bull and bear_markets
TRANSCRIPT
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S1375.11
Bull & Bear MarketsS&P/TSX Composite Index(CAD)Monthly Returns: January 1957–December 2011
S&P/TSX data provided by S&P/TSX.Bull and bear markets defined in hindsight using cumulative monthly returns. A positive one-month return indicates a potential bull market. If the cumulative return over the following months reaches 10%, a bull market is identified. In the course of the bull market, a negative one-month return indicates a potential bear market. If the cumulative return reaches -10% in the months following the first negative month, a bear market is identified. A positive one-month return starts the process again. Performance data represents past performance and does not predict future performance.
5 mos.9%
7 mos.-27%
12 mos.-15%
6 mos. -17%
8 mos. -15% 13 mos.
-25%
7 mos. -11%
11 mos. -35%
3 mos. -10%
6 mos. -13%
1 mo. -18%
12 mos. -39%
7 mos. -14%
4 mos. -25%
10 mos. -20%
5 mos. -11%
4 mos. -27%
25 mos. -43%
19 mos.46%
17 mos.49%
43 months81%
32 months63%
9 mos.28%
24 mos.60% 10 mos.
32%
7 mos.19%
39 months179%
15 mos. 38%
18 mos.99%
36 months107%
25 mos.44%
39 months65%
46 months106%
24 mos.109%
68 months162%
9 months-43%
25 months85%
Months = Duration of Bull/Bear Market % = Total Return for the Bull/Bear Market
Average Duration:Bull Market: 26 MonthsBear Market: 8 Months
Dec 20119 months
-14%
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S1375.11
Bull & Bear MarketsS&P 500 Index (CAD)Monthly Returns: February 1951–December 2011
The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Bull and bear markets are defined in hindsight using cumulative monthly returns. A bear market (1) begins with a negative monthly return, (2) must achieve a cumulative return less than or equal to -10%, and (3) ends at the most negative cumulative return prior to achieving a positive cumulative return. All data points which are not considered part of a bear market are designated as a bull market.
66 months184%
15 months-15%
43 months89%
3 months-30%
94 months487%
8 months-15%
71 months303%
19 months-32%
24 mos.53%
46 months46%
Lowest Point to Date: 25 months, -42%
1 month-11%
31 months-42%
4 months-16%
36 mos.62%
25 mos.73% 30 mos.
53%26 months
51%
30 months69%
9 mos.62%
50 months119%
10 mos.-13%
6 months-19%
21 months-43%
3 mos.-11%
1 mo.-11%
Months = Duration of Bull/Bear Market % = Total Return for the Bull/Bear Market
Average Duration:Bull Market: 42 MonthsBear Market: 11 Months
Cumulative to Date:59 months, -16%
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S1375.11
Bull & Bear MarketsS&P/TSX Composite Index (CAD)Monthly Returns: February 1956–December 2011
S&P/TSX data provided by S&P/TSX. Bull and bear markets are defined in hindsight using cumulative monthly returns. A bear market (1) begins with a negative monthly return, (2) must achieve a cumulative return less than or equal to -20%, and (3) ends at the most negative cumulative return prior to achieving a positive cumulative return. All data points which are not considered part of a bear market are designated as a bull market.
16 mos.20%
137 months286%
7 months-27%
81 months288%
13 months-25%
40 months82%
11 months-35%
61 months253%
12 months-39%
4 months-25%
25 mos.44%
10 mos.-20%
90 months203%
4 months-27%
24 mos.109%
68 months168%
25 months-43%
9 months-43%
Dec 201134 months
59%
Average Duration:Bull Market: 58 MonthsBear Market: 11 Months
Months = Duration of Bull/Bear Market % = Total Return for the Bull/Bear Market
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Bull & Bear MarketsMSCI EAFE Index, Net Dividends (CAD)Monthly Returns: January 1970–December 2011
MSCI data copyright MSCI 2011, all rights reserved. Bull and bear markets are defined in hindsight using cumulative monthly returns. A bear market (1) begins with a negative monthly return, (2) must achieve a cumulative return less than or equal to -10%, and (3) ends at the most negative cumulative return prior to achieving a positive cumulative return. All data points which are not considered part of a bear market are designated as a bull market.
7 months46%
4 mos.16%
11 months-18%
28 months95%
18 months-43%
54 months187%
5 mos.-13%
18 months45%
17 mos.73%
37 months326%
18 months-18%
26 mos.30%
4 months-15%
2 months-16%
72 months157%
9 months-31%
5 mos.26%
4 months-12%
6 mos.12%
49 months114%
2 months-14%
36 months-47%
9 mos.-16%
Lowest Point to Date: 22 months, -46%
7 months-10%
Cumulative to Date:56 months, -34%
Average Duration:Bull Market: 27 MonthsBear Market: 11 Months
Months = Duration of Bull/Bear Market % = Total Return for the Bull/Bear Market
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S1375.11
Bull & Bear MarketsMSCI World Index, Net Dividends (CAD)Monthly Returns: January 1970–December 2011
MSCI data copyright MSCI 2009, all rights reserved. Bull and bear markets are defined in hindsight using cumulative monthly returns. A bear market (1) begins with a negative monthly return, (2) must achieve a cumulative return less than or equal to -10%, and (3) ends at the most negative cumulative return prior to achieving a positive cumulative return. All data points which are not considered part of a bear market are designated as a bull market.
36 months-45%
18 months-42%
61 months376%
9 mos.50%
6 mos.-22%
33 months69%
62 months142%
3 mos.-11%
18 mos.45%
20 months-15%
25 months33%
3 months-21%
94 months282%
9 months-25%
46 months72%
2 months-11%
Lowest Point to Date: 25 months, -43%
Cumulative to Date:59 months, -24%
Months = Duration of Bull/Bear Market % = Total Return for the Bull/Bear Market
Average Duration:Bull Market: 44 MonthsBear Market: 14 Months