CDMA Migration Path to LTECDMA Migration Path to LTECDMA Migration Path to LTECDMA Migration Path to LTETechnical & Commercial ImplicationsTechnical & Commercial ImplicationsTechnical & Commercial ImplicationsTechnical & Commercial Implications

Tina RadfordTina RadfordTina RadfordTina RadfordCDMA Development GroupCDMA Development Group

Tina.radford@cdg.orgTina.radford@cdg.org

Hong KongSeptember 2009

CDG CharterCDG CharterFormed in 1993, a consortium of operator and vendor companies from Formed in 1993, a consortium of operator and vendor companies from around the world, involved in all aspects of CDMA and next generation around the world, involved in all aspects of CDMA and next generation

wireless including advocacy, marketing, regulatory support, devicewireless including advocacy, marketing, regulatory support, device

OperatorsSubscriberEquipment

wireless including advocacy, marketing, regulatory support, device wireless including advocacy, marketing, regulatory support, device availability and roaming availability and roaming

Value-AddedServices

Network Infrastructure Network Enhancement/

OptimizationNetwork Interface &

Access

To lead the rapid evolution and deployment of CDMA-based systems, based on open standardsCDMA based systems, based on open standards and encompassing all core architectures, to meet

the needs of markets around the world

2www.cdg.org

Information Distribution Technical Service Development Deployment Assistance

CDMA2000 has built a strong ecosystem and enormous economies of scaleCDMA2000 has built a strong ecosystem and enormous economies of scaleCDMA: Strong Global PresenceCDMA: Strong Global Presence

More than 315 315 operators in more than 109109 countries/territories have deployed or are planning to deploy CDMA2000

502 million CDMA Subscribers

1X EV-DORel. 0

EV-DORev. A

Commercial 281 109 70

2www.cdg.org

Commercial 281 109 70

In Deployment/Trial 23 36 38

CDMA Subscriber Statistics: June 2009CDMA Subscriber Statistics: June 2009

Worldwide Total: 502,201,000Asia Pacific 269,780,000

North America 155,590,000

Caribbean & Latin America 40,841,000

Europe0.9%

Middle East1.2% Africa

5.1%

Europe 4,350,000

Middle East 6,070,000

Africa 25,570,000

Total 502,201,000

Caribbean & Latin America8.1%

Asia Pacific 53.7%

North America31.0%

2www.cdg.org4

CDMA2000 1xEVCDMA2000 1xEV--DO Subscriber Statistics: DO Subscriber Statistics: June 2009June 2009June 2009June 2009

Worldwide Total: 127,888,000Asia Pacific 43,998,000

North America 71,047,000

Caribbean & Latin America 6,270,000

Middle East1.2% Africa

2.8%Europe1.1%

Europe 1,348,000

Middle East 1,580,000

Africa 3,645,000

Total 127,888,000

Caribbean & Latin America4.9%

Asia Pacific 34.4%

North America55.6%

2www.cdg.org5

Number of CDMA2000 operators increased by nearly 30% in the past 3 yearsNumber of CDMA2000 operators increased by nearly 30% in the past 3 yearsCDMA Global Operator GrowthCDMA Global Operator Growth

New CDMA2000 Operators per YearNew CDMA2000 Operators per Year(Cumulative)(Cumulative)

2www.cdg.org

Most CDMA2000 operators will deploy EVMost CDMA2000 operators will deploy EV--DODOwireless broadband data serviceswireless broadband data services

CDMA2000 RoadmapCDMA2000 Roadmap

What do operators want?

• Meet the growing demand for voice and data

p

• Offer an unsurpassed user experience

• Reduce the cost of delivering services

• Maximize the return on existing investments• Maximize the return on existing investments

2www.cdg.org

CDMA2000 RoadmapCDMA2000 RoadmapCDMA2000 offers a strong longCDMA2000 offers a strong long--term path forwardterm path forward

CDMA2000 RoadmapCDMA2000 Roadmap 1X Ad d

1XE h t

CDMA2000 1XCDMA2000 RoadmapCDMA2000 Roadmap

4X increasein voice capacity2

DL & UL: 307 kbps

Advanced

New Channel Card1.5X increase

in voice capacity1

DL & UL: 153 kbps

33-40 ErlangsDL & UL: 153 kbps

(1 25 MHz FDD)

EVRC-B + QLIC + QOF

Enhancements1X

DL & UL: 307 kbps

DOH/W

Upgrade1xEV-DO 1xEV-DO

DL & UL: 153 kbps(1.25 MHz, FDD)

Multi-Carrier

DL: 2.4 MbpsUL: 153 kbps

(1 25 MH FDD)

DL: 3.1 MbpsUL: 1.8 Mbps

(1 25 MHz FDD)

DL: 14.7 Mbps4

UL: 5.4 Mbps(5 MH FDD)

DL: 32 Mbps5

UL: 12.4 MbpsDL: 9.3 Mbps3

UL: 5.4 Mbps(5 MHz FDD)

DO Advanced

UpgradeRev BRev. ARel. 0

CarrierEV-DO

(1.25 MHz, FDD) (1.25 MHz, FDD) (5 MHz, FDD) (4x1.25 MHz, FDD)(5 MHz, FDD)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013+

2www.cdg.org

1 Capacity increase is primarily due to new EVRC-B codec, handset interference cancellation (QLIC) and Quasi-Orthogonal Functions (QOF)2 Capacity increase is primarily due to UL and DL interference cancellation, mobile receive diversity and several radio link enhancements.3 Peak rate for 3 EV-DO carriers with software upgrade. Doubles network capacity or triples peak data speeds. 4 Peak rate for 3 EV-DO carriers with hardware upgrade supporting 64 QAM in the DL. Standard supports up to 15 aggregated 1.25 MHz carriers5 DO Advanced includes smart network techniques, new device enhancements, 2x2 MIMO support, 64 QAM in the DL and 16 QAM in the UL6 Operators have the option to only implement software upgrades

1X Advanced1X AdvancedQuadruples the voice capacity of today’s industryQuadruples the voice capacity of today’s industry--leading CDMA2000 1X networksleading CDMA2000 1X networks

1X Advanced1X AdvancedNew handset & channel card

Achievable Today

4xVoice users

3xV i

xV i

1.5xVoice users

Voice users

1X Today • EVRC-B vocoder

Voice users

Without MobileRx Diversity

With Mobile Rx Diversity

Radio linkInterference1X Today• EVRC• Single RX

EVRC B vocoder• QLIC (device IC)

New handsetNetwork upgrades

Relative capacity/sector (1.25 MHz)

+Radio linkEnhancements• Efficient power control• Early termination• Smart blanking

Interference Cancellation• BTS Interference Cancellation• Advanced Device IC (QLIC)

2www.cdg.org

p y ( )

CDMA2000 1X Advanced is a natural step for operators looking to CDMA2000 1X Advanced is a natural step for operators looking to lower their cost per call and free up channels for broadband data serviceslower their cost per call and free up channels for broadband data services

1X Advanced Benefits1X Advanced BenefitsCapacity gain enabled by 1X Advanced offers several benefitsCapacity gain enabled by 1X Advanced offers several benefits

Lower Cost per Call

y g yy g y

Lower Cost per CallGreater spectral efficiency

M Mi t f UMore Minutes of UsageEnables increased voice offerings

More Efficient Use of SpectrumImportant for spectrum constrained markets

Meets Increased Data DemandFrees up channels that can be used for EV-DO services

2www.cdg.org

EVEV--DO Evolution PathDO Evolution PathEVEV--DO delivers a practical solution to satisfy the real demand for broadband dataDO delivers a practical solution to satisfy the real demand for broadband data

•Rev. A: High sector capacity, very good link budget and user-experienceEV-DO Rev. A

•Multicarrier EV-DO: A simple software upgrade that aggregates Rev. A channels

Add carriers as demand increases

– Triple peak data rates / doubles network capacity

•Rev. B: New channel card - more capacity– DL: 14.7 Mbps

DO Rev ADO Rev AEV-DO Rev. A

Multicarrier EV-DO (channel aggregation) p

– UL: 5.4 Mbps

•DO Advanced: More network capacity and d

(channel aggregation)Add carriers as demand increases

speed– DL: 32 Mbps– UL: 12.4 Mbps

DO Advanced

2www.cdg.org

Page 12

Operators can continue to improve capacity and user experience with simple, incremental software upgrades and

network optimizations?

EVEV--DO Evolution BenefitsDO Evolution BenefitsSelective and costSelective and cost--effective software upgrades offer several benefitseffective software upgrades offer several benefits

Improved User ExperienceGreater network capacity

Investment PreservationSoftware upgrades to existing equipmentSo t a e upg ades to e st g equ p e t

Addresses Real-World DemandIncremental upgrades at site specific locationsIncremental upgrades at site-specific locations

Service Continuity

Unified operation of Advanced Topology Networks

Backward compatibility − No service interruptions

2www.cdg.orgNote: 1. Operator demand for each enhancement varies. Some carriers may not adopt the complete set of enhancements.

Smart Network techniques

Preservation of Existing InvestmentsPreservation of Existing InvestmentsExisting 3G CDMA networks are fulfilling the demand for an extensive selection Existing 3G CDMA networks are fulfilling the demand for an extensive selection of desired applications and servicesof desired applications and servicesof desired applications and servicesof desired applications and services

2www.cdg.org

EVEV--DO is Driving Data Revenue GrowthDO is Driving Data Revenue GrowthDemand for EVDemand for EV--DO services is driving substantial data revenue per userDO services is driving substantial data revenue per user

RetailData ARPU

(USD)

Percent ofService Revenue

Verizon WirelessVerizon WirelessRetail Data ARPU and

Data Revenue as a Percent of Service Revenue

ser (

AR

PU) 1

even

ue P

er U

sAv

erag

e R

e

Annual data revenues grew 33 percent over the prior year to $3 9 billion

2www.cdg.org1 Commercial EV-DO market information based on Verizon press releases and other publicly available information, July 24, 2009

Annual data revenues grew 33 percent over the prior year to $3.9 billion.45.5 million of Verizon’s subscribers have 3G broadband EV-DO devices.

I t bilit ithI t bilit ithInteroperability withInteroperability with

LTELTELTELTE

CDMA2000 and OFDMCDMA2000 and OFDM--Based SolutionsBased SolutionsCDMA2000 is complemented with several OFDMCDMA2000 is complemented with several OFDM--based solutionsbased solutions

CDMA2000 E l ti P thCDMA2000 E l ti P th

CDMA2000 1X

CDMA2000 Evolution PathCDMA2000 Evolution Path

1X Advanced

1xEV-DO Rel. 0

1xEV-DORev. A

H/\WUpgrade

Rev. BMulticarrier

EV-DODO Advanced

OFDMAOFDMA--based Technologiesbased Technologies

Mobile WiMAX

LTE

oror

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013+

2www.cdg.org

LTE is part of the CDMA2000 technology roadmapLTE is part of the CDMA2000 technology roadmap

CDMA Operators with Announced LTE plansCDMA Operators with Announced LTE plans

The following CDMA2000 operators have announced their plansThe following CDMA2000 operators have announced their plansto deploy LTEto deploy LTE

2www.cdg.org

Most other CDMA2000 operators do not have the requisiteMost other CDMA2000 operators do not have the requisitedemand, spectrum or capital to deploy LTEdemand, spectrum or capital to deploy LTE

LTE Interoperability: CDG Areas of FocusLTE Interoperability: CDG Areas of FocusCurrent CDG initiativesCurrent CDG initiatives

Seamless Mobility:To ensure service continuity, inter-standard hand-offs between LTE and yCDMA2000 networks is essential

System Determination:To maximize revenue, the appropriate system determination algorithms must exist in every CDMA2000/LTE device

Device Certification:To ensure full compliance, device certification from an independent third-party is sanctioned

Inter-Standard Global Roaming:To enable global roaming, inter-standard roaming between LTE and CDMA2000

2www.cdg.org

networks is essential

CDMA2000 Manufacturers Working on LTECDMA2000 Manufacturers Working on LTEThe following CDG members are developing LTE devices and equipmentThe following CDG members are developing LTE devices and equipment

Infrastructure Vendors

Chipset and Device Vendors

Test Vendors

2www.cdg.org

CDMA: Efficient and Flexible Spectrum UtilizationCDMA: Efficient and Flexible Spectrum UtilizationCDMA2000’s 1.25 MHz bandwidth facilitates subscriber traffic managementCDMA2000’s 1.25 MHz bandwidth facilitates subscriber traffic management

Minimizes “stranded” spectrum assets required to support embedded user equipment while moving between technologies

1X 1X 1X

CDMA2000 1X

1XAdvanced

EV-DOEV-DO

1X Advanced

LTE1XEV-DO

#2 M l i l

EV-DO Rev. A

EVDO Rev. BEV-DO Rev. B

#1 Multiple

#2 Multiple Bands, One Antenna Set

#3 Multi- Bands & Technologies, One OA&M Umbrella

pTechnologies, One Backhaul 1X

AdvancedEV-DO LTE

2www.cdg.org

CDMA offers greater flexibility to implement LTESeveral vendors support LTE in existing CDMA2000 base stations,

with common radios & antennas

OFDMA Broadband Overlay TimelineOFDMA Broadband Overlay TimelineOFDMOFDM--based solutions will be builtbased solutions will be built--out over time as demand grows and spectrum out over time as demand grows and spectrum becomes availablebecomes available

3G CDMA 3G CDMA WAN CoverageWAN Coverage

Today

3G CDMA3G CDMA 3G CDMA 3G CDMA

Co e ageCo e age

Next 10 years(Coexistence)

Beyond 10 years

OFDMUrban-zone

OFDMAOFDMA

OFDMUrban-zone

OFDMUrban-zone

3G CDMA WAN networks will coexist with OFDM3G CDMA WAN networks will coexist with OFDM--based solutions until based solutions until t ti b db d t k f ll bl f d li it ti b db d t k f ll bl f d li i

Beyond 10 years(Migration)

OFDMAOFDMAWAN CoverageWAN Coverage

next generation broadband networks are fully capable of delivering:next generation broadband networks are fully capable of delivering:1)1) Ubiquitous coverageUbiquitous coverage

2)2) CarrierCarrier--grade VoIPgrade VoIP

2www.cdg.org

3)3) LowLow--cost devices *cost devices *4)4) Global roaming *Global roaming *

* Harmonization of spectrum for OFDM-based solutions will be necessary to build economies of scale and enable global roaming

EVEV--DO Evolution PeriodsDO Evolution Periods

Mature VoIP;Concurrent VoIP/Data;High-Definition Multimedia;

SeamlessLTE Handoff

Aditional CapacityFemtocellsVoIP

UbiquitousEV-DO Service

EV-DODO

Advanced

MatureEV-DO

Mar

ket

gIntegration w/LTE

EV-DORev. A

EV DORev. B

Advanced

dres

sabl

e M

LTEFirst Full Scale

LTEFirst Volume

DevicesLTE

First SmallV l

% o

f Add

LTERegional First Full Scale

Deployments Volumes

Today 2010-2011 2012 2015 2017

RegionalDeployments

2www.cdg.org

y

Source: Airvana`

CDMA2000 WorldModeTM DevicesMore than 200 WorldMode devices from more than 57 vendorsMore than 200 WorldMode devices from more than 57 vendors

CDMA2000 1X+

EV DO Re A

CDMA2000 1X+

GSMEV-DO Rev. A

+

RIM BlackBerry

EV-DO Rev. A+

GSM+

GPRSNokia

GSM +

GPRSHSPA

DellPrecision Series

y8830GPRSNokia

2865

CDMA2000 1X+

EV DO Rev A

What ComesNext?

CDMA2000 1X+

EV DO R A/BEV-DO Rev. A+

HSPA

Next?Coming!

EV-DO Rev. A/B+

LTE

2www.cdg.org

LGSH-100

Samples shown, LTE WorldMode is concept only

Initial WorldMode LTE Device AvailabilityInitial WorldMode LTE Device AvailabilityCDMA industry is developing CDMA2000 / LTE multimode/multiband devicesCDMA industry is developing CDMA2000 / LTE multimode/multiband devices

Multimode LTECommercial Device Availability

Modes: • LTE• CDMA2000 1X

LTE Peak Data Rates (20 MHz):

Commercial Device Availability

• CDMA2000 1X• EV-DO Rev. A• EV-DO Rev. B• UMTS• HSPA+

DL: 50 MbpsUL: 25 Mbps

• HSPA+

HandsetPC Card

Q220112009

Q4 2010

2www.cdg.org

What about LTE voice communicationsWhat about LTE voice communicationsMost CDMA2000 operators will rely on their CDMA2000 1X network to deliver voiceMost CDMA2000 operators will rely on their CDMA2000 1X network to deliver voice

LTE only for voice and data?Or, LTE for data and 1X for traditional voice?

Factors to consider:How important is simultaneous voice & data?

How important is an all-IP service model?Should voice capacity be maximized?Should voice capacity be maximized?

CAPEX spending priorities? Handset complexity?

LTE VoIP?TraditionalC/S 1X Voice? p y

Roaming Partners?Timing?1X Advanced? EV-DO VoIP?

2www.cdg.org

For more information…

www.CDG.org

2www.cdg.org