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TABLE OF CONTENTS Measures of corruption 1 Judicial Measures Corruption indexes based on direct experience of the phenomenon Objective measures of corruption

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Cost of corruption in Italy. The estimate of “… 50/60 billion euro as the cost of corruption, 1000 euro per capita, including the newborn…” is incorrect. The author who submitted this estimate has only considered a part of the “Kauffman Report” 2004 of the World Bank, from which it can be deduced that the cost of corruption in the world amounts to about 3% of the world GDP: hence, according to the author, the 50/60 billion euro amounting to 3% of the Italian GDP. However, the author has neglected carrying on reading to the passage where the World Bank itself states that: “…First, as shown clearly by the data, the scale of corruption varies significantly from country to country…": this would have been sufficient to avoid a serious mistake, which then became a very serious mistake due to a paradoxical ECO EFFECT, which revived this estimate without any assessment and, in some instances, even assuming higher costs. Furthermore, from the very text of the World Bank – indicating 3% as overall cost of corruption in the world GDP - emerges that “…the $1 trillion figure, calculated using 2001-02 economic data compares with an estimated size of the world economy at that time of just over US$30 trillion, Kaufmann says, ...”: Italy, therefore, still according to the author of this calculation having no scientific background, would eventually answer for 10% (50/60 billion euro) of the worldwide cost of corruption (1,000 billion US dollar worldwide, amounting to about 700 billion euro). There is no need to comment on this data.

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Page 1: Bortoletti, measures of corruption, commissione europea, ipa zagabria 21   23 novembre 2011

TABLE OF CONTENTS Measures of corruption

1  

Judicial Measures Corruption indexes based on direct experience of the phenomenon Objective measures of corruption

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TABLE OF CONTENTS Measures of corruption

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In the last few decades, there was a renovated attention in the analysis of corruption, that has been accompanied by both a substantial increase in sensitivity by public and private, national and international institutions and a greater concern in developing tools to measure corruption-related phenomena. Measuring phenomena such as corruption, whose nature, causes and consequences are the ultimate objectives of the investigation itself, is now recognized essential, not only in the social sciences but also in the public debate and, in the end, it is deemed a prerequisite to planning any policy strategy. The difficulties encountered in measuring corruption-related phenomena derive, ultimately, from the fact that corrupt practices are illegal, and for this reason, those who are responsible for such practices have a natural tendency to occult them. In this paper, we provide an overview of the various alternatives available to measure corruption. The measurement techniques are subject to empirical and conceptual limitations, forcing us to consider cum grano salis the results of the many empirical researches aiming at the identification of causes and effects of corruption.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS Judicial Measures

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The first measurement technique we are to describe is based on the use of judicial statistics. For example, once defined “corruption” within a justice system, it is possible to consider as a proxy for “corruption” the number of people sentenced for corruption-related crimes. The underlying idea is that, if it is true that corrupt practices are usually intended to be secret, the role of the justice system is precisely to bring to light and punish them. From a scientific point of view, such a reasoning can be maintained only if the justice system punishes corruption-related crimes with a constant probability, in space or in time. Such assumption is often a too strict one: in fact, the number of convictions has no unambiguous interpretation. Actually, a high number of convictions can indicate both the presence of a high number of corruption-related crimes, a rampant phenomenon whose explicit part is nonetheless very little, or the opposite, in the case that national judges were very efficient in fighting corruption-related phenomena. On the other hand, a reduced number of convictions could be a sign that the judicial power is corrupted as well or that the level of corruption in such an area is actually very low.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS Judicial Measures

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Actually, a high number of convictions can indicate both the presence of a high number of corruption-related crimes, a rampant phenomenon whose explicit part is nonetheless very little, or the opposite, in the case that national judges were very efficient in fighting corruption-related phenomena. On the other hand, a reduced number of convictions could be a sign that the judicial power is corrupted as well or that the level of corruption in such an area is actually very low. In the first scenario, a high number of convictions can be an indicator of both high corruption and of great judicial activity – how to distinguish? In the second environment, on the other hand, both the number of convictions and the probability of punishment are low – is that an indicator of a high or of a low level of corruption in society? In other words, the problem with judicial statistics is that they measure jointly two different and hardly distinguishable sides of the phenomenon: its incidence and the judicial authorities’ activism. Moreover, the probability that the judicial system identifies a case of corruption is usually unknown to the researchers, since nobody will never be able to know exactly how many crimes remain invisible and unpunished, no matter how many are uncovered and castigated. In the end, we may conclude that the judicial statistics, at best, allow very relative evaluations about the problem extent.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS Judicial Measures

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Despite these considerations, judicial statistics are still of some interest. Firstly, provided a more or less constant justice activism can be assumed, they actually allow to draw some interesting conclusions on the relative level of corruption. Namely, when the comparison is realised between different areas within the same country. Furthermore, judicial statistics can be used to control the judicial system itself. For example, observing that, in a certain area of a country, there is a significantly lower average number of convictions for corruption crimes than in other areas, could suggest a lower degree of effectiveness of the judicial power in that particular area, not to mention the possibility that the judicial power itself is corrupted. Finally, it is important to underline that, being all judicial statistics the result of conceptually different but intimately linked phenomena, their study and interpretation is always a very problematic issue. After these preliminary clarifications, let us consider some judicial statistics about different Italian regions.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS Judicial Measures

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We present some data regarding both denounces (possibly with arrest) and convictions. The two types of information differ in several dimensions: first of all, not all denounced cases result in convictions and, secondly, the actual definition and nature of the crime identified in the denounce may change gradually in the course of a hypothetical investigation (for example, from a general “abuse of office” to a more detailed “corruption”). For these reasons, we do not present information only about corruption crimes, but also about other types of crimes against the public administration, such as “abuse in office acts”, “embezzlement” and “bribery”. As data related to convictions refer to the year of the final judgement and the time of justice can be so long that some crimes can even expire, it is apparent that the date of convictions reported by the statistics could refer to crimes committed many years before

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TABLE OF CONTENTS Judicial Measures

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2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010  

Delitti  

registrati  

3.403   3.550   5.498   3.367   3.413   3.230   3.076  

Persone  denunciate  

F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M  

2.812   9.935   2.944   10.903   5.785   15.019   3.561   10.418   3.091   11.309   3.651   9.963   3.591   10.233  

12.747   13.847   20.804   13.979   14.400   13.614   13.824  

Fonte : Sistema di Indagine del Ministero dell’Interno.

NOTA METODOLOGICA: sono state considerate le fattispecie p. e p. dagli artt. : 414, 316, 316 bis, 316 ter, 317, 318, 319, 319 ter, 320, 322, 322 bis, 323, 353, 354, 355, 356, 640 bis del codice penale. Pur se evidentemente significativa, la fattispecie p. e p. dall’art. 640, 2°comma, c.p., dedicata a punire la fattispecie aggravata prevista nei casi di consumazione a danno dello Stato, non è stata considerata, in quanto il Sistema di Indagine, nella registrazione delle denunce per l’art. 640 bis cp, prevede tale specificazione quale voce facoltativa lasciata alla discrezionalità dell’operatore.

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2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010  

Persone  denunciate  

F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M  

2.812   9.935   2.944   10.903   5.785   15.019   3.561   10.418   3.091   11.309   3.651   9.963   3.591   10.233  

12.747   13.847   20.804   13.979   14.400   13.614   13.824  

Fonte : Sistema di Indagine del Ministero dell’Interno.

25.435  donne  denunciate  su  103.215    persone  denunciate  dal  2004  al  2010,  segnalano  una  “presenza”  prossima  al  25%,  con  alcune  annualità  dove  tale  percentuale  s@iora  il  30%: • il  22  %  nel  2004,  con  2.812  donne  su  12.747  persone  denunciate; • il  22  %  nel  2005,  con  2.944  donne  su  13.847; • il  28  %  nel  2006,  con  5.785  donne  su  20.804;   • il  25%  nel  2007,  con  3.561  donne  su  13.979; • il  22  %  nel  2008,  con  3.091  donne  su  14.400; • il  27%  nel  2009,  con  3.651  donne  su  13.614; • di  nuovo  il  27%  nel  2010,  con  3.591  donne  denunciate  su  13.824  soggetti  segnalati.

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Reati  commessi  da  “chiunque”,  

Reati  p.  e  p.  dagli  art.  322  e  353  cp  

Reati  consumati  da  P.U.  o    da  Incaricati  di  P.S.  

Reato  p.  e  p.  dall’art.  323  cp   TOTALE  

Delitti  consumati  11.956   2.147   4.048   7.386   25.537  

Donne  denunciate  19.421   757   2.279   2.978   25.435  

Maschi  denunciati  40.465   6.263   12.478   18.574   77.780  

T o t a l e   p e r s o n e  denunciate   59.886   7.020   14.757   21.552   103.215  

Fonte : Sistema di Indagine del Ministero dell’Interno.

1.  In   tale  dato  è   ricompresa  anche     l’ipotesi  di   cui  all’art.  321  cp,  “Pene  per   il   corruttore”,   che  realizza   la   @igura  della  corruzione  quale  reato  a  concorso  necessario  estendendo  al  privato  le  stesse  pene  del  pubblico  uf@iciale  o  dell’incaricato  di  pubblico  servizio.

2.  Come  già  illustrato  alla  nota  69  per  l’ipotesi  p.  e  p.  dall’art.  640  II  comma  cp,  il  Sistema  di  Indagine  non  consente  anche  per  queste  due  fattispecie  di  distinguere  tra  le  diverse  ipotesi  sanzionatorie  rispettivamente  previste,  alcune  delle  quali  costruite  come  reato  “proprio”   e   altre   come   reato   “comune”,   perché   prevede   tale   speci@icazione   quale   voce   facoltativa   lasciata   alla   discrezionalità  dell’operatore.

3.  Il  dato  comprende  anche  i  soggetti  cui  l’art.  322  bis  cp  estende  la  punibilità  rispetto  alle  fattispecie  p.  e  p.  dagli  art.  314,  316,  317  –  320,  322  terzo  e  quarto  comma  cp.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS Judicial Measures

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2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010  

truffa  per    il  conseguimento  …  

(art.640  bis  cp)  

4.942   5.541   11.102   6.201   4.361   4.887   5.744  

F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M  

1.504   3.438   1.387   4.154   3.817   7.285   2.052   4.149   1.252   3.109   2.063   2.824   2.172   3.572  

 età  

media   42   44   40   46   36   40   39   43   40   45   44   47   47   49  

indebita  percezione  

(art.  316  ter  cp)  

 1.322   1.818   2.034   1.033   1.244   711   1.153  

F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M  

501   821   764   1.054   899   1.135   428   605   583   661   309   402   460   693  

 età  

media   42   45   42   47   38   42   43   45   46   47   47   48   54   52  

Fonte : Sistema di Indagine del Ministero dell’Interno.

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2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   totale  

corruzione  (art.  318,  319,  320  cp)   158   126   112   128   148   171   96   939  

concussione  (art.  317  cp)   138   115   86   130   145   140   127   881  

TOTALE    Reati  contro  la  PA   3.403   3.550   5.498   3.367   3.413   3.230   3.076   25.537  

Fonte : Sistema di Indagine del Ministero dell’Interno.

Ribadita,  per  evitare  equivoci,  la  necessità  di  contrastare  il  fenomeno  senza  “se”  e  senza  “ma”,  l’analisi  non  può  evitare  di  evidenziarne  una    importanza,  in  termini  percentuali,  quasi  impalpabile: • il  9  %,  nel  2004,  con  296  denunce  sulle  3.403; • il  7  %,  nel  2005,  con  241  denunce  su  3.550;   • il  3,5  %,  nel  2006,  con  198  denunce  su  5.448;   • l’8  %,  nel  2007,  con  258  denunce  su  3.367;   • l’8  %,  nel  2008,  con  293  denunce  su  3.413;   • il  10  %,  nel  2009,  con  311  denunce  su  3.230;   • il  7  %,  nel  2010,  223  denunce  su  3.076,   per  una  percentuale  complessiva  nel  periodo  “2004-­‐2010”  del  7  %,  con  1.820  denunce  per  corruzione  e  concussione  sui  25.537  reati  contro  la  PA.

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2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   totale  

corruzione  (art.  318,  319,  320  cp)   1.287   663   1.382   658   1.305   1.506   888   7.689  

concussione  (art.  317  cp)   256   258   222   262   354   315   338   2.005  

TOTALE    Reati  contro  la  PA   12.747   13.847   20.804   13.979   14.400   13.614   13.824   103.215  

Fonte : Sistema di Indagine del Ministero dell’Interno.

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Fonte : Sistema di Indagine del Ministero dell’Interno.

corruzione  (art.  318,  319,  320  cp)  

concussione  (art.  317  cp)  

2004-­‐2010   2009   2010   2004-­‐2010   2009   2010  ABRUZZO   28   4   3   25   2   3  BASILICATA   9   0   1   10   1   2  CALABRIA   45   4   6   50   5   7  CAMPANIA   186   61   26   123   19   20  EMILIA    R.   42   8   2   46   8   4  FRIULI  V.G.   7   2   1   6   0   2  LAZIO   104   15   12   85   17   14  LIGURIA   29   3   6   24   2   6  LOMBARDIA   130   18   9   127   12   24  MARCHE   6   1   1   12   2   1  MOLISE   12   0   0   12   4   1  PIEMONTE   56   6   3   49   10   9  PUGLIA   70   5   14   86   13   5  SARDEGNA   8   1   2   12   2   5  SICILIA   76   18   0   117   24   14  TOSCANA   53   9   4   46   9   6  

TRENTINO  A.A.   6   1   0   7   2   1  

UMBRIA   29   4   5   11   1   1  V.  D'AOSTA   1   0   0   0   0   0  VENETO   42   11   1   33   7   2  TOTALE   939   171   96   881   140   127  

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2006   2007   2008  

M   F   Tot   M   F   Tot   M   F   Tot  

concussione  

•  inizio  azione  penale   267   16   283   327   20   347   365   22   387  

•  condannate   n.d.   n.d.   n.d.   99   2   101   72   6   78  

corruzione  complessivo    

•  inizio  azione  penale   1.030   181   1.211   1.246   157   1.403   1.056   133   1.189  

•  condannate   n.d.   n.d.   n.d.   212   28   240   191   28   217  

Fonte:  ISTAT,  Rilevazione  dei  delitti  denunciati  per  cui  è  iniziata  l’azione  penale  e  sui  condannati  con  sentenza  irrevocabile,  ottobre  2010

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2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   totale  

     Delitti  

registrati  

173   167   184   195   246   217   213   1.395  

   Persone  denunciate  

F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M   F   M  

12   164   22   161   21   194   12   109   25   259   25   214   28   216   145   1.317  

176   183   215   121   284   239   244   1.462  

Fonte : Sistema di Indagine del Ministero dell’Interno.

DENUNCE PER REATI CONTRO LA P.A., PER TIPOLOGIA DI REATO: ISTIGAZIONE ALLA CORRUZIONE

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DENUNCE PER REATI CONTRO LA P.A., PER TIPOLOGIA DI REATO: CORRUZIONE IN ATTI GIUDIZIARI

Fatti  denunciati   Persone  denunciate  

ABRUZZO   1   4  

BASILICATA   2   4  

CALABRIA   3   15  

CAMPANIA   6   7  

EMILIA    R.   3   2  

FRIULI  V.G.   0   0  

LAZIO   9   57  

LIGURIA   2   1  

LOMBARDIA   7   17  

MARCHE   1   11  

MOLISE   0   0  

PIEMONTE   0   0  

PUGLIA   2   53  

SARDEGNA   0   0  

SICILIA   3   5  

TOSCANA   4   34  

TRENTINO  A.A.   0   0  

UMBRIA   2   4  

V.  D'AOSTA   0   0  

VENETO   3   3  TOTALE   48   217  

Fonte : Sistema di Indagine del Ministero dell’Interno.

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DENUNCE PER REATI CONTRO LA P.A., PER TIPOLOGIA DI REATO: ABUSO D’UFFICIO

Delitti  registrati  Persone  denunciate  

M   F   totale  

2004   1.016   2.429   284   2.713  

2005   1.051   2.542   342   2.884  

2006   935   2.533   396   2.929  

2007   1.097   2.810   460   3.270  

2008   1.168   3.021   527   3.548  

2009   1.099   2.698   489   3.187  

2010   1.020   2.541   480   3.021  

totale   7.386   18.574   2.949   21.429  

Fonte : Sistema di Indagine del Ministero dell’Interno.

2006   2007   2008  M   F   Tot   M   F   Tot   M   F   Tot  

Abuso  d’ufNicio  (art.  323  cp)  •  inizio  azione  penale   1.992   236   2.228   2.125   222   2.347   2.417   473   2.890  •  condannate   n.d.   n.d.   n.d.   94   20   114   82   4   86  

Fonte:   ISTAT,   Rilevazione   dei   delitti  denunciati  per   cui  è   iniziata   l’azione  penale   e   sui   condannati   con   sentenza  irrevocabile,  ottobre  2010

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IMPORTI DELLE CITAZIONI IN GIUDIZIO DELLE PROCURE REGIONALI, PER TIPOLOGIA DI EVENTO DANNOSO. ANNO 2008. € 57.607.164,42

€ 1.386.038.981,65

€ 36.859.370,20€ 139.297.932,34

€ 578.637,80 € 394.505,17

€ 69.013.083,11

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Fonte : allegato V alla Relazione scritta del Procuratore generale, cerimonia di inaugurazione dell’anno giudiziario, Adunanza dell’11 febbraio 2009.

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568

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Fonte  :  Dati    Istat,  pubblicati  dall’Alto  Commissario  per  la   lotta   alla   corruzione   e   agli   altri   illeciti   nella   PA,   I  Mappatura  della  corruzione,  2007.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS Corruption indexes based on direct

experience of the phenomenon

20  

Over the last twenty years, due to the limitations encountered in the use of judicial statistics, scholars and professionals have attempted to develop alternative measures of corruption. To this respect, indexes based on the perception of corruption, widely used in scientific works and benefiting of consistent public attention, are of some importance. Two of the most relevant indexes are the Corruption Perception Index, annually released by Transparency International (TI-CPI), and the Rating of Control of Corruption, published by the World Bank (WB-RCC). They provide a measure of the actual perception of corruption in almost every country in the world, but without distinguishing between different regions within a country. Both indexes use aggregate data derived from surveys designed to measure corruption or phenomena believed to be related to it. These surveys, where corruption is not always uniquely and consistently defined, are typically constructed and carried off by consulting firms and rely on interviewing experts of different fields, national and foreign businesspeople and other citizens. Each index use a peculiar technique to combine appropriately available data for each country, in order to obtain a single summary measure.

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Not all surveys that contribute to each index are available for all countries. When computing TI-CPI, at least three sources are expected to be available for the index to be released, while WB-RCC can be computed when there is at least one source for any given country. That is also why WB-RCC index is available for more countries than TI-CPI, for every year of publication. Of course, the greater the number of surveys combined, the more precise we expect the resulting index to be. However, a fact has to be taken carefully into account: each of the indicators that contribute to the computation of the Corruption Perception Index has a measurement error and, whether the measurement errors of the different indicators are not independent, the use of a composite index (such as TI-CPI or WB-RCC) does not generate a significantly more accurate measure than the indicators used to compute it in the first place. Also, the indexes of corruption perception present various drawbacks. First, the actual reliability of the information provided by interviewed people is unknown. On the one hand, in fact, those who are directly implicated in corruption practices, despite the anonimity guaranteed to them, have an incentive to minimize the phenomenon. On the other hand, those who are not directly involved may provide inaccurate information. Moreover, being both TI-CPI and WB-RCC sort of averages of different measures, their reliability tends to be undermined when describing countries with poor or no data available, precisely the countries we expect to suffer more from corruption and corruption-related phenomena .

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A few details: TI-CPI is available on an annual basis since 1995, and is computed using data from 13 different surveys and evaluations, from 10 independent organizations . Over the years, the coverage of TI-CPI has been greatly increased: from 54 countries in 1995 to 180 in 2009. The index takes value between 0 and 10, the lower values indicating a higher level of corruption. WB-RCC index, on the other hand, was published every two years from 1996 to 2002 and on an annual basis since then. The number of countries included, has been extended from 152 in 1996 to 215 in 2008 Both TI-CPI and WB-RCC compute the index of perceived corruption for each country, combining different information in different ways. In particular, TI-CPI compute a simple average of the basic measures, while WB-RCC uses a model with “non-observed components”. The methodological differences between TI-CPI and WB-RCC have a limited impact on final results, though. Values are very similar, apart from differences in the used scale. Being the two indexes very similar, their correlation (a measure of the degree of connection between two variables) is always very close to 1, the maximum For both indexes a measure of accuracy, computed on the basis of dispersion, the “average difference from the mean”, is also provided.

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It is inadvisable to be over-confident in changes over time of the indexes of perceived corruption. The authors of TI-CPI themselves explicitly indicate that “given its methodology, the CPI is not a tool that is suitable for monitoring progress or lack of progress over time”, because “year-to-year changes in a country/territory’s score could result from a changed perception of a country’s performance, a change in the ranking provided by original sources or a change in the CPI’s methodology.” . This note of caution generates some doubts about the usefulness of TI-CPI for any type of comparison, even if the caution of Transparency International is to be attributed more to political than to scientific reasons. In fact, a punctual analysis of the TI-CPI index, in terms of its variation over time, could be easily considered as an actual evaluation of national governments policies and result in sharp unwanted criticism towards the German organization.

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Country Forecast July 2010 © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2010

Italy: Indicator scores in the business rankings model

a Out of 18 countries: Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey and the UK.

Note. A single asterisk (*) denotes scores based on quantitative indicators. Indicators with a double asterisk (**) are partly based on data. All other indicators are qualitative in nature.

ItalyRegionalaveragea Italy

Regionalaveragea

2005-09 2010-14

Political environment

1. Risk of armed conflict 5 4.4 5 4.5

2. Risk of social unrest 4 4.3 4 3.7

3. Constitutional mechanisms for the orderly transfer of power 5 4.8 5 4.8

4. Government and opposition 4 4.4 3 4.3

5. Threat of politically motivated violence 4 4.1 4 4.1

6. International disputes or tensions 5 4.3 5 4.3

7. Government policy towards business 3 3.9 3 3.8

8. Effectiveness of political system in policy formulation and execution 3 3.8 2 3.4

9. Quality of the bureaucracy 3 3.7 3 3.7

10. Transparency and fairness of legal system 3 4.0 3 4.0

11. Efficiency of legal system 2 4.2 2 4.2

12. Corruption 3 4.1 3 4.1

13. Impact of crime 2 4.1 2 4.1

Country Forecast July 2010 © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2010

Italy:

Country Forecast July 2010

Italy

Editor: Robert O'Daly

Editorial closing date: 22nd July 2010

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Global Integrity Report

www.report.globalintegrity.org/Italy/2008).

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CITIZENS’ PERCEPTIONS OF FRAUD AND THE FIGHT AGAINST FRAUD IN THE EU 27

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The indexes of corruption described so far suffer from numerous limitations. Therefore, a search for objective measures, based on facts rather than on people’s perception or answers, is not a useless quest. Until now, attempts in this direction have showed a non-systematic feature and have always been tied to the realization of specific analyses, mainly in the academia. For these reasons, the following considerations have a somewhat speculative nature. The main obstacle in building objective measures of corruption derives from both methodological problems and the difficulty encountered in finding the necessary data. However, with respect to the availability of data, we can expect that many data on public policies will be be in the near future directly available in digital format and, at least in principle, more easily accessible to researchers. More on this topic later on.

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Someone propose a corruption index based on two distinct ideas of “public capital”. The first one is about measuring public capital by means of physical inventory – kilometers of roads, square meters of public buildings and so on. This measure is clearly a rough estimation of the actual public capital and also suffers from the incongruity of aggregating data that relate to different types of infrastructures. An alternative method consists in estimating how much has been spent over the years for public capital’s accumulation. This method, called of the “permanent inventory”, relies basically on adding the past and present investment flows, until the good’s average life is reached, for each type of infrastructure. For both the estimation based on the physical inventory and the permanent inventory method, it is possible to construct succint indexes in order to take into account the differences in population and size of each region. In particular, measures of network infrastructures, such as roads and railways, are divided by area, while infrastructures such as public buildings, schools and hospitals are divided by resident population. At the end of all these computations, each measure of infrastructure level is expressed with a percentage of the national average, made equal to 100.

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Source: Golden e Picci (2005).

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If we consider the measure computed with the permanent inventory technique, on the other hand, Lombardy appears to have spent only 9% more for its infrastructures than the national average. The difference would indicate a relative historical efficiency of Lombardy in transforming resources into finished works, compared to the national average. Certainly, the observed difference between the two indexes could be explained by economic considerations. For example, Lombardy could be enjoying lower costs of raw materials or labour, or benefiting from more favorable geographic characteristics than the rest of the country. Investigated this hypotheses, using for example the degree of seismic activity in the area, and constructed a more accurate measure of public capital, shown in column 3 of Table 2. The correction made does not lead to any significant change in the data, though. The last column of the table reports the ratio between the index of infrastructure based on physical capital and the index computed with the technique of permanent inventory, corrected for cost differentials. The differences are remarkable among regions and only for two Northern regions, Liguria and Val D’Aosta, characterized by mountainous land, the index is below the national average.

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Such large differences can be explained by several factors. First, of course, by the presence of corruption-related phenomena, but also, more generally, by the existence of structural policy problems making the use of public resources systematically less effective in some areas. It is difficult to distinguish between these two aspects – poor governance is likely to be both the cause and the effect of high corruption – however, although with some caution, they also suggest to interpret the index of column 4 as a measure of the corruption level. This index has the advantage of relying on objective data, but it can be criticized for several reasons. First, if it is true that inefficiency and corruption are inter-related phenomena, it would be desirable to be able to distinguish between them. This is not allowed by the proposed index. Moreover, the index is computed for a given point in time while corruption is typically the result of a long-term process. Finally, its use shall be limited to areas providing solid, reliable data, which is not often the case.

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The idea of building measures that are clearly disconnected from questionable individual perceptions, however, has intrigued other scholars and, in particular, the analysis of prices has been regarded with some interest. For example, someone measures corruption in a group of villages in Indonesia by observing the differences between the official prices of various projects and an estimation of the costs provided by independent engineers. Someone consider the gap between prices of some basic factors of production, purchased by hospitals in Buenos Aires, and prices indicated by a national investigation against corruption. Someone take into account the prices of standardized goods, purchased by the Italian government through Consip, thus succeeding in distinguishing corruption or “active waste” from simple inefficiency or incompetence.

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An important feature of the “objective” approach, as we have already mentioned, regards the difficulty to collect reliable data. The increasing use of what insiders call the “administrative statistics”, coming directly from public bureaus, is likely assuage the problem in the future. Developments in computer engineering and science would also help, allowing computation of always more accurate indexes in an easier and quicker way. Always on data availability, it is important to draw a distinction between available but only human readable data and data which, thanks to a suitable structure and to the presence of accompanying information (“meta-information”), are also machine readable. The presence of high-quality machine readable data would permit to a variety of social actors, including private citizens and associations, to use them at a reduced cost and to automatically compute various indexes relating to public policies, some of these designed to measure corruption and identify situations that give the suspicion of corruption. This would certainly raise the awareness of the public and the media and allow the public administration itself to better focus its inspection activities.

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Thank You for your kindly attention

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