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TIGER LEONG INNOVATION & ENTREPRENEUR CAMP # 3
Professor Worsak Kanok-NukulchaiPresident , Asian Institute of Thechnology
Fellow of Academy of Sciences, Royal Society of Thailand
CHANGES IN 21ST CENTURY OPPORTUNITIES & CHALLENGES
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Process of Technological Disruption
Global Megatrends
Why Education Needs Disruptions?
Milestones in Human History
Exponential Growth of Technology
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Name the 3 milestones in humankind history that have significantly change the human lifestyle?
23/07/2018 WK 4
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THREE MILESTONES TO CIVILIZATION
The Agricultural Revolution16th and 17th Centuries
The Industrial Revolution18th and 19th Centuries
The Digital Revolution20th and 21st Centuries
23/07/2018 WK 5©WKanok-Nukulchai
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Guest what might be the 4th Revolution that may completely change the lifestyle of humankind?
23/07/2018 WK 6©WKanok-Nukulchai
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Stephen Hawking May 12, 2015
“Computers will overtake humans with AIwithin the next 100 years. When that happens,we need to make sure the computers have goalsaligned with ours.”
THE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENT REVOLUTIONSee you in the late 21st Century !
23/07/2018 WK 7
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23/07/2018 WK 8©WKanok-Nukulchai
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Process of Technological Disruption
Global Megatrends
Why Education Needs Disruptions?
Milestones in Human History
Exponential Growth of Technology
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“The reason that information technology grows exponentially is that we can use the
latest technology to develop the next.
QUOTE
Dr. Ray Kurzweil, the Author of Best-Seller Book: “The Singularity is Near” ©WKanok-Nukulchai
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Exponential Growth
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Exponential Growth of World Population
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Exponential Growth of World Life Expectancy
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Exponential Growth
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(Credit photo: Anders Lindgren)
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Sleeping Beauty wakes up after 50 years sleeping.
Sleep from 1900Wake Up 1950
Sleep from 2000Wake Up 2050
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The AI Revolution: The Road to Superintelligence, 2015 By Tim Urban https://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-1.html
“We are on the edge of change comparable to the rise of human life on Earth”. — Vernor Vinge
Singularity !
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2017
2025
2055
Peter Diamandis, Ray Kurzweil’s Mind-Boggling Predictions for the Next 25 Years,2015 https://singularityhub.com/2015/01/26/ray-kurzweils-mind-boggling-predictions-for-the-next-25-years/
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Photo credit: The Future of Work by Andrew Curry – The Futures Company
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(Canadian Futurist)
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Process of Technological Disruption
Global Megatrends
Why Education Needs Disruptions?
Milestones in Human History
Exponential Growth of Technology
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1. Change is Rapid.
“Continuous change of technologies requires continuous learning”
The Change in Technology
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“Global competitiveness requires continuous refreshing of technologies”
2. Change is GlobalThe Change in Technology
23/07/2018 WK 24©WKanok-Nukulchai
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“Change has ‘disrupted’ the established technologies that we have just learned yesterday!”
3. Change is DisruptiveThe Change in Technology
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©WKanok-Nukulchai
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(Credit photo: Tony Seba)23/07/2018 WK 26
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13 Years Later
23/07/2018 WK 27
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Shibuya 2017
Shibuya 2030
13 years later
©WKanok-Nukulchai
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23/07/2018 WK 30
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23/07/2018 WK 31
TECHNOLOGY DISRUPTIONS(Already Here)
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23/07/2018 WK 32
TECHNOLOGY DISRUPTIONS (Coming Soon…)
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Peter Diamandis
The Six Ds“a road map of rapid development that always leads to enormous upheaval and opportunity”
• digitization • deception• disruption • demonetization• dematerialization• democratization
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Digital information is easy to access, share, and distribute, it can spread at the speed of internet.
(Credit photo: W. Kanok-Nukulchai )
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Exponential Growth
LinearGrowth
Initial period of growth is normally deceptive until the digital product breaks its linear expectation.
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Exponential Growth
LinearGrowth
Sooner or later, traditional product will be outperformed and disrupted by digital technology.
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Separated technologies that were once bulky and expensive are now all in a smart phone.
(Credit photo: P. Diamantis )
20 Years Later….All of these fit in your pocket…
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Money is increasingly a non-issue, as technology becomes cheaper, often to the point of being free.
(Credit photo: P. Diamantis )
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Powerful technologies are no longer only for governments, large corporates, or the wealthy.
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Process of Technological Disruption
Global Megatrends
Why Education Needs Disruptions?
Milestones in Human History
Exponential Growth of Technology
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The selected 6 Global Megatrends concern:
Issues that have to do with our planet.
Issues that have to do with the way we choose to live on this planet (social, economic, political).
Issues that have to do with the way we regulate our life on this planet (normative, legal).
2
3
1
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GLOBAL MEGATRENDS
1. Population Boom
Your text
W. Kanok-Nukulchai
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(Credit photo: Anders Lindgren)23/07/2018 WK 44
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(Credit photo: Anders Lindgren)23/07/2018 WK 45
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GLOBAL MEGATRENDS
1. Population Boom
Your text
2. Rapid Urbanization
W. Kanok-Nukulchai
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(Credit photo: Anders Lindgren)23/07/2018 WK 47
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(Credit photo: Anders Lindgren)23/07/2018 WK 48
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GLOBAL MEGATRENDS
1. Population Boom
Your text
3. Climate Change
2. Rapid Urbanization
W. Kanok-Nukulchai
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There is no place like home…
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GLOBAL MEGATRENDS
1. Population Boom
Your text
3. Climate Change 4. Global Connectedness
2. Rapid Urbanization
W. Kanok-Nukulchai
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(Credit photo: Anders Lindgren)23/07/2018 WK 54
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GLOBAL MEGATRENDS
1. Population Boom
Your text
3. Climate Change 4. Global Connectedness
5. Wealth Inequality
2. Rapid Urbanization
W. Kanok-Nukulchai
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(Credit photo: Anders Lindgren)23/07/2018 WK 56
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23/07/2018 WK 57
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GLOBAL MEGATRENDS
1. Population Boom
Your text
3. Climate Change 4. Global Connectedness
5. Wealth Inequality
6. Aging Society
2. Rapid Urbanization
W. Kanok-Nukulchai
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The ratio of Japanese population aged over 65 years reached 26% in 2015, and to rise to 40% by around 2060.
SUPER-AGING SOCIETY …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aging_of_Japan
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Process of Technological Disruption
Global Megatrends
Why Education Needs Disruptions?
Milestones in Human History
Exponential Growth of Technology
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Exponential Growth of Technology
1
2
Change occurs so rapidly that the human mind cannot imagine what will happen next. .
Education must prepare for intense periods of social, cultural, and economic transformation.
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Projection on Exponential Changes
Projection on Traditional Model
Projection on Today’s Global Megatrends
Today (2017)
2000 210019001800
Chan
ges o
f the
Wor
ld
Time of the World
A.I. AgeDigital AgeIndustrial Age
Pre-
Indu
stria
l Age
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“Today’s education is not fit to
the world of tomorrow.”
WHY EDUCATION MUST CHANGE:
23/07/2018 WK 65©WKanok-Nukulchai
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“It is no longer possible
to acquire knowledge
once and spend the
rest of one’s life
applying them ”
Why Lifelong Learning?
23/07/2018 WK 66©WKanok-Nukulchai
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Which future do we prepare today’s students for?
• We are currently preparing students for jobs that don’t yet exist,
• Using technologies that haven’t been yet invented,
• In order to solve problems we don’t even know are problems yet.
©WKanok-Nukulchai
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DON’T GAMBLE FOR A FUTURE, PREPARE TO ADAPT TO ANY FUTURE.
Today, it is more and more difficult to predict the future; it’s better to prepare oneself to be capable of adapting to any future change!
23/07/2018 WK 68©WKanok-Nukulchai
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Information vs Knowledge
When we talk about knowledge, we frequently confuse the knowledge with data and information.
©WKanok-Nukulchai
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Combined bits and pieces of data here and
there.
Information
Personal understanding
of related information
Knowledge
Personal mastery of applying
knowledges.
Wisdom
Educational Currencies
©WKanok-Nukulchai
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Collecting
Understanding
Mastering
Knowledge
Wisdom
Information
Data
©WKanok-Nukulchai
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Photo Credit : https://www.newyorker.com/culture/culture-desk/the-web-gets-smarter
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NO NEED TO ACCUMULATE, NO NEED TO MEMORIZE.
JUST-IN-TIME MUSIC ! JUST-IN-TIME INFORMATION !
STREAMS !
CLOUD !
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Every human individual should be equipped, at least, with “Universal Basic Competence”, which includes basic knowledges in STEM + Humanity, and skills that are required for his life-long learning in the future.
MY PROPOSAL
Worsak Kanok-Nukulchai
©WKanok-Nukulchai
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UNIVERSAL BASIC COMPETENCE In the future world of VUCA (volatility, uncertainty, complexity, ambiguity), the 4-year higher education should equip students with “Universal Basic Competence”
needed for lifelong learning, consisting of basic knowledge in STEM + H + SS + En +L + A + 21st Century Skills
S = Science, T = Technology, E = Engineering, M = MathematicsH = Humanities, SS = Social Science, En = Entrepreneurship, L = Law, A = Arts©WKanok-Nukulchai
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SKILL SET FOR FUTURE GLOBAL CITIZENS
21st CENTURY SKILLS
• Collaboration skills
• Communication skills
• Critical thinking skills
• Creativity skills
• Information technology skills
• Numeracy skills
• Problem-solving skills
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Post-Graduate Professional Degrees LEARN TO BE SPECIALISTS
Engineering
Architect
Medical Sciences
Political Science
Life ScienceLaws
Business Management
Agriculture
UnderGrad
©WKanok-Nukulchai
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CHANGES OF EDUCATION
19th CENTURY EDUCATION
1. Copy & Memorization Skill2. Collected Information3. Contemporary Knowledge4. Forgotten & Obsolete
Knowledge5. Deadwood
21st CENTURY EDUCATION
1. Lifelong Learning Skill2. Basic Knowledge3. Just-in-time Information4. Fresh & Up-to-date
Knowledge5. Wisdom
©WKanok-Nukulchai
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A UNIVERSITY MODEL OF THE FUTURE
Continuous Technological Changes
Global Megatrends
Longer Health-Span
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BUSINESS AS USUAL IS DEADUNIVERSITY AS USUAL IS DYING
©WKanok-Nukulchai
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Questions session
.