case study: exploring cumulative effects of regional urban growth strategies
TRANSCRIPT
Exploring Cumulative Effects of Regional Urban Growth Strategies in the Calgary Region
Scenario AnalysisCompare (not predict!) the consequences of urban growth strategiesOutcome contingent on scenario assumptions and indicators
Scenario 1
Scenario 2? +? -
BenefitsLiabilities
ALCES ToolkitSimulate cumulative effects of land useTrack environmental, economic, and social indicators
ScenariosBusiness as usualLow density suburban and acreage development Calgary Metropolitan PlanDensificationMinimum density standardNodal rural development
IndicatorsProtecting the natural environmentWater, footprint, connectivity, wetlandsCompact settlement patternsPopulation density, settlement footprint, human health, farmlandEfficient regional infrastructureInfrastructure construction cost
Data SourcesMunicipalitiesCalgary Regional PartnershipMiistakis InstituteAlberta Biodiversity Monitoring InstituteDucks Unlimited CanadaLiterature
Results
Footprint
Footprint - 2014
BAUCMP
Footprint - 2024
BAUCMP
Footprint - 2034
BAUCMP
Footprint - 2044
BAUCMP
Footprint - 2054
BAUCMP
Footprint - 2064
BAUCMP
Infrastructure Construction Cost
Infrastructure Construction Cost -2014
BAUCMP
Infrastructure Construction Cost -2024
BAUCMP
Infrastructure Construction Cost -2034
BAUCMP
Infrastructure Construction Cost -2044
BAUCMP
Infrastructure Construction Cost -2054
BAUCMP
Infrastructure Construction Cost -2064
BAUCMP
Farmland
Farmland - 2014
Farmland - 2024
Farmland - 2034
Farmland - 2044
Farmland - 2054
Farmland - 2064
Grassland
Grassland - 2014
Grassland - 2024
Grassland - 2034
Grassland - 2044
Grassland - 2054
Grassland - 2064
Water
Population
Population trend
Population - 2014
BAUCMP
Population - 2024
BAUCMP
Population - 2034
BAUCMP
Population - 2044
BAUCMP
Population - 2054
BAUCMP
Population - 2064
BAUCMP
Walk Score
Walk Score - 2014
BAUCMP
Walk Score - 2024
BAUCMP
Walk Score - 2034
BAUCMP
Walk Score - 2044
BAUCMP
Walk Score - 2054
BAUCMP
Walk Score - 2064
BAUCMP
Overweight Risk Reduction
Health
Where to From HereSimulator is now customized for the Calgary Regional Partnership AreaFast and Easy to Use Web-based Delivery of Broad Suite of Environmental, Social and Economic Metrics What-If Simulator to Explore Opportunities and Consequences of Alternative Trajectories