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Gaming Strategies by Geoff Wohlsen & Terry O’HalloranCMA Gaming Summit | June 2017
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Gaming Strategies20 June 2017
CMA Gaming Summit
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DWS and Club Training Australia
Terry O’Halloran Geoff Wohlsen
Gaming Strategies by Geoff Wohlsen & Terry O’HalloranCMA Gaming Summit | June 2017
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The program today
» A quick overview of what we’ve had to deal with as a collective
» Current challenges» What we should be doing now» What we should contemplate over the
next 5 years» 15-20 years?
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Poker machine gaming is in decline in Aus
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200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1991
–92
1992
–93
1993
–94
1994
–95
1995
–96
1996
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1997
–98
1998
–99
1999
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2000
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2008
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2009
–10
2010
–11
2011
–12
2012
–13
2013
–14
2014
-15
Qld
Vic
NSW
ACT
NT
SA
TasReal annual expenditure on
machines – per adult
Smoking restrictions
Gaming Strategies by Geoff Wohlsen & Terry O’HalloranCMA Gaming Summit | June 2017
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But so is traditional gambling generally
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200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
1989
-90
1990
-91
1991
-92
1992
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1993
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1994
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1995
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1996
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1997
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2006
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2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
2010
-11
2011
-12
2012
-13
2013
-14
2014
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Real Total Gambling Expenditure
Real Expenditure
Per Capita
$M
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NSW over the last 20 years
» Hotel Gaming, Star City Casino (1997)
» MTGM products
» X Series protocol
» Smoking
» Tokenisation TITO Cashless
» CRTs
» Machine trading scheme
» Taxes
Gaming Strategies by Geoff Wohlsen & Terry O’HalloranCMA Gaming Summit | June 2017
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Qld over the last 20 years» Hotel Gaming, Casinos
» LMOs
» Smoking
» New gaming taxes
» Loss of $50 and $100
» Trading hours
» Tokenisation TITO/Cashless
» GFC, Mining, Floods
» 92% cap
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The challenges, the obstacles
We believe that online gaming at foreign casinos, card rooms, sports books, lottoland and
slot halls is attracting in the range of $4bn in Australian play (loss)
That’s ~ 20% of legal gaming in Australia
Gaming Strategies by Geoff Wohlsen & Terry O’HalloranCMA Gaming Summit | June 2017
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The truth
The truth is that clubs need to achieve 15%ebitdard on revenues, $140 per machine per day and $1.5M ebitdard per 100 machines in operation to survive
Cost are growing at 4%‐5%Gaming revenues maybe 3%
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There’s more at risk
Gaming Strategies by Geoff Wohlsen & Terry O’HalloranCMA Gaming Summit | June 2017
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Pubs are gaining ground in NSW
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Clubs 67%Clubs 64%
Club’s market share 12‐17
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Pubs are dominant in Qld
44%
46%
48%
50%
52%
54%
Dec‐12
Mar‐13
Jun‐13
Sep‐13
Dec‐13
Mar‐14
Jun‐14
Sep‐14
Dec‐14
Mar‐15
Jun‐15
Sep‐15
Dec‐15
Mar‐16
Jun‐16
Sep‐16
Dec‐16
Mar‐17
Clubs 47%
Clubs 46%
Club’s market share 12‐17
Gaming Strategies by Geoff Wohlsen & Terry O’HalloranCMA Gaming Summit | June 2017
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Pubs are rule in Victoria but it’s stable
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Clubs 35% Clubs 34%
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TAB bar separation
Service to gaming
Product & environment
Service, skills & culture
Café service to gaming
Carparking
Loyalty and
rewards or TOD
Membership
4‐5% growth
What a gaming strategy looks like - now
A good strategy has many aspectsAnd involves the management team and board
Gaming Strategies by Geoff Wohlsen & Terry O’HalloranCMA Gaming Summit | June 2017
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Loyalty and rewards in perspective
At ~2% it’s within the benchmark of 4%-5%
Members Rebate ‐ 1 point for $ T/O
Rebate % on T/O
Monthly cost at 100% redeem
Monthly cost at 80% redeem
% rebate redeemed
Redeemed on metered win @ 9%
Level 1 3 $2 0.50% 2,250 1,800 0.40% 4.44%
Level 2 10 $3 0.33% 2,667 2,133 0.27% 2.96%
Level 3 50 $4 0.25% 1,875 1,500 0.20% 2.22%
Level 4 200 $5 0.20% 2,800 2,240 0.16% 1.78%
Level 5 8,070 $6 0.17% 8,632 6,906 0.13% 1.48%
Total 8,333 $4.70 0.21% 18,224 14,579 0.17% 1.89%
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More weapons based on points
» Accelerators & points to cash at low demand times (Qld)
» Every visit after the 10th this month, we’ll bonus you 500 points ($5)
» A lucky losers incentive – “we hope your favourite machines have been kind to you this month, but not, leave it to us, we’ll bonus you 1,000 points when you next come“
Gaming Strategies by Geoff Wohlsen & Terry O’HalloranCMA Gaming Summit | June 2017
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More weapons based on points» Chase the winners – try to claim the winnings
back, don’t let it go to your competitors with cash in their pockets
» Celebrate bank wins?» Player exposure to points – eg “if you visit us
another five times this month, play machines with the card in, you’ll advance to our silver membership”
» Redeem points for seasonal items eg winter bathrobes, towels, spray jackets, sunglasses, watches
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Loyalty and rewards – the missing piece
What’s missing is the management talent and skills to continually work the program
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The cost of marketing gaming
A 200 machine club will spend $250,000/yr on points and bonusingAnd a further $200,000/yr on general gaming promosAnd a further $150,000/yr on marketing wages and systemsThat’s $600,000/yr or 0.5% of turnover
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Drain the AEMP swamp
% total revenue
12%
2002 2017
AEMP costs as % revenue have increased from 6% to over 10% in 15 years …why?
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Café, TAB and bar
separation
Conciergeservice
Member tailored
environment
Member tailored
service andculture
Café service to gaming
SegmentedCarparking
Rewards linear to spend
SegmentedMembership
4‐5% growth
What a gaming strategy will need to look like
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Food as the key differentiator
Great food all day
GP 70%Wages 40%
Great food on your terms
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Value chainWhat the customer sees, feels, tastes and experiences every time
there is contact with your Club
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Where are all the good new managers
As an industry, we don’t have enough skilled, motivated young professionals coming through the ranks
We need to grow our own
Gaming Strategies by Geoff Wohlsen & Terry O’HalloranCMA Gaming Summit | June 2017
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The balanced venue
Two DOSAs and 2.5m2 per
machine
ATM locations
0.8 to 1.2 dining seats per machine
2+ car parks per machine ‐ covered
1 CRT per 70 machines
TAB as small as you can make it
Café at the front for all to see
Best female toilets money can buy
Re‐invest at 30% above depreciation
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Some interesting statistics
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‐ 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50
Car park ratio (total bays per machine) Car park ratio (marked and sealed bays per machine)
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Efficiency and improvement through technology
Canada Bay Club
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Operational efficiency through technology
Automated Cash Management devices
Hand held device ordering
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Entertainment and ambience using techThe Hellenic Club Canberra
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Access to money
What the banks thinks about the sector is important- Ebitdard- Growth- Governance- Interest cover
over 2 times
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The checklist for now and 5 years….Capital reinvestment at 1.3 times depreciation
Ebitdard at $1.5M per 100 machines
Good governance, board & Constitution
Great data & systems
Guaranteed late night trading hours
Smoking, car parking, café offers
Loyalty and rewards at 2% or time on device
AEMP at 8% or less
A trained & developed management team
Service & Culture –value chain
Localisedpolitical relevance
Food – at the right GP & that meets customers’ needs
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Projected Gaming advances
In the next 5-10 years we see;Introduction of near field technology
Clubs Apps as the main portal for in venue ordering and other betting services – Keno and Wagering
Server based gaming 2.0
Cabinet size will increase and change the layout
Cohort Analysis
Gaming Strategies by Geoff Wohlsen & Terry O’HalloranCMA Gaming Summit | June 2017
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What is eSports all about?
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In 15 - 20 years we might look like this
In 15 - 20 years time we may have:Greater numbers of older people but trying not to beFewer carsOver 50% living in smaller apartmentsComputing power 1 millions times betterAll entertainment on demandHardly any food prepared in homeTwo worlds – reality and virtual – 24 hours activityGreater disposable Y ~ home ownership
Gaming Strategies by Geoff Wohlsen & Terry O’HalloranCMA Gaming Summit | June 2017
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In 20 years we might look like this
In 20 years time:
Greater numbers of older peopleFewer carsOver 50% living in small multi-dwellings
Computing power 1 millions times better
Entertainment of demand
More focus on accessing things immediately
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www.dws.net.au | [email protected](07) 3878 9355
DWS Hospitality Specialists