climate change, energy system, co2 emissions, ccs and ccu3. ccs 1500+ meter deep post-combustion...

30
Climate change, energy system, CO 2 emissions, CCS and CCU Marco Mazzotti ETH Zurich February 17 th , 2020 Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Upload: others

Post on 25-Apr-2020

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU

Marco Mazzotti

ETH Zurich

February 17th, 2020

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 2: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

1. Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

40 billion tons CO2 per year

50 million tons CO2 per year

6 tons CO2 per year per person

(9 t in EU28; 16 t in USA)

Swiss energy mix (power): 130 g CO2/kWh; EU28: 400 g CO2/kWh

6 tons CO2 per year per person

Page 3: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

1. CO2 emissions per year per person

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020120 m2; 300 m3

6 tons CO2 per year = 3000 m3 per year per person

3000 m3

CO2

700 kg waste per year per person= 3 m3 per year (4 persons)

… 10 days

… 100 years

3 m3

To fill the house one needs…

Page 4: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

1. CO2 emissions: where from?

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg3/introductory-chapter/Fig. 1.3

buildings

industry

transport

agriculture

power and heat

Page 5: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

1. Direct and indirect emissions

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

CO2

Gasolinedistribution

Power plant and electricity grid

Oil productionand refining

CO2

Page 6: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

1. Primary energy sources

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

solar

wind

nuclear

coal, oil & gas

biomass

hydropower

fuels (liquid & gas)

power andheat

Intermittentrenewablesneed storageof heat andpower

Page 7: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

1. Primary energy sources (2008 data)

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

https://www.ipcc.ch/report/renewable-energy-sources-and-climate-change-mitigation/renewable-energy-and-climate-change/Fig. 01.10

Renewable energy sources may be not carbon-neutral.To assess the carbon-footprint of power generation a LCA is needed

Page 8: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

1. The complexity of the energy system

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

https://www.ipcc.ch/report/renewable-energy-sources-and-climate-change-mitigation/renewable-energy-and-climate-change/Fig. 01.22

To determine thecarbon footprint ofthe energy system

requires a Life Cycle Assessment (LCA)

Page 9: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

1. Carbon footprint of power generation

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

https://www.ipcc.ch/report/renewable-energy-sources-and-climate-change-mitigation/summary-for-policymakers/Fig. SPM.08

Renewableenergy sources

are notcarbon-neutral.

CCS ?!?LC

Aca

rbo

nfo

otp

rin

t[g

CO

2eq

/kW

h]

Renewable energy sources Coal, oil & gas, and nuclear

Page 10: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

1. Automobile: ICE or BEV?

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

180,000 km total

http://www.sccer-hae.ch/wpp2x.php Fig. 6.1

It depends…

Page 11: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

The global carbon cycle

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

IPCC, 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis

Atmosphere: 800 Gt

Hydrosphere: 40,000 Gt Lithosphere: 65,000,000 Gt

Biosphere: 2,500 GtAnthroposphere: 2-3 Gt

Natural fluxes: 100 Gt/aAnthropogenic GHG: 10 Gt/a

CCS

Page 12: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

2. A limited carbon-budget

IPCC WG1 AR5 SPM

IPCC, 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis

The Paris Agreement commits to hold global warming to below 2°C, possibly below

1.5°C (Dec. 2015)

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 13: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

http://www.ipcc.ch/report/sr15/

2. Net-zero-CO2 emissions world and NETs

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Energy systems:• more complex;• decentralized;• prosumers;• mgmt of provision

and demand;• multi-energy grids.

Net-zero-CO2

emissions solutions, in all sectors and for

everybody

Decarbonization of:• Power generation;• Mobility;• Households;• Industry (– 75-90%);• Agriculture;• Lifestyle.

Negative emissions (100-1000 GtCO2):• Bio-Energy w/ CCS;• Direct Air Capture

(DAC) w/ CCS;• ( CCS = Carbon

Capture & Storage. )

Page 14: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

© Global Carbon Capture and Storage Institute Ltd 2016

Europe plans to have a CO2 storage hub in the North Sea from 2023 (Northern Lights)

3. CCS (Carbon dioxide Capture and Storage)

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 15: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

3. CCS

•120 MW net coal-fired power plant

•PCC of 1 Mt CO2/y, with Cansolvamine scrubbing

•Storage in aquifer or for EOR

•Operational since October 2014© Global Carbon Capture and Storage Institute Ltd 2016

Post-Combustion Capture

1500+ meter deep

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 16: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

3. CCS

1500+ meter deep

•120 MW net coal-fired power plant

•PCC of 1 Mt CO2/y, with Cansolvamine scrubbing

•Storage in aquifer or for EOR

•Operational since October 2014

Direct Air Capture

•DAC of 1.5 kt CO2/y in Hinwil, ZH

•Vacuum-Temperature Swing Adsorption

•Regeneration w/ or w/o steam at 100°C

•CO2 fed to greenhouse nearby

•Operational since May 2017

1 €10 €

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Post-Combustion Capture

Page 17: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

3. CCS at the Sleipner gas-field, Norway

The world’s first and longest lasting commercial storage project(since 1996, 20+ Mt CO2 stored).

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 18: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

3. CCS at the Sleipner gas-field, Norway

Natural gas with ~9% CO2

CO2 injection in the Utsira formation

~ 2500 m

~ 1000 mCO2 separation from gas

~ 3000 m

Gas

CO2

Source: StatoilHydro

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 19: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

3. CCS at the Sleipner gas-field, Norway

4D-Seismic, powerful monitoring technique, shows that CO2 migration follows design specs.

Top: vertical slices through seismic volumes

Bottom: horizontal slices through seismic data at the indicated horizon in time

Source: Boait et al. 2012. J Geophys Res 117. B03309.

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 20: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

10 m3

3. Geological storage of CO2

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

6 ton CO2 per person: from 3000 m3 to 10 m3 per year 3000 m3

120 m2; 300 m3

To fill the space at home: from 10 days to 10 years

Page 21: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

3. CCS

1500+ meter deep

Post-Combustion Capture

IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO2 SAFE?

1.Climate protection: ‘Putting CO2 in deep geological

formations is a lot safer and better than putting the same

CO2 into the atmosphere.’

2.Physical basis: ‘CO2 is trapped in microscopic rock pores

by the same process that has trapped natural gas for

millions of years.’

3.Operational experience: ‘We know from 20+ years of

operations at Sleipner and elsewhere that CCS works.’

4.Geophysical monitoring: ‘We can see where the CO2 is

(with some uncertainty) and show it is safely stored in

the intended reservoir unit.’

5.Regulatory compliance: ‘We can demonstrate regulatory

conformance with the Norwegian and EU CO2 storage

directives.’

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 22: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

2. CO2conversion

C-rich product

3. Product utilization

C-rich waste

1. CO2capture

CO24. Disposal

of CO2

4. The CCU system

2.2. H2synthesis

H22.3. CO2 +

H2 reaction2.1. RES

harvestingpower

CCU CYCLES• Energy cycle• Carbon cycle• Material cycles

WG VIEW: SOCIETAL SERVICES• power generation and distribution;• fuels (and power) for transport;• long-term long-range RES storage;• industrial products and materials.

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 23: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

4. C-neutral Methanol

CCS-DAC Bio

CCU-DACBAU

2500 m2/(t/y)

70 m2/(t/y)

today net-zero-CO2

0

2

4

6

8

10

BAUCCS-DAC

CCU-DACBio

Energy requirements (C-free) [MWh / tMeOH]

Power Heat

Gabrielli, Gazzaniand Mazzotti (2019) submitted

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 24: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

4. C-neutral Methanol

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 25: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

4. C-neutral Methanol

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 26: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

5. Trade-offs (food)

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Pound of food consumed

Page 27: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

Les Diablerets

Trondheim

ETH

0.84 t CO2 eq.

Melbourne

5. Trade-offs (CCS conf‘s 2018-19)source: myclimate (car or single return flight, economy)

ETH emissions per FTE per year (air travel) ≈ 2 t CO2 eq.

CH air travel emissions per capita per year ≈ 0.6 t CO2 eq.0

5

10

15

20

US EU China CH India

An

nu

al

CO

2em

issi

on

s p

er

cap

ita [

t C

O2

eq

.]

source: World Bank 2014

6.8

0.17 t CO2 eq.

6.2 t CO2 eq.

• network• visibility• learning• time• money• footprint

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 28: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

5. Trade-offs (rock-climbing)Boulderanlage

Hönngerberg

Matterhorn

Cerro Torre

More fulfilling experiences

Larger environmental footprint

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 29: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

5. Books on climate change

• Jonathan Franzen „The end of the end of the Earth“

• Jonathan Safran Foer „We are the weather - Saving the planet beginsat breakfast“

• Amitav Ghosh „The great derangement“

• Dale Jamieson „Reason in a dark time“

• David Wallace-Wells „The uninhabitable Earth. Life after warming“

• Naomi Oreskes & Eric M. Conway „Merchants of doubt – How a handful of scientists obscured the truth on issues from tobacco smoke to global warming“

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

Page 30: Climate change, energy system, CO2 emissions, CCS and CCU3. CCS 1500+ meter deep Post-Combustion Capture IS UNDEGROUND STORAGE OF CO 2 SAFE? 1.Climate protection: ZPutting CO 2 in

Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich - 17.02.2020

CCS

“If it’s your job to eat a frog, it’s best to do it first thing in the morning.” (Mark Twain)