cost and price indices

12
Engineering Costs and Production Economics, 8 (1985) 237-248 ElsevRr Science Publishers B.V., Amsterdam - Printed in The Netherlands 231 INTRODUCTION COST AND PRICE INDICES Norman Boyd When the ‘Encost’ indices of erected costs of plants as at January 1, 1984 were published [ 11, it marked the first occasion in the fif- teen years covered by the indices in which cost escalation seemed to be levelling off in some of the countries dealt with in the series, with West Germany, the Netherlands, Canada and Japan showing virtually no change from the January 1983 level. For the remaining nine countries, escalation through 1983 ranged from 5% to 12.6%, although these increases reflected a broad reduction of 10% on the previous year. These reductions in the rates of escalation suggested that a general stabilisa- tion in prices and costs could occur in the not-too-distant future. ERECTED COSTS OF PLANTS Table 1 shows the changes in erected costs throughout 1984. Japan had the same index for the third successive year and Belgium shows little change. While Canada had a small increase in 1984, it did little more than offset the 1983 reduction, and the January figures for 1983 and 1985 are, for practical purposes, the same. Both West Germany and the Nether- lands, having remained constant in 1983, had slight increases in 1984, but the other nine countries, with the exception of the U.K., show reductions in the size of the increments compared with 1983. For the U.K., the in- crease of about 6% in 1984 was slightly greater than the 5% in 1983. Italy still heads the list of countries with the greatest increase, TABLE 1 Indices of erected costs of plantsa as at January lst, unless otherwise stated 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1984 1985 July 1 Belgium 0.68 0.79 1 .oo 1.09 1.16 1.27 1.29 1.40 1.50 1.64 1.89 1.99 1.99 2.01 Denmark 0.67 0.76 1 .oo 1.02 1.06 1.16 1.27 1.38 1.54 1.64 1.99 2.14 R 2.17 2.19 France 0.70 0.79 1 .oo 1.13 1.25 1.34 1.46 1.59 1.82 2.05 2.50 2.73 2.81 2.84 W. Germany 0.80 0.88 1 .oo 1.03 1.07 1.11 1.14 1.21 1.29 1.38 1.53 1.52 1.53 1.56 Italy 0.57 0.74 1.00 1.19 1.43 1.67 1.92 2.27 2.67 3.15 3.89 4.38 4.68 4.71 Netherlands 0.70 0.78 1 .oo 1.09 1.14 1.22 1.18 1.24 1.31 1.42 1.54 1.54 R 1.57 1.57 U.K. 0.71 0.78 1 .oo 1.30 1.45 1.61 1.76 2.04 2.35 2.56 2.78 2.92 3.03 3.10 Australia 0.69 0.78 1 .oo 1.15 1.33 1.46 1.57 1.71 1.93 2.15 2.58 2.77 2.89 2.91 Canada 0.77 0.86 1.00 1.20 1.33 1.46 1.56 1.76 1.95 2.24 2.46 2.42 2.45 2.47 Japan 0.69 0.78 1 .oo 1.11 1.26 1.39 1.50 1.58 1.70 1.79 1.84 1.84 1.81 1.84 Norway 0.74 0.83 1 .oo 1.10 1.22 1.35 1.45 1.53 1.69 1.79 2.07 2.18 2.17 2.28 Sweden 0.69 0.81 1 .oo 1.05 1.16 1.24 1.37 1.49 1.67 1.81 2.05 2.26 2.35 2.37 U.S.A. 0.82 0.87 1 .oo 1.11 1.18 1.27 1.39 1.53 1.68 1.85 1.96 2.09 2.11 2.13 “For method used to calculate costs and indices see Eng. Cost Prod. Econ., 6 (1982) 272 and, 7 (1982) 18. 0167-188X/1985/$03.30 0 1985 Elsevier Science Publishers B.V.

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Engineering Costs and Production Economics, 8 (1985) 237-248 ElsevRr Science Publishers B.V., Amsterdam - Printed in The Netherlands

231

INTRODUCTION

COST AND PRICE INDICES Norman Boyd

When the ‘Encost’ indices of erected costs

of plants as at January 1, 1984 were published [ 11, it marked the first occasion in the fif- teen years covered by the indices in which cost escalation seemed to be levelling off in some of the countries dealt with in the series, with West Germany, the Netherlands, Canada and Japan showing virtually no change from the January 1983 level. For the remaining nine countries, escalation through 1983 ranged

from 5% to 12.6%, although these increases reflected a broad reduction of 10% on the previous year. These reductions in the rates of escalation suggested that a general stabilisa- tion in prices and costs could occur in the not-too-distant future.

ERECTED COSTS OF PLANTS

Table 1 shows the changes in erected costs throughout 1984. Japan had the same index for the third successive year and Belgium shows little change. While Canada had a small increase in 1984, it did little more than offset the 1983 reduction, and the January figures for 1983 and 1985 are, for practical purposes, the same. Both West Germany and the Nether- lands, having remained constant in 1983, had slight increases in 1984, but the other nine countries, with the exception of the U.K., show reductions in the size of the increments compared with 1983. For the U.K., the in- crease of about 6% in 1984 was slightly greater than the 5% in 1983. Italy still heads the list of countries with the greatest increase,

TABLE 1

Indices of erected costs of plantsa as at January lst, unless otherwise stated

1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1984 1985

July 1

Belgium 0.68 0.79 1 .oo 1.09 1.16 1.27 1.29 1.40 1.50 1.64 1.89 1.99 1.99 2.01 Denmark 0.67 0.76 1 .oo 1.02 1.06 1.16 1.27 1.38 1.54 1.64 1.99 2.14 R 2.17 2.19 France 0.70 0.79 1 .oo 1.13 1.25 1.34 1.46 1.59 1.82 2.05 2.50 2.73 2.81 2.84

W. Germany 0.80 0.88 1 .oo 1.03 1.07 1.11 1.14 1.21 1.29 1.38 1.53 1.52 1.53 1.56 Italy 0.57 0.74 1.00 1.19 1.43 1.67 1.92 2.27 2.67 3.15 3.89 4.38 4.68 4.71

Netherlands 0.70 0.78 1 .oo 1.09 1.14 1.22 1.18 1.24 1.31 1.42 1.54 1.54 R 1.57 1.57

U.K. 0.71 0.78 1 .oo 1.30 1.45 1.61 1.76 2.04 2.35 2.56 2.78 2.92 3.03 3.10

Australia 0.69 0.78 1 .oo 1.15 1.33 1.46 1.57 1.71 1.93 2.15 2.58 2.77 2.89 2.91

Canada 0.77 0.86 1.00 1.20 1.33 1.46 1.56 1.76 1.95 2.24 2.46 2.42 2.45 2.47 Japan 0.69 0.78 1 .oo 1.11 1.26 1.39 1.50 1.58 1.70 1.79 1.84 1.84 1.81 1.84 Norway 0.74 0.83 1 .oo 1.10 1.22 1.35 1.45 1.53 1.69 1.79 2.07 2.18 2.17 2.28 Sweden 0.69 0.81 1 .oo 1.05 1.16 1.24 1.37 1.49 1.67 1.81 2.05 2.26 2.35 2.37 U.S.A. 0.82 0.87 1 .oo 1.11 1.18 1.27 1.39 1.53 1.68 1.85 1.96 2.09 2.11 2.13

“For method used to calculate costs and indices see Eng. Cost Prod. Econ., 6 (1982) 272 and, 7 (1982) 18.

0167-188X/1985/$03.30 0 1985 Elsevier Science Publishers B.V.

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129

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232

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c 26

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d 28

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27

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5

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Indi

ces

appl

y at

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ober

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le 2

. C

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st Q

uar

ter

1984

. dS

econ

d Q

uar

ter

1984

.

TA

BL

E

4

Cur

renc

y ex

chan

ge

rate

s re

lativ

e to

U.S

. do

llar

1982

19

83

1984

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t Se

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lf

half

A

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erag

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Apr

. 2

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t ha

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half

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Bel

gium

B

.Fr.

43

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6 44

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48.2

0 41

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53.2

0 53

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50.3

5 53

.12

55.3

7 61

.68

60.6

5 58

.25

Den

mar

k D

.Kr.

8.02

8.

56

8.24

8.

59

8.68

9.

47

9.53

9.

10

9.57

9.

93

11.0

0 10

.86

10.4

2 Fr

ance

F.

Fr.

6.26

6.

89

6.52

1.

21

7.20

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96

8.01

7.

60

8.00

8.

33

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20

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W

. Ger

man

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M

2.31

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45

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62

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00

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aly

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e 13

02

1390

13

37

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16

1669

18

82

1850

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68

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uild

er

2.62

2.

70

2.65

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74

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93

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2.

85

2.94

3.

06

3.43

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38

3.24

U

.K.

Poun

d 0.

552

0.59

4 0.

572

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4 0.

648

0.67

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676

0.66

3 0.

697

0.71

2 0.

806

0.80

6 0.

763

Aus

tral

ia

A.$

0.

939

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6 0.

977

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5 1.

104

1.11

7 1.

125

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9 1.

064

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4 1.

201

1.19

6 1.

153

Can

ada

Can

. $

1.24

1.

26

1.24

1.

23

1.23

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23

1.24

1.

23

1.28

1.

28

1.31

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32

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Ja

pan

Yen

24

0 25

1 24

4 23

9 23

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5 23

5 22

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9 N

orw

ay

N. K

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04

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41

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50

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80

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24

Swed

en

Sw.K

r. 5.

85

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22

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46

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83

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72

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63

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33

For

earl

ier

see

Vol

. ye

ars

5 78

and

16

1,

and

pp.

Vol

. 7,

10

5.

p.

but its 12.6% in 1983 dropped to 7.7% in 1984, with Sweden falling from 10.7% to 4.7%, France from 9.2% to 3.9%, and U.S.A. from 6.6% to 2.4%.

The reasons for the changes in erected-plant cost indices in the twelve months from January 1, 1984 can be gleaned from an examination of Tables 2 and 3, bearing in mind that materials account for about one third (of which steel plate is about half) and hourly labour costs for about two thirds of the overall index. The labour costs in the chemical and metal industries are not used in the assessment of the plant cost indices. These tables show that there is a continued rise in hourly labour costs in all thirteen countries,

ranging from about 2% in the Netherlands to about 10% in Italy. On materials, the changes in 1984 range from increases of 6% in the U.K., 5% in Australia and 4% in Italy, to de- creases of 5% in Norway and 4% in Belgium and Japan, West Germany and the Nether- lands show no change, and the changes for the remaining countries are within + 2%.

CURRENCY CHANGES

In 1984 and early 1985 the U.S. dollar continued to appreciate against most other

TABLE 5

243

countries. Table 4 sets out the relative values of the various currencies at 3-monthly inter- vals. It will be seen that, comparing annual average values for 1983 and 1984, the U.S. dollar rose about 2% against the yen, about 4% against the Australian and Canadian dollars, but by from 9% to 17% against the nine European currencies listed. The Swedish krona appreciated by about 9% relative to the dollar, the Norwegian krone by almost 13%, and the currencies of the seven EEC countries by between 13% and 17%.

INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON OF ERECTED COSTS

Since the increase in value of the U.S. dollar in most countries was greater than their rates of escalation, erected-plant costs in such countries declined still further relative to the U.S.A. Table 5 shows that, with a few excep- tions such as Italy and Japan in the early seventies, January 1985 saw the lowest erected plant costs vis-a-vis the U.S.A. in the fifteen years covered by the ‘Encost’ index. Costs in Japan are also rising relative to those in the EEC countries and are now virtually on the level of France, the U.K. and the

Comparison of erected costs of plants with U.S.A. = 1.0, as at January 1st unless otherwise stated -

1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1984 1985

July 1

Belgium 0.73 0.94 1.07 1 .oo 1.01 1.10 1.18 1.36 1.21 0.92 0.81 0.72 R 0.69 0.60

Denmark 0.76 0.97 1.06 1.01 0.98 0.98 1.10 1.13 1.05 0.80 0.76 0.72R 0.70 0.62

France 0.68 0.83 0.85 0.93 0.89 0.87 0.96 1.02 1.04 0.82 0.75 0.68 0.66 0.58

W. Germany 0.81 1.08 1.02 0.98 0.99 1.02 1.12 1.20 1.13 0.88 0.85 0.76 0.74 0.64

Italy 0.66 0.78 0.86 0.88 0.81 0.82 0.91 1.01 1.01 0.78 0.79 0.74 0.75 0.65

Netherlands 0.75 0.97 1.04 1.05 1.05 1.12 1.13 1.18 1.12 0.82 0.82 0.73 0.71 0.61

U.K. 0.69 0.72 0.77 0.81 0.70 0.72 0.80 0.94 1.08 0.86 0.79 0.68 0.67 0.59

Australia 0.67 0.87 0.92 0.89 0.94 0.85 0.87 0.84 0.90 0.89 0.86 0.80 0.85 0.76

Canada 0.82 0.90 0.92 0.95 1.05 0.98 0.87 0.90 0.90 0.92 0.92 0.86 0.82 0.81

Japan 0.45 0.54 0.58 0.55 0.59 0.65 0.82 0.79 0.77 0.73 0.60 0.62 0.62 0.58

Norway 0.87 1.09 1.16 1.16 1.28 1.25 1.29 1.31 1.32 1.07 1.00 0.92 0.88 0.82 Sweden 0.95 1.17 1.24 1.18 1.24 1.13 1.19 1.26 1.29 0.99 0.90 0.76 0.77 0.70 U.S.A. - 1.0 t

244

TABLE 6

Comparison of prices, with U.S.A. = 1.0, for:

I Ordinary Portland cement

II Steel re-inforcing bar

III Steel sections (heavy) IV Steel plate

1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984

1st half 2nd half

Belgium I 0.79 0.77 0.78 0.77 0.84

II 1.49 1.35 1.11 1.02 1.24

III 1.12 1.08 0.87 0.88 0.96

IV 1.14 1.53 1.10 0.87 0.94

Denmark 1 0.9 1 1.02 1.07 0.92 0.91

II 1.45 1.22 1.26 1.18 1.32

IV 1.12 1.38 1.03 0.84 0.85

France I 0.86 0.83 0.86 0.84 0.77

II 1.33 1.05 1.13 1.16 1.16

III 1.02 0.94 0.87 0.85 0.83

IV 1.12 1.20 1.29 1.09 0.89

Germany I 0.82 0.84 0.83 0.74 0.77

II 1.38 1.24 1.14 1.13 1.17

111 1.13 1.06 0.98 0.94 0.93

IV 1.23 1.23 1.06 0.94 0.91

Italy I 0.52 0.55 0.61 0.51 0.53

II 1.40 1.32 0.98 0.95 1.09

III 1.05 1.04 0.89 0.83 0.86

IV 1.09 1.21 1.19 0.96 0.87

Netherlands 1 0.89 0.85 0.88 0.83 0.88

II 1.53 1.33 1.06 1.09 1.26

IV 1.08 1.33 1.24 1.13 1.13

U.K. I 0.75 0.70 0.78 0.72 0.75

II 1.12 1.05 1.11 1.22 1.20

111 0.85 0.92 0.98 0.89 0.89

IV 0.92 0.98 1.05 0.85 0.81

Australia 1 1.26 1.25 1.14 1.13 1.05

II 1.48 1.11 1.23 1.50 1.45

III 0.96 0.97 0.90 0.94 0.86

IV 0.97 1 .oo 0.96 0.98 0.88

Canada I 1.09 1.11 1.04 1.13 1.09

II 1.12 0.97 1.19 1.34 1.14

III 0.94 0.86 0.83 0.9 1 0.84

IV 0.87 0.83 0.86 0.93 0.88

Japan 1 0.89 0.99 0.84 0.81 0.84

IV 0.84 0.77 0.75 0.83 0.92

Norway I 0.96 1.02 1.07 1.11 1.07

II 1.21 1.37 1.50 1.43

111 1.21 0.99 1.08 1.01

Sweden I 0.93 0.92 0.99 0.96 1 .oo

II 1.27 1.37 1.43 1.52

111 1.44 1.04 1.05 0.91

IV 1.32 1.67 1.11 0.98 0.80

0.88 1.17

0.90

0.86

0.95

1.16 0.88

0.83 1.25

0.92 0.87

0.83

1.20

0.90 0.87

0.56

1.12 0.88

0.85

0.92

1.16

0.86

0.84

1.17

0.89

0.86

1.08

1.42 0.86

0.88

0.99 0.97

0.75 0.78

1.06 1.14

1.05 1.22

0.90

0.95

1.37 0.87 0.83

0.91 0.92 0.77 0.77 1.08 1.15 0.91 1.08 1.02 0.93 0.73 0.72 0.94 0.90 0.66 0.66

0.93 1.05 0.90 0.77

1.05 1.15 0.93 1.03 0.87 0.82 0.62 0.65

0.93 1.01 0.88 0.80 1.05 1.19 0.98 1.01

0.92 0.92 0.70 0.68 0.88 0.87 0.65 0.69

0.84 0.82 0.72 0.74

1.06 1.08 0.90 1.10

0.98 0.86 0.69 0.82 0.93 0.87 0.73 0.73

0.64 0.68 0.61 0.59 1.08 1.03 0.78 0.76

0.91 0.86 0.61 0.65 0.90 0.87 0.65 0.67

0.92 0.90 0.79 0.76

1.06 1.20 0.98 1.14

0.88 0.81 0.62 0.68

1.00 1.30 1.21 1.10

1.13 1.41 1.22 1.23

1.17 1.23 1.07 0.83

0.91 0.96 0.74 0.68

1.02 1.06 1.14 1.15 1.23 1.35 1.47 1.56 0.84 0.90 0.89 0.80 0.84 0.90 0.88 0.82

0.99 1.02 1.10 1.20

0.90 0.92 0.95 1.06 0.79 0.83 0.84 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.76

1.02 1.19 1.18 1.03

1.04 0.98 0.91 0.73

1.09 1.15 1.07 0.99

1.17 1.24 1.12 1.19

0.92 0.94 0.75 0.76

0.99 1.05 0.93 0.83 1.33 1.45 1.14 1.12 0.93 0.95 0.75 0.74

0.83 0.80 0.63 0.65

0.72 0.64 1.06 0.92

0.59 0.56

0.63 0.59

0.82 0.67 1.05 0.90 0.64 0.53

0.73 0.64 0.84 0.92

0.54 0.50 0.62 0.57

0.73 0.66 0.88 0.83 0.62 0.57 0.63 0.59

0.57 0.53 0.75 0.68 0.57 0.54 0.63 0.62

0.72 0.68

0.93 0.74

0.61 0.56

0.95 0.85

1.17 1.03

0.70 0.65 0.59 0.54

1.12 1.13

1.64 1.58 0.70 0.72 0.68 0.71

1.25 1.18

1.11 0.88 0.76 0.73 0.71 0.70

1.05 1.03 0.67 0.61

0.97 0.92 1.16 0.85 0.65 0.52

0.74 0.7 1

1.00 0.90 0.62 0.59 0.60 0.57

0.59

0.85

0.49

0.59 0.73

0.44

0.52

0.48 0.62

0.48

0.53

0.61

0.66 0.52

0.74

0.90

0.58

0.49

1.06 1.41

0.67 0.67

1.15

0.83 0.69 0.68

0.96

0.60

0.81

0.85 0.43

0.66 0.92 0.53 0.52

245

TABLE 7

Comparison of hourly labour costs, with U.S.A. = 1.0

ISIC” 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984

Apr. Oct.

Belgium

Denmark

Germs

Fed. Rep.

Italy

Netherlands

U.K.

Australia

Canada

Japan

Norway

Sweden

351 371

382

5

35 l/2

38213 5

351

371

382

5

351

371 382

5

351

371 382

5

351 37 382 5

35112

371 382

5

3511213 31

3811213 5

35112

37112 382 5

35112 371 382

5

35112 382 5

35 371

382 5

0.84 0.91 0.97 1.01 1.10 1.29 1.36 1.28 0.97 0.74 0.67 0.65 0.55

0.83 0.96 0.94 1.03 1.05 1.18 1.33 1 .oo 0.87 0.66 0.68 0.68 0.51

0.81 0.85 0.9 1 0.99 1.04 1.19 1.28 1.18 0.91 0.76 0.68 0.67 0.58

0.64 0.73 0.80 0.90 0.98 1.16 1.24 1.21 0.93 0.71 0.64 0.65 0.56

0.68 0.70 0.73 0.77 0.75 0.90 0.97 0.89 0.63 0.56 0.52 0.52b 0.44

0.79 0.80 0.89 0.93 0.89 1.06 1.13 1.01 0.76 0.70 0.65 0.64b 0.55

0.62 0.63 0.67 0.73 0.74 0.89 0.97 0.90 0.65 0.59 0.57 0.59b 0.51

0.55 0.58 0.69 0.63 0.66 0.80 0.89 0.91 0.68 0.58 0.53 0.53 0.45 0.54 0.62 0.74 0.67 0.70 0.80 0.83 0.85 0.63 0.52 0.54 0.47 0.42

0.59 0.59 0.68 0.68 0.71 0.81 0.89 0.89 0.73 0.63 0.57 0.57 0.49

0.40 0.41 0.46 0.47 0.50 0.59 0.74 0.69 0.55 0.46 0.43 0.45 0.39

0.95 0.9 1 0.90 0.95 1.01 1.15 1.23 1.12 0.81 0.74 0.67 0.66 0.56 0.86 0.85 0.83 0.88 0.89 1 .oo 1.07 0.94 0.68 0.58 0.62 0.53 0.47

1 .oo 0.90 0.92 0.99 1.05 1.21 1.30 1.21 0.90 0.84 0.77 0.75 0.65

0.69 0.64 0.63 0.69 0.74 0.88 1.02 0.94 0.70 0.63 0.59 0.61 0.5 1

0.56 0.59 0.64 0.61 0.64 0.81 0.94 0.96 0.68 0.66 0.62 0.62 0.53

0.55 0.61 0.69 0.63 0.64 0.71 0.80 0.78 0.57 0.53 0.58 0.52 0.46

0.58 0.60 0.67 0.65 0.69 0.78 0.90 0.92 0.7 1 0.71 0.68 0.69 0.59

0.35 0.40 0.44 0.43 0.46 0.57 0.72 0.67 0.53 0.53 0.50 0.53 0.46

0.85 0.85 0.89 0.89 0.95 1.08 1.14 1.06 0.69 0.69 0.61 0.63 0.53

0.86 0.95 0.95 0.99 1.01 1.13 1.26 1.04 0.67 0.64 0.65 0.56 0.50

0.88 0.89 0.94 0.99 1.05 1.18 1.33 1.22 0.77 0.80 0.71 0.68 0.59 0.70 0.72 0.77 0.81 0.9 1 1.07 1.20 1.11 0.86 0.76 0.68 0.69 0.57

0.45 0.50 0.50 0.4 1 0.42 0.51 0.64 0.75 0.58 0.53 0.48 0.45 0.40 0.36 0.40 0.46 0.40 0.4 1 0.49 0.56 0.62 0.47 0.43 0.43 0.40 0.37 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.43 0.46 0.54 0.65 0.75 0.58 0.57 0.50 0.48 0.42

0.31 0.34 0.36 0.31 0.33 0.38 0.45 0.57 0.45 0.41 0.37 0.38 0.33

0.77 0.84 0.81 0.82 0.74 0.78 0.81 0.85 0.81 0.71 0.69 0.72 0.62 0.71 0.82 0.78 0.81 0.73 0.73 3.70 0.70 0.67 0.61 0.59 0.6 1 0.55

0.79 0.84 0.81 0.86 0.77 0.78 0.77 0.82 0.79 0.81 0.79 0.83 0.73 0.59 0.66 0.66 0.71 0.65 0.69 0.67 0.72 0.72 0.68 0.68 0.73 0.64

0.73 0.80 0.77 0.83 0.75 0.69 0.72 0.73 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.67 0.67

0.82 0.91 0.91 0.99 0.90 0.81 0.84 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.87 0.72 0.75

0.89 0.92 0.95 1.04 0.94 0.84 0.89 0.86 0.88 0.91 0.88 0.82 0.83 0.80 0.9 1 0.96 1.08 1.03 0.9 1 1.04 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.85 0.84 0.79

0.51 0.60 0.58 0.57 0.62 0.80 0.82 0.79 0.72 0,59 0.66 0.67 0.62

0.49 0.60 0.62 0.61 0.65 0.79 0.76 0.69 0.65 0.50 0.63 0.57 0.53

0.50 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.63 0.78 0.79 0.74 0.72 0.60 0.66 0.67 0.62 0.28 0.33 0.34 0.37 0.42 0.56 0.58 0.54 0.53 0.42 0.48 0.52 0.48

0.66 0.75 0.75 0.86 0.86 0.93 0.89 0.93 0.71 0.64 0.59 0.56b 0.50 0.81 0.87 0.95 1.12 1.09 1.17 1.17 1.20 0.96 0.87 0.82 0.79b 0.71

0.64 0.71 0.76 0.89 0.90 1 .oo 1.10 1.02 0.83 0.75 0.69 0.69b 0.62

0.77 0.78 0.88 0.95 0.86 0.95 1.03 1.05 0.74 0.65 0.54 0.54c 0.48

0.83 0.90 0.98 1.05 0.88 0.96 1.01 1 .oo 0.69 0.59 0.55 os1c 0.47 0.94 0.91 1.02 1.13 1.02 1.12 1.21 1.21 0.88 0.84 0.67 0.7oc 0.64 0.77 0.77 0.88 0.99 0.95 1.06 1.14 1.20 0.89 0.78 0.63 0.68C 0.59

“International Standard Industrial Classifications: See footnote to Table 8.

bFirst quarter 1984.

‘Second quarter 1984.

246

TABLE 8

Indices of average hourly earnings of adult manual” workers in selected industries (1974 = 100)

Country ISIC b 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978

Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct.

LWZll !Gquivalent

currency U.S. $

Belgium 351

371

382

krance 351

371

382

German bed. Rep. 351 DM

Italy

Netherlands

U.K.

Australia

Canada

U.S.A.

Denmark

Norway

Swcdcn

Japan

371

382

5

11.02 4.16 106 115 124 127

10.05 3.80 105 113 120 126

9.89 3.73 108 114 123 129

10.00 3.78 104 110 117 124

351

371

382

5

Lire 122 161 190 232

124 154 183 205

124 158 188 210

I25 158 187 218

351

37

382

5

Guildrr

1486 2.25

1542 2.34

1325 2.01

1255 1.90 10.60 3.93

10.73 3.98

9.47 3.51

9.70 3.60

115 123 134 141

109 120 130 139

112 120 130 137

114 123 135 148

35112

371

382

5

Pound 1.17 2.74 128 140 150 174

1.16 2.71 130 147 158 184

1.10 2.57 126 140 15s 177

1.04 2.43 128 143 157 175

35 11213

37

3811213

5

A. $ 3.79 4.98 113 127 139 150

3.73 4.90 112 128 144 150

3.42 4.50 108 123 135 143

3.55 4.67 112 128 141 149

35 l/2

37112

382

5

can. $ 4.74 4.81 113 128 140 I50

5.43 5.51 II6 127 141 152

5.13 5 20 115 126 136 147

6.77 6.87 119 132 148 156

351

371

382

5

U.S.$ 5.56 110 122 133 142

5.81 110 120 135 149

5.09 108 115 126 136

6.99 106 113 118 I?7

35112

38213

5

D.KI. 26.68 4.36 :15 129 143 159

27.92 4.56 119 131 142 160

29.17 4.77 114 129 144 160

35112

382

5

N. Kr. 22.12 4.00 113 137

23.39 4.23 118 140

26.39 4.78 116 136

165

168

165

35

371

382

5

Sw.Kr. 18.50 4.17 121 135

20.90 4.71 120 132

19.37 4.35 118 130

22.45 5.06 119 133

153

155

151

145

141

141

149

153

151

149

158

12 monthsto Dcc.1974) (-Dee. 1975) ( Dec. 1976) (-Dee. 1977) ( Dee. 1978)

B.FI.

t’. Fr.

157.25 4.01 118 131 147 I52

171.89 4.38 108 122 132 137

133.94 3.42 114 125 137 142

130.07 3.32 116 132 146 150

12.02 2.54 114 129 145 165

11.71 2.48 121 136 152 168

11.04 2.33 115 135 153 169

10.08 2.13 115 137 154 171

35112 Ye” i115.8 3.74

371 1126.1 3.78

382 940.8 3.16

5 722.8 2.43

112 121 132 139

118 126 138 143

114 122 133 139

I17 132 148 160

“I,or Japan, manual and non-manual workers, including holiday pay (see: Vol. 5, pp. 75-77).

hlnternational Standard Industrial Classification:

35 Manuiacturr of chemicals 353 PetlOleum refineries

35 1 Manutacture of industrial chemicals 37 Basic nwal industries

352 Manutacture ul-other chemicals 371 Iron and ?iteel basic industries

241

Apr. Ott Apr. Oct. Apr. Oct. Apr. Oct. Apr. Oct.

183

172

169

180

198

186

189

194

208

200

200

202

221 223 226 p

204 R 214 215 p

212 216 219 p

210R 215 219 p

219

218

227

221

247

249

253

263

284

289

289

296

165 117

157 164

156 164

167 174

190 203 230 272 300

189 203 226 273 3c4

189 201 230 276 306

195 210 243 289 317

128 137 142 149 157

133 141 144 156 161

135 143 148 158 162

134 141 147 153 161

291 316 381 443 512

255 277 353 409 476

262 284 363 419 490

279 301 314 448 518

148

147

143

162

323 R 334 340

308 R 327 330

323 R 337 340

329 R 340 350

137

141

146

144

146

149

153

151

153

154

159

156

159 162 164

160 161 163

164 164 169

162 165 166

351

313

321

327

414

385

395

406

411

442

453

484

543 578 593

507 542 557

523 559 571

547 585 602

155

154

153

170

165

164

162

180

175

172

171

190

183 R 190 193

175 177 180

172 174 176

188R 187 189

247

247

240

247

275

272

263

266

295

296

286

289

208 228 259 283 R 313

209 232 261 291 332 R

207 230 255 282 301

201 227 259 283 306

173

165

157

162

325 335 352

3428 369 380

306 319 328

309 323 328

195

192

175

181

210

214

204

215

246

249

244

250 R

258 270 p 271 p

265 276 p 276 p

264 275 p 275 p

260 R 212 p 272 p

186

183

176

186

209

214

202

212

228

240

216

228

161 177 197 221 232

166 172 192 226 240

162 169 188 209 219

167 173 194 216 207

154 158 179 195 206

164 170 193 203 196

148 154 170 182 186

136 138 149 162 170

(3rd Or) (1st OrI (1st Qr) (1st Qr) (1st Qr)

177

177

180

240 244 253

252 256 265

222 224 231

202 207 203

169

180

164

147

(3rd Qr)

191

197

178

158

(3rd Qr)

204

208

183

169

(3rd Qr)

215 220

218 R 226

192 195

172 171

(3rd Qr) (1stQr)

225

222

197

174

189

191

195

210

208

211

233

232

240

246 258 258 p

241 250 250 p

252 261 261 p

185

198

189

(4th Qr)

199

211

204

(4th Qr)

222

232

230

(4th Qr)

163 162 184 196 221

173 172 196 209 232 171 171 190 209 228 (4th Qr) (2nd Qr) (2nd Qrl (2nd Qr) (2nd Qr)

169 174 201 216 231

167 172 192 209 224

161 166 187 206 220

170 179 200 213 219

( Dec.) ( ~Junc) (GJune) (-June) (GJune)

233 241

248 252

235 238

(4th Qr) (2nd Qr)

255

269

255

185

179

175

190

(-Dec.)

203

194

194

203

(GDec.)

213

209

210

208

(GDec.)

236 256 261

228 246 252

225 240 247

223 240 240

(-Dec.) (-June) (-Dec.)

154 157 165 169 173 177 186 177 194 197 202 150 152 162 158 175 179 182 179 187 189 189 150 154 161 165 171 176 181 176 184 186 190 172 176 183 192 198 201 205 201 ___ 711 219 223

372 Non-ferrous metal basic bldustries

381 Manufacture of fabricated metal products, excl. machinery

382 Manufacture of machinery excl. electrical

383 Manufacture of electrical machinery

5 Construction

248

Netherlands, while costs in Italy, at one time among the lowest of the EEC countries, are now among the highest.

Some caution should be observed in the use of Table 5. The materials prices and hourly labour costs used in its compilation are national averages, and local and regional variations can be quite substantial, particular- ly in the U.S.A. Some of the variations have been listed in previous articles [2-41. The comparison is based also on assumed relative productivities [5] in the thirteen countries, and productivity at individual sites can vary

widely from the assumed national average. Finally, the indices cannot, by their method of calculation, take account of design changes and where these have been substantial some allowance should be made.

REFERENCES

1 Eng. Costs Prod. Econ., 8 (1984): 3-14.

2 Eng. Costs Prod. Econ., 5 (1981): 245-254.

3 Eng. Costs Prod. Econ., 6 (1982): 267-273.

4 Eng. Costs Prod. Econ., 7 (1982): 13-18.

5 Eng. Costs Prod. Econ., 8 (1984): 137-144.