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    Banking IndustryRecent trends and the road ahead

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    OBJECTIVES

    Main history of Indian Banking Industry.

    Past performance and trends.

    Major changes in recent past.

    Current scenario.

    The road ahead and challenges.

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    History and introduction to banking

    industry

    Originated in the last decade of the 18th

    century. The General Bank Of India(started-1786),Hindustan

    Bank(started -1790).

    Formation of RBI in1934, got nationalized in January 1949

    under RBI act. Nationalization:

    Except SBI every other bank was functioning

    independently.

    In 1969 ,14 banks got nationalized.

    6 more banks got nationalized in 1980.

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    Post liberalization era: Initially 10% FDI allowed, at present 74% with some

    restriction.

    Conversion from 4-6-4 model to 8 to 8

    banking(present).

    Adaptation of technology: Internet banking

    Electronic fund transfer

    Automatic teller machines.

    Core banking solutions.

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    Past performances and trends

    0.00

    10.00

    20.00

    30.00

    40.00

    50.00

    60.00

    70.00

    80.00

    2 4 6 8 10

    priority

    non priority

    public

    1) Non performing asset

    Priority sector worst

    performer in recent past.

    Non priority goodperformance till 2008.

    Public sector has been

    good and consistent

    performer throughout.

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    Profitability

    Despite high interest rates and high NPA and highprovisioning requirement the banking sector

    witnessed growth

    Growth of investments decelerated

    Operating expenses grew at a higher rate Growth of other income decelerated

    1. ROA moved from 1.05% to 1.10 %

    2. ROE also witnessed improvements.

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    Soundness indicators

    Asset qualityPrivate sector saw a growth, whereas public sector assetquality declined due to higher NPA

    Agriculture contributed 44% in Higher NPA

    Leverage Ratio

    Remained constant at 6%

    Credit boom

    No chances of credit boom despite higher credit growth

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    CRAR

    Declined owing to decline in tier2 CRAR ratio.

    migrating to Basel II framework, the parallel run of Basel I is

    also continuing as a backstop measure. The CRAR of all

    bank groups under Basel I remained well above the stipulated

    regulatory norm of 9 per cent in 2010-1.

    Under Basel II also, the CRAR of SCBs remained well above

    the required minimum in 2010-11.

    This implies that, in the short to medium term, SCBs are not

    constrained by capital in extending credit

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    Current scenario

    Indian banking industry maintaining resilience whileproviding for growth opportunities.

    Survey by Ficci shows: Regulatory framework, economic growth and insulation

    from external market is major reason for the betterperformance.

    Regulatory systems of Indian banks were rated better

    than China, Brazil, Russia, UK and at par with Japan,

    Singapore and Hong Kong.

    Indias Risk management systems more advanced

    than China, Brazil and Russia

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    Overview

    A rigorous evaluation of the health of commercialbanks, recently undertaken by the Committee on

    Financial Sector Assessment (CFSA) also shows

    that the commercial banks are robust and versatile.

    The single-factor stress tests undertaken by the

    CFSA divulge that the banking system can endure

    considerable shocks arising from large possiblechanges in credit quality, interest rate and liquidity

    conditions

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    Current challenges

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    Human resource challanges

    Thus, on the whole, we see

    that Public Sector Banks,

    Private Sector Banks as

    well as Foreign

    Banks view difficulty in

    hiring highly qualified

    youngsters as their biggest

    HR threat ahead of

    high staff cost overheads,

    poaching of skilled quality

    staff and high attrition rates

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    Strong pillars

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    Continued

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    Continued

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    Continued..

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    Globalexpansion

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    The road ahead.

    Is our banking industry ready for Basel 3 norms

    Are we ready for IFRS norms.

    Current and emerging environment offers sound

    business opportunities to the banks.

    Opportunities to the new entrants.

    Improving efficiency.

    Need to review laws governing the Indian banking

    sector

    Banking activities.

    Credit flow industry.