building square feet price/s.f. leased brown street drexel...

2
1 2929 Arch, Cira Centre 2 2005 Market, One Commerce Square 3 2001 Market, Two Commerce Square 4 2000 Market 5 1900 Market 6 1901 Market, Blue Cross 7 130 N 18th, One Logan Square 8 100 N 18th, Two Logan Square 9 1880 JFK Blvd 10 1800 JFK Blvd 11 1835 Market 12 1801 Market, Ten Penn Center 13 1818 Market 14 1717 Arch, Bell Atlantic Tower 15 1701 JFK Blvd, Comcast Center 16 1735 Market, Mellon Bank Center 17 1701 Market, Six Penn Center 18 1760 Market 19 1700 Market 20 1600 Vine, Three Franklin Plaza 21 200 N 16th, One Franklin Plaza 22 1601 Cherry, Three Parkway Philadelphia market locations 23 1650 Arch 24 1617 JFK Blvd, One Penn Center 25 1600 JFK Blvd, Four Penn Center 26 1635 Market 27 1601 Market 28 1650 Market, One Liberty Place 29 1600 Market, PNC Bank Bldg 30 50 South 16th, Two Liberty Place 31 1500 JFK Blvd, Two Penn Center 32 1515 Market 33 1500 Market, Centre Square West 34 1500 Market, Centre Square East 35 1 Penn Sq W, Graham Bldg 36 1525 Locust 37 200 S Broad 38 1 S Broad 39 100 Penn Sq E, Wanamaker Bldg 40 1101 Market, Aramark Tower 41 230 W Washington Square 42 190 N Independence Mall W 43 510-530 Walnut Supply vs. demand Significant opportunities exist for tenants with good credit to renegotiate existing leases or achieve favorable economic and operating lease terms. The Philadelphia CBD continues to see its vacancy rate increase and leasing activity slow. There are five blocks of space over 100,000 square feet available for lease. Landlords are willing to negotiate on rental rate terms and concessions. Additionally, tenants who wish to defray the costs associated with moving, will be more confident approaching their landlords to recast or renew their lease. Economics February unemployment for the Philadelphia- Camden-Wilmington area finished at 8.0 percent, a more than 3.0 percentage point jump from one year ago. The Philadelphia Suburbs and Southern New Jersey’s finance and mortgage-based economies stagnated and led to increased unemployment. Comparatively, the education and healthcare- based economy insulated the Philadelphia CBD from severe layoffs but current trouble in the legal services industry (as evidenced by the dissolving of WolfBlock, LLP) could lead to future dismissals. Development Development stalled in the CBD as troubles in the credit market curtailed lending. After breaking ground in November 2007, Brandywine Realty Trust suspended construction on the 600,000 square foot Cira Centre South. The City Council approved Walnut Street Capital’s plans for the 2.2 million square foot American Commerce Center but no ground-breaking date has been set. Investment activity Transaction activity remains severely constrained as a result of the credit crisis and the nation’s most severe recession in decades. Overall volume was down 70% in 2008 and early results for 2009 show significant further decreases in transaction activity year over year. A reversal in trend for 2009 would require significantly increased liquidity in the real estate debt markets or a major increase in the velocity of distressed asset sales. Distressed sales may take much of 2009 to develop as the number of troubled loans approaching maturity increases. These sales could be pushed into 2010 or beyond as many lenders are extending term or granting borrowers forbearance. There are currently over $300 billion in commercial mortgages estimated to mature each year from 2009 through 2011. Pools of opportunistic equity have gathered on the sidelines waiting for these distressed assets to hit the market and create a perceived market “bottom”. As transaction activity begins to increase, data will be provided to an information starved market. This will collectively provide effective trading ranges for all assets, giving guidance to both buyers and sellers in the current environment. When these transactions occur, we will likely see cap rates at least 250 to 300 basis points higher then their bottom in 2007. A significant increase in activity will also require an upsurge in liquidity in the debt markets. CMBS debt, which had steadily increased over the last decade, so that at its peak in 2007 it represented over $230 billion of activity and was over 55% of the commercial real estate debt market, is currently almost non-existent. The remaining debt options, commercial banks and insurance companies, have actually allocated lower amounts of debt capital in 2009 than in previous years. Magnifying this lack of liquidity is the fact that underwriting standards and mortgage terms have tightened for all active lenders. Despite all of the above, we do forecast moderate sales activity for the remainder of 2009. There is some product available for sale, there are some sellers who have specific motivation to sell assets, and there are some distressed assets that are already coming to the market. Once a few of these transactions have closed, and the recently passed fiscal stimulus package begins to have an impact on the economy, improving real estate fundamentals, there should be a sustainable increase in real estate investment activity. Office outlook The Philadelphia CBD will continue to experience rising vacancy rates for the rest of 2009. Currently, asking rental rates remain high but landlords will eventually lower them to reflect actual taking deals. Fewer tenants in the market will result in negative absorption increasing. Long term renewals will be more frequent as tenants look to deflect the capital costs of moving to new space and landlords look to secure credit worthy tenants. Philadelphia market overview Recent sales transactions Building Square feet Price/s.f. Leased 3501 Market Street 145,000 $217 0.0% Buyer: Drexel University Seller: Thomson Reuters Unisys Technology Center 360,000 $54 50.0% Buyer: Exeter Property Group Seller: Unisys Corporation Five Tower Bridge 223,736 $326 97.0% Buyer: KBS REIT Seller: Oliver Tyrone Pulver 1600 Callowhill Street 88,717 $180 100.0% Buyer: Urban America Seller: Rubicon America Trust JV NGP Capital The Philadelphia CBD continues to see its vacancy rate increase and leasing activity slow. Development stalled in the CBD as troubles in the credit market curtailed lending. Transaction activity remains severely constrained as a result of the credit crisis and the nation’s most severe recession in decades. 1515 Market Street Suite 1000 Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19102 +1 215 988 5500 www.us.joneslanglasalle.com Jones Lang LaSalle (NYSE:JLL) is a financial and professional services firm specializing in real estate. The firm offers integrated services delivered by expert teams worldwide to clients seeking increased value by owning, occupying or investing in real estate. With 2008 global revenue of $2.7 billion, Jones Lang LaSalle serves clients in 60 countries from 750 locations worldwide, including 180 corporate offices. The firm is an industry leader in property and corporate facility management services, with a portfolio of approximately 1.4 billion square feet worldwide. LaSalle Investment Management, the company’s investment manage- ment business, is one of the world’s largest and most diverse in real estate with more than $41 billion of assets under management. Summer 2009 Perspective on a changing market Philadelphia Skyline Review 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 22 23 24 25 26 28 27 29 30 32 31 33 34 35 36 37 38 42 43 39 21 40 41 Broad Street d Street John F Kennedy Boulevard John F Kennedy Boulevard Spruce Street Spruce Street Locust Street Walnut Street Sansom Street Chestnut Street Market Street Walnut Street Sansom Street Chestnut Street Market Street Arch Street Cherry Street Race Street Spring Street Arch Street Cherry Street Race Street Wood Street Wood Street Noble Street Ridge Avenue Callowhill Street Vine Street Vine Street Locust Street 22nd Street 21st Street 20th Street 19th Street 18th Street 17th Street 16th Street 15th Street 13th Street 12th Street 11th Street 10th Street 9th Street 8th Street 7th Street 6th Street 5th Street 76 Schuylkill River

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Page 1: Building Square feet Price/s.f. Leased BROWN STREET Drexel …media.philly.com/documents/Philadelphia_Skyline_Report_Summer_2… · liquidity in the real estate debt markets or a

1 2929 Arch, Cira Centre2 2005 Market, One Commerce Square3 2001 Market, Two Commerce Square4 2000 Market5 1900 Market6 1901 Market, Blue Cross7 130 N 18th, One Logan Square8 100 N 18th, Two Logan Square9 1880 JFK Blvd10 1800 JFK Blvd11 1835 Market

12 1801 Market, Ten Penn Center13 1818 Market14 1717 Arch, Bell Atlantic Tower15 1701 JFK Blvd, Comcast Center16 1735 Market, Mellon Bank Center17 1701 Market, Six Penn Center18 1760 Market19 1700 Market20 1600 Vine, Three Franklin Plaza21 200 N 16th, One Franklin Plaza22 1601 Cherry, Three Parkway

Philadelphia market locations23 1650 Arch24 1617 JFK Blvd, One Penn Center25 1600 JFK Blvd, Four Penn Center26 1635 Market27 1601 Market28 1650 Market, One Liberty Place29 1600 Market, PNC Bank Bldg30 50 South 16th, Two Liberty Place31 1500 JFK Blvd, Two Penn Center32 1515 Market33 1500 Market, Centre Square West

34 1500 Market, Centre Square East35 1 Penn Sq W, Graham Bldg36 1525 Locust37 200 S Broad38 1 S Broad39 100 Penn Sq E, Wanamaker Bldg40 1101 Market, Aramark Tower41 230 W Washington Square42 190 N Independence Mall W43 510-530 Walnut

Supply vs. demand Significant opportunities exist for tenants with good credit to renegotiate existing leases or achieve favorable economic and operating lease terms. The Philadelphia CBD continues to see its vacancy rate increase and leasing activity slow. There are five blocks of space over 100,000 square feet available for lease. Landlords are willing to negotiate on rental rate terms and concessions. Additionally, tenants who wish to defray the costs associated with moving, will be more confident approaching their landlords to recast or renew their lease.

EconomicsFebruary unemployment for the Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington area finished at 8.0 percent, a more than 3.0 percentage point jump from one year ago. The Philadelphia Suburbs and Southern New Jersey’s finance and mortgage-based economies stagnated and led to increased unemployment. Comparatively, the education and healthcare-based economy insulated the Philadelphia CBD from severe layoffs but current trouble in the legal services industry (as evidenced by the dissolving of WolfBlock, LLP) could lead to future dismissals.

Development Development stalled in the CBD as troubles in the credit market curtailed lending. After breaking ground in November 2007, Brandywine Realty Trust suspended construction on the 600,000 square foot Cira Centre South. The City Council approved Walnut Street Capital’s plans for the 2.2 million square foot American Commerce Center but no ground-breaking date has been set.

Investment activity Transaction activity remains severely constrained as a result of the credit crisis and the nation’s most severe recession in decades. Overall volume was down 70% in 2008 and early results for 2009 show significant further decreases in transaction activity year over year. A reversal in trend for 2009 would require significantly increased liquidity in the real estate debt markets or a major increase in the velocity of distressed asset sales.

Distressed sales may take much of 2009 to develop as the number of troubled loans approaching maturity increases. These sales could be pushed into 2010 or beyond as many

lenders are extending term or granting borrowers forbearance. There are currently over $300 billion in commercial mortgages estimated to mature each year from 2009 through 2011.

Pools of opportunistic equity have gathered on the sidelines waiting for these distressed assets to hit the market and create a perceived market “bottom”. As transaction activity begins to increase, data will be provided to an information starved market. This will collectively provide effective trading ranges for all assets, giving guidance to both buyers and sellers in the current environment. When these transactions occur, we will likely see cap rates at least 250 to 300 basis points higher then their bottom in 2007.

A significant increase in activity will also require an upsurge in liquidity in the debt markets. CMBS debt, which had steadily increased over the last decade, so that at its peak in 2007 it represented over $230 billion of activity and was over 55% of the commercial real estate debt market, is currently almost non-existent. The remaining debt options, commercial banks and insurance companies, have actually allocated lower amounts of debt capital in 2009 than in

previous years. Magnifying this lack of liquidity is the fact that underwriting standards and mortgage terms have tightened for all active lenders.

Despite all of the above, we do forecast moderate sales activity for the remainder of 2009. There is some product available for sale, there are some sellers who have specific motivation to sell assets, and there are some distressed assets that are already coming to the market. Once a few of these transactions have closed, and the recently passed fiscal stimulus package begins to have an impact on the economy, improving real estate fundamentals, there should be a sustainable increase in real estate investment activity.

Office outlook The Philadelphia CBD will continue to experience rising vacancy rates for the rest of 2009. Currently, asking rental rates remain high but landlords will eventually lower them to reflect actual taking deals. Fewer tenants in the market will result in negative absorption increasing. Long term renewals will be more frequent as tenants look to deflect the capital costs of moving to new space and landlords look to secure credit worthy tenants.

Philadelphia market overview

Recent sales transactionsBuilding Square feet Price/s.f. Leased

3501 Market Street 145,000 $217 0.0% Buyer: Drexel UniversitySeller: Thomson Reuters

Unisys Technology Center 360,000 $54 50.0%Buyer: Exeter Property GroupSeller: Unisys Corporation

Five Tower Bridge 223,736 $326 97.0% Buyer: KBS REITSeller: Oliver Tyrone Pulver

1600 Callowhill Street 88,717 $180 100.0% Buyer: Urban AmericaSeller: Rubicon America Trust JV NGP Capital

The Philadelphia CBD continues to see its vacancy rate increase and leasing activity slow.

Development stalled in the CBD as troubles in the credit market curtailed lending.

Transaction activity remains severely constrained as a result of the credit crisis and the nation’s most severe recession in decades.

1515 Market Street Suite 1000Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19102+1 215 988 5500www.us.joneslanglasalle.com

Jones Lang LaSalle (NYSE:JLL) is a financial and professional services firm specializing in real estate. The firm offers integrated services delivered by expert teams worldwide to clients seeking increased value by owning, occupying or investing in real estate.

With 2008 global revenue of $2.7 billion, Jones Lang LaSalle serves clients in 60 countries from 750 locations worldwide, including 180

corporate offices. The firm is an industry leader in property and corporate facility management services, with a portfolio of approximately 1.4 billion square feet worldwide.

LaSalle Investment Management, the company’s investment manage-ment business, is one of the world’s largest and most diverse in real estate with more than $41 billion of assets under management.

Summer 2009

Perspective on a changing marketPhiladelphia Skyline Review

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BAINBRIDGE STREETBAINBRIDGE STREETBAINBRIDGE STREETBAINBRIDGE STREET

FITZWATER STREETFITZWATER STREET FITZWATER STREET

FITZWATER STREET

CATHARINE STREET CATHARINE STREET CATHARINE STREET

CHRISTIAN STREETCHRISTIAN STREETCHRISTIAN STREETCHRISTIAN STREET

CARPENTER STREET CARPENTER STREETCARPENTER STREET

CARPENTER STREETWASHINGTON AVENUE WASHINGTON AVENUEWASHINGTON AVENUE

KIMBALL STREETKIMBALL STREET

LEAGUE STREET LEAGUE STREET

KIMBALL STREET KIMBALL STREET

MONTROSE STREETMONTROSE STREET

MONTROSE STREET

MONTROSE STREET

CHRISTIAN STREET

CHRISTIAN STREET

QUEEN STREET

QUEEN STREET

CATHARINE STREET

CATHARINE STREET

FULTON STREET

FULTON STREET

MONROE STREETMONROE STREET

PEMBERTON STREET

KENILWORTH STREETPEMBERTON STREET

CLYMER STREET

ST ALBAN’S PLACE

MADISON STREETKAUFMANN STREET

NORFOLK STREETMADISON STREET

KATER STREET

MONTEREY STREET

BRANDYWINE STREET

WILCOX STREET

GREEN STREET

MOUNT VERNON STREET

WALLACE STREET

NORTH STREET

FAIRMOUNT AVENUE

FAIRMOUNT AVENUE

WALLACE STREET

OLIVE STREET

PEROT STREETMEREDITH STREET MELON STREET

CLAY STREET

SPRING GARDEN STREETBRANDYWINE STREET

GREEN STREET

CLAY STREET

MOUNT VERNON STREET

WALLACE STREET

LEMON STREET

LEMON STREET

MELON STREET

FAIRMOUNT AVENUE

FAIRMOUNT AVENUE

BROWN STREET

NORTH STREET

SCHUYKILL AV

ENUE

CATHARINE STREET

MADISON STREET

TANE

Y S

TREE

T

STIL

LMAN

ST

GRAYS FE

RRY AVENUE

25TH

STR

EET

24TH

STR

EET

23RD

STR

EET

PELTZ STREET

22ND

STR

EET

21ST

STR

EET

20TH

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EET

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25TH

STR

EET26

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18TH

STR

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16TH

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15TH

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BROA

D ST

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BROA

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15TH

STR

EET

13TH

STR

EET

12TH

STR

EET

11TH

STR

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13TH

STR

EET

12TH

STR

EET

11TH

STR

EET

10TH

STR

EET

9TH

STRE

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STRE

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10TH

STR

EET

9TH

STRE

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STRE

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STRE

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STRE

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STRE

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STRE

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STRE

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STRE

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2ND

STRE

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4TH

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3RD

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COLU

MBUS

BOU

LEVA

RD

SWAN

SON

STRE

ET

Broa

d St

reet

Broa

d St

reet

John F Kennedy Boulevard John F Kennedy Boulevard

South Street

Naudain Street

Lombard Street

Pine Street

Spruce Street

South Street

Pine Street

Spruce Street

Locust Street

Walnut Street

Sansom Street

Chestnut Street

Market Street

Walnut Street

Sansom Street

Chestnut Street

Market Street

Arch Street

Cherry Street

Race Street

Spring Street

Arch Street

Cherry Street

Race Street

Wood StreetWood Street

Noble Street

Ridge Avenue

Willow Street

Callowhill Street

Hamilton Street

Buttonwood StreetButtonwood Street

Spring Garden StreetSpring Garden Street

Vine StreetVine Street

Locust Street

Lombard Street

27th

Stre

et

Tane

y St

reet

26th

Stre

et

25th

Stre

et

24th

Stre

et

23rd

Stre

et

22nd

Stre

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21st

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Schuylkill River

Page 2: Building Square feet Price/s.f. Leased BROWN STREET Drexel …media.philly.com/documents/Philadelphia_Skyline_Report_Summer_2… · liquidity in the real estate debt markets or a

60

50

10

20

40

30

70

Floor

Market Street East Independence MallMarket Street West

510-530 Walnut Penn Mutual

Towers853,84047,44031,346

190 N Independence

Mall W270,21012,900

0

230 W Washington

Sq72,000

00

1101 Market Aramark Tower

632,00025,6453,549

100 Penn Sq EWanamaker Bldg

1,410,47542,51625,000

1 S Broad

464,80068,632

200 S Broad The Bellevue

272,7935,888

14,310

1525 Locust

99,1473,7713,633

1 Penn Sq WGraham Bldg

240,63425,28812,393

1500 Market Centre Square

East 801,38984,11625,442

West 1,000,000481,90385,104

1515 Market

507,18063,77025,276

1500 JFKTwo Penn

502,531109,61825,800

50 South 16th Two Liberty Place

991,620103,234222,377

1600 MarketPNC Bank Bldg

826,731113,47322,681

1650 MarketOne Liberty Place

1,200,000131,88624,116

1601 Market

681,18260,52014,856

1635 MarketSeven Penn

286,57467,5889,622

1600 JFKFour Penn

522,60066,40613,000

1617 JFKOne Penn

648,057116,92120,197

1650 Arch

553,349175,0005,000

1601 CherryThree Parkway

561,351110,22119,822

1600 VineThree Franklin

215,00000

200 N 16thOne Franklin

605,66200

1700 Market

841,172204,49315,173

1760 Market

128,12832,2724,843

1701 MarketSix Penn

322,31700

1735 MarketMellon Bank

1,327,689213,39633,212

1701 JFKComcast

1,253,8760

1717 ArchBell Atlantic Tower

1,028,1688,05340,000

1818 Market

981,743276,28988,827

1801 MarketTen Penn

667,825157,195185,191

1835 Market

775,701176,836

1800 JFK

236,95623,93012,640

1880 JFK

236,9567,13912,640

100 N 18thTwo Logan

701,64543,6806,567

130 N 18thOne Logan

594,36110,00012,016

1901 MarketBlue Cross

777,90600

1900 Market

456,92233,93028,400

2000 Market

666,166168,32478,795

2001 Market Two Commerce

1,043,098220,48033,572

2005 Market One Commerce

942,86675,57930,000

2929 Arch Cira Center

731,85214,098

0

Total RBA (s.f.)Total Vacant (s.f.)Largest Block (s.f.)

60

50

10

20

40

30

70

Floor

Philadelphia Skyline Review

Jones Lang LaSalle’s Skyline Review analyzes 43 Class A buildings over 100,000 square feet in the Center City Philadelphia market—the core buildings that truly move the market.

The Philadelphia CBD’s office market continues to see its vacancy rate increase and leasing activity slow. While asking rents continue to rise, landlords are willing to come down for actual taking deals. Fewer tenants in the market will result in negative absorption increasing.

Financials in reviewIn a new trend, both landlords and tenants are focusing much more carefully than before on each other’s respective financial strengths before completing a lease transaction. Landlords want to be confident that their up-front investment in leasehold improvements provide the anticipated rate of return via rent paid by the tenant.

On the other hand, tenants want to be as certain as possible that their landlord does not end up filing for bankruptcy or losing the property to their lender in foreclosure. Tenants also want to be assured that leasehold improvement allowances promised by the property owner in the body of the lease are actually delivered.

Capital marketsThe near total absence of liquidity in the debt markets has exacerbated what would have been reduced activity to the point where there was a virtual standstill in the investment sales market in the beginning of the year. Sales transactions were down nationally by approximately 65 percent from 2007 to 2008. At least one data source has reported that activity is down an additional 85 percent year-over-year.

While the repricing of the market certainly effected velocity, many transactions have failed to close despite a motivated buyer and a motivated seller due to a lack of financing options. Financing for transactions of over $50 million is virtually non-existent. For sales of $20 million or less, bank financing, with a full or partial guarantee, is an option. However, the capital constraints in the market are such that even at these price levels it may require two or three participating banks to fund a transaction.

Lease restructureThe nation’s current economic situation is having a direct impact on the corporate real estate market. Relocating has become less of an option for many companies due to the cost associated with moving. Lease restructuring is a more popular alternative, which is beneficial to the tenant and the landlord.

Tenants who restructure their lease significantly and immediately reduce their rent and possibly reduce their square footage. They may also secure a tenant improvement allowance or rent abatement.

Landlords also benefit from a lease restructure because ownership is able to secure a tenant before they go out into the market. A long-term lease increases the value of the property and may enable the landlord to refinance debt on the building.

Recent large leasing transactionsLocation Tenant Square feet

1500 Spring Garden Thomas Reuters 123,4531600 John F Kennedy Blvd Flaster Greenberg 26,636

Philadelphia: market statistics Philadelphia market: rental rates / vacancy rate

Rental rate

Vacancy rate

10%

12%

14%

8%

6%

$25.00

4%

2%

$24.00

$23.00

0% $22.00

End of ‘06 End of ‘07 End of ‘08 1Q ‘09

Occupied

Direct available

Sublease available

Future available (2009 - 2012)

Our Skyline Review of Philadelphia includes and analyzes the 43 Class A buildings over 100,000 square feet in the downtown Philadelphia market—the core buildings that truly move the market.

Supply Rates(average asking)

Vacancy Vacancy (including sublease)

Overall market 44,741,007 $24.31 10.0% 12.0%

By submarketMarket Street West 30,496,743 $25.28 10.7% 13.3%Market Street East 8,357,143 $20.71 9.2% 10.0%Independence Hall 5,887,121 $23.43 7.3% 8.20%*1Q 2009 Class A & B