corruption and economic development andrei illarionov, cato institute, washington, usa, institute of...

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CORRUPTION CORRUPTION AND AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International. Europe and Central Asia. Annual Regional Meeting 2009 Ohrid, June 15-17 2009 © Cato Institute, Institute of Economic Analysis www.cato.org , www.cato.ru , www.iea.ru

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Page 1: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International

CORRUPTION CORRUPTION

AND AND

ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

Andrei Illarionov,

Cato Institute, Washington, USA,

Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia

Transparency International.

Europe and Central Asia. Annual Regional Meeting 2009

Ohrid, June 15-17 2009

© Cato Institute, Institute of Economic Analysis

www.cato.org, www.cato.ru, www.iea.ru

Page 2: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International

© ИЭА2

TI Corruption Perceptions Index, 2008TI Corruption Perceptions Index, 2008

Page 3: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International

© ИЭА3

Evolution of TI CPI for 4 countries, 1995-2008Evolution of TI CPI for 4 countries, 1995-2008

Page 4: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International

© ИЭА4

Russia’s Position in the TI Corruption Perceptions Index Russia’s Position in the TI Corruption Perceptions Index Ranking as % of the best country among all countriesRanking as % of the best country among all countries

Page 5: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International

© ИЭА5

TI Corruption Perceptions Index, 1996TI Corruption Perceptions Index, 1996

Page 6: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International

© ИЭА6

Russia’s Position in the TI Corruption Perceptions Index Russia’s Position in the TI Corruption Perceptions Index Ranking as % of the best country among 74 countriesRanking as % of the best country among 74 countries

Page 7: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International

© ИЭА7

Russia’s TI Corruption Perceptions Index Russia’s TI Corruption Perceptions Index as % of the best countryas % of the best country

Page 8: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International

© ИЭА8

Level of Economic Development andLevel of Economic Development and T TII C CP Index,P Index,20020088 ((7474 countriescountries))

Page 9: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International

© ИЭА9

Level of Economic DevelopmentLevel of Economic Development andand T TII CP Index,CP Index,1998-2001998-20088 ( (7474 countriescountries))

Page 10: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International

© ИЭА10

Russia’s deviations in Russia’s deviations in TTII C CPP Index (74 countries), Index (74 countries), 1998-20081998-2008

Page 11: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International

© ИЭА11

Deviations ofDeviations of actual TI CPI from the predicted one in 2004, 4actual TI CPI from the predicted one in 2004, 433 countries with GDP per capitacountries with GDP per capita less than $1less than $155KK

Page 12: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International

© ИЭА12

Deviations of actual TI CPI from the predicted one inDeviations of actual TI CPI from the predicted one in 2008, 2008, 4343 countries with GDP per capitacountries with GDP per capita less than $1less than $155KK

Page 13: CORRUPTION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Andrei Illarionov, Cato Institute, Washington, USA, Institute of Economic Analysis, Moscow, Russia Transparency International

List of least and most corrupted countries according List of least and most corrupted countries according to their level of economic developmentto their level of economic development

(Deviations from the Main Link between Prosperity Level and (Deviations from the Main Link between Prosperity Level and TI CPI for GDP per capita less than $15K, 2008)TI CPI for GDP per capita less than $15K, 2008)

Least corrupted counties Most corrupted countries

1 Chile 1 Venezuela

2 Jordan 2 Russia

3 Botswana 3 Argentina

4 Estonia 4 Ecuador

5 South Africa 5 Ukraine