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  • 8/4/2019 Business Perpespective

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    BUSINESS PERPESPECTIVE

    TOPIC 2

    Explain GDP growth of Indian Economy in the last

    5yrs; 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007 and 2006.

    Which industries have contributed mainly Per capita income Comparison with corresponding figures in China,

    Japan, U.K and U.S

    Any other relevant points

    Group B

    Debaki

    Deepak S

    Deepika Sharma

    Ganesh C

    Samarth J V

    Tanya Verma

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    2

    What is Gross Domestic Product (GDP)?

    Gross domestic product (GDP) refers to the market value of all final goods and

    services produced in a country in a given period. GDP per capita is often

    considered an indicator of a country's standard of living.

    GDP = private consumption + gross investment + government spending +

    (exports imports),orGDP = C + I + G + (eX - i)

    Analysis of GDP in India for the last 5 yearsThe financial crisis which began in the industrialized nations in 2007, spread to

    real economy across the world. India was not an exception to this. The effect was

    visible when the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of India came down from 9.3% in

    2007-08 to 6.8% in 2008-09. To reverse the trend, Policy Makers were forced to

    take calculated risk in providing fiscal expansions, to boost the economy. The

    result was, the Fiscal deficit shot up from 2.5% of GDP in 2006-07 to 6% in 2007-

    08 and 6.3% in 2008-09 which is a natural phenomena.

    The continued recession in the developed world affected the export of goods and

    services heavily, slowing financial inflow as well. Even then by the end of the year

    2009-10 economy posted a remarkable recovery to achieve the GDP growth of

    8%. During year 2010-11 estimated GDP growth is 8.6% which adds to the

    comfort of Indian economy.

    Monetary-wise every sector has shown reasonable growth year after year to

    achieve required Gross Domestic Product growth. From 2004-05 to 2009-10 allsectors such as Services, Manufacturing, Agriculture etc, have grown almost in

    same proportion to give stability to our Indian economy. The Gross Domestic

    Savings have shown steady growth except in the year 2008-09, which suffered

    because of recession. It regained its position with a strong comeback in the year

    2009-10.

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    Industries which have contributed mainly

    India is a vast country, so the sectors contributing to the country's GDP is also big

    in numbers. Various sectors falling under the India GDP composition includes food

    processing, transportation equipment, petroleum, textiles, software, agriculture,

    mining, machinery, chemicals, steel, cement and many others. Agriculture is the

    pre dominant occupation in India, employing more than 50% of the population.

    The service sector accounts for employing more than 25% while the industrial

    sector accounts for more than 10%.

    Agriculture Growth Rate in India GDP has declined over the years, from 20.2% in

    2005 to 14.2% in 2010. The Indian government must take steps to boost the

    agricultural sector for this in its turn will lead to the growth of Agriculture GrowthRate in India GDP. The main reasons for decline are due to the small size of farms

    which has resulted in low productivity, use of modern technology and agricultural

    practices and insufficient irrigation facilities.

    The Services Sector contributes the most to the Indian GDP. The Sector of Services

    in India has the biggest share in the country's GDP for it accounts for around

    57.8% in 2010. The contribution of the Services Sector in India GDP has increased

    a lot in the last few years. The Services Sector contributed only 53.6% to the

    Indian GDP in 2005. The bulk of the growth has come from Communication and

    Transport.

    The Industry Sector Growth Rate in India GDP has been on the rise in the last few

    years. The Growth Rate of the Industry Sector in India GDP has grown due to

    several reasons and this has given a major boost to the country's economy.

    It has grown from 26.2% in 2005 to 28% in 2010.

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    Per Capita Income

    Per capita Income means how much an individual earns, of the yearly income that

    is generated in the country through productive activities. It means the share of

    each individual when the income from the productive activities is divided equally

    among the citizens. Per capita income is reported in units of currency. Per capita

    income reflects the gross national product of a country. Per capita income is also

    a measure of the wealth of a population of a nation when compared with other

    countries. It is expressed in terms of commonly used international currency such

    as Euro, Dollars because these currencies are widely known.

    Per Capita Income in India

    India's per capita income is found by the Atlas method and by employing official

    exchange rates for conversion. Further, this Atlas method of calculating the per

    capita income of India is not determined by using purchasing power parity, which

    essentially adjusts exchange rates for purchasing power of currencies.

    Economist have been giving considerable importance to the performance of

    states vis a vis each other in terms of per capita income. It has been observed that

    those states that were more open and better adapted to economic liberalization

    have overall shown faster rate of growth.

    Per Capita Income of Various Indian States

    The two backward states of the Indian republic Jharkhand and Orissa are growing

    at a rapid rate in terms of the per capita income because of rise of industrial

    activities in these two states. Karnataka is at the top of the chart with the fastest

    growing per capita income (nearly 9.28%) followed by Gujarat with 8.92%.The per

    capita income in 17 states is below the national average of 8.4%. Per capita

    income shows the purchasing power of the states and so it is very important for

    the states to increase the per capita income of each person.

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    Comparison with China, Japan, U.K and U.S

    India is a large country having population of more than a billion, second highest in

    the world. It is the largest democracy in the globe. GDP India is fourth highest in

    the world in PPP terms. Here is a comparison of Indian economy with the US, EU,

    Canada, Japan, China and rest of the world.

    Indian GDP ranks to No.12 in nominal term of world GDP after US, Japan, UK,

    Germany, China, France, Italy, Spain, Canada, Brazil and Russia. However, India

    ($3000B) comes to No.4 after US (($13800B), China ($7000B) and Japan ($4300B)

    in PPP terms.

    India has a very large economy. It has GDP of $1100 B (2007) or RS.55000 B. It is

    approximately two percent of the GDP of the world i.e. $55000 B. It does not tell

    the real story because world GDP is counted based on dollars but Indians have to

    buy, sell and spend in Indian rupee. Price parity parameter shows comparatively

    better picture. In PPP method, Indian GDP is calculated to $3000B that is

    approximately 4.7 percent of world GDP of $64000B in PPP.

    More over India is growing at the rate of eight to nine percent per annum

    whereas most of the developed countries including US, Canada, Japan and

    countries of EU and UK are growing at a very slow speed until last year. Only

    China has shown greater growth rate than India.

    Picture is little different this year. Most of the developed countries have started

    showing tendency of negative growth. This will surely affect India and China but

    they can manage their growth in a positive range. It is expected that China will

    manage a growth rate of eight to nine percent where as India will anywhere

    between seven to eight percent.

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    Relevant Points

    GDP India is twelfth largest economy in the world in nominal parameter. GDP India represents the fourth largest economy in the world in price

    parity parameter (PPP).

    India has the second highest growth rate in the world after China. BSE stock index of India has grown at the fastest pace beating all stock

    indexes in the world including America, Canada, China, Japan and of course,

    all stock markets in EU.

    India has no.1 growth rate in stock market in the world. Human Resource outsourcing increased by almost $18.9 billion in 2010. Agricultural growth, dependent as it is on monsoon, continues to fluctuate.

    Overall food grains production in 2007-08 expected to fall short of the

    target by 2.2 million tons. Need for second green revolution particularly in

    rain fed areas emphasized.

    Economy moves decisively to higher growth phase. Buoyant growth in Government Revenues. Concern over slowdown in consumer goods segment of industry and

    infrastructure constraints.