Climate Change Service

Climate ChangeSIS: current status and future evolution

Carlo Buontempo, ECMWF

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Happy international women’s day!

Valentina Tershkova

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Part 1: the carrot

ClimateChange What we (YOU!!) achieved over the last few months is truly

remarkable.

All contract teams have engaged with users, have identified their needs in a collaborative way, they have then worked to generate the missing data, transformed it into user-relevant information and eventually made it available through a visually-compelling demonstrator. All of this in a year or less!

Well done!!

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Sectoral Information System

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Stakeholder Engageme

nt

SC Impact IndicatorsUser friendly interfaceUser guidanceTechnical reportsCase Study fact sheetsModel output

Deliverables

Indicators Interface

User Guidance

Case Studies

Capturing the Stakeholder

View

Evidence Gathering

Focus Groups

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SIS highlights

C3

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Preliminary results: vines

Predicted harvest date advances by 18 days (RCP4.5) and 32 days (RCP8.5)

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Cities

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User relevant parameter for energy

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Real-time forecast

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In spite of all this remarkable effort, we have not yet arrived at our destination.

One of the first points we –together with you- started reflecting on since I took my job 8 months ago was, what was the purpose of the SISs?

COPERNICUS Climate Change service - C3S

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Second part

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1)to provide practical examples of how C3S in general and CDS in particular could deliver information of relevance to specific sectors.

It goes without saying that in order to do this it is necessary to have a CDS in the first place.

What are the SIS for?

ClimateChange 2) to provide examples of best practice.

This means that the SISs should be built to the highest possible standards so that services developers could be inspired by them and look at them as quality benchmarks.

Best practice

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3) To provide information on users needs, and whenever possible address those. In particular SIS contract shoulds develop and make available sector-relevant indicators and tools that were either unavailable or inaccessible before. Even in those cases where the needs of the users appear to be un-addressable within the lifetime of the contract, the SIS should still document those needs and enrich the user-requirement database.

User requirements

ClimateChange A demonstrator is –in most cases- a tool to fulfil these objectives rather

than a goal per-se.

C3S doesn't want to be a provider of services addressing every possible market niche available but rather a place where to access sectoral relevant information of the highest possible standard which can then be used to develop downstream services addressing market niches.

C3S shall develop tools and indicators (SCIIs) that are difficult or not economically viable for other to develop.

Demonstrator

ClimateChange This confirms that a

beer a pen and a piece of paper are excellent ingredients for science projects..

Open data hack

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Operational phase

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Priority for the operational phase

● Sector relevant climate indicators will be discoverable through the CDS○ For their implementation priority will be give to those indicators that underpin the

majority of use-cases.● User-support function for all the datasets shall be provided alongside sectoral-relevant

expertise.

● The demonstrators developed so far will provide essential requirements for the visualisation component of the CDS but won't be supported in their present form.

● A few examples of high-impact and visually compelling demonstrators –among those developed so far- could be supported should there be a sufficiently strong use-case. Even in such cases the demonstrator would need to be re-built using the tools of the CDS.

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From here to the operational phase

The indicators that have been produced through the existing contracts will become available through the climate data store. This, depending on the nature of each dataset, will be done through different tools.

In some cases nt order for the indicators to become available it will be necessary to develop an ad-hoc adaptor to the dataset. In some other cases the indicator will not exist as such but will generate on-demand through a dedicated workflow.

For example: Adaptor Workflow

Streamflow Thermal discomfort index

Solar/wind capacity factor Spring flight

Historic storm tracks for European Extra tropical Cyclones

Huglin Index

Snow water equivalent Heating degree days

….. ……

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A user-defined dataset as a workflow

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● Contracts will be opened to migrate the indicators into the CDS.

● Contracts will be opened to maintain, update and more generally to provide support and continuity to the SCIIs developed so far.

● Contract will be opened to develop further indicators to address specific user requirements. This will be small and short contracts addressing specific sectors or indicators.

● Contracts might be opened to facilitate the migration of the existing demonstrators onto the CDS provided there is a sufficiently strong use-case.

Future contracts

ClimateChange • You worked really hard in the last few months and we should all be

very proud of what it has been achieved so far.• We made significant progress toward the definition of an operational

SIS proposition and your input in this process has been very valuable. • The existing contracts won’t be renewed in their present form but a

number of different contracts -covering both the migration towards CDS and the operational phase- will be opened instead.

• The core of the SIS proposition will be the CIIs and associated datasets rather than the demonstrators.

Conclusion

Copernicus Climate Change Service

climate.copernicus.eu