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  • 7/28/2019 Corruption in the Russian Federation

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    Christian-Albrechts-UniversittzuKiel

    FacultyofEconomics

    CorruptionintheRussianFederation:

    ItsIn3luenceonPoliticalandEconomicalDevelopment

    TheeconomictheoryofcorruptionexertedonthecaseoftheRussian

    Federation

    byRubenWerchan

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    TableofContent

    Introduction 2

    1.EconomicTheoryofCorruption 3

    1.1.TheProblemofDeiningCorruption 3

    1.2.AnEconomicModelofCorruption 4

    1.3.TheRoleoftheGovernment 6

    1.4.CausesandDeterrencesofCorruption 7

    2.TheCaseoftheRussianFederation 8

    2.1.EmpiricalDataonCorruptionintheRussianFederation 8

    2.2.ConsequencesofCorruptionfortheRussianSocietyandEconomy 13

    2.3.ReasonsfortheCorruptionintheRussianFederation 14

    2.4.HowtoBattleCorruptionintheRussianFederation 16

    Conclusion 18

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    together, identify main reasons, problemsand possible solutions, andto analyze it on the

    backgroundoftheeconomictheoryofcorruption.Forthispurpose,theirstchapterwillgive

    anoverview of theeconomic corruption theory, including aworkingdeinition, amodel of

    corruptionand some insightson therole of the stateandmain causes anddeterrences of

    corruption.Thepapersfocuswillbeoncorruptionofpublicservants.Thesecondchapterwill

    present data on corruption in the Russian Federation and analyze its causes and

    consequencesaswellasgivesomeideasonwhatisdoneandwhatshouldbedonetobattle

    corruption.

    1.EconomicTheoryofCorruption

    1.1.TheProblemofDe3iningCorruption

    Basically allcontemporaryliteratureon theissueof corruptionopenswitha descriptionofthedificulty, orevenimpossibilityofdeiningcorruption(cf. Jain1998: 13).Theliterature

    also complains aboutthefact, that thelack ofa convenient andconsistentdeinitionofthe

    problem makes the empirical analysis dificult and less fruitful (McChesney 2010: 219).

    Neverthelesseverybodytriestogiveadeinitionbutstillnoconsensushasbeenfound.

    Themaindrawbackofmostdeinitionsofcorruptionis thenormativeelement theyposses.

    Thosedeinitionstrytoincludetheunlawfulaspectofcorruption.Illegitimacyisanimportant

    aspectinthenormativeanalysisofcorruption,butfromaneconomicpointofview,itmakes

    littledifference,wether corruptioninvolves legalor illegal transactions (cf. Rose-Ackerman

    2001: 48f.). It is important to stress this aspect, because what is illegal and what is not,

    dependslargelyonthelegislationinagivencountry,andthingsthatareillegalinonecountry

    maybelegalinanother.Neverthelesstheconsequencesofcorruptionarelargelythesame.

    Generallytherearetwo typesofcorruption:privatesectorandpublicsectorcorruption.Vito

    Tanzi proposedaneutral deinition that covers both private and public sectorcorruption:

    Corruptionistheintentionalnoncompliancewitharmslengthrelationshipaimedatderiving

    someadvantagefromthisbehaviorforoneselforforrelatedindividuals(Tanzi1998:564).

    Even though, corruption can occur and does occur in the private sector, namely in large

    enterprises when it comes tohiring, or subcontracts (cf. Tanzi 1998: 564), most scientiic

    interestisdirectedtopublic sectorcorruption, sinceit is by faremorewidespreadandhas

    thereforeworseconsequencesforwelfare.

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    Concerningpublic sectorcorruption,FredS.McChesneyoffersagooddeinitionbasedinthe

    property-rightsapproach.2Accordingtohim,

    corruptionshouldbe de1inedasagovernmental actorsuseofresources, that nominally

    hedoesnotown,butthateffectivelyhedoesown,toenrichhimselfpersonally.Howhecan

    enrich himself depends on the market(s) within which corruption is bought and

    sold(McChesney2010:223).

    Althoughthisdeinitioncapturestheactofcorruptionthebest, itlackssomeprecision. It is

    notcorruptionthatisboughtandsold,rathercorruptionistheactofbuyingandsellingofa

    stateownedresourcestothemutualbeneitofthebuyerandthegovernmentaloficial.

    ArvindK.Jainstressesthepoint,thatcorruptionreferstoasituationwhereanasymmetryof

    power exists and is abused. public oficials, bureaucrats, legislators, and politicians usepowersdelegatedtothembythepublictofurthertheirowneconomicinterests(Jain2001:

    73).When looking at corruption as an economic transaction, it describes a private agent

    buying something from the government, ormore precise from a governmental oficial or

    employee. That something that is bought from the public servant should logically be

    something, theprivateagent couldnotpurchaseelsewhere. Theonegood, governmentisa

    monopolyownerof, ispower.Bydeinitionthegovernmentistheonlyagentinasocietythat

    hastherighttocoercethecitizenry,andthustherighttoassemblearmiesandpoliceforces,

    maintain prisons and levy taxes - none of which are recognized rights of private

    individuals (McCheney 2010: 224). It is accordingly the monopoly of power, that gives

    governmental oficialsandemployees somethingtosell toprivateindividuals. Thefollowing

    section will present an economicmodel of corrupt behavior of public servants and their

    privateclients.

    1.2.AnEconomicModelofCorruption

    A basic economic model of corruption was presented by Andrei Shleifer and Robert W.

    Vishny. Inthismodel, thegovernmentproducesagood,whichisthensoldtoprivateagents

    by an governmental oficial. This oficial can artiicially limit the access to this good, in

    practice thismeans a long delay oran impositionofmanyrequirements (Shleifer/Vishny

    1998:93), thuscreatingasituationwhereheorshe is themonopoly supplierofthisscarce

    good. The price of the distribution of the good, hence the amount of the bribe, is then

    determined by settingmarginal revenue equal tomarginal cost. It has to bedistinguished

    betweenthetwocasesofcorruptionwithandwithouttheft.Inthecaseofcorruptionwithout

    4

    2Seenextsubsection.

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    theft, thegovernmentaloficialturnsoverthepriceofproducingthegoodtothegovernment

    andthereforethesecostsdeterminethemarginalcostoftheoficialforprovidingthegood.In

    this case, the amount the private agent has to pay for the good always lies above the

    governmentprice,becausethebribeisaddedtothisprice(cf.Shleifer/Vishny1998:93f.). In

    caseofcorruptionwiththeft,theoficialdoesnotturnoverthepriceofproducingthegoodto

    thegovernment. Instead he actuallyhides thesale from the government andhis marginal

    costs are therefore zero. In this case the bribe may actually be lower than the oficial

    governmental price (cf. Shleifer/Vishny 1998: 94f.). Examples forcorruptionwithouttheft

    wouldbetheprovisionofapassportorapermit,whichonlytakesplace,afterabribeispaid.

    Examples for corruptionwith theftwould be the imposingof a ine or the declaration of

    customs.Theoficialthencollectsaineorcustomsthatarelowerthentheywouldbewithout

    corruption, butdoesnotreporttheactofiningorthedeclaredproductstothegovernment,andkeepsthewholepaidsumtohim-orherself.Theeffectofcorruptionwithouttaxonthe

    economyisthesameasacommoditytax.Theonlydifferenceis,thatthetaxrevenuewouldgo

    to the government, while thebribes arekeptbythebureaucrats (cf. Shleifer/Vishny1998:

    94f.).

    Themodel byShleiferandVishnydescribesthepracticeofrent-seekingbypublicservants.

    Rent-seekingisaproblemofinsuficientpropertyrights:

    Ifproperty rightswere clearlydelineatedand perfectlysecure, there couldbe norent-

    seeking. Rent-seeking arises because of the discretionary powerof the state toalter or

    transfer propertyrightsthroughtaxationand spending, regulation and eminent domain

    makesprivatepropertyrightsinsecure(McChesney2010:226).

    Assigningandmodifyingpropertyrightsisoneoftheelementaryfunctionsofgovernments.It

    guaranteesthefunctioningof theeconomy. Onlyif propertyrights areclearlyassignedand

    enforced, can economic interactions take place. Property rights are then traded between

    privateactorsonmarkets(cf.Benson1984:390).Ideallythegovernmentinterventionwould

    beheld to aminimumand the assignment ofproperty rightswouldbe ledby the goal to

    maximize socialwelfare andeconomic eficiency. If this would actually be the case, there

    wouldbenoroomforrent-seeking.Ifhoweverpropertyrightsarenotclearlydeinedand/or

    not secure, government oficials andemployes have the discretionary power to alter and

    reassign them for personal gain. In this case the private agent has to decide wether to

    rightfullybuyadesiredpropertyrightonthemarket, orbribeapublicservant to havehim

    reassignthepropertyrighttotheprivateagent.Hewilldothelatter,ifthebribeislessthan

    themarketprice(cf.Benson1984:390f.).

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    Weakinstitutionsareakeyconditionforthegovernmenttopossesdiscretionarypower,and

    thepublicservants to beable tousethispowerfortheirpersonalbeneits. Especially legal

    institutionsmustbesuchthatoficialsareleftwithanincentivetoexploittheirdiscretionary

    powertoextractorcreaterents(Aidt2003:F633).Therefore, thelegalsystemcaneasilybe

    caughtinaviciouscycle.Ifforwhateverreasonsasystemofcorruptionthatisbeneicialfor

    thepoliticaleliteisestablished,thiselitewilltrytokeepit.Toachievethis,thepoliticalelite

    weakensthelegalandjudicialsystembycuttingitsresourcesandappointingcorruptjudges.

    But reduced resources and corrupt judgeswill make it hard for the legal system to ight

    corruption, therebygivingcorruptiontheopportunityto spreadevenfurther(cf. Jain2001:

    72).What forms public sector corruption can take andwhat consequences it has, will be

    examinedinthefollowingsubsection.

    1..TheRoleoftheGovernment

    Whenfocussingonhowthestatecanuseitsdiscretionarypowerforpersonalbeneitsofits

    oficialsandbureaucrats,adistinctioncanbemadebetweenthree levels ofcorruption.The

    highestlevelconcernspublic,especiallyeconomic,policyandtheimplementationofpolicies.

    Corruption on this level leads to the creationofpolicies that create opportunities forrent

    seekingforthegovernmentaloficialsandpublicspending[s][are]divertedtothosesectors

    where gains from corruption [for the governmental oficial] are greatest and where the

    discretional nature of theproceduresreduces therisks involved(Portella/Vannucci 1993:

    518).Thiskindofcorruption,thatleadstopolicydecisionsthatserveprimarilytheinterestof

    somegovernmentaloficial,hasthemostseriousconsequencesforsocietybecauseitleadsto

    an ineficient allocation of resources on a large scale, and thereby creates an incalculable

    welfareloss(cf.Jain2001:74).

    The second level is concerned with the legislative, and describes the extend, to which

    legislatorscanbeinluencedthroughcorruption.Corruptiontakesplaceinformoflegislators

    receivingpayments, orfavors fromprivateagentsinordertopassalegislationbeneicial to

    theseagents.Wetherthesepaymentsarelegalorillegaldependonthelegalframeworkofthe

    givencountry. Anoften seen legal formofpayments to a legislator to inluence legislative

    outcomesarecampaigncontributions (cf.Rose-Ackerman2001:47). Indemocraticsystems,

    legislators have to balance the gain from bribery and legislation that serves only the

    particularinterestsofthose thatpaidthebribe, andthepossible punishmentofthevoters,

    thatcanleadto alossofoficeinthenextelection.If legislatorsarebelievedtobalancethe

    gainfromcorruptionandtheriskofbeingreelected,whendecidingonwethertobecorrupt

    ornot,itisobvious,thatasystemofelectionforgeryencouragesbribetakingoflegislators.If

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    thelegislatorexpectselectionstobeforgedandthereforknowsthathisorherelectiondoes

    notactuallydependon voters decision, heor shedoesnot facethe risk oflosingthenext

    election due to eventual corruption. Therefore a malfunctioning democracy reduces the

    disincentivesofcorruption(cf.Jain2001:86).

    Thelowestlevelofpoliticalcorruptioninvolvesbureaucratsandotherpublicemployees.This

    typeofcorruptiondescribesbriberyofpublicoficialsforeitherprovidingagood,thatwould

    otherwisenotbeavailable,ortospeeduptheprocessoftheprovisionofagoodprovidedby

    thegovernment. Italsoinvolves corruptioninthe judiciary, wherebribes canlowereither

    thecostsorthechancesoflegalpenalties(Jain2001:75).Butwhatarethefactorsthatfoster

    corruptionandwhichfactorshinderit?

    1.4.CausesandDeterrencesofCorruption

    Onefactor, suggestedtosupportacorruptenvironment, is acomparablylargepublicsector.

    Thelogicbehindthatassumptionisstraightforward.Ifitisgovernmentstructures,thatcause

    corruption, then the reduction of these structures leads to declining corruption. The

    instrumentsuggestedtoightcorruptionisthereforeprivatization(cf.Becker1994).However

    this theory is not backed by empirical indings. The scandinavian countries are just one

    example of countries with a strong public sector andvery few corruption (cf. Lambsdorff

    2006:4).Andalso thesuggestedcure,privatization,hasbeenshowntobelesseffectivethen

    thetheory suggests, because ithasbeenseenthat many transitioneconomiesexperienced

    massivecorruptionintheprivatizationprogramsthemselves(Lambsdorff2006:5).

    A clearer correlation exists between political competition and corruption. The more

    competitionexistswithinthepoliticalsystem,thefewertheopportunitiesforcorruption.This

    holdsfortworeasons.First,ifthereexists competitionbetweengovernmentaloficials, as is

    usuallythecaseindemocracies,thediscretionarypoweroftheindividualoficialislimited.

    Theoficialhaslimiteddecisionpowerbecauseanagreementwithotheroficialsisnecessarytoformadecision, andalsodeinitepromisescannot bemade, becausechancesarethatat

    theendofatermtheoficial isnotreelected(cf. Montinola/Jackman2002: 150). Second, if

    competitionexistsbetweengovernmentagencies that provide goods toprivate agents, the

    bargainingpoweroftheclientisstrengthened.Iftwoagenciesoffercomplementaryservices,

    the private individual can choose to turn to the less corrupt agency (Montinola/Jackman

    2002:151).Thereforecentralizedandundemocraticsystemsarebeneicialforcorruption.

    Theeconomiccost-beneit-analysiscontributestothesolutionofthecorruptionproblemby

    providing insights onhow corruptionrelates to public servantspay and the possible loss

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    fromdetection.Thebasicargument is, thatthehigherthesalary, thechanceofdetectionand

    thepenalties,thelowertheincentivesforcorruption.However,wagesdonothavetoincrease

    tolevels,unrealizableformostdevelopingcountries. CarolineVanRijckeghemandBeatrice

    Wedernamefactorsthatreducecorruptionunderanonlymodestincreaseinpublicservants

    wages.Firstofall,sincethemostbribesinthepublicsectorarelow,wageswouldonlyhaveto

    increase moderately. Second of all, it is not the absolute level of wages, that inluences

    corruption, but the questionwetherwages are perceivedas being fair. And last of all, if

    public serviceremuneration includespersonalbeneits, suchas reasonablepensions, health

    insurance,oropportunityforpromotion,theincentivestoriskbeingiredbecauseof corrupt

    behaviorarereduced(cf.VanRijkeghem/Weder2002:60f.).

    But also thestructureoftheeconomyinluencesthelevel ofcorruptionin ancountry.One

    economic factor that has been made out to signiicantly contribute to corruption is the

    availabilityofnatural resources. Ifresource rentsareeasilyappropriablebyanestablished

    elite, theymaytriggerbribesanddistortpolicies(Bulte/Damania2008: 3). The reasonis,

    thatresourcesincreasethepayoffofrent-seekingbehaviorbecausetheextractionandsaleof

    naturalresourcesproducelargerents(cf.Bulte/Damania2008:3).Whoeverownstherightto

    extractandsell theresourceshas theopportunitytoearnthis rent. Sinceinitiallythisright

    usuallylieswiththegovernment,itofferspublicservantshugediscretionaryopportunitiesto

    allow or deny access to the resource economy. Thismodel was empirically conirmed by

    SambitBhattacharyyaandRolandHodlerina studyof124countries. They foundoutthat

    natural resourcesfeedcorruption, however theydonot, if the countryhadwelldeveloped

    democratic institutionsat the point of thediscoveringoftheresources (cf. Bhattacharyya/

    Hodler2010:619),aswasthecaseinNorway.

    2.TheCaseoftheRussianFederation2.1.EmpiricalDataonCorruptionintheRussianFederation

    Therehasbeenalotof scientiicattentiononcorruptionintheRussianFederation.Themain

    reason for this attention is, that the Russian Federation is amember of the G20 (the 20

    economicallymost powerful countries)andranks the countrywiththe ninthhighestgross

    domesticproduct(GDP)intheWorld(cf.OECD2011:23f.).Butatthesametimeitistheby

    farmostcorruptcountryamongtheG20,withrank133outof176countriesinTransparency

    Internationals Corruption Perception Index (cf. Transparency International 2012: 4). But

    eventhoughstudies thatasses theinluenceofcorruptioninRussia oneconomic, political,

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    andsocial developmentarenumerous, studies that actually triedtoquantify corruption in

    russiaarefew. ThemostelaborateofthesestudieshasbeencarriedoutbytheRussiannon-

    governmentalINDEMFoundation.3

    ThestudybytheINDEMFoundationwascarriedoutin2005andincludedsomedatafroma

    2001study.Itsmainindingwasthatcorruptionwasverycommonbothin2001andin2005,

    but the structure of the corruption market had changedbetween 2001 and 2005. It was

    characterized by a mutual readiness to bribe and take bribes in 2001, but this mutual

    agreementoncorruptionwasnotfoundin2005.Bythen,ahigherpercentageofrespondents

    waswillingtorefusepayingbribes,butatthesametimethepressurefromauthoritiestopay

    bribeshadincreased,andsohadtheaveragebribeamount.Thereportputsitasfollows:

    Ingeneralwehavetodealwithtwooppositebehaviorstrategies:theauthoritiesbuildup

    its pressure towards citizens and the citizens avoid corruption. If previously one could

    argue that corruption process may be caused by both parties, nowadays this given

    suggestionjustcon1lictswithanyfactsavailable(INDEM2005).

    Table1summarizesthemainindingsofthestudy.Thestudyestimatestheoverallvolumeof

    theeverydaycorruptionmarketataboutthreebillionUS-Dollarandthebusinesscorruption

    marketatabout300billionUS-Dollar(cf.INDEM2005).Thisresultmeans,thatin2005the

    total amount ofbribespaidbybusinesses, exceededtheoficial federalbudgetrevenuesby

    morethantwo andahalftimes. Thisisanalarmingresultrecallingthemodelfromchapter

    one:Bribeshavethesameinluenceontheeconomyascorruption, butdonotcontributeto

    thestatebudget,andthereforebribescanbe regardedasmissedgovernmentrevenues and

    therebyleadtoasmallerstatebudget.Thatontheotherhanddecreasesthecapacitytoactof

    thegovernmentandalsoleadstodistributionalproblems.

    Thefactthatcorruptionisseenasamajorproblembytherussiancitizensisrelectedinthe

    133rdrankintheCorruptionPerceptionIndex(CPI)ofTransparencyInternational.Asurveyofthemostimportantrussianopinionresearchinstitute,Levada,comestoasimilarbutmore

    detailedresultonperceptionofcorruption.Intheiryearbookofopinionpollsfrom2012,they

    presentnumbersonhowcorruptionisperceivedinRussiatoday.Themainresultsarethat90

    percentofrespondentsseecorruptionasbeingworsetodaythenadecadeago(seeTable2).

    Thesamepercentageofrespondentsstatedthattheybelievethatgovernmentaloficialsand

    leadingbureaucratsmakeonlyasmallpartoftheiractualincomepublic(seeTable3)and

    9

    3INDEMstandsforInformationScienceforDemocracy.Itisanongovernmentalorganizationthatwas

    establishedin1997withtheaimtocontributetothedevelopmentofdemocraticinstitutionsintheRussian

    Federation.Itsmainieldofworkhoweverhasbecomeresearchoncorruption.

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    Table1:EverydaycorruptionmarketintheRussianFederation(2001/2005)

    Problem Corruptio

    (inpercent

    risk

    )

    Readiness

    (inpercent

    tobribe

    )

    corruption

    volume(m

    market

    illionUS$)

    Totalmar

    ofcorrupti

    etshare

    onmarket

    Averagebr

    Amount(i

    ibe

    Rubles)

    AverageN

    peryearp

    . of bribe s

    rperson

    2001 2005 2001 2005 2001 2005 2001 2005 2001 2005 2001 2005

    Freemedicalservice 23,5 37,7 80,4 62,0 602,41 401,1 28,7% 14,8% 1093 1423 1,098 0,847

    School:toenterrequiredschoolandAinish

    successfully13,2 41,0 76,2 60,8 70,10 92,4 3,3% 3,4% 1238 2312 2,213 0,950

    Highereducation:enter,transferanother

    one,examsetc.36,0 52,1 66,7 63,2 449,37 583,4 21,4% 21,5% 4305 3869 0,820 0,875

    Pensions:paperworkcalculationsetc. 11,3 11,4 50,0 17,1 0,29 7,9 0,01% 0,3% 50 2250 0,669 0,339

    Socialpayments:paperworkcalculations

    etc.16,2 19,8 47,4 30,6 6,62 80,3 0,3% 3,0% 250 3467 1,065 0,657

    Solvingproblemsrelatedtothe

    conscriptionprocedure32,6 57,7 50,0 63,4 12,66 353,6 0,6% 13,0% 3250 15409 1,010 0,650

    Employment:togetadesiredjoborcareer

    development24,6 29,2 80,0 35,0 56,16 143,4 2,7% 5,3% 963 2448 0,950 1,053

    Landarea:toobtainterritoryetc. 14,9 39,8 75,0 51,1 20,09 84,4 1,0% 3,1% 2000 3713 0,655 0,698

    Dwelling:toobtainand/orlegalizea

    relevantproprietaryinterest28,9 34,3 75,6 41,9 123,02 298,6 5,9% 11,0% 2529 5548 0,848 0,809

    Togetdwellingmaintenance&repair

    workservices32,2 29,5 60,5 31,6 22,67 15,6 1,1% 0,6% 292 400 0,771 0,954

    Toobtainjusticeinlaw-court 26,2 39,5 59,4 43,6 274,48 209,5 13,1% 7,7% 13964 9570 0,681 0,672

    togetassistancefromthemilitary 27,4 40,2 77,3 54,7 29,95 29,6 1,4% 1,1% 1715 930 1,787 0,809

    Togetregistration,domesticorforeign

    passport19,7 32,7 76,0 48,9 65,84 87,7 3,1% 3,2% 664 1426 1,107 1,030

    Tosolveproblemswithroadpolice

    authorities59,3 59,6 86,0 68,9 368,38 183,3 17,5% 6,8% 896 920 1,089 1,120

    (owntable.source:INDEM2005)

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    Table2:Howdoyouthink,

    theadministrationdevelo

    yea

    didcorruptionandtheftin

    pwithinthepast10to12

    rs?

    Table3:Inyouropinion,h

    governmentaloficialsand

    publicwiththeira

    wmuchoftheirincomedo

    leadingbureaucratsmake

    nnualdeclaration?

    Itincreased 41 llofit 2

    Itstaidthesame 43 Thelargerpartofit 13

    Itdecreased 9 Thesmallerpartofit 38

    Noanswer 7 Onlyveryfewofit 32

    (source:Levada2012:144) Noanswer 15

    (source:Levada2012:144)

    Table4:HowdoRussiansviewthegovernmentsattitudetowardscorruption?

    Questions\Answers yes ratheryes ratherno no noanswer

    Inyouropinion,dogovernmentofAicialsandleadingbureaucratshaveaforeignbank

    account?70 24 2 1 3

    Inyouropinion,iscorruptionanunavoidableoccurrenceinacoutrywherethepublicdoes

    notcontrolthoseinpower,wherearenohonestelections,freepress,andrealpolitical

    competition?

    33 44 12 2 9

    Inyouropinion,doesthepresent-dayadministrationinitsstrivingforpoweronlyrelyon

    people,faithfultoitandinreturnclosesitseyesontheircrimesandallowsthemunlawful

    practicestoenrichthemselves?

    27 42 19 2 10

    Inyouropinion,isthepresent-daycampaignagainstcorruptiononlycarriedouttodraw

    attentionawayfromrealeconomicproblems,andtheincapabilityofthePutin-administrationtofulAillthepromises,madebeforetheelections?

    25 35 23 4 13

    Inyouropinion,isthepresent-daycampaignagainstcorruptiononlydesignedtoincrease

    thetrustinVladimirPutinandkeephimfreeofchargesofestablishingacorruptregimein

    Russia?

    22 38 21 5 14

    Inyouropinion,willVladimirPutinkeephispromise,madebeforetheelections,ofreducing

    corruptionbytwotothreetimesatminimumwithinthenextsixyears?6 30 36 14 15

    (owntable.source:Levada2012:144,145)

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    almost100percentofrespondentsbelieve,thattheseoficialsandbureaucratshaveaccounts

    inforeignbanks(cf.Levada2012:144).Thesurveyalsoshowsaveryparadoxicalviewofthe

    populationongovernmentsattitudetowardscorruption.Whileavastmajoritystatesthatin

    theirviewcorruptionandnepotismiscommonpracticeamonggovernmentoficialsandthat

    thecampaignagainst corruption ismerely aneffort todrawattentionaway frompressing

    problemsand increasethepopularityofVladimirPutin, theyalsobelievethat Putinat least

    tries to ightcorruptionand25percentevenbelievesinhis success(cf. Levada2012:145).

    Tables4summarizetheindingsoftheLevadasurvey.

    Another interesting insight on corruption in Russia was discovered by the OECD. They

    regressedtheTransparencyInternationalCPIagainstpercapitaGDPandshareofpetroleum

    intotalexportsforvariouscountries.Bothregressionsshowedasigniicantrelationship.Both

    regressions also showed, thatcorruption inRussia isconsiderablyhigh,comparedto other

    countries with similar per capitaGDP or similar sharesofpetroleum inexports (cf. OECD

    2011: 66f.). The following igures from the OECD illustrate the results. They support the

    statementofJamesLeach,thatRussiaismorecorrupt,thancomparablecountries.

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    Eventhough theseempirical analysisaremostly concernedwithcorruption at thelevel of

    government employees, is does not mean, that high level corruption does not exist. The

    problemwithhighlevel corruptionis, thatitishardertomeasure. Butthe largeamountof

    bribes,paidbybusinesses,suggestthatcorruptionatthehighestlevelstakesplace.AlsoElena

    Denisova-Schmidtnotes, thatapproximately80%ofalladministrativepositions areheldby

    people, that have some kind of personal relationship with Vladimir Putin. That includes

    coworkers from the timewhenheworkedwiththeKGB, political alliesfromhis timeinSt.

    Petersburg, such as Dmitry Medvedev, members of the cooperative Ozero (the society

    establishedbyPutinandhisfriendswhoownedcottagesnearSt.Petersburg),andoffcourse

    family members and close friends of Putins people (cf. Denisova-Schmidt 2012: 5). This

    alarmingpercentageisagraphicalexampleofthepredominanceofnepotism,andorientedon

    personalbeneitsbehaviorintheRussianpoliticalelite.ThefollowingsubsectionisconcernedwiththeconsequencesofthecorruptionfortheRussianeconomyandsociety.

    2.2.ConsequencesofCorruptionfortheRussianSocietyandEconomy

    TheOECDsummarizesthenegativeconsequencesRussiasuffersfromcorruptionasfollows:

    Currently,investmentishinderedbywidespreadcorruptionandaweakandinconsistent

    applicationoftheruleoflaw.Thatslowsdownthemodernisationprocess,andalsoleaves

    Russiawithamoreenergy-intensive economythanotherwise. Corruptionalsoin1latesthe

    costofpublicprocurement,reducingthe effectivenessofgovernmentspendingand, other

    thingsbeingequal,worseningthe1iscalbalance(OECD2011:20).

    Michael P. Barry used a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model 4 to calculate the

    economic costs of corruption in the Russian Federation. According to the basic model of

    corruptionwithouttheft,hemodelstheburdenimposedontheeconomybycorruptionasa

    ive percent tax. This is a rather modest burden compared to the amount of corruption

    presentedin theprevious subsection. Barry comes to theresult, that corruption inRussiadecreasesGDPbyapproximatelytwo billionUS-Dollarandreduces consumerwelfareby2.4

    billionUS-Dollar(cf.Barry2009:.397).Hesplitsupthewelfareeffectintothreepartstomake

    theeffectmoreclear.Thewelfarelossconsistsof a$2.98billionallocationeficiencylossand

    a $3.6 billion loss inRussianterms of trade. These losses are partially offset bya gain in

    savingsandinvestmenteficiency,becausetherecipientsofbribeshaveextrafundsavailable

    13

    4CGEmodelingtechniquesattempttosummarizealleconomicmarkets(supplycurvesanddemandcurves)inalarge,integratedsystemofsimultaneousequations.Allmicromarketsareaggregatedintoamacrosystem,which

    allowsfordiscussionofeconomy-widevariables,suchasnationalpricelevel,nationaloutput,totalfactor

    productivity,sectoraloutput,andsectoraltrade(Barry2009:394).

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    forinvestment,savings,andconsumption.Butthispositiveeffectcannotfullycompensatethe

    negativeeffectsofcorruption(cf. Barry2009:397).Byexamining thestructureofgainsand

    losses due to corruption, the strongest impact is seen on investments. The decrease by

    approximately40%incomparisontoasituationwithoutcorruption(cf.Barry2009:398f.).

    In a study on bank lending and corruption, Laurent Weill found a signiicant negative

    inluence of corruption on both investment and bank lending. Corruption was found to

    diminishinvestmentssigniicantly. Itaddsto theuncertaintyofinvestorsandbanksandthis

    uncertainty is passedon to thereceiver of loans in formof increased interest rates. Thus

    makinginvestmentmorecostlyandthereforelessattractive(cf.Weill2011:241)Thereason,

    investmentishamperedbycorruptionisthatlegalinstitutionusuallyprotectinvestmentsand

    ensure theenforcement of contracts (cf.Weill 2011: 233). Corruption, anunderdeveloped

    ruleof law andunclearpropertyrightsalladdtouncertainty forthe investorandtherefore

    reduce incentives to invest. Reduced investment on the other hand slows down the

    developmentoftheRussianeconomy.

    Another serious consequence of corruption on public welfare is its impact on social

    expenditures. Yuriy Timofeyev found out, that corruption signiicantly diminishes the

    eficiency ofpublic expenditures andthereby theabilityof thestate toreducepoverty (cf.

    Timofeyev2011:48).Thereasonis,thatinmosttransitioncountries,socialexpenditureare

    the main contributors to poverty reduction. Because of corruption the tax incidence is

    decreasedinRussiaandtherebythefundsforsocialexpenditures,orinotherwordsthesum

    thatcanberedistributedthroughgovernmentprogramsisdeminished(cf.Timofeyev2011:

    45ff.).

    2..ReasonsfortheCorruptionintheRussianFederation

    Inan article from 2009, thenpresidentDmitry Medvedevnamed someof the reasons he

    believedtoberesponsibleforcorruptioninRussia:

    Until todaythis corrosion hasbeen due tothe excessive government presence inmany

    signi1icant aspects of economic and other social activities. But it is not limited to

    governmental excess -- business is also not without fault. Many entrepreneurs are not

    worried about 1indingtalented inventors, introducing unique technologies, creatingand

    marketingnewproducts,butratherwithbribingof1icialsforthe sakeof controlling the

    1lowsofpropertyredistribution(Medvedev2009).

    By naming government involvement in the economy, and businesses investing in bribery

    rather thanin researchanddevelopment,heshows aprofoundunderstandingof thelogics

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    anddynamicsofcorruption, sinceboth factorshavebeenmadeoutbothby theoretical and

    empiricaleconomicliteratureoncorruption.5

    The key reason for corruption, presented in the irst chapter, is the opportunity for rent-

    seeking. Situations that allow for the generation of a rent facilitate the spreading and

    prevailingofcorruption.Afactorthatallowsforrent-seekingonalargescaleinRussiaisthe

    heavyrelianceonnaturalresourcesoftheRussianeconomy.Notonlyisthissituationgiven,

    butitisalsogettingworse,becausetheresourcesectorsisgrowingrelativeto therestofthe

    Russianeconomy:onekeyaspectoftheopportunityforcorruption,theavailabilityofnatural

    resourcerents,hasexpandedsharplyinthelastdozenyears(OECD2011:13).Thismightbe

    onereason,whycorruptionhasratherbeenincreasingthandecreasingoverthepastdecade.

    AnotherreasonforcorruptionhasbeenidentiiedbyVeronikaBelousovaandherco-authors.

    Inastudy,usingdatafromdifferentRussianregions, theyfoundout,thattheeconomicmore

    prosperous regions of theRussian Federationwitnessed signiicantly less corruption, than

    less prosperous regions. The reason is most likely, that these regions have better anti-

    corruption measures and also that economically successful individuals are less likely to

    engage inillegalcorruption(cf. Belousovaetal. 2011:11).BecausetheRussianeconomyis

    considerablyweak ingeneralandespeciallyweak inalmostevery sectorotherthantheoil-

    andgassector, itis reasonabletoassume, thattheeconomicunderdevelopmentcontributes

    totheprevailingofcorruptioninRussia.

    Reasons for corruption in different parts of the Russian society and economy are easily

    explained.Themainreasonforthewidespreadcorruptionintheeducationsectorforexample

    isthelowwagesofteachers andprofessors. Russia spendsthesecondlowestpercentageof

    GDP of all OECD countries on education, only Turkey being worse (cf. OECD 2011: 38).

    Reasonsforthelargesumsofbribespaidbybusinesses,byfarthebiggestshareoftheoverall

    corruptionmarket, as has been shown in subsection 2.1., are twofold. The OECD names

    complex and hard-to-comply-with regulations and the need to stay competitivewith other

    irmsthatpaybribes,themostimportantfactors(cf.OECD2011:65).

    OnelastimportantreasonforthewidespreadcorruptioninRussialieswithintheinstitutional

    structureandhistoryofthecountry.Twofactorshavebeenmadeoutintheirstchaptertobe

    obstructivetothedevelopmentofacorruptenvironment:welldeinedpropertyrightsanda

    strictruleoflaw.NeithercanbefoundincontemporaryRussia.ConstanzeDoblerandHarald

    HagemannevenclaimthatRussialacksah istoryofpropertyrightsandtheruleoflaw.The

    15

    5Seepreviouschaptersandsubsections.

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    reason is that secure property rights and the rule of law necessitate a third party

    enforcement mechanism able to implement the rights against private persons or the

    state (Dobler/Hagemann 2011: 23). InRussia however law hasalways been used by the

    governmentasaninstrumentthatcouldbeusedagainstthecitizens.Sincepeoplecouldnot

    rely on the government or the law, to achieve certain goals, but had to trust personal

    relationshipsandnetworks.Asaconsequenceasystemofcorruption,bribery,andnepotism

    evolved (cf. Dobler/Hagemann 2011: 23). It is therefore unlikely that corruption can be

    reduced, unless the Russiangovernment breakswith the tradition ofusing the law as an

    instrument of the ruling power. This leads over to the question, ofwhat can be done to

    effectivelybattlecorruptioninRussia.

    2.4.HowtoBattleCorruptionintheRussianFederation

    FirststepsinightingcorruptioninRussiahavealreadybeentaken.Thegovernmentstarted

    byapprovinginternationalrules,suchastheUNConventionagainstCorruptionin2006,and

    the OECD Convention on Combating Bribery of Foreign Public Oficials in international

    BusinessTransactionsin2011(cf.Denisova-Schmidt2012:13).Alsoin2008aNationalAnti-

    CorruptionPlanhasbeenadopted.Itisaimedatreducingcorruptioninthelegalsystem.The

    mostimportantsteps,thataretobetakenaccordingtotheplanaretheincreasingthejudicial

    pay, the introduction of new, more transparent, procedures for appointing judges, the

    establishingofnewmechanismsforpunishingjudicialmalfeasance, andalsotobringcourts

    underfederaljurisdictiontoreducetheirdependenceonregionalauthorities(cf.OECD2011:

    44). If carried out, most of those steps are likely to improve the situation in the judicial

    system, although success of the lastmeasure is highly doubtful. Reduced independenceof

    regionalauthorities,butincreaseddependenceonfederalauthorities,thatarealsoknownto

    pressurethecourts,mayjustbesubstitutingoneevilbyanother.

    Strictlyspeaking,itiseconomicallynotoptimaltofullyeliminatecorruption.Thecostswould

    be prohibitively high because it would for example require very high wages for public

    servants, major changes in the legal system and very harsh penalties. Theoretically, the

    optimallevel ofcorruptionwouldbereached, when themarginal costs offurtherreduction

    equal the marginal social beneits from that reduction (cf. Tanzi 1998: 586). That also

    explains, why there exists no country on earth without any corruption. But the Russian

    Federationis farfromthepoint,wheremarginal socialbeneitsequal themarginal costs of

    reducingcorruption.Thereforerealeffortshavetobemadetoreducecorruption.

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    Belousovaet al. recommend, in accordance with their indings, policies that are aimed at

    economic development. The following economic prosperity would then lead to declining

    corruption(cf.Belousovaetal. 2011:16).Economicgrowthhowevercanonlybeachieved,if

    the investment climate in the Russian Federation is improved. The reasons for the grim

    investmentclimate,presentedintheprevioussubsection,areweaklydeinedpropertyrights

    and a unreliable judiciary system and unclear legal circumstances. The main problem

    obstructingthesolutionofthisproblemisthelackofpoliticalwill.Supposedthiswillexisted,

    theproblemcouldrelativelyeasybestemmedwith somepolicy reforms.The need forthe

    solutionofthisproblemisbeautifullyillustratedinthefollowinginterview:

    Theinterviewer:Letusassumethatcorruptionisnotatpresentinoursociety.

    Theexpert:Withthecurrentlaws?

    Theinterviewer:Yes.

    Theexpert:Iftheexistinglawswerefullyobeyed,itwouldbeacatastrophe.Itwouldmean

    that societywould stop in itsdevelopment, the economywould collapse (Cheloukhine/

    King2007:112)

    DoblerandHagemannhoweverpresentaratherfatalisticviewconcerningthepossibilityof

    improving theruleoflawandthe securityofproperty rightsinRussia. Intheiropinion,the

    necessityofcorruptionandbribery lieswithinthecharacteroftheRussianpoliticalsystem

    with the patriarch as the head of state (Dobler/Hagemann 2011: 27), and real political

    reformsareunlikelytohappenin thenearfuture, becausetheywouldunavoidablyleadtoa

    weakeningofthecentralpower.

    One policy measure to battle corruption, suggested by the literature, is privatization. If

    governmentaloficialsandbureaucratsareknowntobecorrupt,theideais to limit therent

    seekingopportunitiesforthembyreducingthesizeofthestatesector.Theeficiencyofthis

    measureisdoubtedbyBelousovaetal.whichhavefoundnocorrelationbetweenthedegree

    of privatization and actual and perceived corruption in different Russian regions (cf.

    Belousova et al. 2011: 14). Johann Graf Lambsdorff comes to the same conclusion, that

    downsizing the public sector does not help to reduce corruption, at least not during the

    transition period (Lambsdorff 2006: 5). One example may serve as illustration, why this

    policy measure is so susceptible to corruption itself, that it does not help. The Russian

    programloansforshares, carriedout inthemid-1990s, hadtheaimtoimprovethepublic

    budgetbylendingsharesoflargestateownedcompaniestoprivatebidders.Ifthestatewould

    notrepaythosebidders,theshareswouldtheywiththemandcouldbeensoldforproit,what

    17

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    was in theend exactlywhathappened(cf. Treisman 2010:2.). Thepracticeof the auction

    howeverlookedasfollows:

    OnNovember3,995,intheremoteSiberiantownofSurgut,anauctiontookplaceforthe

    righttolend the cash-strappedRussian governmenttensofmillionsofdollars.Collateral

    for the loan was to be a 40 percent stake in the countrys 1ifth largest oil company,

    Surgutneftegaz. Two bidders made it into the auction room; a third had been barred

    because ofproblemswiththe 1irmspaperwork. Had anyothersplanned to1lyout from

    Moscowtotakepart,theywouldhavehadtrouble:the localairportmysteriouslychose to

    closethatday.When,lateintheevening,theparticipantsemerged,thewinnerturnedout

    tobeSurgutneftegazsownpensionfund.(Treisman2010:1)

    This example is symptomatically for how privatization often looked like throughout the

    historyofeconomictransitioninpost-sovietRussia. It illustrates,whyprivatizationneither

    reduces corruptionnor leadsto an increase inwelfare, and shouldthereforeimplemented

    verycautious,ifatall.

    Conclusion

    Ithasbeenshown,thatcorruptionhasanumberofnegativeeffectsonpublicwelfare.These

    areconvenientlysummarizedbyYuriyTimofeyev:

    Corruptionslowsdown economicgrowthand increasesthegabbetweenthe richand the

    poor. It also skews the incentive structure, with adverse consequences on the poor by

    depriving themof incomegeneration opportunities[...]Finally, corruption canaffectthe

    targeting of social programs to the truly needy because funds are siphoned off from

    povertyprogramsbywell-connectedpeople inthepublic andprivatesector (Timofeyev

    2011:39).

    Alloftheseproblemsaswellastheexplanationsofwhytheyexisthavebeenpresentedinthis

    paper.Thetheoreticandempiricalbackgroundofferssuggestionswhichcircumstancesfoster

    andwhichdeterthedevelopment ofa corruptsystem. Theanalysis oftheRussiancasehas

    shown,thatalmostallfactors,beneicialtocorruptionarefoundinRussia.Itcomestherefore

    atnosurprise,thatRussiaisoneofthemostcorruptcountriesonearth,andmostlikely the

    mostcorruptcountryofitseconomicandgeo-politicalimportance.

    Nevertheless there exists hope for improvement. The problem of corruption has been

    acknowledged the political elite and even been oficially one of the main goals of the

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    presidency of Dmitry Medvedev. But so far few more than declarations on the battle of

    corruption has been made by the government. Combining this fact with the observed

    development ofcorruptioninRussia inthepastdecade, onehas to agreewiththe fatalistic

    conclusionofDoblerandHagemann, thatareductionof corruptionwill takeplaceunderthe

    givenpoliticalsystem.Thisalsomeans,thattheapproachofeconomicmodernizationwithout

    politicalmodernization,chosenbytheRussianpoliticalelite,isnotfeasible.

    Inthefaceofthepressingnegativeconsequencesofcorruptionfor theRussiansociety and

    economy,itisdoubtfulhowlongthemomentousstabilityisRussiawillhold.Firstsignsofa

    destabilizationof society canalready bewitnessedinRussia as moreandmorepeopleare

    openlycallingforpoliticalreform.AlsothesurveybytheLevadacentrehasshownachanging

    attitudeofthepublic towardscorruption.WithrespecttothewelfareoftheRussianpublica

    soon change in the development of corruption in Russia is desirable, if not absolutely

    necessary.

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