citywire france 2012 henderson global investors
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Euro corporate bond funds:
Crisis? What’s wrong with a crisis?
Stephen ThariyanHead of Credit
February 2012
This document is solely for the use of professional s and is not for general public distribution
Citywire France 2012
1\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Can we really grow our way out?
Source: IMF Forecasts, The Economist Intelligence Unit and Datastream, at 30 September 2011
Five year change in real GDP
% A
nnua
lised
gro
wth
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Italy
Ger
man
y
Japa
n
Fra
nce
Can
ada
Uni
ted
Kin
gdom
Uni
ted
Sta
tes
Mex
ico
Tur
key
Rus
sia
Bra
zil
Indo
nesi
a
Indi
a
Chi
na
Growth
Budget deficits (RHS)
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
Budget deficit %
GD
P
2\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Financials Non-Financials
Source: Bloomberg, as at 8 December 2011 Note: Bar chart represents Moody’s trading 12 default rates for the Global Corporate Universe
iBoxx Euro swap spread history (bp) and Corporate d efault rates
Credit spreads are back on the rise
After period of stability, spreads have broken sharply upwards
Global Corporate default rate (range 0% to max 6%)
bp
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Credit yield enhancement is attractive
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Jan-
07
Apr
-07
Jul-0
7
Oct
-07
Jan-
08
Apr
-08
Jul-0
8
Oct
-08
Jan-
09
Apr
-09
Jul-0
9
Oct
-09
Jan-
10
Apr
-10
Jul-1
0
Oct
-10
Jan-
11
Apr
-11
Jul-1
1
Oct
-11
iBoxx Eur Corp Bond Yield
German Bond 5yr Yield
iBoxx Euro Corp vs German Bund Yield
Source: Bloomberg, as at 8 December 2011
%
Corporate bonds at record multiple of underlying sovereign
4\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Non-financial leverage and profit margins
Source: Citi
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
Mar
-00
Dec
-00
Sep
-01
Jun-
02
Mar
-03
Dec
-03
Sep
-04
Jun-
05
Mar
-06
Dec
-06
Sep
-07
Jun-
08
Mar
-09
Dec
-09
Sep
-10
Jun-
11
14
15
16
17
18
19
20Net debt to EBITDA (x) RHSEBITDA margin (%)
Non-financial leverage and profit margins
\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Henderson Horizon European
Corporate Bond Fund
6\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Henderson Horizon Euro Corporate Bond Fund
Investment parameters
No strict limits, typically within +/-50% of benchmark weighting
Sector weighting
+/-2 years versus benchmarkDuration
0% – 20%Cash
100 – 150 holdingsTypical number of positions
Ability to use credit derivatives
Net portfolio exposure limit 0% – 150%Derivatives
AAA +/-10%
AA +/-7%
A +/-5%
BBB +/-3%
BB and below +/-2%
2% – 3%*
Indicative range
Indicative tracking error
Issuer exposure internal limits
Parameter
EUR, GBP, CHF, and SEK Share classes available
DailyLiquidity
Non-EUR / High Yield up to max 20%Off-Benchmark
At least 80% in investment grade bonds issued in Euro
Investable universe
Maximum 2x benchmark VaRVaR Limit
Benchmark + 1% (net of fees)Performance target
iBoxx Euro Corporates IndexBenchmark
Luxembourg
18 December 2009
EUR, all non-EUR exposure hedged backed to base on daily basis
UCITS III (sophisticated) SICAV
Inception
Base currency
Product
Domicile
Fund profile
* Please note this is not guaranteed.
7\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Core Stock Picking
Duration
Off-benchmark
Credit derivatives
Emphasis on sector themesConviction views across issuer and security
Active duration managementStrong track record within Henderson fixed income
Ability to look across rating spectrum into high yieldSeek opportunities in USD/GBP corporate bonds
Benefit from symmetry – maximise impact of negative viewsProvides an additional source of liquidity
Four key levers to drive performance
50%+
20%
20%
10%
Targetcontribution
Source: Henderson Global Investors
8\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Four key levers to drive performance
Contribution to portfolio relative return (bp of fu nd)
bp
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
Dec
-09
Jan-
10
Feb
-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10
Jul-1
0
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11
Feb
-11
Mar
-11
Apr
-11
May
-11
Jun-
11
Jul-1
1
Aug
-11
Sep
-11
Oct
-11
Nov
-11
Dec
-11
Core CreditOff BenchmarkCDSDuration
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Horizon European Corporate Bond Fund. Total fund return is shown relative to the iBoxx € Corporates index.
Performance based on mid-day pricing, A share class Euro returns net of fees.Past performance is not a guide to future performance.Inception date: 18 December 2009
Historical performance by investment lever
Core318 / 94
Off-BM202 / 6
CDS116 / 47
Duration-3 / 32
Actual contribution (bps)2010 / 2011
9\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
3.01%3.48%Volatility6.82%7.52%VaR
301160Number of issuers-39CDS positions
1282191Number bond holdingsAA-Average bond rating
99.6298.72Average bond price3.823.75Duration
4.60%4.28%Yield1,262,701145.5Market value (€mm)
IndexFundMetric
Maturity curve
27
18
29
5
18
26
36
15
5
18
0
10
20
30
40
50
0-3 yrs 3-5 yrs 5-7 yrs 7-10 yrs 10+ yrs
Fund %
Index %
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Totals may not equate to 100 due to derivatives exposure and rounding
Asset allocation
Rating exposure
21
34
7
82
4
34
7 000
100
4
19 27
50
0
20
40
60
80
100
AAA AA A BBB InvGrade
HY Unrated Cash
Fund %
Index %
22.12%
12.74%
9.78%
9.38%
6.43%
5.06%
2.00% 3.32%
3.67%
3.47%UK
France
USA
Germany
Netherlands
Sw itzerland
Italy
Sw eden
Spain
Denmark
Top 10 Fund issuer exposure by country
%%
Current Fund positioning
Asset allocation
10\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
-2.9%-2.8%-1.3%-1.0%
0.0%0.1%0.3%
4.6%1.1% 1.1%
-5.2%-7.1%
-12%
-8%
-4%
0%
4%
8%
12%
Sov
, S
upra
&A
genc
y
Tec
hnol
ogy
Indu
stria
ls
Tel
ecom
mun
icat
ions
Oil
& G
as
Inde
x
Hea
lth C
are
Con
sum
er S
ervi
ces
Bas
ic M
ater
ials
Con
sum
er G
oods
Util
ities
Fin
anci
als
Relative weight by sector
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Horizon European Corporate Bond Fund. Weights are shown relative to the iBoxx € Corporates index.
� Remain underweight financials given vulnerability to political and regulatory risk
� Underweight Basic Materials and Consumer sectors, negative earnings outlook
� Telecommunications and Packaging offer value, particularly in High Yield
� Sovereign allocation reflects investment in short-dated US and German bonds
SectorselectionCurrent Fund positioning
Sector allocation
11\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
� Focus on strong fundamental stories and dependable cash flows
� Recent re-pricing an opportunity on a name-specific basis
� Cash balance deployed into front end of German and US Treasury sovereign curves
1.11%IIILN3i Group
1.02%PEPRPrologis International
1.04%FLYFPFonciere Lyonnaise
1.06%BGGRPBG Group
0.97%VMEDVirgin Media
1.20%KFWKFW
1.21%GSWITCGlobal Switch
1.59%USTUS Treasury
0.96%IPRLNInternational Power
1.84%DBRGerman Government
% relativeTickerTop 10 overweight exposures
-0.95%SANFPSanofi Aventis
-1.12%MCFPLVMH
-1.29%METFNLMetro AG
-0.86%SOLBBBSolvay
-0.87%MUNREMunich Re.
-1.04%GSZFPGDF
-1.43%EDFEDF
-2.95%RABOBKRabobank
-0.83%ERSTBKErste Bank
-1.10%ALVGRAllianz
% relativeTickerTop 10 underweight exposures
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Horizon European Corporate Bond Fund. Weights are shown relative to the iBoxx € Corporates index
Securityselection
� Recession risks not priced into cyclical and consumer companies
� Underweight positioning on “core” names with high absolute debt levels
� CDS used to accentuate negative company views
Current Fund positioning
Security selection
12\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
Horizon European Corporate Bond Fund – duration hist ory
Duration history
-0.1 -0.1 -0.10.0-0.2
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
-0.1-0.1
-0.8-0.9
-0.2
-0.8
-0.2 -0.3
-0.9
-0.3-0.3
-0.5
-0.2
0.20.1
-1.1
-0.9
-0.7
-0.5
-0.3
-0.1
0.1
0.3
0.5Ja
n-10
Feb
-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10
Jul-1
0
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11
Feb
-11
Mar
-11
Apr
-11
May
-11
Jun-
11
Jul-1
1
Aug
-11
Sep
-11
Oct
-11
Nov
-11
Dec
-11
2.5
2.7
2.9
3.1
3.3
3.5
3.7
3.9
4.1
4.3
4.5
Relative to index
Fund duration
Remain close to benchmark given macro concernsR
elat
ive
dura
tion
(yrs
)
Fun
d du
ratio
n (y
rs)
13\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Horizon European Corporate Bond Fund. Returns relative to the index, net of management fees.
Performance based on mid-day pricing A share class Euro returns .Past performance is not a guide to future performance.Inception date: 18 December 2009
Fund relative performance versus index
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
Dec
-09
Jan-
10
Feb
-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10
Jul-1
0
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11
Feb
-11
Mar
-11
Apr
-11
May
-11
Jun-
11
Jul-1
1
Aug
-11
Sep
-11
Oct
-11
Nov
-11
Dec
-11
Credit spreads narrow (markets outperform)Credit spreads widen (markets underperform)
European Corporate Bond Fund performance
Ability to outperform in both up and down markets
14\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Fixed Income EUR Corp Bond Morningstar Index - Total return since Fund inception (18 December 2009)
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Source: Morningstar Workstation, comparison with the Morningstar Fixed Income Euro-Corporate Universe, as at 31 December 2011Note: Since Fund inception performance showing % Total return (Net of AMC).
Performance shown is for Euro denominated funds only (excludes USD denominated Euro-hedged share classes).Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
Henderson Horizon European Corp Bond Fund (Class A Acc)
iBoxx Euro Corp Index
%
Competitor performance
Absolute return relative to peer group
15\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
-3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0
Superior risk adjusted returns relative to peer group
Competitor performance
Source: Morningstar Workstation, comparison with the Morningstar Fixed Income EUR-Corporate Universe, updated quarterly, as at 31 December 2011Note: Since Fund inception performance showing % Total return (Net of AMC).
Performance based on mid-day pricing, A share class Euro returns net of fees.Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
Tot
al r
etur
n (%
)
Information ratio (weekly basis)
Total return versus Information Ratio relative to peers (since inception 18 December 2009)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0
Tot
al r
etur
n (%
)
Standard deviation (%, weekly basis)
Total return versus Volatility relative to peers (since inception 18 December 2009)
Portfolio Portfolio
Target
16\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Summary
� Credit manager with significant European fixed income expertise
� Portfolio managers with history of success in managing European credit
� Consistent outperformance in different market environments
� Experienced team of credit analysts generating unconstrained ideas
� Collaboration across equity, credit, loans and structured specialists
� Risk control embedded throughout the investment process
� Evidence of strong sell disciplines
Why Henderson for European Credit?
\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Henderson Credit Alpha Fund
18\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Credit Alpha
Longs
Shorts
Thematic
Pair Trades
Tactical
Thematic
Pair Trades
Tactical
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: * This is a target return and is not guaranteed.
July 2007Inception
Stephen Thariyan / Tom Ross / Chris Bullock
Manager
3-month Libor +5% (gross)
Performance target*
Daily dealing, daily notice
Liquidity
70-100Typical number of positions
Annual management fee: 1.5%Performance fee: 20% of net performance over Libor (with high water mark)
Fees
£515m AUM
3% - 6% Typical Vol
Pooled (UCITS III OEIC)
Product
Sterling, Euro, US dollar
Share classes available
+/- 0.5x / 2-3xTypical exposure (Net/Gross)
Strategies InstrumentsFund details
Investment grade bonds
High yield bonds
Credit Default Swaps
Credit Default Swap indices
Credit Default Swaps
Credit Default Swap indices
� All FX and interest rate risk hedged
� Predominant instrument is CDS to enhance liquidity and reduce basis risk
� Simplistic credit long short strategy
19\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
‘Pair trades’. Going long a credit that the fund favours versus short a credit it does not. Typically pairs are either in the same or similar sectors.
Comprises both long and short positions Will also express ‘relative value’ betweensectors
Thematic
Pair trades
Short timehorizon
Long timehorizon
Credit Alpha
Multi strategy credit - the three strategies
Short term positions in liquid securities that exploit technical imbalances in the marketTactical
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011
0 200
0 200
Gross exposure by strategy
0 200
20\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Credit Alpha
Current structure of portfolio
Thematic 65%
Pair Trades 56%
Tactical 14%
EUR 105%
GBP 3%
USD 27%
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011
Gross exposure by strategy Gross exposure by currency
Corporate bonds16%
CDS 108%
CDS index 5%
Gross exposure by investment type
Current net = -35%, current gross = 135%
Investment grade = 106% High yield = 29%
21\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Credit Alpha collateral and cash exposure
2.211,231,392 Total
0.0-Cash
0.31,307,550 Belgium Govt
0.21,224,457 Netherlands Govt
0.31,508,493 France Govt
0.42,128,892 Germany Govt
1.05,062,000 UK Govt
% of FundMarket value of collateral received (GBP)Type of collateral
24.5Certificates of Deposit (CD)
100.0Total
2.2Market value of derivatives (CDS)
29.6Short dated Gilts and UK T-bills
4.8Deutsche Bank Liquid Assets Fund
3.4Henderson Cash Fund
4.0Other cash accounts
9.1Call account (Abbey)
22.4Bonds
% of FundAsset
3.5UK
2.7Sweden
7.9Singapore
4.5Netherlands
2.0Germany
2.9Australia
1.0Abu Dhabi
% of FundCD Country of risk
Limited counterparty and collateral risk
Well diversified cash holdings across UK government bonds and cash instruments with limited exposure to European banks
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011
22\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
-500
> -4
75-4
75 >
-450
-450
> -4
25-4
25 >
-400
-400
> -3
75-3
75 >
-350
-350
> -3
25-3
25 >
-300
-300
> -2
75-2
75 >
-250
-250
> -2
25-2
25 >
-200
-200
> -1
75-1
75 >
-150
-150
> -1
25-1
25 >
-100
-100
> -7
5-7
5 >
-50
-50
> -2
5-2
5 >
00
> 25
25 >
50
50 >
75
75 >
100
100
> 12
512
5 >
150
150
> 17
517
5 >
200
200
> 22
522
5 >
250
250
> 27
527
5 >
300
300
> 32
532
5 >
350
350
> 37
537
5 >
400
400
> 42
542
5 >
450
450
> 47
547
5 >
500
5.00
% >
25 >
50
Credit Alpha
Distribution of monthly returns
bp
Distribution of monthly returns
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Figures are produced by the desk, from the P&L attribution before the deduction of Annual Management Charges (AMC).
Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
mean
23\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Credit Alpha
Distribution of monthly returns by strategy
Structural (old strategy)Tactical
Pair Trades
048
12162024
-325
> -
300
-300
> -
275
-275
> -
250
-250
> -
225
-225
> -
200
-200
> -
175
-175
> -
150
-150
> -
125
-125
> -
100
-100
> -
75-7
5 >
-50
-50
> -2
5-2
5 >
00
> 25
25 >
50
50 >
75
75 >
100
100
> 12
512
5 >
150
150
> 17
517
5 >
200
200
> 22
522
5 >
250
250
> 27
527
5 >
300
300
> 32
5
048
12162024
-325
> -
300
-300
> -
275
-275
> -
250
-250
> -
225
-225
> -
200
-200
> -
175
-175
> -
150
-150
> -
125
-125
> -
100
-100
> -
75-7
5 >
-50
-50
> -2
5-2
5 >
00
> 25
25 >
50
50 >
75
75 >
100
100
> 12
512
5 >
150
150
> 17
517
5 >
200
200
> 22
522
5 >
250
250
> 27
527
5 >
300
300
> 32
5
048
12162024
-325
> -
300
-300
> -
275
-275
> -
250
-250
> -
225
-225
> -
200
-200
> -
175
-175
> -
150
-150
> -
125
-125
> -
100
-100
> -
75-7
5 >
-50
-50
> -2
5-2
5 >
00
> 25
25 >
50
50 >
75
75 >
100
100
> 12
512
5 >
150
150
> 17
517
5 >
200
200
> 22
522
5 >
250
250
> 27
527
5 >
300
300
> 32
5
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Figures are produced by the desk, from the P&L attribution before the deduction of Annual Management Charges (AMC).
Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
bp
bpbp
meanmean
mean
Thematic
048
12162024
-325
> -
300
-300
> -
275
-275
> -
250
-250
> -
225
-225
> -
200
-200
> -
175
-175
> -
150
-150
> -
125
-125
> -
100
-100
> -
75-7
5 >
-50
-50
> -2
5-2
5 >
00
> 25
25 >
50
50 >
75
75 >
100
100
> 12
512
5 >
150
150
> 17
517
5 >
200
200
> 22
522
5 >
250
250
> 27
527
5 >
300
300
> 32
5
bp
mean
24\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Attribution
Credit Alpha Fund attribution
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
Jul-0
7A
ug-0
7S
ep-0
7O
ct-0
7N
ov-0
7D
ec-0
7Ja
n-08
Feb
-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08Ju
l-08
Aug
-08
Sep
-08
Oct
-08
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09F
eb-0
9M
ar-0
9A
pr-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
n-09
Jul-0
9A
ug-0
9S
ep-0
9O
ct-0
9N
ov-0
9D
ec-0
9Ja
n-10
Feb
-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10Ju
l-10
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11F
eb-1
1M
ar-1
1A
pr-1
1M
ay-1
1Ju
n-11
Jul-1
1A
ug-1
1S
ep-1
1O
ct-1
1N
ov-1
1D
ec-1
1
Pair Trades Thematic Tactical Structural (old strategy)
%
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Shows relative return versus 3-month Libor, figures are produced by the desk, from the P&L attribution before the deduction of Annual Management Charges
(AMC). Due to the return on cash held and discrepancies between external and internal 3-month Libor figures, relative performance from the P&L differs from the performance produced from the close of business prices. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
Credit Alpha
25\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Relative gross exposure by strategy
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Jul-0
7A
ug-0
7S
ep-0
7O
ct-0
7N
ov-0
7D
ec-0
7Ja
n-08
Feb
-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08Ju
l-08
Aug
-08
Sep
-08
Oct
-08
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09F
eb-0
9M
ar-0
9A
pr-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
n-09
Jul-0
9A
ug-0
9S
ep-0
9O
ct-0
9N
ov-0
9D
ec-0
9Ja
n-10
Feb
-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10Ju
l-10
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11F
eb-1
1M
ar-1
1A
pr-1
1M
ay-1
1Ju
n-11
Jul-1
1A
ug-1
1S
ep-1
1O
ct-1
1N
ov-1
1D
ec-1
1
Pair Trades Thematic Tactical Structural (old strategy)
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Figures are produced by the desk
Credit Alpha
Gross exposure by strategy
bp
26\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Credit Alpha attribution by trade type
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011 Note: Attribution uses desk estimates which have been calculated arithmetically
Past performance is not a guide to future performance
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Jan-
09F
eb-0
9M
ar-0
9A
pr-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
n-09
Jul-0
9A
ug-0
9S
ep-0
9O
ct-0
9N
ov-0
9D
ec-0
9Ja
n-10
Feb
-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10Ju
l-10
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11F
eb-1
1M
ar-1
1A
pr-1
1M
ay-1
1Ju
n-11
Jul-1
1A
ug-1
1S
ep-1
1O
ct-1
1N
ov-1
1D
ec-1
1
LongMarket neutralShort
Credit Alpha
Attribution: Long/market neutral/short
27\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Net performance and fund spread DV01
Net performance and fund spread DV01
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
Jul-0
7A
ug-0
7S
ep-0
7O
ct-0
7N
ov-0
7D
ec-0
7Ja
n-08
Feb
-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08Ju
l-08
Aug
-08
Sep
-08
Oct
-08
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09F
eb-0
9M
ar-0
9A
pr-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
n-09
Jul-0
9A
ug-0
9S
ep-0
9O
ct-0
9N
ov-0
9D
ec-0
9Ja
n-10
Feb
-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10Ju
l-10
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11F
eb-1
1M
ar-1
1A
pr-1
1M
ay-1
1Ju
n-11
Jul-1
1A
ug-1
1S
ep-1
1O
ct-1
1N
ov-1
1D
ec-1
1
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Net performance
Spread DV01 (RHS)
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011 Note: Performance is based on close of business pricing. Official A share class performance after the deduction of AMC and performance fees is shown after March 2010.
The spread DV01 figures are produced by the desk, from the P&L.Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
NAV, p bp
Credit Alpha
28\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Monthly NAV performance
Historic performance since inception
Source: Morningstar, Datastream, Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011 Note: Performance is based on close of business pricing. Official GBP A share class performance after the deduction
of AMC and performance fees is shown after March 2010.Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
Jul-0
7A
ug-0
7S
ep-0
7O
ct-0
7N
ov-0
7D
ec-0
7Ja
n-08
Feb
-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08Ju
l-08
Aug
-08
Sep
-08
Oct
-08
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09F
eb-0
9M
ar-0
9A
pr-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
n-09
Jul-0
9A
ug-0
9S
ep-0
9O
ct-0
9N
ov-0
9D
ec-0
9Ja
n-10
Feb
-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10Ju
l-10
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11F
eb-1
1M
ar-1
1A
pr-1
1M
ay-1
1Ju
n-11
Jul-1
1A
ug-1
1S
ep-1
1O
ct-1
1N
ov-1
1D
ec-1
1
Credit Alpha Fund
%
-1.18-0.21-0.040.33-1.12-1.33-0.52-0.39-0.180.650.400.980.282011
23.660.420.651.132.351.793.653.514.963.28-0.63-0.841.332009
0.920.06-0.340.450.660.22-0.13N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A2007
-1.25
0.05
Jun
-1.89
0.93
May
1.66
1.04
Apr
1.57
0.25
Mar
1.16
0.85
Feb
2.23
-0.64
Jan
2010
2008
%
0.26
-1.57
Oct
-0.27
-0.01
Nov
7.15
-2.92
Total
-0.23-3.740.44-0.23
-0.341.280.741.89
DecSeptAugJul
Credit Alpha
29\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Credit strategy
Source: Morningstar, Datastream, Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Performance is based on close of business pricing. Official A share class performance after the deduction of AMC and performance fees is shown after March 2010.
Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
Performance of credit strategy
Credit spreads narrow (markets outperform)Credit spreads widen (markets underperform)
%
-0.2
0.3
-0.3
0.3
-0.2-0.4-0.5
0.3
-0.20.0
-1.1-1.3
0.70.40.7 1.0
-0.3
1.31.3
-1.9
3.5
-0.1
1.6 1.7 1.9
0.70.4
1.82.4
3.7
-0.6
0.40.00.10.3
0.9
-0.3 -0.6
0.10.7 0.50.2
-0.1
2.2
-1.3
1.21.1
5.0
3.3
-0.8-1.6
0.91.0
-3.7
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
Jul-0
7A
ug-0
7S
ep-0
7O
ct-0
7N
ov-0
7D
ec-0
7Ja
n-08
Feb
-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08Ju
l-08
Aug
-08
Sep
-08
Oct
-08
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09F
eb-0
9M
ar-0
9A
pr-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
n-09
Jul-0
9A
ug-0
9S
ep-0
9O
ct-0
9N
ov-0
9D
ec-0
9Ja
n-10
Feb
-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10Ju
l-10
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11F
eb-1
1M
ar-1
1A
pr-1
1M
ay-1
1Ju
n-11
Jul-1
1A
ug-1
1S
ep-1
1O
ct-1
1N
ov-1
1D
ec-1
1
30\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
-100-80-60-40-20
020406080
Aut
omob
iles
& P
arts
Util
ities
Tra
vel &
Lei
sure
Pro
pert
y
Tie
r 1
Insu
ranc
e
Ret
ail
Bas
ic R
esou
rces
Med
ia
Gua
rant
eed
Fin
anci
als
Per
sona
l &H
ouse
hold
Goo
ds
Hea
lth C
are
Fin
anci
al S
ervi
ces
Sen
ior
iTra
xx S
ub F
in
iTra
xx S
nr F
in
Upp
er T
ier
2
Foo
d &
Bev
erag
e
Tel
ecom
mun
icat
ions
Abs
Oth
er C
over
ed
Indu
stria
l Goo
ds &
Ser
vice
s
iTra
xx H
iVol
Tec
hnol
ogy
iTra
xx M
ain
iTra
xx X
over
Che
mic
als
Oil
& G
as
Con
stru
ctio
n &
Mat
eria
ls
Low
er T
ier
2
Short performanceLong performance
Credit Alpha
2011 Long short attribution by sector
bp
Attribution
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Figures are produced by the desk, before the deduction of Annual Management Charges (AMC) and show performance attribution for the year 2011.
Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
31\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Appendices
32\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
High yield pair trade example
Source: Bloomberg, as at 31 January 2012Note: This position is still held in the portfolio. The above example is intended for illustrative purposes only and is not indicative of the
historical or future strategy or performance or the chances of success of any particular strategy.
Long Owens Illinois/short UPM Kymmene & Stora Enso
Pair trade example:
� 2.7% long risk Owens Illinois (a US based glass packaging company) vs. 2.7% short risk via a combination of UPM Kymmene and Stora Enso (European based paper companies)
� Trade has contributed 8bps since inception in October 2011
� Preference for a more defensive packaging credit with a broad geographic exposure compared with two more cyclical paper credits with a significant earnings bias towards Europe
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
17-O
ct-1
1
24-O
ct-1
1
31-O
ct-1
1
07-N
ov-1
1
14-N
ov-1
1
21-N
ov-1
1
28-N
ov-1
1
05-D
ec-1
1
12-D
ec-1
1
19-D
ec-1
1
26-D
ec-1
1
02-J
an-1
2
09-J
an-1
2
16-J
an-1
2
23-J
an-1
2
30-J
an-1
2
OILL CDS USD SR 5Y Curncy
UPMKYM CDS EUR SR 5Y Curncy
STERV CDS EUR SR 5Y Curncy
Long Owens Illinois/short UPM Kymmene & Stora Enso
Spr
ead
(bp)
33\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Investment grade thematic example
� Fundamental
� Solidly positioned BBB credit
� Publicly listed status enhances transparency, access to capital etc.
� Combination of trading and industrial operations improve operational resiliency
� Strong balance sheet and healthy liquidity situation
� Prudent approach to M&A
� Relative value
� Preference for US$7.5% perpetuals (2049s) @ Z+580/6.5% yield
� Pari passu with all other Glencore senior unsecured debt
� High probability of call at first date (October 2015) e.g. recent call of the US$8% perpetuals & absence of restrictive replacement language
� Attractive incremental spread relative to 5-yr CDS (335/355) & bullet bonds egE5.25% 2017s (Z+260) as well as other BBB-rated cyclicals
� A 1.3% long risk position that has contributed 21bps to performance
Long Glencore perpetuals
Source: Bloomberg, as at 31 January 2012Note: This position is still held in the portfolio. The above example is intended for illustrative purposes only and is not indicative of the
historical or future strategy or performance or the chances of success of any particular strategy.
34\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10
Jul-1
0
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11
Feb
-11
Mar
-11
Apr
-11
May
-11
Jun-
11
Jul-1
1
Aug
-11
Sep
-11
Oct
-11
Nov
-11
Dec
-11
Jan-
12
5 yr CDS
Trades
Thematic HY:
� A 1% position contributing 33bps to performance
� Grohe is a HY consumer company (water handling and sanitary fittings for bathrooms and kitchens)
� Expectation of refinancing and speculation of an IPO provided an opportunity
to get short this highly levered, cyclical company at attractive levels
High yield thematic example
Short Grohe
Source: Bloomberg, as at 31 January 2012Note: This position is still held in the portfolio. The above example is intended for illustrative purposes only and is not indicative of the
historical or future strategy or performance or the chances of success of any particular strategy.
Spr
ead
(bps
)
Grohe trade
35\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Gross and net credit exposure
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
Jul-0
7A
ug-0
7S
ep-0
7O
ct-0
7N
ov-0
7D
ec-0
7Ja
n-08
Feb
-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08Ju
l-08
Aug
-08
Sep
-08
Oct
-08
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09F
eb-0
9M
ar-0
9A
pr-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
n-09
Jul-0
9A
ug-0
9S
ep-0
9O
ct-0
9N
ov-0
9D
ec-0
9Ja
n-10
Feb
-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10Ju
l-10
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11F
eb-1
1M
ar-1
1A
pr-1
1M
ay-1
1Ju
n-11
Jul-1
1A
ug-1
1S
ep-1
1O
ct-1
1N
ov-1
1D
ec-1
1
Net exposure
Gross exposure
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Exposure figures are produced by the desk
Credit Alpha
Gross and net credit exposure
Net HG: Max 33%, Min -35%
Net HY: Max 19%, Min -13%
Gross HG: Max 270%, Min 37%
Gross HY: Max 51%, Min 12%
� Exposures calculated using full notional short. Therefore gross exposure is not equivalent to leverage given limited downside from short risk positions.
36\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Credit Alpha
Gross exposure
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%Ju
l-07
Aug
-07
Sep
-07
Oct
-07
Nov
-07
Dec
-07
Jan-
08F
eb-0
8M
ar-0
8A
pr-0
8M
ay-0
8Ju
n-08
Jul-0
8A
ug-0
8S
ep-0
8O
ct-0
8N
ov-0
8D
ec-0
8Ja
n-09
Feb
-09
Mar
-09
Apr
-09
May
-09
Jun-
09Ju
l-09
Aug
-09
Sep
-09
Oct
-09
Nov
-09
Dec
-09
Jan-
10F
eb-1
0M
ar-1
0A
pr-1
0M
ay-1
0Ju
n-10
Jul-1
0A
ug-1
0S
ep-1
0O
ct-1
0N
ov-1
0D
ec-1
0Ja
n-11
Feb
-11
Mar
-11
Apr
-11
May
-11
Jun-
11Ju
l-11
Aug
-11
Sep
-11
Oct
-11
Nov
-11
Dec
-11
HG HY
Net exposure
-40%-20%
0%20%40%60%
Jul-0
7A
ug-0
7S
ep-0
7O
ct-0
7N
ov-0
7D
ec-0
7Ja
n-08
Feb
-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08Ju
l-08
Aug
-08
Sep
-08
Oct
-08
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09F
eb-0
9M
ar-0
9A
pr-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
n-09
Jul-0
9A
ug-0
9S
ep-0
9O
ct-0
9N
ov-0
9D
ec-0
9Ja
n-10
Feb
-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10Ju
l-10
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11F
eb-1
1M
ar-1
1A
pr-1
1M
ay-1
1Ju
n-11
Jul-1
1A
ug-1
1S
ep-1
1O
ct-1
1N
ov-1
1D
ec-1
1
HG HY
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Exposure figures are produced by the desk
37\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Cash vs Bonds invested
0102030405060708090
100
Jul-0
7A
ug-0
7S
ep-0
7O
ct-0
7N
ov-0
7D
ec-0
7Ja
n-08
Feb
-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08Ju
l-08
Aug
-08
Sep
-08
Oct
-08
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09F
eb-0
9M
ar-0
9A
pr-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
n-09
Jul-0
9A
ug-0
9S
ep-0
9O
ct-0
9N
ov-0
9D
ec-0
9Ja
n-10
Feb
-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10Ju
l-10
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11F
eb-1
1M
ar-1
1A
pr-1
1M
ay-1
1Ju
n-11
Jul-1
1A
ug-1
1S
ep-1
1O
ct-1
1N
ov-1
1D
ec-1
1
Invested (%) Cash (%)
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 31 December 2011Note: Figures are produced by the desk
Credit Alpha
%
Exposure to physical bonds
38\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
96.0
98.0
100.0
102.0
104.0
106.0
108.0
110.0
112.0
114.0
116.0
118.0
20-A
ug-0
8
03-S
ep-0
8
17-S
ep-0
8
01-O
ct-0
8
15-O
ct-0
8
29-O
ct-0
8
12-N
ov-0
8
26-N
ov-0
8
10-D
ec-0
8
24-D
ec-0
8
07-J
an-0
9
21-J
an-0
9
04-F
eb-0
9
18-F
eb-0
9
04-M
ar-0
9
18-M
ar-0
9
01-A
pr-0
9
15-A
pr-0
9
29-A
pr-0
9
13-M
ay-0
9
27-M
ay-0
9
10-J
un-0
9
24-J
un-0
9
08-J
ul-0
9
22-J
ul-0
9
05-A
ug-0
9
Net performance from August 2008 – August 2009
NAV performance from August 2008 – August 2009
Sep-Nov: -550bpLehman -185bpWamu -20bpBrafbi -35bpDresdner -60bpHY Chem 2Y CDS -95bpGeneral basis move -200bp
Dec-Jan: +200bpWinners:CDS - Chem, Insurance, SteelNew issues - Tobacco/TelcoLosers:Structural book -165bp(ABS/Angiri/Suncorp)
Feb-Mar: -230bpSub-bank debt sell-offAngiri/Dresdner/Lloyds/Friends ProvPair trade book: +50bp contribution
End Mar-Aug: +1300bpThematic: ~ 450bp (long fins short cyclical)Pair Trades: ~200bpStructural: ~150bpTactical: ~500bp (new issues 518bp, short DSG 60bp)General basis move: ~500bp
Source: Henderson Global Investors, as at 12 August 2009Note: Shows net return, performance is after the deduction of AMC
NAV, p
Credit Alpha
39\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Return expectations
Pre Lehman's and Post Lehman's
270bp
100x
3%
0.9%
4.5yrs
20bp
50bp
25bp
2.25%Target return*
4.5yrsDuration
50bpTarget average spread move
170bpiTraxx HiVol (BBB-rated)
90bpiTraxx Main (A-rated)
3%Position size
675bp
100x
Annual return impact
Number of trades
Nestle (AA)
Siemens (A+)
Tesco (A-)
40bp
80bp
50bp
Recent spread moves
Alstom (BBB+)
Imperial Tobacco (BBB-) 300bp
180bp
Extreme:
Normal:
Pre Lehman’s
Post Lehman’s
Source: Henderson Global InvestorsNote: * Target is not guaranteed
\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Appendices
41\\HDS.Int\Data\CS\UK\2012\!P\G12\Citywire France 2012.ppt
Biographies
Stephen ThariyanHead of Credit
Career:2007 Henderson Global Investors
Head of Credit
1999 Rogge Global Partners Portfolio Manager, Global Credit
1996 NatWest Markets Director and Senior Analyst, Fixed Income Credit Research
1994 Gulf OilBusiness and Economic Advisor
1991 Chevron CorporationSenior Auditor
1988 Ernst & Young Trainee Accountant
Education: University of Newcastle-Upon-TyneBA (Hons) Accountancy and Financial Analysis
Chris BullockPortfolio Manager, Absolute ReturnCredit Portfolios
Career:2009 Portfolio Manager, European Corporate bond fund
2006 Portfolio Manager, Absolute Return Credit funds
2003 Henderson Global InvestorsCredit Analyst, Investment Grade and High Yield Industrials
2002 Insight InvestmentCredit Analyst, Investment Grade Industrials
2001 AccentureFinancial Analyst, Resources Market Unit, EMEA & LA
1999 Zeneca AgrochemicalsRegional Business Analyst, Crop Protection Unit
Education: CFA charterholder
Chartered Institute of Management Accountants (CIMA) qualified
Aston UniversityBEng (Hons) Chemical Engineering
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Henderson Global Investors201 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3AETel: 020 7818 1818 Fax: 020 7818 1819
Important InformationThis document is solely for the use of professional s and is not for general public distribution. The Henderson Horizon Fund (the “Fund”) is a Luxembourg SICAV incorporated on 30 May 1985. This document is intended solely for the use of professionals and is not for general public distribution. Any investment application will be made solely on the basis of the information contained in the Fund’s full prospectus (including all relevant covering documents), which will contain investment restrictions. This document is intended as a summary only and potential investors must read the Fund’s full prospectus before investing. A copy of the Fund’s full and simplified prospectuses can be obtained from Henderson Global Investors Limited in its capacity as Investment Manager and Distributor.
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