changes in 21st century - ait...

TIGER LEONG INNOVATION & ENTREPRENEUR CAMP # 3

Professor Worsak Kanok-NukulchaiPresident , Asian Institute of Thechnology

Fellow of Academy of Sciences, Royal Society of Thailand

CHANGES IN 21ST CENTURY OPPORTUNITIES & CHALLENGES

Process of Technological Disruption

Global Megatrends

Why Education Needs Disruptions?

Milestones in Human History

Exponential Growth of Technology

Name the 3 milestones in humankind history that have significantly change the human lifestyle?

23/07/2018 WK 4

THREE MILESTONES TO CIVILIZATION

The Agricultural Revolution16th and 17th Centuries

The Industrial Revolution18th and 19th Centuries

The Digital Revolution20th and 21st Centuries

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Guest what might be the 4th Revolution that may completely change the lifestyle of humankind?


Stephen Hawking May 12, 2015

“Computers will overtake humans with AIwithin the next 100 years. When that happens,we need to make sure the computers have goalsaligned with ours.”

THE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENT REVOLUTIONSee you in the late 21st Century !

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Global Megatrends




“The reason that information technology grows exponentially is that we can use the

latest technology to develop the next.

QUOTE

Dr. Ray Kurzweil, the Author of Best-Seller Book: “The Singularity is Near” ©WKanok-Nukulchai

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Exponential Growth

©WKanok-Nukulchai

Exponential Growth of World Population

Exponential Growth of World Life Expectancy

Exponential Growth

(Credit photo: Anders Lindgren)

Sleeping Beauty wakes up after 50 years sleeping.

Sleep from 1900Wake Up 1950

Sleep from 2000Wake Up 2050

©WKanok-Nukulchai

The AI Revolution: The Road to Superintelligence, 2015 By Tim Urban https://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-1.html

“We are on the edge of change comparable to the rise of human life on Earth”. — Vernor Vinge

Singularity !

2017

2025

2055

Peter Diamandis, Ray Kurzweil’s Mind-Boggling Predictions for the Next 25 Years,2015 https://singularityhub.com/2015/01/26/ray-kurzweils-mind-boggling-predictions-for-the-next-25-years/

Photo credit: The Future of Work by Andrew Curry – The Futures Company

(Canadian Futurist)


Global Megatrends




1. Change is Rapid.

“Continuous change of technologies requires continuous learning”

The Change in Technology


“Global competitiveness requires continuous refreshing of technologies”

2. Change is GlobalThe Change in Technology


“Change has ‘disrupted’ the established technologies that we have just learned yesterday!”

3. Change is DisruptiveThe Change in Technology

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©WKanok-Nukulchai

(Credit photo: Tony Seba)23/07/2018 WK 26

(Credit photo: Tony Seba)

13 Years Later

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Shibuya 2017

Shibuya 2030

13 years later

©WKanok-Nukulchai

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TECHNOLOGY DISRUPTIONS(Already Here)

©WKanok-Nukulchai

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TECHNOLOGY DISRUPTIONS (Coming Soon…)

©WKanok-Nukulchai

Peter Diamandis

The Six Ds“a road map of rapid development that always leads to enormous upheaval and opportunity”

• digitization • deception• disruption • demonetization• dematerialization• democratization

Digital information is easy to access, share, and distribute, it can spread at the speed of internet.

(Credit photo: W. Kanok-Nukulchai )

Exponential Growth

LinearGrowth

Initial period of growth is normally deceptive until the digital product breaks its linear expectation.


Exponential Growth

LinearGrowth

Sooner or later, traditional product will be outperformed and disrupted by digital technology.


Separated technologies that were once bulky and expensive are now all in a smart phone.

(Credit photo: P. Diamantis )

20 Years Later….All of these fit in your pocket…

Money is increasingly a non-issue, as technology becomes cheaper, often to the point of being free.

(Credit photo: P. Diamantis )

Powerful technologies are no longer only for governments, large corporates, or the wealthy.



Global Megatrends




The selected 6 Global Megatrends concern:

Issues that have to do with our planet.

Issues that have to do with the way we choose to live on this planet (social, economic, political).

Issues that have to do with the way we regulate our life on this planet (normative, legal).

2

3

1

GLOBAL MEGATRENDS

1. Population Boom

Your text

W. Kanok-Nukulchai

(Credit photo: Anders Lindgren)23/07/2018 WK 44

GLOBAL MEGATRENDS

1. Population Boom

Your text

2. Rapid Urbanization

W. Kanok-Nukulchai

GLOBAL MEGATRENDS

1. Population Boom

Your text

3. Climate Change


W. Kanok-Nukulchai

There is no place like home…

GLOBAL MEGATRENDS

1. Population Boom

Your text

3. Climate Change 4. Global Connectedness


W. Kanok-Nukulchai

GLOBAL MEGATRENDS

1. Population Boom

Your text


5. Wealth Inequality


W. Kanok-Nukulchai

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GLOBAL MEGATRENDS

1. Population Boom

Your text


5. Wealth Inequality

6. Aging Society


W. Kanok-Nukulchai

The ratio of Japanese population aged over 65 years reached 26% in 2015, and to rise to 40% by around 2060.

SUPER-AGING SOCIETY …

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aging_of_Japan


Global Megatrends





1

2

Change occurs so rapidly that the human mind cannot imagine what will happen next. .

Education must prepare for intense periods of social, cultural, and economic transformation.

©WKanok-Nukulchai

Projection on Exponential Changes

Projection on Traditional Model

Projection on Today’s Global Megatrends

Today (2017)

2000 210019001800

Chan

ges o

f the

Wor

ld

Time of the World

A.I. AgeDigital AgeIndustrial Age

Pre-

Indu

stria

l Age

©WKanok-Nukulchai

“Today’s education is not fit to

the world of tomorrow.”

WHY EDUCATION MUST CHANGE:


“It is no longer possible

to acquire knowledge

once and spend the

rest of one’s life

applying them ”

Why Lifelong Learning?


Which future do we prepare today’s students for?

• We are currently preparing students for jobs that don’t yet exist,

• Using technologies that haven’t been yet invented,

• In order to solve problems we don’t even know are problems yet.

©WKanok-Nukulchai

DON’T GAMBLE FOR A FUTURE, PREPARE TO ADAPT TO ANY FUTURE.

Today, it is more and more difficult to predict the future; it’s better to prepare oneself to be capable of adapting to any future change!


Information vs Knowledge

When we talk about knowledge, we frequently confuse the knowledge with data and information.

©WKanok-Nukulchai

Combined bits and pieces of data here and

there.

Information

Personal understanding

of related information

Knowledge

Personal mastery of applying

knowledges.

Wisdom

Educational Currencies

©WKanok-Nukulchai

Photo Credit : https://www.newyorker.com/culture/culture-desk/the-web-gets-smarter

NO NEED TO ACCUMULATE, NO NEED TO MEMORIZE.

JUST-IN-TIME MUSIC ! JUST-IN-TIME INFORMATION !

STREAMS !

CLOUD !

©WKanok-Nukulchai

Every human individual should be equipped, at least, with “Universal Basic Competence”, which includes basic knowledges in STEM + Humanity, and skills that are required for his life-long learning in the future.

MY PROPOSAL

Worsak Kanok-Nukulchai

©WKanok-Nukulchai

UNIVERSAL BASIC COMPETENCE In the future world of VUCA (volatility, uncertainty, complexity, ambiguity), the 4-year higher education should equip students with “Universal Basic Competence”

needed for lifelong learning, consisting of basic knowledge in STEM + H + SS + En +L + A + 21st Century Skills

S = Science, T = Technology, E = Engineering, M = MathematicsH = Humanities, SS = Social Science, En = Entrepreneurship, L = Law, A = Arts©WKanok-Nukulchai

SKILL SET FOR FUTURE GLOBAL CITIZENS

21st CENTURY SKILLS

• Collaboration skills

• Communication skills

• Critical thinking skills

• Creativity skills

• Information technology skills

• Numeracy skills

• Problem-solving skills

©WKanok-Nukulchai

Post-Graduate Professional Degrees LEARN TO BE SPECIALISTS

Engineering

Architect

Medical Sciences

Political Science

Life ScienceLaws

Business Management

Agriculture

UnderGrad

©WKanok-Nukulchai

CHANGES OF EDUCATION

19th CENTURY EDUCATION

1. Copy & Memorization Skill2. Collected Information3. Contemporary Knowledge4. Forgotten & Obsolete

Knowledge5. Deadwood

21st CENTURY EDUCATION

1. Lifelong Learning Skill2. Basic Knowledge3. Just-in-time Information4. Fresh & Up-to-date

Knowledge5. Wisdom

©WKanok-Nukulchai

A UNIVERSITY MODEL OF THE FUTURE

Continuous Technological Changes

Global Megatrends

Longer Health-Span

©WKanok-Nukulchai

Questions session

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