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EU Railway Conference Baseline 3: Experiences from early implementers
- The Danish Signalling Programme
15 May, 2014 Presented by Morten Søndergaard, Rail Net Denmark
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Background, Scope & Status
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Rail Data
DENMARK
Passengers: 170+ mill.
Weight: 15 mill. ton
Track: 3.240 km
Bridges: 2,342
Remote control: 16
Stations: 307
Level Xings: 750
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Danish train control needs to be renewed now
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• 60% of all signalling will exceed
absolute final service-life within 10
years
• DK-ATC life expires in 2020
• It takes 10-12 years to renew all
signalling assets
• More systems have risk of serious
breakdowns even today
• 50% of today's train delays are due
to signalling failures
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Business Case and ERTMS considerations 2006
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Replacement strategies
• Business Case comparison of different replacement strategies
• Total replacement gave the best economy and far more benefits
Choice of ERTMS 2 baseline 3
• ERTMS 2 the natural choice for total replacement
• Sufficient mature technology and experiences (2006)
• EU obligation of interoperability
• Baseline 3 a must as all features needed for a network is in B3
• ETMS B3 is a standard, not a technology. We needed a new standard anyway and suppliers implement it in their current technology
• For non standardised signalling elements we adapt to the industry’s standards and technologies
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The logic in total renewal
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Better prices
• Economies of scale
• International competition
• Learning curve effect
Quantum leap in technology
• EC standard component, redundancy of central components, higher availability
• Few safety approvals
• Few interfaces
Savings on operations and safety
• Reduction in maintenance costs
• Simpler and safer operational rules
• Fewer Traffic Management sites and reduction in staff
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Two different systems
Conventional network (Fjernbanen):
ERTMS 2 Baseline 3, centralized signalling infrastructure & onboard
More interfacing projects:
• 2 major infrastructure contracts
• All onboard/STM equipment in DK
• Fixed transmission network
• GSM-R: voice and GPRS
• Traffic Control Centers
• New operational rules
• All training activities
• All safety approvals
• Enterprise Service bus
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S-banen:
Modern metro/urban system. CBTC
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Programme Status - current
• All mainline supply contracts have been signed: 2 infrastructure
contracts and an Onboard system contract.
• The Programme has been successfully through requirement
specification, tendering and procurement phases.
• Infrastructure detailed design phase is ongoing and will move to early
deployment this year (S-bane)
• The Operational Rules for ERTMS 2 have been developed and are
under approval. Similar rules for S-bane are approved and used for
training
• Integration test in joint test lab have commenced
• Factory integration tests using the first baseline 3 ETCS software and
STM-DK have been successfully conducted
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Swedish – Danish Coordination
Trafikverket in Sweden and the Signalling Programme have agreed on an
integrated plan incl.:
• Plan for all phases of crossing Øresund
• DK and SE STM, tested in Joint Test Lab
• Test with trains in both countries
• Operational rules cut over
TV and BDK have signed an agreement outlining all roles and
responsibilities.
Cross border traffic across Øresund require integrated planning
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Replacement Strategy, Migration, Schedule & Cost
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Mainlines (Fjernbanen) Migration Strategy
Two contracts:
• Early deployment is part of the contract
• The supplier obtains the lessons learned
• The train is the enabler of the cut over
• Industrial approach to the roll out:
• same equipment
• same interfaces
• same workflows, etc.
2020
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Time schedules main lines
Phases Fjernbane
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Fjernbane
2021
Procurement
(2.5 years)
Design
(3 years)
Test
(3 years)
Roll-out
(4 years)
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Financial key figures
Fjernbane S-bane
Total renewal of all assets 1,6 0,5
Central government reserve 30% 0,4 0,1
Total costs 2,0 0,6
All figures in Billion EURO
Original budget of total 3,2 Bn lowered by 20%
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The Signalling Programme cost compared to standardised European benchmarks
Costs include • ERTMS assets incl.
“incremental” GSM-R • Testing, training,
documentation • Project management,
design, engineering, certification
Maintenance comprises all tasks, whether provided by the supplier or by the railway under-taking, incl. 30% overhead
The Signalling Programme has particularly low costs for the deli-very and maintenance of the trackside systems
UIC, ERTMS Implementations Bench-mark, Final Report, September 2009
95 90
80
63
86
62
ERTMS L2 trackside
investment
ERTMS L2 onboard
investment
ERTMS L2 trackside
maintenance
ind
ex,
UIC
averag
e =
10
0
UIC
SP original
SP current
Signalling Programme and UIC case studies
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The benchmarks used for the original estimate were well within the price range then observed – contract prices are now far lower
The prices in the con-tract are on average 45% lower than the benchmarks used for the original cost estimate
They are even lower than the lowest bench-marks observed in 2008
Biggest and important savings are on standard equipment like axle counters and level crossings
An exception are point machines, where the contract price is slightly above the original cost benchmark
-50% -47% -77% +8% -64% -45% -41% -37% -57%
contract : benchmark, ∆%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
observed prices
in 2008 (highest
= 100)
benchmark used
for original
budget
contract price
(avg 4 lowest
bids)
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Suppliers feed back
• Economy of scale
• Contract size versus initial design and set-up cost favourable
• First full baseline 3 project - a must win project
• More than one chance of winning a contract vs. high cost to
participate
• Clear understanding of the scope because of detailed dialogue process
• Functional requirements adapted to suppliers product portfolio
• Risk share between supplier and customer
• Equal competition
• Long and continuous engagement because of 25 yrs maintenance
How do the suppliers explain the lower price level ?
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ERTMS specifics in the renewal strategy
A number of issues must be solved in time:
• Baseline 3, because we need all the functions
• GSM-R data: ERTMS over GPRS to solve big nodes
• Braking curves update in order not to loose capacity in new system !!
• On-line key management
• Backwards compatibility – A dark horse ?
• Handling of future B3 software upgrades: ERA
• No deviation from ERTMS strategy or time plan – please.
• (German STM)
We kindly request that focus must not be removed from the
development of Baseline 3 and the above key points.
Important ERTMS issues
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Conclusions: The Signalling Programme & ERTMS
• Denmark is the first country to implement ERTMS signalling system on a national scale
• First full baseline 3 implementation.
• First mover on a number of key areas: Bigger stations, On-line Key Management, ERTMS over GPRS, etc.
• ERTMS play a central role in strengthening the Danish railway sector
• ERTMS can increase capacity and will increase speed, efficiency and reliability on the railway network
• Danish lines on Scandinavian – Mediterranean Corridor will be fully interoperable with ERTMS baseline 3
• To succeed we need no deviation from Baseline 3 plans and agile approach to outstanding issues from ERA.
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www.bane.dk