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SMART Initiative Science-informed Machine Learning to Accelerate Real Time (SMART) Decisions in Subsurface Applications

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Page 1: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

SMART InitiativeScience-informed Machine Learning to Accelerate Real Time (SMART) Decisions in Subsurface Applications

Page 2: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

Primary GoalsSMART Initiative

Real-Time Forecasting“Advanced Control Room”

Real-Time Visualization“CT” for the Subsurface

Rapid PredictionVirtual Learning

2

Technical Team

Science-informed Machine Learning to Accelerate Real Time (SMART) Decisions in Subsurface Applications

Page 3: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

Transformational Experience

Driving Safety

3

Page 4: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

Driving Safety

Transformational Experience

Oil & Gas/Carbon Storage

Pattern Recognition

Virtual Reality Learning

Autonomous Monitoring

Autonomous Control

4

Page 5: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

SMART Initiative

• Science-Informed• Machine Learning• Accelerating• Real• Time Decisions for Subsurface Applications

Programmatic Must-Haves…1. Transformational Products & Application(s)2. Quantifiable Goals3. Early Wins4. Industry Buy-in5. Leverage Existing Capabilities

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Page 6: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

How can machine learning transform subsurface operations?

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Traditional approach

Page 7: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

How can machine learning transform subsurface operations?

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Transform SPEED&

AUTOMATION

Page 8: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

Lower Cost

How can machine learning transform subsurface operations?

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ReducedRisk

Faster

SPEED&

AUTOMATION

Transform

Page 9: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

Confluence of Data, Computational Capability, and Machine Learning

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Real-Time Forecasting“Advanced Control Room”

Rapid Data to KnowledgeAutonomous Monitoring

Real-Time Visualization“CT” for the Subsurface

Rapid PredictionVirtual Learning

Page 10: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

Current and Prior Fossil Energy Investments Enabling Machine Learning for the Subsurface

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Field Laboratories

Fundamental Studies

Data-Driven Approaches

Industry collaboratio

nsAcademi

a

DOE Labs

More than 40 recent field projects

Page 11: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

Real-Time Visualization

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Potential Technology PathwaysThree Imaging Targets1. Rock and fluid Properties2. Pressure/stress3. Faults and fracture networks

• Joint inversion• Multi-INT• Tonal-Noise Tomography

Vision: Transform reservoir management via dramatic improvements in subsurface visualization, exploiting ML to achieve speed and enhanced detail.

Real-Time Visualization“CT” for the Subsurface

Page 12: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

• How to adjust production rates and volumes in multiple wells to maximize recovery, sweep efficiency, …

• How to adjust CO2 injection & brine production in multiple wells to maximize storage and minimize pressure plume

• When and how to refrack an unconventional to increase total recovery

Shell.com

Real-Time Forecasting

Real-Time Forecasting“Advanced Control Room”

Vision: Transform “human-in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior for different operational decisions.

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Potential Operational Decisions

Page 13: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

Vision: Enable a virtual learning environment for exploring and testing strategies to optimize reservoir development, management, & monitoring prior to field activities.

Virtual Learning

Rapid PredictionVirtual Learning

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Virtual learning means experiential learning in a computer based environment that responds to a user’s actions in real time, simulating the behavior of the subsurface system based on physics-based knowledge.

Physics-based knowledge means that the relevant subsurface processes must be known, well characterized, and able to be simulated with high fidelity.

Real-time is enabled by (1) coupling the high fidelity simulations with rapid, empirical methods (e.g., machine learning) and (2) exploiting developments for rapid visualization gaming environments.

Page 14: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

VisIT

Dynamic GraphicsGEM

Visualization Capabilities

Page 15: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

Analogy for new visualization functionality

Page 16: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

Conceptual approach

Image credits: Miral Tawfik, Penn State University; Zuleima Karpyn, Penn State University; Raoof Gholami, Curtin University; Shawn Maxwell, IMaGE: Itasca Microseismic and Geomechanical Evaluation; Fathom Geophysics; Shuttersock; Gholamreza Khademi, Cleveland State University

Page 17: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

• Incorporates data and prediction• Fast and accurate

• Both static and dynamic features• Visualizes uncertainty• Incorporates different scales• Intuitive for the non-technical person

Goals for new visualization capabilities

Page 18: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

• Incorporates data and prediction• Fast and accurate

• Both static and dynamic features• Visualizes uncertainty• Incorporates different scales• Intuitive for the non-technical person

Goals for new visualization capabilities

Page 19: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

• Incorporates data and prediction• Fast and accurate

• Both static and dynamic features• Visualizes uncertainty• Incorporates different scales• Intuitive for the non-technical person

Goals for new visualization capabilities

Page 20: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

• Incorporates data and prediction• Fast and accurate

• Both static and dynamic features• Visualizes uncertainty• Incorporates different scales• Intuitive for the non-technical person

Goals for new visualization capabilities

Page 21: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

• Incorporates data and prediction• Fast and accurate

• Both static and dynamic features• Visualizes uncertainty• Incorporates different scales• Intuitive for the non-technical person

Goals for new visualization capabilities

Page 22: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

• Incorporates data and prediction• Fast and accurate

• Both static and dynamic features• Visualizes uncertainty• Incorporates different scales• Intuitive for the non-technical person

Goals for new visualization capabilities

What functionality do you need?

Page 23: Carbon Storage Update Meeting · “Advanced Control Room” Vision: Transform “human -in-the-loop” decisions on reservoir management by rapid visualization of forecasted behavior

VISIT US AT: www.NETL.DOE.gov

@NationalEnergyTechnologyLaboratory

@NETL_DOE

@NETL_DOE

CONTACT:

Thank You!

Grant [email protected]