div class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=1Page 1button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page1jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=1 data-page=1 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 1: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails1jpg width=140 height=200 adivpBlack Swanp ptheorypdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=2Page 2button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page2jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=2 data-page=2 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 2: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails2jpg width=140 height=200 adivpThe Future Forecast = Possiblepdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=3Page 3button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page3jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=3 data-page=3 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 3: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails3jpg width=140 height=200 adivpThe World = Knowablepdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=4Page 4button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page4jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=4 data-page=4 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 4: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails4jpg width=140 height=200 adivpRisk = Measurablepdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=5Page 5button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page5jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=5 data-page=5 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 5: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails5jpg width=140 height=200 adivpFinance guru Nicolas Talebpdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=6Page 6button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page6jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=6 data-page=6 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 6: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails6jpg width=140 height=200 adivpUncertainty dominatespdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=7Page 7button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page7jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=7 data-page=7 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 7: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails7jpg width=140 height=200 adivpThe Black Swan Theory Rootspdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=8Page 8button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page8jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=8 data-page=8 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 8: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails8jpg width=140 height=200 adivpFragility of human knowledgepdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=9Page 9button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page9jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=9 data-page=9 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 9: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails9jpg width=140 height=200 adivp3 attributesAn Outlierp pAn extreme impactp pConcoctionpdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=10Page 10button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page10jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=10 data-page=10 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 10: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails10jpg width=140 height=200 adivpExamples 1pdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=11Page 11button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page11jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=11 data-page=11 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 11: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails11jpg width=140 height=200 adivpExamples 2pdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=12Page 12button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page12jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=12 data-page=12 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 12: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails12jpg width=140 height=200 adivpExamples 3pdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=13Page 13button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page13jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=13 data-page=13 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 13: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails13jpg width=140 height=200 adivpShall we predictpdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=14Page 14button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page14jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=14 data-page=14 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 14: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails14jpg width=140 height=200 adivpAccuracy of predictionpdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=15Page 15button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page15jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=15 data-page=15 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 15: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails15jpg width=140 height=200 adivpModelling and Prognosespdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=16Page 16button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page16jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=16 data-page=16 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 16: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails16jpg width=140 height=200 adivpNatures black swans 1pdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=17Page 17button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page17jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=17 data-page=17 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 17: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails17jpg width=140 height=200 adivpNatures black swans 2pdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=18Page 18button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page18jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=18 data-page=18 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 18: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails18jpg width=140 height=200 adivpNatures black swans 3pdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=19Page 19button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page19jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=19 data-page=19 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 19: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails19jpg width=140 height=200 adivpNatures black swans 4pdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=20Page 20button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page20jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=20 data-page=20 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 20: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails20jpg width=140 height=200 adivpFinancial black swanspdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=21Page 21button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page21jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=21 data-page=21 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 21: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails21jpg width=140 height=200 adivpPolitical black swanspdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=22Page 22button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page22jpg target=_blank img data-url=black-swan-theory-58f8ea50f382bhtmlpage=22 data-page=22 class=ts-thumb lazyload alt=Page 22: Black Swan Theory loading=lazy src=data:imagegifbase64iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAIAAAACCAQAAADYv8WvAAAAD0lEQVR42mP8X8AwAgiABKBAv+vAXklAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC data-src=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5thumbnails22jpg width=140 height=200 adivpInnovations black swanspdivdiv class=ts-pagebutton class=gotoPage data-page=23Page 23button div class=ts-imagea href=https:reader043vdocumentsnetreader043viewer202202241258f166c91a28ab871a8b456dhtml5page23jpg target=_blank img 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