansion

36 Additional space for peak periods and business growth; completion H1 F14

Namibia DC 9 Improve in-market effectiveness and drive growth

Capital Projects

Page 58: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

AVI GROUP

Improved I&J performance

Weaker Rand

Better catch rates if sustained

Increased quota

Improved Simplot result

Leverage strong brand portfolio to sustain growth in challenging environment

Constrained consumer demand to persist

Competitive retail environment and cost of serving growing retail space

Margin / demand pressure from weaker Rand / commodity costs

Improved manufacturing base

Accelerate exports with AVI International

Continued project activity

Prospects for H2

Page 59: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

AVI GROUP

Top line growth

Volumes / market share

Innovation - new formats and products

Green Cross brand development

AVI International

Margin expansion

Factory efficiency and capacity

Snacks manufacturing focus

Price / volume / margin management

Procurement

Fixed cost control

Increased capital program – replacement, capacity and technology

Portfolio review

Acquisitions

Focus areas

Page 60: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Questions and answers

Page 61: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Thank you

www.avi.co.za

Page 62: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Information slides

Page 63: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

Segmental Revenue

Segmental Operating Profit

Operating Margin

1H13 Rm

1H12* Rm

Δ %

1H13 Rm

1H12* Rm

Δ %

1H13 Rm

1H12* Rm

Food & Beverage Brands 3 454,1 3 264,8 5,8 539,8 548,9 (1,7) 15,6 16,8

Entyce 1 310,0 1 225,4 6,9 247,4 244,9 1,0 18,9 20,0

Snackworks 1 424,4 1 290,3 10,4 245,9 203,2 21,0 17,3 15,8

I&J 719,7 749,1 (3,9) 46,5 100,8 (53,9) 6,5 13,5

Fashion Brands 1 431,7 1 148,5 24,7 394,1 316,9 24,4 27,5 27,6

Personal Care 515,8 487,5 5,8 91,1 85,9 6,1 17,7 17,6

Footwear & Apparel 915,9 661,0 38,6 303,0 231,0 31,2 33,1 35,0

Corporate 5,8 3,2 (12,6) (11,8)

Group 4 891,6 4 416,5 10,8 921,3 854,0 7,9 18,8 19,3

BUSINESS UNIT FINANCIAL RESULTS

* Restated to exclude Real Juice now shown as discontinued

Continuing operations (excluding Real Juice)

Page 64: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

FOOTWEAR & APPAREL FINANCIAL RESULTS Income statement

Segmental Revenue

Segmental Operating Profit

Operating Margin

1H13 Rm

1H12* Rm

Δ %

1H13 Rm

1H12* Rm

Δ %

1H13 Rm

1H12* Rm

Footwear & Apparel 915,9 661,0 38,6 303,0 231,0 31,2 33,1 35,0

Spitz 727,5 636,4 14,3 254,1 230,1 10,4 34,9 36,2

Green Cross 171,0 47,6 27,8

Other 17,4 24,6 (29,3) 1,3 0,9 44,4 7,5 3,7

Page 65: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

INFORMATION SLIDE Consumer demand

Sales volume growth

% Δ 1H13 vs 1H12

Comments

Tea 2,9 Strong rooibos growth Coffee (5,2) Pressure on affordable SKU’s with rising price points

Creamer 19,0 Category growth and increase in market share

Biscuits 10,1 Effective pricing/promotional activity Snacks ( 1,2) Margins prioritised over volume

I&J RSA Local ( 11,6) Lower whole fish availability and aggressive retail price competition

I&J RSA Export (17,9) Lower catch volumes P

Personal Care (2,5) Increase in cosmetics and fragrance offset by lower body sprays

Spitz & Kurt Geiger footwear

11,5 No price increase on core Carvela ranges; Lacoste range performing well; Kurt Geiger store roll out

Page 66: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

INFORMATION SLIDE Selling Prices

Ave. realised selling prices

% Δ 1H13 vs 1H12

Comments

Tea 7,4 Increases over last 12 months in response to raw material increases

Coffee 5,2 Lagged impact of higher raw material prices; mix change

Creamer 1,4 Limited increase supported by improved manufacturing and volume leverage

Biscuits 1,2 Limited raw material pressure in this period; volume leverage

Snacks 8,6 Raw material pressure and improved category pricing

I&J RSA Local 15,6 Increases taken in F12 and mix I&J RSA Export 12,3 Mostly attributable to exchange rate; foreign prices

largely maintained Personal Care 8,5 Increases in F12 and mix Spitz & Kurt Geiger footwear

0,9 No price increase on core Carvela ranges and mix

Page 67: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

INFORMATION SLIDE Raw material / commodity costs

Total increase of R46m for commodities shown

Includes impact of exchange rate

-5 -4 -2 -1

2

7 8

16

25

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Arabica Butter Robusta /chicory

Flour Sugar Glucose Palm oil Tea Fuel

R m

illio

n

Cost impact of raw materials and commodities consumed in the period (Ave 1H13 vs 1H12)

Page 68: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

INFORMATION SLIDE Key Market Shares

32.0

%

44.0

%

22.5

%

33.0

%

44.1

%

18.2

%

46.0

%

21.7

%

38.5

%

32.2

%

46.8

%

26.5

%

34.3

%

45.0

%

18.1

%

43.8

%

21.3

%

38.0

%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

50.0%

Five Roses Freshpak Frisco Ellis Brown Bakers(Sweet)

Bakers(Savoury)

I&J Willards Body sprays

Market shares 1H12 vs 1H13

H1 F12 H1 F13

Page 69: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

INFORMATION SLIDE Marketing expenditure

Includes advertising and promotions, co-operative expenditure with customers and marketing department costs

Total expenditure for 1HF13 was R302m compared to R291m in 1HF12

7.5% 6.9%

3.9%

7.4% 7.4% 5.6%

18.7%

2.5%

8.1% 8.9%

3.9%

7.3% 6.7% 6.4%

15.3%

2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%

Tea Coffee Creamer Biscuits Snacks I&J retail Personal care Footwear

Brand support - % of NSV

1H12 1H13

Page 70: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

H1 F08 H1 F09 H1 F10 H1 F11 H1 F12 H1 F13

Cent

s pe

r sha

re

Interim distributions to shareholders (CPS)

Interim dividend paid Interim dividend declared

INFORMATION SLIDE

Annual dividend cover ratio reduced from 2,0 to 1,5 in F12

Ongoing practice of returning surplus cash to shareholders

Returns to shareholders

Page 71: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

INFORMATION SLIDE Returns to shareholders

116.0 166.0 229.4 238.6 262.8 301.1

373.0

624.5

-

201.8

230.6

- -

226.6

-

555.7

319.1

- -

269.9

- -

279.0

317.8

166.0 229.4

788.3

262.8 301.1

869.5

624.5

834.7

-

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

800.0

900.0

1,000.0

F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13

R'm

Distributions to shareholders (R'm)

Normal dividend paid Special dividend paid Share Buyback Interim dividend declared

Page 72: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

INFORMATION SLIDE I&J Quota– seafood products

Hake Quota (tons)

CY09

CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13

South African Total Allowable Catch (TAC) 118 578 119 861 131 847 144 742 156 088

% change in quota (9,1) 1,1 10,0 9,8 7,8

I&J 33 199 33 550 36 906 40 515 43 689

% 28,0 28,0 28,0 28,0 28,0

Page 73: AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts · AVI Limited Presentation to shareholders & analysts for the six months ended 31 December 2012 . AGENDA Key features and results

INFORMATION SLIDE Real Juice – historical information

July – Sept 2012 Rm

H1 F12 Rm

H2 F12 Rm

F12 Rm

Revenue 33,6 76,3 69,9 146,2

Operating profit 0,6 1,0 7,1 8,1

Capital items* 41,1 ─ 0,1 0,1

Sold with effect from 1 October 2012

* Includes profit on disposal of Real Juice of R40,9 million