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    INDONESIAN BANKING DEVELOPMENT:Financial services liberalization, the regulatory framework,

    and financial stability

    By Dwityapoetra S. Besar

    Workshop On Trade In Financial Services And Development

    Geneva, June 2012

    1

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    Agenda

    1

    2

    IndonesiasExperience

    Challenges Facing Indonesias Banking/Financial Sectors

    3 Conclusions

    Appendix

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    Indonesias Financial Sector

    3

    79.50%

    1.10%

    8.80%

    3.10%

    4.40% 2.70%0.40%

    Asset Composition of Financial Institutions

    Commercial Banks

    Rural Banks

    Insurance

    Pension Funds

    Finance Companies

    Securities Companies

    Pawnshops

    Indonesia is a bank-based financial system (79.5% is the share of banksasset). There are 121

    banks with 13.453 offices. 14 largest banks hold 70% of the banking assets. There are 47 banks

    owned by foreigners with 45,8% of the share.

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    Indonesian experience: liberalisation and crisis

    4

    7.8

    4.8

    8.5

    7.2

    -1

    8.8

    6.9

    2.5

    5.84.9

    5.8

    7.5 7.5

    8.9

    7.2 7.3 7.58.2 7.8

    4.9

    -13.4

    0.8

    4.9

    3.64.5 4.8

    55.7 5.5

    6.3 6

    4.5

    6.1 6.5 6.3

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

    Source: Indonesian Statistic Bureau

    IDR Deva luiation

    due to oil price h ike

    & globa l stagflation

    in 1974 and 1983

    Asian Financial

    Crisis in 1998-1999Global Financial

    Crisis in 2008-2009

    Banking deregulations in

    1983,1988 (Pakto), and 1991

    Ave GDP growth

    before crisis is 6.5%

    Liberalisation

    1966-1973

    Crisis after financial services liberalizations. Financial liberalization is likely to have a

    positive effect on growth through financial development, even if it increases financial

    fragility.

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    Comparison of Banking Liberalization in ASEAN

    5

    0 2 4 6 8 10

    Malaysia

    Filipina

    Thailand

    Indonesia

    Singapura

    Level of Banking liberalization in ASEAN 5

    Country License Min. Capital(USD mil)

    Foreign EquityParticipation

    Hosting bankfrom ASEAN

    Restriction

    INDONESIA Single 334 99% 7 banks NoSINGAPORE Multiple 1,200 >10% need MAS approval 9 banks Branch, ATM

    MALAYSIA Multiple 600 30% 6 banks Branch, ATM,product

    THAILAND Multiple 325 40% 6 banks Branch, ATM

    PHILLIPINES Multiple 150 49% 4 banks Branch, ATM

    Indonesia has relatively

    liberalized banking markets

    compared to other ASEAN

    countries.

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    Agenda

    1

    2

    Overview of Indonesias Economic and Banking Development

    Challenges Facing Indonesias Financial Sectors

    3 Conclusions

    Appendix

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    Challenges facing Indonesias Financial Sectors

    7

    Mitigate the negative impacts from financial liberalization and globalfinancial crisis. Financial liberalization, by giving banks and other financial

    intermediaries more freedom of action, can increase the opportunities to take onrisk, thereby increasing financial fragility. Indonesia as an open and relativelyliberalized economy could be affected by the crisis via trade and financialchannels. To survive, Indonesia need to develop its economy while consider itsglobal financial reform commitments that restricted the banks and intermediationprocess.

    Improve financial sector (banks) competitiveness. Banks conduct inefficientoperations (domestic and regional). Banking market is characterized by oligopolytype of market. Financial/banking services and products are relatively limited.

    Enhanced access to finance for all public. Indonesias financial sectors arestill relatively limited and concentrated in big cities. Meanwhile there has beenincreasing demand due to rising middle class workers.

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    Banking Challenges: Regional Comparison

    54.78 51.71

    69.03

    50.97 47.71

    83.31

    2.362.62

    4.03

    2.622.35

    5.71

    0.00

    1.00

    2.00

    3.00

    4.00

    5.00

    6.00

    7.00

    8.00

    9.00

    10.00

    0.00

    10.00

    20.00

    30.00

    40.00

    50.00

    60.00

    70.00

    80.00

    90.00 BOPO NIM

    BOPO NIM

    NIM & CTI ratio (Dec 2011)

    2,096

    1,708

    1,457

    1,091

    590

    532

    496435

    481*

    418*

    393*

    273*

    - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

    DBS Bank

    OCBC

    UOB

    Maybank

    CIMB

    Bangkok Bank

    Krung Thai BankKasikorn Bank

    Mandiri

    BRI

    BCA

    BNI

    Total Asset (Rp T) (Dec 2011)

    217

    166

    152

    80

    52

    69

    3743

    53*

    47*

    39*

    35*

    0 50 100 150 200 250

    DBS Bank Ltd

    OCBC

    UOB

    Maybank

    CIMB

    Bangkok Bank

    Krung Thai BankKasikornBank

    Mandiri

    BRI

    BCA

    BNI

    Tier -1 Cap (Rp T) (Dec 2011)

    8

    29.62%36.33%

    92.81%

    105.37%117.06%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    140%

    Indonesia Philippines Thailand Singapore Malaysia

    Loan to GDP ratio (December 2011)

    Source: Central banks, IMF and Bankscope

    *) Feb 2012

    *) Feb 2012

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    Banking Indicators and Challenges

    9

    Indicators Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12

    Total Asset (T Rp) 2,310.6 2,534.1 3,008.9 2,990.7 2,993.1 3,065.8 3,069.1 3,136.4 3,195.1 3,216.8 3,252.6 3,371.5 3,407.5 3,569.9 3,651.8 3,598.7 3,628.1 3,708.7

    Deposits (T Rp) 1,753.3 1,973.0 2,338.8 2,302.1 2,287.8 2,351.4 2,340.2 2,397.2 2,438.0 2,464.1 2,459.9 2,544.9 2,587.3 2 ,644.7 2,784.1 2,742.3 2,763.9 2,826.0

    - Demand Deposits 430.0 465.9 535.9 530.6 529.8 540.8 528.3 561.2 577.0 567.3 524.2 580.6 596.5 616.5 652.6 645.7 624.2 656.0

    - Savings Accounts 498.6 605.4 733.2 715.8 713.2 722.7 734.5 740.8 753.7 763.5 785.7 797.0 802.7 827.7 897.9 865.9 883.9 888.0

    - Time Deposit 824.7 901.7 1,069.8 1,055.6 1,044.9 1,087.8 1,077.4 1,095.2 1,107.3 1,133.3 1,150.0 1,167.3 1,188.1 1,200.6 1,233.6 1,230.8 1,255.8 1,281.0

    - Loans (T Rp) 1,307.7 1,437.9 1,796.0 1,776.1 1,803.9 1,844.2 1,872.6 1,918.6 1,979.6 2,002.3 2,060.8 2,108.6 2,135.5 2 ,180.5 2,228.5 2,189.2 2,231.7 2,294.9

    Capital Adequacy Ratio (%) 16.8 17.4 17.0 17.0 18.0 17.6 17.8 17.4 17.0 17.2 17.3 16.7 17.1 16.6 16.1 18.4 18.5 18.3

    NPL Gross (without channeling)(%)

    - - 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.3

    Return on Assets (%) 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.0 2.8 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.0 3 .1 3.1 3 .1 3.0 3.7 3.4 3.1

    Net Interest Margin (%) 5.7 5.6 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.9 6 .0 6.0 5 .9 5.9 6.1 5.4 5.2

    Ops. Expense/Ops. Income (%) 88.6 86.6 80.0 83.5 80.5 77.8 78.5 78.2 80.0 81.6 80.8 79 .4 79.1 79.0 81.5 91.8 77.5

    Loan to Deposit Ratio (%)* 74.6 72.9 75.5 75.8 77.5 77.2 78.8 78.8 80.0 80.1 82.6 81.7 81.4 81.3 79.0 78.8 79.7 80.2

    No. of Banks 124 121 122 121 121 121 121 121 121 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120

    Banking System is sound with stable CAR, continuous credit expansion and low NPL.

    But some problems remains and need to be resolved.

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    Financial stability challenges

    10

    The case for macroprudential policyFills a clear gap.

    The macroprudential approach provides targeted and effective policy action.But, need to study the impact and continue develop theory and policy

    Macroprudential policy in IndonesiaAn emerging framework.

    It helps to manage large capital inflow to Indonesia but important challenges

    remain: Difficulties to identify risks early

    Data and understanding of systemic risk and how to fight it

    Coordination between authorities in crisis management and resolution.

    Need a clear mandate in crisis prevention and management/resolution

    Improving financial systemNecessary condition

    Indonesia banking sector is still developing and has incompetitive market.

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    ASEAN Banking Integration Framework 2020

    Key Performance Indicators

    ASEAN Banks

    Non ASEANBanks

    IntegrasiSektor

    Keuangan

    ASEAN 2020

    Harmonisasi

    Regulasi

    Qualified

    ASEAN

    Banks

    CapacityBuilding

    Infrastruktur

    SSK

    ASEAN Banking Integration Framework (ABIF)

    Good performance

    Mampu bersaing

    dgn bank ASEANdi dalam negeri

    Mampu melakukanekspansi ke negara

    ASEAN

    Optimal competition

    Presence of QAB inASEAN

    Strong and competitive banking sector

    11

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    Challenges to improve financial access

    12

    Belowpoverty line

    Living invillages

    13.33% 64.25%

    unbankable

    60%

    SME sector

    99.91%

    Of 51.3 millSME

    that areunbankable

    60-70%

    Sumber : Biro Pusat Statistik dan Worldbank

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    Agenda

    1

    2

    Overview of Indonesias Economic and Banking Development

    Challenges Facing Indonesias Financial Sectors

    3 Conclusions

    Appendix

    14

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    Summary

    14

    Indonesia and other countries have experienced the cycle of financialliberalization, development and crisis. The successful financial liberalization

    should be supported by a sound financial stability infrastructure, goodgovernance, and access to finance based on national characteristics. Stronginstitutions cannot be created overnight, more research effort should be focusedon the design and implementation of prudential regulations and supervisionespecially in developing countries.

    This global financial crisis adds more aspects to be considered. There aredynamic interactions between financial liberalization, financial prudentialregulation/policy, economic policy and politics. But, the most important issue isreally on how we could do it gradually by considering economic development andincrease international trade.

    Next challenges are to deal with global stagnation, systemic risk/crisis andcontagion effects (trade and financial). Would implementing globalcommitments, macroprudential policy and strengthening financial sector besufficient? It will need stronger commitments, discipline, sacrifice and real workto ensure that the problems are effectively solved.

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    Thank [email protected]

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    Appendixes

    17

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    Map of Indonesia

    17

    This figure shows the map of Indonesia. There are 33 provinces separated in five big islands: Java, Sumatra,

    Kalimantan, Sulawesi (Celebes), and Irian Jaya. The capital city is Jakarta located in Java. Source: Central

    Intelligence Agency (2009). Available at : https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-

    factbook/geos/id.html.

    18

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    Macroeconomic indicators shows good condition

    18

    GDP Growth Inflation

    Balance of Payments Foreign Exchange Reserves

    BillionUSD

    * Bank Indonesia projection

    Source: Bank Indonesia

    5.7%

    5.5%

    6.3%6.0%

    4.6%

    6.1%6.5% 6.3% 6.4%

    0.0%

    1.0%

    2.0%

    3.0%

    4.0%

    5.0%

    6.0%

    7.0%

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q12012

    Q22012* -10.00

    -5.00

    0.00

    5.00

    10.00

    15.00

    20.00

    Jan

    Mar

    May

    Jul

    Sep

    Nov

    Jan

    Mar

    May

    Jul

    Sep

    Nov

    Jan

    Mar

    May

    Jul

    Sep

    Nov

    Jan

    Mar

    2009 2010 2011 2012

    %

    CPI (%, yoy) Core (%, yoy)

    Volatile Food (%, yoy) Administered (%, yoy)

    -

    2.00

    4.00

    6.00

    8.00

    10.00

    12.00

    -

    20.00

    40.00

    60.00

    80.00100.00

    120.00

    140.00

    Jan

    Feb

    Mar

    Apr

    May

    JunJul

    Aug

    Sep

    Oct

    Nov

    Dec

    Jan

    Feb

    Mar

    Apr

    May

    JuneJul

    Aug

    Sep

    Oct

    Nov

    Dec

    Jan

    Feb

    Mar

    Apr

    2010 2011 2012

    foreign exchange reserves (LHS)

    month of import & government debt service (RHS)

    0

    30

    60

    90

    120

    150

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1**

    2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012

    Current Acc.

    Cap & Fin Account

    Overall Balance

    Reserve A ssets (RHS)

    Billion USD Billion USD

    19

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    Market view on Indonesias condition-rating

    19

    Ratinghistory

    Market view on Indonesia development. After liberalization, Indonesian rating slightly

    improved but dropped during the financial crisis. Now, it is an investment grade.

    20

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    Balance of Payments

    20

    Balance of Payments

    Indonesias Balance of Payments in Q1/2012 strengthened by recording a lower deficit of US$1.0 billion deficitcompared to US$3.7 billion deficit in Q4/2012.

    0

    30

    60

    90

    120

    150

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1**

    2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012

    Current Acc.

    Cap & Fin Account

    Overall Balance

    Reserve Assets (RHS)

    Billion USD Billion USD

    21

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    Foreign Direct Investment

    21

    Realized foreign direct investment (USD billion) Realized domestic direct investment (IDR trillion)

    The investment realization on Quarter 1 (January - March) of 2012 is Rp 71.2 trillion

    consisted of Rp 19.7 trillion of Domestic Direct Investment (PMDN) and Rp 51.5 trillion ofForeign Direct Investment (FDI). It increases 32% compared to the same period in 2011.

    Although there are some uncertainties in United States of America and European

    economy, the investment activities in Indonesia are doing well.

    Source: BKPM

    * US$ / Rp. exchange rate of 9,180, the BI middle exchange rate as of March 30, 2012.

    6.0

    10.3

    14.9

    10.8

    16.2

    19.5

    5.7

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012

    20.8

    34.9

    20.4

    37.8

    60.6

    76.0

    19.7

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q1 2012

    22

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    Financial Account

    22

    In Q1/2012, the financial account shifted to a surplus

    at US$2.2 billion from a deficit of US$1.0 billion in the

    Q4/2011. This surplus was mainly supported by

    purchases of foreign currency-denominated government

    securities, followed by purchases of stocks and private

    sector debt securities in line with positive marketperceptions of the domestic economy.

    Financial Account: Total

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1**

    2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012

    Financial Account: Total

    Other Inv. Portfol io Inv. Direct Inv. Financial Account

    Billion USD

    -8

    -6

    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1

    Q2

    Q3

    Q4

    Q1**

    2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012

    Portfolio Investment

    Debt Securities Equity Total

    Billion USD

    Foreign portfolio investment recorded a surplus ofUS$3.2 billion in Q1/2012 after experienced netoutflows in the last two quarters. Such a significant

    jumped up was especially due to large inflows in foreigncurrency-denominated government and corporate debtsecurities and domestic stocks.

    23

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    Indonesian banksForeign and domestic banks

    23

    No Type of banks Des-00 Des-06 Des-11 Mar-12

    % change bw

    2000 and

    2008

    1 State owned banks:

    a. Government of Republic of Indonesia 5 5 4 4 -25,0

    b. Local (provincial) governments 26 26 26 26 0,0

    2 Private domestic owned banks 78 55 56 56 -39,3

    3 Foreign owned banks:

    a. Subsidiary (Joint Venture) 29 29 13 13 -123,1

    b. Branch office 10 11 10 10 0,0

    4 Sharia banks 3 4 11 11 72,7

    Total 151 130 120 120 -25,8

    This table shows number of banks based on different types of banks operating in Indonesia from Dec 2000 to March 2012.

    Various years. Source: Indonesian Banking Statistics. Bank Indonesia

    24

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    Foreign and domestic banks activities

    24

    Dec-00 Mar-12 Dec-00 Mar-12 Dec-00 Mar-12 Dec-00 Mar-12 Dec-00 Mar-12

    State owned banks 522,4 1328,2 108,1 776,8 59,3 242,9 68,5 395,4 184,7 401,0

    50,2 36,4 38,2 35,3 37,2 37,2 44,6 44,0 48,1 32,5

    Private domestic owned banks 358,3 1454,2 86,3 908,0 52,7 218,9 76,9 371,8 146,5 570,834,4 39,8 30,5 41,3 33,1 33,5 50,1 41,4 38,2 46,3

    Provincial government banks 26,1 304,0 10,1 175,7 10,8 88,4 4,8 67,3 4,2 79,5

    2,5 8,3 3,6 8,0 6,8 13,5 3,1 7,5 1,1 6,4

    Subsidiary (JV) banks 50,2 181,1 30,4 120,4 9,8 25,2 0,4 18,4 12,5 67,3

    4,8 5,0 10,7 5,5 6,1 3,9 0,3 2,0 3,3 5,5

    Foreign branch offices 82,3 268,5 46,9 136,5 26,7 67,2 2,7 18,7 35,4 55,6

    7,9 7,3 16,6 6,2 16,7 10,3 1,8 2,1 9,2 4,5

    Sharia banks 1,9 116,9 1,3 82,7 0,2 10,1 0,3 26,6 0,5 59,8

    0,2 4,0 0,5 3,8 0,1 1,6 0,2 3,0 0,1 4,8

    Total 1041,2 3652,8 283,1 2200,1 159,5 652,6 153,6 898,3 383,8 1234,0

    This table presents market share of Indonesian banks in December 2000 and March 2012. Source: Bank Indonesia. December 2000 and March 2012. Indonesian Banking Statistics.

    (unit IDR T)

    Demand Deposits (%

    of Total)

    Savings Accounts (%

    of Total)

    Time Deposits (% of

    Totals)Bank Type

    Assets (% of Total) Loans (% of Total)

    25

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    Banking market competition

    25

    Metropolitan Area

    VariablesCoefficient P-value Coefficient P-value Coefficient P-value Coefficient P-value

    Lagged total revenue -0.022 0.000 -0.319 0.000 0.012 0.000 -0.006 0.848

    Fixed asset cost 0.050 0.000 0.107 0.002 0.100 0.000 0.030 0.000

    Labor cost 0.304 0.000 0.184 0.007 0.180 0.000 0.218 0.000

    Wholesale funding cost 0.102 0.000 0.113 0.120 0.336 0.003 0.274 0.042

    Total Deposit 0.695 0.000 0.429 0.000 0.706 0.000 0.892 0.000

    Time 0.124 0.000 -0.213 0.000 0.155 0.000 -0.019 0.719

    Number of obs 4,366 323 1,111 1,172

    Number of banks 132 54 55 41

    H-stat 0.45 0.31 0.62 0.52

    F-statistics for H=0 7379.6 0.000 11.91 0.000 31.02 0.000 10.15 0.000

    F-statistics for H=1 11430.3 0.000 61.09 0.000 11.27 0.000 8.75 0.000

    AR(2)p-value 0.655 0.664 0.753 0.542

    Sargan -Hansen,p-value 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    This table shows the result of Panzar-Rosse (1987) using Two steps Generalized Method of Moment (Arellano Bond, 1991) with

    robust s tandard errors. The dependen t variable is total revenue. The s et of explanatory variables are fixed as set cost, labor cos t,wholesale funding cost, bank's deposit market. All variables are in logarithmic value. AR(2) is the p-value for the test for 2nd-

    order autocorrelation in the residuals. Sargan is the p -value for the Sargan test for the validity of th e over-identifying

    restrictions. Hansen J the p-value for the Hans en tes t for the v alidity of the o ver-identifying res trictions. Metropolitan area is

    Jakarta, Banten and West Java that is most populated and active banking market. Java and Sumatra is provinces in Java and

    Sumatra islands excluding Jakarta, Banten and Wes t Java. The Periphery is o ther provinces that are less pop ulated and less

    active banking markets (See section 3.2 for further details).

    All Java & Sumatra The Periphery

    Dependent Variable: Total revenue

    (1) (2) (3) (4)

    26

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    Banking performance is also positive

    1,272

    2,311

    3,089

    3,652 3,682

    Des

    2004

    Des

    2008

    Des

    2010

    Des

    2011

    Feb

    2012

    Total Asset ( T Rp)

    19.3616.2 17 16.1

    18.4

    Des2004

    Des2008

    Des2010

    Des2011

    Feb2012

    CAR (%)

    76.69

    84.1

    8081.5

    85.9

    Des2004

    Des2008

    Des2010

    Des2011

    Feb2012

    Eff Ratio (%)

    133

    124121 120 120

    Des

    2004

    Des

    2008

    Des

    2010

    Des

    2011

    Feb

    2012

    No of banks

    61.8

    77.2 76.8 80 79.4

    Des2004

    Des2008

    Des2010

    Des2011

    Feb2012

    LDR (%)

    7,939

    10,936

    13,971

    14,797

    14,839

    Des2004

    Des2008

    Des2010

    Des2011

    Feb2012

    No of bank offices

    0.25 0.43 0.540.65 0.620.42

    0.821.07

    1.23 1.26

    0.30

    0.50

    0.730.90 0.88

    Des2004

    Des2008

    Des2010

    Des2011

    Feb2012

    Deposits (T Rp )

    Giro Deposito Tabungan

    0.290.68 0.88

    1.07 1.060.12

    0.260.35

    0.46 0.48

    0.15

    0.37

    0.54

    0.67 0.67

    Des2004

    Des2008

    Des2010

    Des2011

    Feb2012

    Loan ( T Rp)

    Modal Kerja Investasi Konsumsi

    27

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    Sound Financial Sector

    Stability in the banking system remains firm alongside steady improvement in

    credit growth

    Sufficient CAR (%) Sound level of NPLs (%)

    17 17

    18

    17.617.8

    17.4

    1717.2

    17.3

    16.7

    17.1

    16.6

    16.1

    18.418.5

    18.3

    14.5

    15

    15.5

    16

    16.5

    17

    17.5

    18

    18.5

    19

    2.6

    2.8 2.8 2.8 2.82.9

    2.72.8 2.8

    2.7 2.7

    2.5

    2.2

    2.42.3 2.3

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    3

    3.5

    28

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    1. Improving bank capital and

    liquidity standards

    2. Addressing systemically importantfinancial institutions (SIFIs)

    3. Expanding and refining the

    regulatory perimeter

    4. Improving the OTC and

    Commodity Derivatives Markets

    5. Developing macro-prudential

    frameworks and tools

    6. Strengthening and converging

    accounting standards

    7. Strengthening adherence to

    international supervisory and

    regulatory standards

    8. Other issues

    Implementation of Basel III and strenghtened bank risk

    management

    Methodology to supervise SIFIs

    Shadow banking, hedge funds, securitization

    OTC derivatives standard contract, CCP, etc

    Regulatory system revision, macro prudential policy

    frameworks, Early Warning Exercise (EWE)

    Accounting standard convergence under the IASB andFASB in many fronts

    FSAP, international standard, peer review, etc

    EMDEs, consumer finance protection, credit rating

    agencies, etc

    Global Financial Sector Reform- G20s Committments

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    29

    Global financial sector reform: Basel III

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    BASEL II

    (Pillar 1, Pillar 2, Pillar 3)

    Issue regulations

    BASEL III CAPITALMinimum Total Capital 8,0 8,0 8,0 8,0 8,0 8,0 8,0

    Minimum Total Capital +

    Conservation Buffer

    8,0 8,0 8,0 8,625 9,25 9,875 10,5

    Capital Instruments excl from

    Tier 1 and Tier 2

    Phased Out gradually 10 years from 2013 to 2023 or early redemption date

    before 2023

    Countercyclical Cap Buffer Maximum 2,5

    30

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    Financial Stability Policy-

    Macroprudential policy in Indonesia

    Bank Indonesia has the mandate to conduct macroprudential policy. (IndonesiaFSA Act, article 40). This mandate will also be stated in Bank Indonesia Act.

    In a crisis management, there is Financial Stability Coordination Committee

    (FSCC) (Indonesia FSA Act. Article 44)

    Members of the FSCC: Minister of Finance

    Governor of Bank Indonesia Head of Board of Commisioner of Financial Services Authority Head of Board of Commisioner of Indonesia Deposit Insurance Agency

    Financial safety nets arrangement will be regulated in the Indonesian FinancialSafety Nets Act

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    Financial stability issues-

    Macroprudential Policies for Managing Capital Flows

    The Measures Objectives

    Minimum Holding Period on BI bills,1 month holding period (June 2010)and 6 month holding (May 2011)

    To put sand in the wheels onshort-term andspeculative capital inflows, and mitigate risks ofsudden reversals.

    Reinstate limits on short-term

    offshore borrowing of the banks Maximum of 30% of capital Effective end January 2011

    To limit the short-term and volatile capital inflows.

    To limit FX exposure of the banking systemstemming from capital inflows.

    Increase FX reserve requirements ofthe banks from 1% of FX deposits to: 5% effective March 2011

    8% effective June 2011

    To strengthen FX liquidity management, therebythe resilience, of the banking system in facingincreasing FX exposure stemming from capital

    inflows Helps absorb domestic liquidity.

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    Financial Stability Policy-Macroprudential Policies for Managing Domestic Liquidity & Credit

    Overheat

    The Measures Objectives

    Lengthen (from weekly to monthly)auction and offer longer maturity (3, 6,9 months) of BI bills since June 2010.

    To enhance the effectiveness of domestic liquiditymanagement, including from capital inflows, bylocking up to longer term and helsp developdomestic financial markets.

    Increase Rupiah reserverequirement from 5% to 8%, effectiveNov 2010.

    To absorb domestic liquidity and enhance liquidity

    management of the banks, without exertingnegative impact on lendings that are needed tostimulate growth.

    The Measures Objectives

    Implement Loan to Value Ratio (LTV)for mortgage and Down Payment forAutomotive loans since June 2012.

    To reduce excessive growth of specificconsumptions loans (housing and automotive) andmitigate increasing credit risk in banking sector.

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    Financial Stability Condition

    Overall Indonesian Financial System has been relatively stable since global crisis in 2007-08

    0.00

    0.50

    1.00

    1.50

    2.00

    2.50

    3.00

    3.50

    1996M02

    1996M08

    1997M02

    1997M08

    1998M02

    1998M08

    1999M02

    1999M08

    2000M02

    2000M08

    2001M02

    2001M08

    2002M02

    2002M08

    2003M02

    2003M08

    2004M02

    2004M08

    2005M02

    2005M08

    2006M02

    2006M08

    2007M02

    2007M08

    2008M02

    2008M08

    2009M02

    2009M08

    2010M02

    2010M08

    2011M02

    2011M08

    2012M02

    FSI 1996 - 2012Asia Financial Crisis1997/1998: 3.23

    Mini Crisis 2005: 2.33 Global Crisis (Nov 2008): 2.43

    Mei 2012: 1.69

    April 2012: 1.63

    34Isu Strategis No. 3: Financial Inclusion

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    Indonesia Financial Inclusion Strategy

    Access Wider Public to

    Financial Products and Institutions

    Financial

    Education

    Mapping

    Financial

    Information

    Intermediation

    FacilitationDistribution

    Channel

    Supportive

    Regulation

    Regime

    Infrastruktur

    Curriculum(Elementary-Junior HighSchool)

    Education forIndonesian

    workers towork inabroad

    Financialidentificationnumber

    HouseholdSurvey Bazaar

    intermediation Workshop on

    entrepreneurship

    My savingprogram

    Branchlessbanking

    Mobilebanking

    KYC Agent

    Researchbenchmarkingconsultancyseminarfocus group discussion

    Isu Strategis No. 3: Financial Inclusion